MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted December 12, 2013 Report Share Posted December 12, 2013 12 December 2013: Markets Continue Their Correctional Movement DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. The global markets are decreasing for the second day in a row. Strong macroeconomic statistics in the USA, which were published recently, and progress in budgetary negotiations, gave investors the idea that the FED could start cutting the program of quantitative easing next week. Republicans and Democrats managed to agree about a cut in expenditure on defence yesterday, and on other expenses for the next two years. Even figures on expenses, which parties managed to come to consensus, are insignificant. It is an exceptional case when parties agree in principle. Nevertheless, the speech did not mention neither about a change of the ceiling of the national debt, nor about any motions concerning Obama's medical reform, and the probability of a new stop of government organizations in February, still remains. The markets regarded news from the White House as a reason for careful sales, after all, harmonious work of the Government means faster carrying out of reforms and effective work of the economy, so it can be expected that artificial incentives will be required less. But more likely it is worth speaking only about a reason for correction, instead of the real reason of decrease. During yesterday's trading session, the American stock indices suffered considerable losses. As per the results of the trading day, indices of the US overtook the European indices on rates of decrease. The S&P 500 index showed the maximum loss in the last month, having decreased by 1.13% and closed the trading session on a level of 1782.22 points. Dow Jones lost 0.81%, reaching a level of 15843.53 points, and Nasdaq decreased by 1.4% up to the level of 4003.81 points. In the meantime, The British FTSE 100 lost just 0.24%, the German DAX - 0.41%, the French CAC 40 - 0.1%. This morning, the situation continues to be aggravated. The trading session in Asia passed with big losses. Futures for indices are also decreasing. The meeting of the FED will take place next week and up to this point, the markets will remain highly volatile. Commodities quotations are only changing slightly. Gold, near the level of 1250,00$ for troy ounce, does not impress long-term investors. Reserves of SPDR Gold Trust were reduced by 2.1 ton to 833.6 ton. Data of the Ministry of Energy of the USA on stocks, repeated statistics of API. For the last week, commercial stocks of Oil decreased by 10.6 million barrels to 375.2 million barrels. Brent this morning is traded on a price of 109.51$ per barrel, and WTI is at the level of 97.64$ per barrel. Today is rich in macroeconomic statistics. During the day data on industrial production in the Eurozone will be published. Data on the import/export prices, retails, and primary requests for unemployment benefit in the USA will be also presented. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted December 16, 2013 Report Share Posted December 16, 2013 16 December 2013: Fears Regarding Reduction Of QE Continue To Rein Over The US Stock Market DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. The forthcoming week promises to be the most interesting of all leaving 2013. The head of the FED, Ben Bernanke, will carry out, probably, the last meeting as the chairman and nobody excludes the possibility that he could finish his 7-year term with the beginning of the turn of stimulating measures. Undoubtedly, even the probability of such an outcome already pressed on the dynamics of stock markets, and the prospect to chop off New Year's rally could force Bernanke to reduce buying up volumes by only a symbolical sum. However, even in that case, it will be enough to return demand for the US Dollar, especially against the Yen and the British Pound. The stock market of the USA spent Friday in the lateral range, having finished the trading session with minimum changes. However, that decrease, which the American stock indices showed for the past week, for 1.5-1.7%, was the maximum for the last 2 months. The sector of health care and telecoms appeared to be the outsiders of the week, among the different sectors. As the result, the trading session came to an end with the Dow Jones adding 0.1% and reaching the level of 15755.36 points, S&P decreasing by 0.01% to the level of 1775.32 points, and Nasdaq growing by 0.06% to the level of 4000.97 points. Sales also were caused by the publication of preliminary data on the index of business activity in the industry according to HSBC - the indicator decreased from 50.8 points in November to 50.5 points in December. Leading stock indices of Europe on Friday didn't show considerable changes. Following the results of the week they went down by 1.4-1.8% against macroeconomic statistics and corporate news in the Eurozone, which disappointed investors. Shares of the British insurance company RSA Insurance Group appeared to be the leader of the decline on Friday, having fallen by 7% after whispers of resignation of its executive director. Thus the British FTSE-100 index, having lost 1.7% in a week, showed a decrease for the sixth week in a row. During the day a rather low volume of macroeconomic statistics from abroad is expected. In France, there will be preliminary data on indices of business activity in the industry and in the services sector for December. Similar indices will be published in Germany, and in the Eurozone as a whole. In the USA, reconsidered November dynamics of labor productivity and industrial production for November, will be published later on during the day. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted December 17, 2013 Report Share Posted December 17, 2013 17 December 2013: The Stock Market Began The Week On A Positive Note DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. On Monday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with moderate growth of the main indices after the largest weeks loss since August. Since the beginning of the week, traders are concentrating on the upcoming meeting of the FED and trying to find in published macroeconomic statistics the key to the outcome of this meeting, and making their mind up if volumes of QE will actually be reduced or will be kept on the present levels. Be reminded that the beginning of cutting off the program of quantitative easing at Decembers meeting is expected by about a third of all economists, the others are still leaning towards the March meeting. As for the macroeconomic statistical data published yesterday, it became known that industrial production in November increased by 1.1% against average forecasts of growth of 0.5%. October growth rates of industrial production were reconsidered from -0.1% to 0.1%. Labor productivity increased in the third quarter by 3%, whereas an increase by 2.8% was expected. Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips of Dow Jones Industrial Average raised by 0.82% to the level of 15884.83 points, the index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 increased by 0.63% to a level of 1786.54 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a plus on 0.71% and reached the level of 4029.52 points. Leading stock indices of Europe on Monday also grew against favorable corporate news and macroeconomic statistics. One of the leaders of growth was the German DAX index which added 1.7% in the context of strong indicators of business activity in the industrial sector of Germany which were recently published. The corresponding PMI index of the production sector of Germany grew in December to maximum levels for the last 2.5 years, which says volumes about the essential increase of activity in the German industry, which could pull the entire European economy out of where it is, and into the positive zone, despite the worsening situation in France. The summary, the index of business activity of the Eurozone, characterizing the situation in the industry, and in the service sector, grew to 52.1 points from 51.7 points a month earlier, which testifies to proceeding towards the recovery of the European economy as a whole. In the commodity market, prices for Oil are slightly down and prices for precious metals are adding in value slightly. Brent is traded on a level of 109.32$ per barrel, and losing 0.08%, WTI is decreasing by 0.16%to the level of 97.61$ per barrel. Gold and Silver are up by 0.03% and 0.16% accordingly, bargaining next to the levels of 1244.76$ and 20.13$ per troy ounce. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted December 18, 2013 Report Share Posted December 18, 2013 18 December 2013: Today Promises To Be Hot! DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Today all the markets come to a head regarding the "QE-3 turning", and today we will be able to draw conclusions on their direction for the medium-term prospect. Unfortunately, it is never easy for the meeting of the Central Banks due to the fact that too many nuances can affect the dynamics of the financial markets: how accurately are the plans for the end of the program of stimulation of the economy going to be announced? what terms will be exposed? in what volumes will the reduction will be carried out? what kind of target points will be chosen by the FED in order to take actions? And so on. The latest macroeconomic data obviously testify in favor of the recovery of the economy of the USA, and given the current conditions, it will be difficult for the FED not to take any action. In fact, the QE-3 program reduction on 5-10 billion Dollars is already obviously included into the prices, and participants of the market are potentially ready for a similar event, and, if together with reduction of the program of repayment of assets, the target level on unemployment will be lowered to a level of 5.5%, it can be positively apprehended by the markets, as this fact will remove expectations of an increase of interest rates for almost another 2 years. Anyway, at the programmed reduction for an amount of not less than 10 billion Dollars, we will see a small short-term correction in all stock markets, and strengthening of the index of Dollar to all currencies. Furthermore, it is necessary to pay attention to debt market if growth of profitability on American bonds is going to be resumed with new force, which will mean that investors apprehended results of meeting of the FED negatively, and it is worth preparing for correction in stock markets as well. As for yesterday’s trading session, the American market finished the day in a minus. Investors’ opinions are still very different in relation to the decision of the FED, which will be announced in the evening, which stresses the markets and increases uncertainty. Investors prefer not to hurry in regards to their actions. Following the results of the trading session, the Dow Jones index went down by 0.06% to the level of 15875.26 points, S&P 500 decreased by 0.31% up to the level of 1781.00 points, Nasdaq lost 0.14% and reached the level of 4023.68 points. Oil decreased the day before on expectations of reduction of demand, and also growth of deliveries from the Middle East. Commercial stocks of Oil decreased last week by 2.5 million barrels. This morning Brent is losing 0.05% and is traded on a level of 108.38$ per barrel, WTI is up for 0.22% at the price of 97.68$ per barrel. Gold and Silver are up by 0.17% and 0.36% accordingly, bargaining at the prices of 1232.14$ and 19.91$ per troy ounce. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted December 19, 2013 Report Share Posted December 19, 2013 19 December 2013: FED Justified Hopes Of Investors, Indices Break New Records DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Yesterday, the stock market of the United States of America finished the trading session on a positive note, due to the announced decision of the FED to start gradual turning of the program of quantitative easing in January, 2014. Note that following the results of the meeting of the Committee on the open market, the key interest rate remained at the former level of 0-0.25%. Representatives of the FED also noted that it will remain in this range even after the unemployment rate falls below the level of 6.5%. As for the volume of initial reduction of repayment of securities, it was decided to cut the current QE program by $10 billion, to $75 billion, considering the improvement of the situation on the labor market of the USA. Besides, FRS declared that measures for reduction of volume of the repayment of bonds will be taken further if the economy continues to be develop steadily. It also should be noted that during the meeting the improved economic forecasts were also announced. So, growth rates of the economy will make (in the current year) 2.2-2.3%, inflation and unemployment rates will be at the level of 0.9-1% and 7-7.1% respectively. Meanwhile, country gross domestic product in 2014, most likely, will increase by 2.8-3.2% whereas inflation will make 1.4-1.6%, and the unemployment rate will be reduced to 6.3-6.6%. Following the results of the trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index got stronger by 1.84% and was closed on a level of 16167.97 points, S&P 500 went into plus by 1.66% to the level of 1810.65 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 1.15% to the level of 4070.06 points. Futures for Oil this morning are decreasing by 0.20% on Brent and 0.09% on WTI. Brent is traded on a level of 109.40$ per barrel, and WTI is on the price of 97.97$ per barrel. Gold yesterday started to increase in price after the announcement of the decision of the FED, but very quickly lost its strength and returned back to its usual levels. This morning, Gold is decreasing by 1.17% and is traded on the price of 1221.21$ per troy ounce, Silver is down by 2.47% at a price of 19.56$ per troy ounce. Its also was an interesting day in the currency market, where increased volatility in all major currency pairs was observed. The decision originally weakened the US Dollar, however interest in the currency was returned quickly during Bernanke’s press conference, who practically promised that each meeting next year will actually go with program reduction on 10 billion Dollars, and by the end of 2014 QE3 will be completely reduced. One more interesting moment that the majority of officials are waiting for, is an increase in the interest rate, expected to happen in 2015. All these nuances defined the belief of investors in a bright future, however, it is better not to take everything mentioned so seriously, and it is worth dividing into two. This morning, the EUR/USD is on a level of 1.36790. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted December 20, 2013 Report Share Posted December 20, 2013 20 December 2013: The Statistics Didn't Confirm That The Decision Of FED Was Justified DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. On Thursday, the American market finished the trading session with a small decrease due to the published macroeconomic statistical data. Deterioration of data on numbers of new houses and requests for unemployment benefits cast a shadow on the recent improvement of the economic forecasts of the FED, and provoked derogation of the S&P 500 index from historical maxima. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits unexpectedly jumped to a maximum for the last 9 months to the level of 379 thousand, from 369 thousand previously, and sales of houses in the secondary market decreased by 4.3% to 4.90 million, which was much worse than average forecasts. As a result, following the results of the trading session, the indicator of "blue chips" the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, was closed with an increase of 0.07% at the level of 16179.08 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 went down by 0.06% to the level of 1809.60 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 0.29% to the level of 4058.13 points. The trading session in Asia is also not developing in a positive direction. Indices of the region bargain mainly in negative territory. The main negative continues to arrive from China, and the situation in the liquidity market remains. Yesterday, the national Bank of China carried out dot injections of liquidity on the market, however, it practically had no affect on interbank rates. The cost of Gold fell to the minimum level for the last three years, due to the decision of the FED to reduce the program of repayment of bonds in January next year. Analysts of Goldman Sachs Group estimate that further depreciation of this precious metal should not be excluded. They believe that by the end of next year, the cost of Gold will fall to 1050.00$ per troy ounce. It should be noted that experts submitted these forecasts a month ago. Yesterday, Gold reached the minimum level since the 3rd of August 2013, at 1188.68$ per troy ounce. This morning, the metal is adding just 0.09%, and is traded on the price of 1194.61$. Silver is up by 0.16% at the price of 19.22$ per troy ounce. Oil prices are also down, Brent is losing 0.33% traded at the level of 109.93$ per barrel. WTI is down by 0.25% on a level of 98.79$ per barrel. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 3, 2014 Report Share Posted January 3, 2014 03 January 2014: First trading day of the new year has not really been positive DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Investors are just starting to return back from holiday, and the volumes on the markets are gradually increasing. The first trading day in the new year has not been as positive as the last trading days of 2013. As a result, Dow Jones industrial average lost 0.82% and reached a level of 16441.35 points. S&P 500 decreased by 0.89% up to the level of 1831.98 points, and Nasdaq Composite weakened by 0.80%, reaching a level of 4143.07 points. The situation in the commodities market is quite different. Oil prices lost a bit in value and are traded this morning with Brent adding 0.02% and WTI loosing 0.17%, reaching prices of 107.63$ and 95.43$ accordingly. Prices of precious metals in comparison are adding in value, Gold is up by 0.67%, and traded on the level of 1233.42$ per troy ounce. Silver managed to overcome the level of 20.00$ per troy ounce, this morning bargaining next to the level of 20.13$ per troy ounce. Participants of the market started to be interested again in the American Dollar, due to the fact that the American economy is showing steady growth. ISM index in the manufacturing sphere decreased in December up to 57 points from 57.3, analytics were predicting even more of a steep fall. This data and the profit fixing factor helped the Dollar to strengthen its positions, and pushed the EUR/USD to the area of 1.3670, and the GBP/USD to 1.6440. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 6, 2014 Report Share Posted January 6, 2014 06 January 2014: Certain Nervousness Is Observed In The Markets DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Development of the main stock markets in the world has been quite different. Key stock indices of the USA showed multi-directional dynamics, whilst trading on the European and Asian platforms has been taking place in positive territory. On Friday, no important macroeconomic statistical data was published except for data on Oil stocks for the week, which were reduced by 7.007 million barrels, whereas a decrease of 2.975 million barrels was predicted. As a result of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips of Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.17% to the level of 16469.99 points, the index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 lost 0.03% and reached the level of 1831.37 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a minus for 0.27% and was closed at the level of 4131.91 points. An interesting development in the market that can be mentioned is that on Friday, prices of Gold reached a two-week maximum against expectations of a possible increase in demand for ingots and coins. Meanwhile, prices of Platinum grew to the maximum value since November. As a result, prices of Gold raised to the maximum level since the 18th of December, up to 1239.60$ per troy ounce, and this morning Gold is traded on a price of 1238.79$ per troy ounce. At the same time, futures for Platinum reached the maximum value since the 20th of November at the price of 1418.00$ per troy ounce, traded this morning on a level of 1402.98$. Today, published by HSBC bank, was the index of business activity for December, which fell in the services sector of China from 52.5 points to 50.9 - the minimum value for almost 2 years. Before the 1st of January, industrial PMI of China, counted by national bureau of statistics, decreased from 51.4 to 51.00 points. This afternoon, indices of business activity of France, Germany and the Eurozone, are going to published. No significant changes are expected. This year also promises to be rather positive for the American economy, and even despite the recent decrease in the ISM index in the manufacturing industry, all data still confirms proceeding restoration. This week will help people to be convinced of the continued development of similar tendencies, as a lot of statistical data will be published - data on business activity in the services sector, data on the labor market, and also the protocol of the last meeting of the FOMC, which will reflect the view of the monetary authorities on the economic prospects of the country. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 7, 2014 Report Share Posted January 7, 2014 07 January 2014: Statistics From The US Didn't Inspire Investors DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. The trading session at the European stock exchanges began today in the red zone, however, yesterday indices showed rather flat dynamics. The index of the London stock exchange (FTSE100) was closed on a level of 6730.73 points. The index of the Parisian stock exchange (CAC40) decreased by 0.47% and reached a level of 4227.54 points, and the index of the Frankfurt stock exchange lost 0.08%, and was closed at the level of 9428.00 points. At the present time, the FTSE100 is decreasing by 0.15%, CAC40 by 0.22%, and DAX by 0.04%. The main American indicators were closed yesterday also in the red zone, pushed down by the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere, which, in December, reached the level of 53, at average expectations of 54.5. Meanwhile, the orders in the manufacturing industry for November increased by 1.8%, while analysts on average predicted an increase of 1.7%. As a result of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips of Dow Jones Industrial Average, went down by 0.27% to the level of 16425.1 points. The index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 became 0.25% easier and reached 1826.77 points, and the index of high-tech industries of Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 0.44% and was closed at the level of 4113.68 points. The statistical calendar is not too rich today. Unemployment rate in Germany for December is going to be published, the level of 6.9%, as previously predicted, is again projected. Also the consumer price index of the Eurozone for December will be presented a bit later. In the evening, data on trade balance of goods and services for November in the US will be published, a negative balance of $40 billion is expected. At the present moment, the EUR/USD currency pair bargains next to the level of 1.3625. Prices of Oil are slightly up, with Brent increasing by 0.54% traded on a level of 106.99$ per barrel, and WTI up by 0.35% at 93.90$ per barrel. Gold and Silver are flat, traded at the prices of 1238.35$ and 20.06$ accordingly. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 8, 2014 Report Share Posted January 8, 2014 08 January 2014: Investors Waiting For The Protocol Of Last FOMC Meeting DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Yesterday’s trading session was a victory for the "bulls". In Europe, the index of the Parisian stock exchange, CAC 40, grew by 0.83%, as well as the German DAX, and the index of the London stock exchange FTSE 100 added 0.37%. In the meantime in the US, the Dow Jones indicator increased by 0.64% up to the level of 16530.94 points, the S&P 500 rose by 0.61% and reached the level of 1837.88 points, and Nasdaq gained 0.96% and reached the level of 4153.18 points. This morning, the American futures bargain in a weak plus, the futures contract on S&P 500 adds 0.12%. Almost all the main indicators of the Asian-Pacific Region are also trading in the green zone, for example, Japanese Nikkei 225 adds 1.93% and the Hong Kong Hang Seng increases by .18%. Today it is necessary to pay special attention to the publication of the protocol of the last meeting of FOMC. This event is quite interesting to observe, due to the fact that at the last meeting, the representatives of the Committee decided on the long-awaited beginning of the turning of the QE3, however, having designated only symbolical reduction of stimulation. Thus, details of adoption of such a decision can be quite interesting and exciting for the market. If investors will see high motivation of the monetary authorities, and also readiness for further more considerable turning, it could increase demand for the American Dollar. Such an outcome is spoken of highly by many factors - the recent aggressive speech of Plosser and also Bernanke's comments that there is an opportunity of reduction of the program at each meeting. However, there is a small probability that the members of the FOMC were taking this decision without significant willingness, especially, remembering that the managing director of the FED of Boston, Rozengren, acted against it, referring to a very high unemployment rate and to low a rate of inflation. As for the EUR/USD currency pair, besides the minutes of the FOMC, has other factors of pressure. Deflationary tendencies in the Eurozone are causing more and more fears in the monetary authorities of E-17, as they obviously point to a lack of final consumption. In spite of the fact that the current economic situation in some peripheral countries starts being corrected, Italy and France considerably slows down the development. In this plan, it will be interesting to look at Mario Draghi's press-conference right after the meeting of the European Central Bank, planned for Thursday. Whether there will be hints on a deflation, and ways of fight against it, remains a riddle. The influence from it we will be able to see on Thursday, but today the EUR/USD will move under the influence of the publication of the report on industrial orders of Germany, and also results of the FOMC protocol. If the protocol appears to be more positive than expected, it could send the pair to the area of 1.3550. Brent is up by 0.29% on a level of 107.30$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.51% and traded on a price of 94.32$ per barrel. Gold and Silver are losing 0.28% and 0.88% accordingly, bargaining next to the levels of 1226.06$ and 19.61$ per troy ounce. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 9, 2014 Report Share Posted January 9, 2014 09 January 2014: ECB Meeting Will Outline Views Of The Authorities On The Situation In Europe DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. The FOMC protocol met our expectations, and gave the currency market even more confidence that Ben Bernanke's prophecy will come true, and reduction of incentive will be carried out at each subsequent meeting of the FED. This news gave support to the USD, and pushed its main competitors down, the result being the EUR/USD reaching the level of 1.3550, and traded this morning on a price of 1.3595. GBP/USD was pushed away from maximum levels to the area of 1.6440. Dow Jones industrial average lost 0.41%, and reached the level of 16462.74. Nasdaq added 0.26% and finished the trading session on the level of 4163.88, and the S&P 500 weakened by 0.02%, to the level of 1837.49 points. In Europe yesterday, there was quite a lot of macroeconomic statistical data published, the surplus of trade balance of Germany didn't hold to market forecasts in November, and made 17.8 billion Euros against the consensus forecast of 18.0 billion Euros. November industrial orders of the country, on the contrary, increased by 2.1%, having surpassed forecasts of analysts of 1.5%. The Eurozone retails in November recorded an increase of 1.4%, and the Eurozone unemployment rate in November didn't change, making 12.1%, as expected. Today, the European Central Bank will hold the first meeting on the interest rate in the current year, and in spite of the fact that we don't expect any changes in monetary policy, it will be very interesting to look at how the authorities estimate the current situation. On one hand, weak inflationary pressure becomes more dangerous every day, however, on the other hand, the position of Germany is getting more stable. We would like to remind you that in November, low CPI became the basis for the reduction of the interest rate of the European Central Bank. Since then, falling only continued: the indicator makes, at present, 0.8%, instead of the target level of 2%. Today, everything will depend on the placed accents: if the authorities will claim that the German growth will be sufficient to stimulate restoration of inflationary pressure, it will bring a sense of positivity to the European platforms. Special attention should also be paid to the unemployment figures coming from the USA. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 10, 2014 Report Share Posted January 10, 2014 10 January 2014: Negative Moods Prevail In The Markets DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. On Thursday, key stock indices of Europe showed negative dynamics due to the statements of Mario Draghi. Besides that, investors’ decisions were influenced by the last protocols of the last meeting of the FOMC, which contained obvious hints on turning of the program of quantitative easing. It should be noted that yesterday, the European Central Bank and Bank of England kept monetary policy unchanged, thus, according to Mario Draghi, rates will remain at a low level for a long time, but as for the present it is too early to say that the Eurozone is out of danger. Draghi also emphasized that unemployment remains at a high level, and dynamics in the sphere of crediting is still rather weak. As a result, the main European stock indices finished the trading session with Great Britain's index (the FTSE 100) losing 0.5%, the French of CAC 40 became 0.8% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus also by 0.8%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 0.4% and was closed on a level of 328.41 points. Currency markets were also influenced by presented data and statements, which added to the strengthening of the Dollar. After the press-conference after the ECB meeting, we first saw further strengthening of the EUR/USD to a maximum of 1.3632, and then witnessed a kickback to a minimum at the level of 1.3548, ending the trading day around 1.3580. At the present time, the currency pair is traded on a level of 1.35988 and its further development can be influenced by the labor market figures today, if they are going to be positive. The next purpose of the pair is on 1.3550 and further on 1.35. Nevertheless, today it is necessary to pay an attention to the data on the labor market, which will be published in the second part of the day. Forecasts suggest that employment in the nonagricultural sector of the US is supposed to increase approximately by 200 thousand, and unemployment should remain at the former level of 7%. And last, but definitely not least, the factor bringing negative vibes to the markets has been the start of the season of corporate reports. Alcoa did not justify forecasts, the next in line to report are the banks. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 13, 2014 Report Share Posted January 13, 2014 13 January 2014: The Markets Cannot Find Their Feet After Winter Holidays DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. For the first days after New Year's vacation, leading stock markets of the world show quite weak activity. Even publications of important macroeconomic indicators cannot push indices to start forming trends in one way or another, neither in the US, Europe, nor in emerging markets. Important indicators, which will be able to have an influence on the market, will be the statistics on industrial production of the Eurozone on Tuesday, and new data from the real estate market in the US on Friday. Besides that, American companies already begun the reporting period for the fourth quarter of the previous year, which could lead to an emergence of volatility in the markets. On Friday, the statistics of the labor market in the US recorded a minimum level of unemployment in the country for the last five years. The coefficient fell from 7% last month to 6.7% in December, which increases the probability of further reduction of the program of monetary stimulation at the next meeting of the FED at the end of January. At the same time, the quantity of created workplaces for the same period was much lower than expectations, and made only 74 thousand, which was the minimum level for 2013. For the last three years, the economy of the US created about 2 million workplaces, but at the same time, the unemployment rate remains quite high. It is worth remembering that the desirable unemployment rate, at which the FED could go for a rate increase, is on the level of 6.5%. The second indicator for the FED is the inflation, data on which is going to be published on Wednesday and Thursday. As a result, the last trading day of the week finished with the Dow Jones industrial average index decreasing by 0.05% to 16437.05 points, retreat in a week made 0.2%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index raised 0.23%, having closed at the level of 1842.37 points, the increase in a week made 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite index raised by 0.44% to the value of 4174.66 points, having added 1% within the week. The price of futures of gold raised by 1.4% to the value of 1246.90$ per troy ounce, traded this morning at the level of 1249.20$. Gold rose in price, owing to the dollar weakening, and the dominating confidence of investors that weak data on growth of employment, will not allow the FED to continue further reduction of QE3. In total, gold lost 0.7% in a week. Oil increased in price as a result of the retreat of the dollar, and against growth of the Chinese import in December. The price of futures of WTI raised by 1.2% to level of 92.72$ per barrel, traded this morning at 92.57$. Brent is down by 0.13%, at 106.47$ per barrel. Last week was the second unprofitable week in a row for oil prices. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 14 January 2014: Decrease Noted On World Platforms During Yesterday’s Trading Session DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. During yesterday’s trading session, the American players preferred to take profit from the majority of stocks before the publication of the results of the large banks for the fourth quarter of 2013. Growth of some stocks by 25-30% last year in many respects could be considered as an advance, and fears that reports will not be able to meet expectations, forced the participants of the market to take a third-party position, and take profit. As a result, the Dow Jones on Monday lost its maximum level of 1.10% since 20th of September, reaching the level of 16257.94 points.The S&P went back to the levels of the middle of December, decreasing by 1.26% to the level of 1819.20 points, and Nasdaq Composite decreased by 1.48% to the level of 4113.30 points. In comparison to the American indices, the European indices spent the day in a boring side trend, however managed to close the trading session with a small increase. Important statistics in the region were not published, however there were no reasons for sales either. Following the results of the day, the index of the London stock exchange FTSE100, increased by 0.26%, the French CAC40 added 0.3%, and the German DAX appeared in a plus for 0.39%. This morning, the main indices of the Asian-Pacific region, following the American trading session, show, in general, negative dynamics. The exception being the Chinese Shanghai Composite, adding 0.86%. The Japanese Nikkei fell upon 3.07%, the Korean KOSPI lost 0.24%, and the Hang Seng decreased by 0.45%. Today in Japan, data on trade balance for the November period in 2013 has been published, which showed record deficit, which caused such a steep correction. During the day, the attention of investors will be concentrated on news coming from the US and the published data on retails, which will help participants to understand more deeply the current development of the economy in the USA. This data could cause increasing volatility on the currency market and influence further decrease in the stock market. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 27, 2014 Report Share Posted January 27, 2014 27 January 2014: Meeting Of FED Will Start On Tuesday DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. On Friday, the trading session was exceptionally bad for the majority of the main stock markets of the world. The Dow Jones Industrial Average index showed the strongest fall since the 20th of June 2013, and lost 1.97%, reaching the level of 15879.11 points. The index lost 3.5% in a week, which became the worst week since November, 2011, with 4 days of decrease in a row. The S&P 500 decreased by 2.09%, reaching the level of 1790.29 points, and Nasdaq Composite lost 2.15% and finished the trading session on a level of 4128.17 points. The situation in the European stock exchanges did not differ, indices significantly lost in value. Following the results of the session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, went down by 1.6%, the French CAC 40 lost 2.8%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 2.5%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by 2.4% and was closed on a level of 324.75 points. Mainly, markets are showing negative dynamics due to fears concerning further prospects of the development of the economy in China, the sale of currencies of developing countries, and also expectations of a new stage of turning of the QE program by the FED. Extremely large sales of currencies of developing countries began after the publication by HSBC (preliminary data on the index of business activity in the industry of China), which testify delay of growth rates of the economy. The situation in the Asian-Pacific Region this morning is following the American mood, Japanese Nikkei is losing around 2.51%, the Hong Kong Hang Seng is falling by more than 2%, and the Chinese Shanghai Composite is decreasing by 1.02%. This week will be rather saturated with corporate events. Within the week, quarterly results will be presented by all main IT giants, including Apple. As has been mentioned many times before, the meeting of the FED, which will start tomorrow, is going to become a main event of the week in the markets. Naturally, further direction of the markets will depend on volumes of reduction of the QE3 program. There are not a lot of statistics expected to be published today. Data on the labour market, and sales of new houses is going to be published in the U.S, and the Index of business climate of IFO will be presented in Germany. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 28, 2014 Report Share Posted January 28, 2014 28 January 2014: Today, All Attention Will Be Directed Towards The FED Meeting DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. On Monday, the stock market of the United States of America continued last weeks fall, and finished the trading day in the red zone. The reasons for pessimism in the markets more or less remain the same: fears concerning further prospects of development of the Chinese economy, and expectations of a new stage of turning of the QE3. The two day meeting of the FED begins today, and even by tomorrow participants of the market will be able to see the results. Following the results of the trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index weakened by 0.26% and was closed on a level of 15837.88 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 went to a minus by 0.49% to the level of 1781.56 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 1.08% to the level of 4083.61 points. As for the European markets, even good statistics from Germany could not push European indices to go up, and the European platforms closed the trading session with a decrease. The index of business climate of IFO in Germany made 110.6 points, at the forecast of 110 points; the index of the current conditions didn't change, and the index of economic expectations grew to 108.9 points. As a result, DAX decreased by 0.46%, FTSE 100 fell to 1.7%, and CAC 40 lost 0.41%. This morning,Asian stock markets bargain in a small plus. Most likely, it is a correction after the long fall of the indices. Growth of the main indices is insignificant, within 0.1%, and markets are just flat. The Japanese Nikkei grows by 0.12%, the Korean KOSPI by 0.3%, the Shanghai Composite index adds 0.08% and the Hang Seng increases by 0.07%.The Australian index, on the contrary, shows decrease, led by falling of quotations of the largest mining companies of the world, BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, due to fears of reduction of orders from China. The prices of commodities are stable. Brent this morning adds 0.18% and is traded on a level of 106.68$ per barrel, WTI is up by 0.08% on a level of 95.8$ per barrel. Gold is losing 0.24% and bargaining on a level of 1260.37$ per troy ounce, silver is up by 0.09% on a level of 19.81$ per troy ounce. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 29, 2014 Report Share Posted January 29, 2014 29 January 2014: Nervousness Is Increasing In The Markets DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Yesterday, the main stock indices of the United States showed positive dynamics and finished the trading session with an increase for the first time in the few last sessions. Published statistical data on the index of consumer confidence for January raised from 77.5 points in December to 80.7 points, whereas analysts expected only 78.1 points. Following the results of the session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0.57% and was closed on a level of 15928.56 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 went to plus by 0.61% to the level of 1792.5 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, added 0.35% reaching the level of 4097.96 points. The season of presentation of corporate quarterly results continues, and among other interesting facts, the largest pharmaceutical company in the USA, Pfizer, added 2.6%, after declaring that the profit made in the fourth quarter is 56 cents per share, which is better than market forecasts of 52 cents per share. In contrast, the trading session for the Apple Corporation was very unsuccessful, where quotations fell to 8% because iPhone sales did not reach forecast of the analysts, even by having reached a record level of 51 mln units. European stock markets also had a chance to win back some losses obtained over the last few days. The London FTSE 100 index grew by 0.33%, the Parisian CAC 40 rose by 0.98%, and the Frankfurt DAX increased by 0.55%. Oil quotations are moving in slightly different directions, having got support from cold weather in America, predicting an increase of demand for raw materials, but, at the same time, are restrained by expectations of growth of stocks of oil according to EIA, on 2.338 million barrels. This morning, Brent adds 0.09%, traded on the level of 107.50$ per barrel, and WTI is losing 0.14%, bargaining around 97.27$ per barrel. In general, stock markets are going to feel some nervousness today, as the attention of participants of the markets is going to be directed to the results of the two day meeting of the FED. To remind you again, this meeting is the last for the current FED chairman - Ben Bernanke. The majority of the analysts are presuming that he is going to confirm his previous statements (that the American economy is recovering), which will be a supporting signal for the continuation of turning of volumes of the QE3 program. