Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

USDCHF H4 Fundamental and Price Action Insights

The USDCHF currency pair, often nicknamed the "Swissie," represents the US Dollar against the Swiss Franc and is a popular pair among forex traders due to its stability and safe-haven characteristics. In today’s market outlook, the focus is on USDCHF fundamental and technical setups, integrating core elements from the EURCHF daily chart technical and fundamental analysis to gain deeper price action insights. From a fundamental perspective, today's economic calendar is packed with high-impact events, notably the US Core Durable Goods Orders and Durable Goods Orders, both of which are expected to show weakness compared to previous readings, possibly increasing downside pressure on the US Dollar. Furthermore, speeches from FOMC members Kashkari and Musalem could inject volatility, especially if they hint at future rate policy changes. On the Swiss side, traders will keep an eye on the SNB Quarterly Bulletin and UBS Economic Expectations, which may boost the Franc if the tone remains cautious or dovish. In the context of EURCHF analysis, increased safe-haven demand for CHF may spill over into USDCHF, further supporting a bearish outlook.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Technically analyzing the USDCHF H4 chart, the pair has been riding a bearish wave and currently trades below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a dominant downtrend. The price action is now approaching the cloud once again, indicating a potential retest phase which could either lead to a rejection or a reversal. The RSI indicator reveals bearish divergence, suggesting momentum is weakening despite minor upward moves, strengthening the bearish case. This setup presents sellers with a promising opportunity to consider short positions, particularly if price gets rejected from the lower edge of the cloud. This aligns well with overall bearish sentiment observed in EURCHF daily chart technical and fundamental analysis, enhancing the probability of further downside in USDCHF price action.

 

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

[Capitalcore]

Bearish Momentum Builds On ND100_NASDAQ

ND100_NASDAQ, commonly referred to by traders as “NQ,” is a premier benchmark for US technology stocks, reflecting market sentiment toward major tech giants. With a series of high-impact US economic events on the horizon, including speeches by US President Donald Trump about auto tariffs, quarterly GDP figures, Jobless Claims, and other key data points such as Trade in Goods and Pending Home Sales, the ND100_NASDAQ daily chart technical and fundamental analysis is poised for heightened volatility. Investors will be closely monitoring how these announcements shape risk appetite and price action, as GDP and labor-market indicators can significantly shift market sentiment, while any unexpected policy comments from the White House could further influence the overall outlook for this tech-heavy index.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the ND100_NASDAQ H4 chart, the last seven candles have been decisively bearish, all printing in red and pushing the price action down to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This move appears to be breaking below that Fib support and heading toward the 0 Fib area, aligning with the Ichimoku cloud. Although the candles remain above the cloud for now, the current bearish momentum is driving them closer to a potential retest of this zone, signaling a possible trend shift. Both the MACD and RSI also reflect weakening momentum, reinforcing the bearish tone in the ND100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

BTCUSD Market Reaction to USD Data

Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold,” is the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and its pairing with the US dollar (BTCUSD) remains a pivotal benchmark in both cryptocurrency and forex markets. With several major US economic events scheduled today—including Federal Reserve speeches by Thomas Barkin, Michael Barr, and Raphael Bostic, as well as key data releases such as the Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income, and Personal Spending—the US dollar may experience notable volatility that could influence BTCUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. Hawkish signals regarding interest rates, or shifts in inflation and consumer spending, may drive significant price action in this cryptocurrency pair as traders weigh the potential for tighter monetary policy and broader market sentiment.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
n the BTCUSD H4 chart, the price is exhibiting slightly bullish momentum, moving above the Ichimoku cloud between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels and heading toward the 0.618 level, which could serve as the first resistance. A stronger resistance appears at the 0.5 Fib level, while the green Ichimoku cloud’s upper and lower boundaries are moving horizontally, suggesting caution. Meanwhile, MACD and RSI indicators point to ongoing bullish potential, though traders should monitor any break above these resistance zones to confirm further upward price action in BTCUSD daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

UK100 Technical Analysis Before Breakout

The UK100, commonly referred to as the FTSE 100 Index or simply the "Footsie", represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange by market capitalization. It serves as a key benchmark for the performance of major UK equities and is often influenced by both domestic economic indicators and global market trends. In today's fundamental outlook, attention turns to three key economic metrics released by the Bank of England: money supply, mortgage approvals, and consumer credit. All three are forward-looking indicators tied closely to consumer and business confidence. If today's figures surpass expectations, it would suggest improved economic momentum, supporting the GBP and potentially fueling further upside in the FTSE 100 through stronger corporate earnings expectations. However, any disappointment in these data points may pressure sentiment and dampen near-term price action on the UK100 daily chart.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, the UK100 H4 chart reveals a classic symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation following an earlier bullish move. Currently, the price is hovering near the ascending trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce—especially if it holds. A breakout above the descending resistance line could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend. The Parabolic SAR shows the last four dots forming below the candles, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) sits at around 45.71, showing a neutral to slightly bearish stance, yet not oversold, leaving room for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows a slight bearish crossover, indicating weakened momentum but not an aggressive downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction around the triangle's lower trendline and watch for a breakout confirmation in either direction on this UK100 H4 price action setup.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USD/JPY Daily Chart Analysis

