Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

US500 Price Action Near Upper Band

The US500 CFD, more widely known as the S&P 500 Index and nicknamed “the Spoos” in futures pits, is the marquee gauge of U.S. equity performance and is quoted in forex platforms against the U.S. dollar. Heading into today’s session, sentiment hinges on a heavy U.S. macro docket: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack’s balance-sheet remarks, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and the twin Durable Goods Orders prints will test the economy’s resilience, while Existing Home Sales, IMF meetings in Washington and the EIA’s natural-gas inventory update round out the risks. A hawkish tone from Hammack or upbeat orders data could strengthen the USD, lift Treasury yields and curb stock-market enthusiasm, whereas softer prints or dovish rhetoric may revive risk appetite—so traders should brace for volatility in US500 price action as technical and fundamental forces collide on the daily chart.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 timeframe, the US500 remains in a short-term bullish trend: price punched through the mid-Bollinger Band, tagged the upper band near 5450, then pulled back with two modest red candles before today’s green bar reclaimed higher ground around 5420. The bands have started to widen, signalling expanding volatility, and the most recent fractal highs sit just above price, flagging nearby resistance. Beneath the candles, the MACD histogram has crossed back above zero and the signal lines are tilting positive, while RSI hovers at 60—bullish but shy of overbought territory. Collectively, this technical setup supports a cautiously constructive bias toward the 5500 area, provided the index holds above the 20-period moving average (mid-band) near 5310; a failure there would expose deeper retracement toward 5150.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

[Capitalcore]

GOLDUSD H4 Bollinger Band Price Action Outlook

GOLDUSD —quoted on trading platforms as XAU / USD and nicknamed the “yellow metal”—tracks the value of one troy ounce of gold against the U.S. dollar, making it a premier barometer for global risk sentiment and dollar liquidity. Today’s fundamental landscape is dominated by three USD-centric events: Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari’s Q&A, the final April University of Michigan consumer-sentiment and 1-year inflation-expectation releases, and wide-ranging IMF meetings in Washington. A hawkish tilt from Kashkari or stronger-than-forecast sentiment/inflation prints would likely firm Treasury yields and the greenback, pressuring XAU/USD; conversely, any dovish hints or soft data could revive safe-haven demand for gold ahead of weekend IMF headlines. Traders eyeing XAUUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis should therefore brace for headline-driven volatility in today’s price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GOLD/USD H4 chart, price rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band near $3,280 after a swift pullback from the upper band record around $3,480. The latest candles show a mild bullish correction toward the 20-period middle band (~$3,350), which aligns with the rising 20-SMA and may act as immediate resistance. Momentum signals are stabilizing: the MACD histogram is contracting toward zero with its signal lines curling upward, hinting at a potential bullish crossover, while the RSI has recovered to 52, indicating improving—but still neutral—bullish momentum. A sustained close above the middle band and the recent swing high at $3,365 would expose the $3,420–$3,480 resistance zone; failure to clear that area could invite renewed selling back to $3,300 and the lower Bollinger Band. Watch how the upcoming USD news flow shapes this GOLD USD price action narrative on the four-hour timeframe.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

UK100 H4 faces key resistance test

The UK100, also commonly known as the FTSE 100 Index or "Footsie", is a benchmark index that represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. It is heavily influenced by both the GBP (British Pound) and global risk sentiment, making it a key player in UK100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis as well as in broader price action studies. Today, fundamental factors center around the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey, a leading indicator of consumer spending. Should the CBI report a stronger-than-forecast sales level, it would bolster GBP strength and potentially weigh on the UK100, as a stronger currency often pressures export-heavy companies listed in the index. Conversely, a weaker result could weaken the pound and support the UK100 via improved exporter competitiveness. Traders should pay close attention to the actual release compared to forecasts, as surprises here can trigger volatility and sharp price action moves in UK100 daily chart technical analysis.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Turning to the UK100 H4 chart analysis, after breaking the uptrend line, the price reacted to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and is currently heading toward the upper band and retesting the broken trend line, with a significant horizontal resistance at the 8482.38 level ahead. The Stochastic Oscillator shows a slight bearish crossover around the 70 zone, suggesting a potential loss of bullish momentum in the short term. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at around 63, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but is approaching elevated levels. In the context of UK100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis, if the price fails to break above the resistance and the broken trend line, a correction might be expected. Otherwise, a successful break could signal a continuation of the bullish price action.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Edited 8 hours ago by Capitalcore