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted January 30, 2014 Report Share Posted January 30, 2014 30 January 2014: FED Cuts QE3 Program By Another 10 Billion Dollars DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. Yesterday, FED announced the decision on the reduction of the repayment of assets, by 10 billion dollars, to $65 billion dollars a month. This meant that the regulator ignored the weak statistical data that was presented, stating that the growth of economic activity was accelerated in recent quarters; indicators of the labor market had mixed character, but in general showed further improvement. Additionally, the interest rate was kept in its target range of 0%-0,25%, which coincided with the forecast. Following the results of the trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 1.19% to the level of 15738.79 points, the index of the wide market Standard & Poor's 500 decreased by 1.02% to a level of 1774.20 points, and Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 1.14% and reached the level of 4051.43 points. European stock markets also came to an end in the red zone. The index of the London stock exchange, FTSE 100, fell by 0.43%, the Parisian CAC 40 fell by 0.68% and DAX fell by 0.75%. The Asian markets, following American indices, began the day in a minus. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index lost 1.8%. Markets of South Korea and Taiwan were closed. In addition to the disappointing news, final PMI index from HSBC across China made 49.5 points, when forecasts were 50.5 points. Nikkei 225 lost 2.45%, and Shanghai Composite, 0.82%. The FED meeting is finally over, and now investors are going to go back to following the publications of macroeconomic statistical data. Today, the following data is going to be published on: unemployment and preliminary data on inflation in Germany; business climate, consumer confidence and consumer inflation expectation in the Eurozone; preliminary estimate of gross domestic product for the IV quarter, primary requests for unemployment benefits, and data on consumer inflation in the U.S. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 03 February 2014: January Appeared To Be Quite Inconsistent For The Markets DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. The American indices finished the last trading week in negative territory. Negative attitudes were brought to the market due to the fact that according to the presented data from the FED, the volume of the commercial debt papers of the American companies was reduced for the week to 1.014 trillion dollars. Besides that, pressure on the market increased due to the reporting period of large companies, whereby data appeared to be worse than forecasts. The American investment company KKR Financial Holdings, reported a decrease in quarterly profit from 77.01 million dollars to 61.99 million dollars. The Chevron oil company reported around a 32% falling of quarterly profit to 4.93 billion dollars. As a result, indices closed the trading week with the Dow Jones industrial average index decreasing by 0.94% to the level of 15698.85 points, and over the week the loss was 1.1%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index decreased by 0.65% having closed at the level of 1782.59 points, loss over the week being 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite index decreased 0.47% to a value of 4103.88 points, having lowered during the week by 0.6%. The situation in the commodities market also became negative last week as both prices of oil and precious metals lost in value. This morning, Brent is bargaining next to the level of 105.55$ per barrel, losing 0.25%; WTI is down by 0.47% on the level of 96.24$ per barrel. Gold is up by 0.22% on a price of 1242.54$ per troy ounce and silver decreasing by 0.01%, traded on the level of 19.12$ per troy ounce. Meanwhile, February will be saturated with events that will have an influence on the development in the markets. A large part of investors attention will be focused on the Congress of the US, who need to solve the issue of raising of the ceiling of the American national debt, before the end of the week. Investors will also take an interest in February's meetings of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. Today, it is worth paying attention to indices of business activity in the industrial sector of Germany, the Eurozone and Great Britain, and the index of economic conditions of ISM in the production sphere in the USA. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAYZUS.Neeraj Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 04 February 2014: January Sales Continue On Stock Markets DAILY MARKET REVIEWS By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department. On Monday, the main stock indices of Europe showed negative dynamics due to a heavy decrease in activity of the banking sector. From the macroeconomic statistics which were published yesterday, attention should be paid to indexes of business activity for January in the industries of Switzerland, Germany, Great Britain, and also as a whole the Eurozone. In the Eurozone, the indicator increased from 53.9 points to 54 points, in Switzerland from 55 points to 56.1 points, in Germany from 56.3 points to 56.5 points, and in Great Britain it decreased from 57.2 points to 56.7 points. As a result, the index of Great Britain, the FTSE 100, went down by 0.7%, the French CAC 40 became 1.4% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 1.3%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased by 1.3% and was closed on a level of 318.21 points. The situation in the American market also sharply weakened after the publication of an unexpectedly weak report on the industrial ISM index in the USA. In January, this indicator decreased from 56.5 points to 51.3 points, whilst analysts expected 56 points. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index decreased by 2.08% to the level of 15372.8 points. The S&P 500 lost 2.28% reaching a level of 1741.89 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 2.61% to the level of 3996.96 points. Asian markets didn't have any other choice but to follow the negative European and American trading sessions. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index decreased by 2.3%, which is the strongest decrease in the past eight months. The Japanese Nikkei is losing 4.17% this morning , and Futsee-100 falls by 0.54%. Shanghai Composite also decreases by 0.82%. Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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