The USDJPY forex pair, often referred to as the “Gopher” in trading circles, is a major currency pair representing the US dollar (USD) versus the Japanese yen (JPY). Known for its high liquidity and sensitivity to monetary policy and geopolitical developments, this pair offers rich opportunities for both technical and fundamental traders. Fundamentally, the USD-JPY is in focus today as markets await key comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin, which could shed light on future US interest rate moves. His tone—whether hawkish or dovish—may significantly impact the dollar. On the Japanese side, economic data like the Jobless Rate and the Tankan survey suggest subdued employment concerns but mixed industrial sentiment. While Japan's Tankan index indicates potential stagnation in manufacturing and services, upcoming US data such as ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, and Consumer Confidence are expected to underscore a resilient US economy. Overall, expectations of stronger US macro data and possible hawkish Fed rhetoric give the greenback a fundamental edge in today’s USD JPY outlook, favoring a bullish bias unless data disappoints sharply.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the USD/JPY 4-hour chart shows a complex battle between bullish and bearish forces. The pair is gradually breaking downtrend lines one by one, and only one major descending trendline remains to be cleared for a full bullish breakout confirmation. Although the price recently dipped below a key support zone and pulled back—suggesting a potential bearish continuation—the bounce strongly hints at a BOF (Breakout Failure), which aligns with the emergence of a possible bullish trend. This idea is supported by bullish divergence on the RSI, where price made lower lows while RSI printed higher lows, indicating waning bearish momentum. RSI is hovering near 50, signaling neutrality with potential for upward momentum. The MACD histogram is shrinking its bearish bars, and lines are close to a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward scenario. Meanwhile, the Parabolic SAR still prints above the candles, indicating short-term bearish bias, but this can flip quickly if momentum continues. Watch for a breakout above the final trendline for confirmation of a sustained uptrend continuation in the USDJPY daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

[Capitalcore]

EURUSD H4 Chart Forecast and Outlook

The EURUSD, often referred to as the "Fiber" in the forex market, represents the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, symbolizing the euro versus the U.S. dollar. As of today, market sentiment around EURUSD is highly sensitive to economic updates from both the Eurozone and the United States. European data releases, including a worse-than-expected French Government Budget Balance (-30.2B vs. -17.3B) and moderate improvement in Spanish Unemployment, slightly weigh on the euro. However, eyes are keenly on the U.S. session, with key market movers like the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Factory Orders in focus. If U.S. data continues to show mixed signals, especially weaker job numbers and declining factory orders, the dollar may face selling pressure, favoring a bullish continuation for EURUSD. Additionally, bond auction yields and evening speeches from U.S. policymakers, including former President Trump and FOMC member Kugler, could inject volatility into late trading sessions

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

From a technical standpoint, the EURUSD H4 chart indicates a bullish structure. After a notable correction, the pair successfully broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential shift back to the upside. Currently, the price is consolidating above a strong static support zone around 1.07500. RSI is bouncing from near-oversold levels, now heading upward around 44.65, suggesting growing bullish momentum. While the MACD histogram shows a slight bearish divergence, the signal lines are close to a potential crossover. Should MACD turn bullish and align with RSI’s direction, a fresh ascending wave on the EURUSD H4 chart would be strongly probable. This technical setup, combined with weaker U.S. fundamentals, sets the stage for a bullish price action scenario.

 

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

 

Capitalcore
 

Edited 19 hours ago by Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

SP-500 Struggles To Break Ichimoku Cloud

The US500 (S&P 500), often called the “500,” serves as a benchmark for top-performing U.S. stocks and is pivotal for auging market sentiment in Futures Indices (CFDs). As traders monitor price action, today’s high-impact events—including a White House briefing on tariff policies, Federal Reserve speeches on inflation expectations, OPEC deliberations on oil output, and fresh jobless claims data—add layers of volatility to the US500 (S&P 500) daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. These developments could signal shifts in global trade relationships, future interest rate trajectories, and broader economic stability, making this session especially critical for short-term and long-term positioning.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 chart, the US500 (S&P 500) has maintained a bearish trend below the Ichimoku Cloud, reflecting weaker price action in recent sessions. Although the index briefly tested the Cloud, it failed to break through and has since pulled back, with the Cloud itself remaining red but gradually thinning. The Cloud’s upper boundary is relatively flat, suggesting limited upward momentum, while MACD and Williams %R both point toward cautious sentiment. Taken together, this US500 (S&P 500) daily chart technical and fundamental analysis indicates that sellers still exert near-term control, though any bullish catalyst from today’s news could challenge the prevailing downward bias.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore