Tusharcsfx Posted January 29 Report Share Posted January 29 Weekly FX Analysis – GBP/USD Swings, EUR/USD Challenges, AUD/USD Rebounds, USD/JPY Gains. Introduction GBP/USD retreated below 1.2750, reversing gains after soft US December core PCE inflation data. Despite the setback, the pair eyes marginal weekly gains. Meanwhile, EUR/USD stabilized near 1.0850 post-US inflation data, maintaining positive territory. AUD/USD recovered to 0.6600 on improved market sentiment ahead of US core PCE data, while USD/JPY aimed for the psychological resistance at 148.00, supported by Tokyo CPI slowing below the BoJ’s 2.0% target. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Retreats Below 1.2750, And Looks To Post Small Weekly Gains. GBP/USD lost its traction and retreated below 1.2730 after rising above 1.2750 on soft US December core PCE inflation data in the early American session on Friday. Every week, GBP/USD remains on track to post marginal gains. GBP/USD lost its traction and dropped below 1.2700 in the early trading hours of the European session on Friday. Although the near-term technical outlook is yet to highlight a build-up of bearish momentum, buyers could remain discouraged unless the pair manages to reclaim 1.2700. Upbeat macroeconomic data releases from the US provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD) during the American session on Thursday. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 51.13 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 59.44 | Buy Zone | Neutral Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29 S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25 Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2622 | Take Profit: 1.2799 | Stop Loss: 1.2524 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted January 30 Author Report Share Posted January 30 Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD Rise, EUR/USD Caution, AUD/USD Geopolitics, USD/JPY Bullish. Introduction GBP/USD reclaims 1.2700 amid a halted US Dollar recovery, driven by reduced expectations of an early BoE rate cut. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pose a potential cap on gains. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces defensive trading near 1.0850, influenced by heightened US Dollar demand amid geopolitical concerns. AUD/USD consolidates near 0.6600 despite geopolitical risks, with attention on US jobs data. USD/JPY hovers around 147.70, with bullish momentum indicated, while technical analysis suggests potential improvement towards 148.00. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Retakes 1.2700 As US Dollar Stalls Recovery. GBP/USD is trading above 1.2700, finding fresh demand amid a stalled US Dollar recovery in early Europe on Monday. The pair cheers reduced bets for an early BoE rate cut ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision. Middle East geopolitical tensions could cap the upside. GBP/USD lost its traction and dropped below 1.2700 in the early trading hours of the European session on Friday. Although the near-term technical outlook is yet to highlight a build-up of bearish momentum, buyers could remain discouraged unless the pair manages to reclaim 1.2700. Instead, market participants could remain focused on risk perception. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 52.39 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 56.61 | Buy Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29 S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25 Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2686 | Take Profit: 1.2783 | Stop Loss: 1.2629 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 2 Author Report Share Posted February 2 Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD, EUR/USD dip, Aussie drops, USD/CAD recovers. Introduction GBP/USD retreats near 1.2680 ahead of the US Fed’s rate decision amidst market caution amid Middle East tensions. With the Fed expected to maintain rates and the Bank of England’s commitment to restrictive policies, risk aversion boosts the US Dollar. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces selling pressure, the Australian Dollar weakens on softer inflation and USD/CAD recovers above 1.3400 amid robust US economic data. The global market awaits key central bank decisions and economic indicators. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Edges Lower To Near 1.2680 Ahead Of US Fed Interest Rate Decision. GBP/USD declines on market caution due to the Middle East tension. Fed is expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 5.5% in January’s meeting. BoE is expected to maintain a prolonged period of restrictive monetary policy to curb inflation. GBP/USD extends its losses for the second consecutive session on Wednesday, inching lower to near 1.2680 during the Asian session. The risk aversion sentiment drives Investors towards the US Dollar (USD), which undermines the GBP/USD pair. US President Joe Biden has communicated that the United States will respond in a tiered approach to a specific situation following the deadly drone attack on US troops near the Jordan-Syria border. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.26 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 48.54 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 51.85 | Buy Zone | Neutral Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.29 S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.25 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2684 | Take Profit: 1.2589 | Stop Loss: 1.2749 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 2 Author Report Share Posted February 2 Daily FX Analysis – USD/JPY faces uncertainty, NZD concerns post-Chinese PMI. Introduction EUR/USD grapples near 1.0800 amidst Fed-induced US Dollar strength, with Chair Powell’s insistence on inflation aligning with the 2% target bolstering the greenback. As the market eyes EU inflation data, the pair faces renewed selling pressure, testing the 1.0800 support. Meanwhile, USD/CHF improves post-Powell’s rejection of a March rate cut, and USD/JPY struggles amid geopolitical risks and diminished prospects for a March Fed rate cut. NZD/USD edges higher post-Chinese PMI but contends with concerns over China’s economic slowdown and geopolitical uncertainties. Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD EUR/USD Struggles Near 1.0800 On Fed-Led US Dollar Strength. EUR/USD is battling 1.0800, consolidating the previous decline. Fed Chair Powell highlighted the need for inflation figures to reflect the Fed’s 2% ceiling, pushing back against early rate cut expectations and boosting the US Dollar. The focus now shifts to the EU inflation data. The bullish momentum in the US dollar sparked renewed selling momentum in EUR/USD, dragging it to the lower end of the weekly range near the 1.0800 region. Moving forward, investors’ debate is still expected to keep the door open to the first interest rate cut in March or May, with the probability of those outcomes at around 36% and 58%, respectively, according to Fed Watch Tool by CME Group. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.08 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.09 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 37.09 | Sell Zone | Bearish Stochastic Oscillator : 12.69 | Sell Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.10 R2 : 1.10 S1 : 1.08 S2 : 1.07 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0820 | Take Profit: 1.0733 | Stop Loss: 1.0873 USD/CHF READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 3 Author Report Share Posted February 3 Daily FX Analysis – GBP, EUR, NZD, AUD trends, NFP impact. Introduction GBP/USD hesitates around the mid-1.2700s following a robust post-BoE rebound, as the pair struggles to extend gains amid a narrow trading range. The US Dollar’s strength, fueled by Fed Chair Powell’s comments, impacts major currencies. EUR/USD advances towards 1.0900 in a positive market mood, while NZD/USD and AUD/USD show resilience on improved data and favorable economic conditions. Investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for further market direction. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Pauses The Post-BoE Rally Near Mid-1.2700s Ahead Of US NFP. The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s solid recovery of around 130 pips from the 1.2625 area, or over a two-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the early European session on Friday. After closing the second consecutive day in negative territory on Wednesday, GBP/USD continued to edge lower early Thursday and was last seen trading at around 1.2650. Although the technical outlook points to a bearish tilt in the near term, the pair faces a two-way risk heading into the Bank of England’s (BoE) policy announcements. The US Dollar started to gather strength late Wednesday after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said that he doesn’t think that a rate reduction in March is the base case scenario. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 50 : 1.27 | Positive Crossover | Bullish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 57.79 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 72.42 | Buy Zone | Neutral Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.28 S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.26 Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2715 | Take Profit: 1.2793 | Stop Loss: 1.2663 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 4 Author Report Share Posted February 4 Weekly FX Analysis – GBP/USD crashes, EUR/USD battles, AUD/USD tumbles. Introduction GBP/USD faces a downturn, hitting daily lows near 1.2650, influenced by heightened selling pressure and a robust US jobs report bolstering the USD. Meanwhile, EUR/USD reacts to the NFP, losing key technical support. The AUD/USD tumbles post-jobs report, with the RBA’s decision and upcoming economic data crucial for its trajectory. USD/JPY soars to new highs, propelled by strong US employment data, as focus shifts to the BoJ’s potential rate changes in March. The week ahead includes key events like RBA’s decision, USD data releases, and developments in USD/JPY. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Plummets To Daily Lows Near 1.2650. The selling pressure in the risk complex gathers extra steam and forces GBP/USD to drop to the lower end of the daily range near 1.2650. The impressive January jobs report from the US provides a boost to the USD ahead of the weekend. GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum and closed in positive territory on Thursday after dipping below 1.2650 with the immediate reaction to the Bank of England’s (BoE) policy announcements. The pair holds its ground in the European session on Friday and trades modestly higher on the day above 1.2750. The BoE maintained the bank rate at 5.25%, as expected, following the first policy meeting of the year. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.26 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 43.61 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 49.57 | Buy Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.28 S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.26 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Stop Sell: 1.2612 | Take Profit: 1.2500 | Stop Loss: 1.2706 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 5 Author Report Share Posted February 5 Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD falls, EUR/USD fights, AUD/USD fluctuates, USD/JPY rises. Introduction GBP/USD faces a decline, reaching 1.2610, as the US Dollar gains strength on robust jobs data, reducing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in March. Meanwhile, EUR/USD struggles below 1.0800 amid sustained USD strength, while AUD/USD recovers from a three-month low, supported by positive economic data. In contrast, USD/JPY sees a rally to a two-month peak, propelled by rising US bond yields and the BoJ’s hawkish stance amidst geopolitical concerns. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Extends Losses To Near 1.2610 As The Fed Rate Cut In March Appears Unlikely. GBP/USD lost ground as US Dollar surged after blockbuster US jobs data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the March meeting is too soon to start rate cuts. BoE’s Huw Pill mentioned that the right time for the rate cuts is probably still some time away. GBP/USD continues its decline for the second consecutive session, edging lower to around 1.2610 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) faces challenges as the US Dollar (USD), measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), reaches an eight-week high. This strength in the USD is fueled by positive market sentiment as a March rate cut by the Federal Reserve appears unlikely. The sentiment is based on a promising labor market report released on Friday. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.26 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.27 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 41.76 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 36.14 | Sell Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.28 R2 : 1.28 S1 : 1.26 S2 : 1.26 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2632 | Take Profit: 1.2545 | Stop Loss: 1.2693 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 6 Author Report Share Posted February 6 Daily FX Analysis – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF trends. Introduction EUR/USD holds onto recovery gains near 1.0750, buoyed by positive German data, while the USD retreats from its recent multi-week high. In contrast, GBP/USD rebounds toward 1.2600 amid an overall weakened US Dollar. USD/CAD snaps a two-day winning streak above 1.3500, facing resistance ahead of Canadian PMI data. USD/CHF maintains below 0.8700 as the Swiss Franc potentially benefits from an improved 10-year Swiss bond yield, following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dismissal of a March rate cut. Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD EUR/USD Clings To Recovery Gains Near 1.0750 On Upbeat German Data. EUR/USD trades in positive territory near 1.0750 in the European session on Tuesday as the USD retreats from the multi-week high it set on Monday. The data from Germany showed that Factory Orders rose 2.7% in December, supporting the Euro. In two consecutive sessions, EUR/USD broke below the key 200-day SMA (1.0836) and the provisional 100-day SMA (1.0783), reaching levels last seen in early December near 1.0720 on Monday. On the opposite side of the equation, the USD Index (DXY) saw its upside bias strongly reinvigorated as investors kept assessing another firm monthly job creation, as per Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (+353K), along with hawkish remarks from Chief Powell at his interview on CBS released over the weekend. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.0815 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0852 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0868 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.0823 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0867 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0902 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 37.0641 | Sell Zone | Bearish Stochastic Oscillator : 9.8014 | Sell Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041 S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0779 | Take Profit: 1.0719 | Stop Loss: 1.0825 GBP/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 7 Author Report Share Posted February 7 Daily FX Analysis – EUR strong, USD paused, JPY struggles, AUD surges. Introduction EUR/USD holds steady above 1.0750 amidst a weakening US Dollar and market optimism, brushing off mixed German data. Despite a negative start to the week, the pair found stability amid shifting sentiments. Meanwhile, USD/CHF paused after a two-day winning streak, influenced by improved Swiss bond yields. The Japanese Yen struggles against the USD due to hawkish Fed expectations and potential BoJ policy changes. The Australian Dollar gains ground on a weaker US Dollar, fueled by the RBA’s hawkish remarks and Powell’s emphasis on monitoring inflation. Fed speeches remain in focus for further market direction. Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD EUR/USD Trades Firmer Above 1.0750 After German Data. EUR/USD is holding the fort above 1.0750 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair cheers a continued US Dollar pullback and the market’s optimism. The Euro shrugs off mixed German Industrial Production data. Fedspeak is next in focus. Following a negative start to the week, EUR/USD extended that pessimism and kept the trade near recent YTD lows in the 1.0725/20 band on turnaround Tuesday. The pair’s bearish price action was accompanied by a vacillating mood surrounding the greenback against the backdrop of some small corrections in US yields across various maturities. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.0807 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0844 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0864 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.0811 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0856 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0898 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 38.9615 | Sell Zone | Bearish Stochastic Oscillator : 15.8181 | Sell Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041 S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0782 | Take Profit: 1.0722 | Stop Loss: 1.0822 USD/CHF READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 8 Author Report Share Posted February 8 Daily FX Analysis – AUD Stable, USD/JPY, NZD, GBP Rise. Introduction The GBP/USD pair edges higher to 1.2630 in the early Asian session, supported by a weaker USD and increased UK house prices, indicating confidence that the Bank of England may not cut interest rates soon. Meanwhile, AUD/USD maintains gains above 0.6500 on mixed Chinese inflation data. NZD/USD holds positive ground above 0.6100 after strong New Zealand Q4 labor market data, suggesting potential further Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy tightening. USD/JPY sees modest gains above 148.00 amid dovish BoJ comments, while the Japanese Yen struggles amid declining real wages and household spending. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Drifts Higher To 1.2630 On Weaker USD, UK Higher House Prices. The GBP/USD pair gained traction during the early Asian session on Thursday. The uptick in the major pair is bolstered by rising house prices in the UK, which supported bets that the Bank of England was not likely to cut interest rates soon. GBP/USD benefited from the improving risk mood on Tuesday and gained 0.5%, erasing a large portion of Monday’s losses in the process. Early Wednesday, the pair trades marginally higher on the day above 1.2600. Market participants will keep an eye on risk perception mid-week. According to the latest news, Qatar, acting as a mediator, said that Hamas had given a “generally positive” response to a proposed truce deal with Israel. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2645 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2664 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2640 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2655 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2678 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2675 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 46.6354 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 38.9323 | Sell Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2762 R2 : 1.2806 S1 : 1.2617 S2 : 1.2573 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2658 | Take Profit: 1.2558 | Stop Loss: 1.2727 AUD/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 9 Author Report Share Posted February 9 Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD. Introduction GBP/USD steadies above 1.2600, showing resilience despite a softer USD. The pair struggles to extend gains from the 1.2570 region, maintaining a narrow range in early European trading. While upbeat US labor market figures lifted the Greenback, the Bank of England’s stance on delaying rate cuts may limit further losses. EUR/USD faces resistance near 1.0800 and the 100-day SMA, maintaining a struggle to break through. The pair hovers around 1.0770, influenced by a late loss of USD momentum and comments from ECB’s Robert Holzmann. AUD/USD trades near 0.6500 after RBA Bullock’s testimony, facing limited upside amid cautious market sentiment. USD/CAD rebounds near 1.3460 on lower crude prices and market caution amid Middle East tensions. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Holds Steady Above 1.2600, Bulls Seem Non-Committed Despite A Softer USD. The GBP/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s goodish bounce of around 50 pips from the 1.2570 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the early European trading hours on Friday. Spot prices trade near the top end of the weekly range, around the 1.2620 area. On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair declined towards the 1.2615 level showing slight losses with upbeat US labor market figures benefiting the Greenback with Jobless claims from the week ending on February 3 coming in lower than expected. However, the Bank of England (BoE) holds a somewhat similar stance as the Federal Reserve (Fed) in delaying rate cuts so the losses may be limited. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2637 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2658 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2638 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2645 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2671 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2673 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 44.8720 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 38.8021 | Sell Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2762 R2 : 1.2806 S1 : 1.2617 S2 : 1.2573 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2632 | Take Profit: 1.2566 | Stop Loss: 1.2682 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 11 Author Report Share Posted February 11 Weekly FX Analysis – GBP/EUR steady, AUD/USD, USD/JPY volatile. Introduction GBP/USD remains resilient above 1.2600 as the US Dollar struggles to gain strength amid lower-than-expected CPI revisions. After briefly dipping below 1.2600 on Thursday, the pair stabilized, influenced by hawkish Bank of England comments and improved risk sentiment. Meanwhile, EUR/USD inches higher near 1.0800 after US CPI revisions, maintaining a sideways trend. The Australian Dollar hovers around 0.6500, supported by RBA Governor Bullock’s commitment to managing inflation. USD/JPY approaches 150.00 as the focus shifts to US inflation data, with Fed policymakers maintaining a hawkish stance. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Holds Above 1.2600 As USD Fails To Gather Strength. GBP/USD continued to fluctuate above 1.2600 on Friday as the US Dollar found it difficult to stay resilient against its major rivals. The data from the US showed that the monthly CPI increase for December was revised lower to 0.2% from 0.3%. GBP/USD declined below 1.2600 on Thursday but managed to stabilize above that level early Friday. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the risk perception could impact the US Dollar’s (USD) valuation. The USD benefited from recovering US Treasury bond yields on Thursday and weighed on GBP/USD. Hawkish remarks from Bank of England (BoE) officials and the modest improvement seen in risk mood, however, helped the pair erase its losses. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2639 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2659 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2638 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2646 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2671 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2673 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 46.0589 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 40.2344 | Neutral Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2762 R2 : 1.2806 S1 : 1.2617 S2 : 1.2573 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.2643 | Take Profit: 1.2516 | Stop Loss: 1.2731 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 13 Author Report Share Posted February 13 Daily FX Analysis – Forex markets await key events amid speculation. Introduction The EUR/USD pair hovers around 1.0800, with attention on the ZEW survey and US CPI data. ECB’s Panetta hints at a potential rate cut, while the Fed considers economic data before adjusting rates. Meanwhile, GBP/USD sees modest gains, and the US Dollar struggles amid uncertainty. The Australian Dollar strengthens on risk-on sentiment, and the Japanese Yen remains subdued post-national holiday, influenced by BoJ’s dovish remarks. Traders await key US inflation figures. Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD EUR/USD Gains Ground Near 1.0800, ZEW Survey, US CPI Data Eyed. EUR/USD holds positive ground around 1.0795 on the consolidation of USD.ECB’s Panetta said the moment is fast approaching for the ECB to cut rates, gradual steps might help to mitigate the volatility on markets. Many Fed officials agreed that the FOMC may review further economic data before lowering interest rates. The EUR/USD pair attracts some buyers near 1.0800 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. Despite the lack of major US data releases last week, many Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers will provide insight into the interest rate outlook later this week. The US inflation and Retail Sales for January will be the highlights this week. At press time, the major pair is trading at 1.0795, gaining 0.07% on the day. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.0797 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0829 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0855 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.0794 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0831 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0893 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 42.4182 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 29.6279 | Sell Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041 S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0804 | Take Profit: 1.0732 | Stop Loss: 1.0854 GBP/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 13 Author Report Share Posted February 13 Daily FX Analysis – GBP up, EUR down, USD rebounds. Introduction GBP/USD remains steady above 1.2600, propelled by favorable UK labor market data, including a drop in the ILO Unemployment Rate to 3.8%. While the market maintains an optimistic stance, attention shifts to the US inflation report, anticipating potential impacts on the Federal Reserve’s decisions. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces a bearish outlook, hovering below key levels, with a focus on US CPI data. USD/CAD breaks a five-day decline on market caution ahead of US inflation data, and NZD/USD declines on lower Kiwi Inflation Expectations in Q1. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Holds Comfortably Above 1.2600 After UK Labor Market Data. GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.2650 in the European morning on Tuesday. The data from the UK showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate declined to 3.8% in December, while the annual wage inflation softened to 6.2% from 6.7%. An upbeat market mood is sponsoring a leg-up on the major, though it remains within familiar levels. Market participants are eyeing an inflation report in the United States (US) which is expected to fuel speculations for rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Regarding monetary policy, the BoE is expected to slash rates by 80 basis points through 2024, less than the 110 bps at the beginning of the last week. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2638 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.2655 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2638 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2633 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.2667 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2674 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 48.2925 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 44.3336 | Neutral Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2763 R2 : 1.2807 S1 : 1.2618 S2 : 1.2574 Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy Trade Suggestion: Stop Buy: 1.2648 | Take Profit: 1.2719 | Stop Loss: 1.2605 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 14 Author Report Share Posted February 14 Daily FX Analysis – GBP falls, AUD holds, JPY rises, USD/CHF adjusts. Introduction “The GBP/USD faces a decline below 1.2600 following soft UK inflation data, amplifying the pressure on Pound Sterling. Meanwhile, robust US economic indicators suggest a prolonged period of higher interest rates, driving the pair to 1.2598. The Australian Dollar also grapples with US Dollar strength amid positive CPI numbers, while the Japanese Yen gains support from a shift in global risk sentiment and verbal intervention. USD/CHF, having reached an 11-week high, corrects slightly as investors anticipate continued US Dollar strength amid inflation concerns.” Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Slumps Below 1.2600 After Soft UK Inflation Data. GBP/USD lost its traction and declined below 1.2600 in the European session on Wednesday. The data from the UK showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.6% every month in January and weighed heavily on Pound Sterling. The GBP/USD plunges below 1.2600 as strong economic data from the United States (US) suggests the Federal Reserve (Fed) would keep interest rates higher for longer. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.2598 after hitting a daily high of 1.2683. GBP/USD slid on hot US CPI data, traders await UK inflation figures. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2618 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2643 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2634 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2616 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2659 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2673 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 41.0237 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 30.7950 | Sell Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2763 R2 : 1.2807 S1 : 1.2618 S2 : 1.2574 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Stop Sell: 1.2571 | Take Profit: 1.2494 | Stop Loss: 1.2629 AUD/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 15 Author Report Share Posted February 15 Daily FX Analysis – Euro, Kiwi up, Pound down, Loonie recovers. Introduction EUR/USD remains near 1.0725, closely watching ECB President Lagarde’s speech in the wake of mixed Fedspeak and the upcoming US Retail Sales report. The pair shows signs of balance recovery after a modest US dollar retracement led to gains. In other markets, NZD/USD sees slight gains, while GBP/USD faces pressure following UK GDP data. USD/CAD attempts to rebound, influenced by a subdued US dollar and the potential impact of declining WTI prices. The broader focus includes key economic indicators like the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and weekly Initial Jobless Claims. Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD EUR/USD Sticks To Lows Near 1.0725, Lagarde Eyed. EUR/USD is holding lower ground while eyeing the 1.0700 mark in European trading on Thursday. The US Dollar struggles amid mixed Fedspeak, as traders await the US Retail Sales report for fresh policy hints. Ahead of that, ECB Lagarde’s speech is eagerly awaited. The modest retracement in the US dollar (USD) triggered a decent bounce in risk-oriented assets on Wednesday, encouraging EUR/USD to regain some balance and leave the area of yearly lows in the sub-1.0700 zone. On the ECB’s side, Vice President L. de Guindos remarked that although progress is being made, caution is warranted to avoid premature conclusions. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.0762 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0799 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0839 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.0755 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.0806 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.0889 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 37.4419 | Sell Zone | Bearish Stochastic Oscillator : 12.4185 | Sell Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.0982 R2 : 1.1041 S1 : 1.0790 S2 : 1.0731 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 1.0750 | Take Profit: 1.0667 | Stop Loss: 1.0804 NZD/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 16 Author Report Share Posted February 16 Daily FX Analysis – GBP, EUR, AUD, USD/JPY challenges, insights. Introduction GBP/USD maintains stability around 1.2600 after UK retail sales data. Despite a 3.4% monthly increase in retail sales in the UK, Pound Sterling struggles to gain momentum. Meanwhile, EUR/USD faces bearish pressures near 1.0750, impacted by renewed US Dollar demand and dovish ECB comments. The US Dollar steadies after recent losses, influencing the Australian Dollar’s attempt to move into positive territory. Japanese Yen faces challenges near daily lows against USD due to uncertainty about the Bank of Japan’s policy shift and risk-on sentiment. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Holds Steady Near 1.2600 After UK Data. GBP/USD continues to fluctuate at around 1.2600 in the early European session on Friday. The data from the UK showed that Retail Sales rose 3.4% every month but failed to provide a boost to Pound Sterling. Focus shifts to US January PPI figures. The Pound Sterling (GBP) climbed during the North American session following a soft retail sales report that lifted the major from a crucial technical level. Consequently, the Greenback (USD) is on the defensive as the GBP/USD trades at 1.2586, up 0.17%, after jumping off a daily low of 1.2541. Pound Sterling edges high amid mixed US economic reports, BoE’s rate cut estimates. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2608 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2633 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2630 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2596 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 1.2648 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2674 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 43.0909 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 25.0329 | Sell Zone | Negative Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2763 R2 : 1.2807 S1 : 1.2618 S2 : 1.2574 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.2604 | Take Profit: 1.2537 | Stop Loss: 1.2650 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 19 Author Report Share Posted February 19 Daily FX Analysis – GBP/USD soars, others hold steady. Introduction GBP/USD inches above 1.2600 as the US Dollar weakens, driven by market sentiment anticipating delayed Fed rate cuts. With USD under pressure, GBP/USD consolidates gains. Meanwhile, EUR/USD maintains modest gains below 1.0800 in light trading, impacted by the US Dollar’s decline. Australian Dollar consolidates after gains, supported by dovish Fed comments. USD/JPY retreats to near 150.00 amid improved Japanese Machinery Orders and a subdued US Dollar following Friday’s volatile session. US markets observe a bank holiday on President’s Day. Markets In Focus Today – GBP/USD GBP/USD Inches Higher Above 1.2600 On USD Weakness. GBP/USD is consolidating gains above 1.2600 in early Europe on Monday. The US Dollar experiences downward pressure, influenced by market sentiment leaning towards the delayed Fed rate cuts. A US holiday-thinned trading is likely to extend. GBP/USD benefited from the renewed US Dollar (USD) weakness and snapped a three-day losing streak on Thursday. The pair, however, lost its recovery momentum after testing 1.2600 and edged lower in the early European session on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield continued to correct lower following the disappointing Retail Sales data from the US on Thursday and weighed on the USD. Meanwhile, Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Megan Greene reiterated on Thursday that the monetary policy will need to remain restrictive for some time, further supporting GBP/USD. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.2614 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.2633 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2631 | Negative Crossover | Bearish Simple : MA 10 : 1.2607 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.2644 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 1.2676 | Negative Crossover | Bearish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 47.9409 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 35.0461 | Sell Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.2763 R2 : 1.2807 S1 : 1.2618 S2 : 1.2574 Overall Sentiment: Neutral Market Direction: Buy Trade Suggestion: Stop Buy: 1.2632 | Take Profit: 1.2727 | Stop Loss: 1.2573 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted February 20 Author Report Share Posted February 20 Daily FX Analysis – USD/CAD surges, EUR/USD nears support. Introduction In the currency markets, USD/CAD maintains its position above the 1.3500 level ahead of Canada’s CPI data, buoyed by a stronger US Dollar. Meanwhile, EUR/USD retreats from its weekly high, eyeing support at 1.0750, and GBP/USD struggles below 1.2600 ahead of BoE Governor Bailey’s testimony. NZD/USD trades flat amid the PBoC rate decision, influenced by cautious Fed rate cut expectations. The market anticipates potential volatility with upcoming economic data and central bank announcements. Markets In Focus Today – USD/CAD USD/CAD Holds Above The 1.3500 Mark Ahead Of Canadian CPI Data. USD/CAD edges higher to 1.3506 amid the firmer USD. Investors trimmed their bets on rate cut expectations from the Fed as the US January PPI data came in hotter than estimated. Canada’s January CPI report will be released on Tuesday, which is estimated to ease in January. The USD/CAD pair traded on a stronger note above the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the stronger US Dollar (USD). The Canadian inflation data will be in the spotlight on Tuesday and could trigger volatility in the market ahead of the FOMC Minutes. At press time, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3506, gaining 0.12% on the day. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 1.3489 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.3473 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 50 : 1.3467 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 1.3487 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 20 : 1.3471 | Positive Crossover | Bullish MA 50 : 1.3405 | Positive Crossover | Bullish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 54.5737 | Buy Zone | Bullish Stochastic Oscillator : 58.9418 | Buy Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 1.3520 R2 : 1.3594 S1 : 1.3281 S2 : 1.3207 Overall Sentiment: Bullish Market Direction: Buy Trade Suggestion: Limit Buy: 1.3492 | Take Profit: 1.3573 | Stop Loss: 1.3442 EUR/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tusharcsfx Posted March 4 Author Report Share Posted March 4 Daily FX Analysis – Forex market updates with expert analysis. Introduction The AUD/USD faces downward pressure around 0.6500 as the US Dollar stabilizes, influenced by mixed market sentiment and Australian economic data. The focus remains on China’s NPC meeting and the Fed’s Powell. Meanwhile, GBP/USD gains on the BoE Chief Economist’s hawkish comments, and EUR/USD strengthens ahead of the ECB meeting. NZD/USD retreats near 0.6100, impacted by a stable US Dollar and a higher-than-expected trade deficit in New Zealand. Fed rate cut probabilities for March, May, and June are 5.0%, 26.8%, and 53.8%, respectively. Markets In Focus Today – AUD/USD AUD/USD Stays On The Defensive Toward 0.6500 As The US Dollar Stalls Decline. AUD/USD is on the defensive toward 0.6500 in the Asian session on Monday. The pair is feeling the pull of gravity, as the US Dollar consolidates its previous losses. A mixed market mood and Australian economic data also weighed on the Aussie. China’s NPC meeting and Fed’s Powell are in focus. There is a mixed action in the global market as S&P 500 futures are down in the European session while risk-perceived currencies are performing better against the US Dollar. The US Dollar Index, which measures the US Dollar’s value against six rival currencies, falls slightly to 104.00. In the June meeting, market expectations for rate cuts by the Fed remain firm as the annual core inflation data grew at the slowest pace of 2.8% in their years. However, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is still not ready to unwind the restrictive policy stance sooner as they need more confidence that inflation will return to the 2% target. Technical Overview With Chart : Moving Averages : Exponential : MA 10 : 0.6523 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 0.6533 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 0.6562 | Positive Crossover | Bullish Simple : MA 10 : 0.6533 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 20 : 0.6521 | Negative Crossover | Bearish MA 50 : 0.6602 | Positive Crossover | Bullish RSI (Relative Strength Index): 45.3393 | Neutral Zone | Neutral Stochastic Oscillator : 45.4502 | Buy Zone | Positive Resistance And Support Levels : R1 : 0.6580 R2 : 0.6620 S1 : 0.6453 S2 : 0.6413 Overall Sentiment: Bearish Market Direction: Sell Trade Suggestion: Limit Sell: 0.6534 | Take Profit: 0.6465 | Stop Loss: 0.6581 GBP/USD READ THE FULL REPORT VISIT US - CAPITAL STREET FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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