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Risiko Volatilitas Minyak yang Besar Minggu Ini Harga Minyak Turun pada Hari Senin Harga minyak menjadi perhatian minggu ini karena para pedagang menunggu pembalasan Iran menyusul serangan udara AS terhadap fasilitas nuklir utama selama akhir pekan. Harga minyak mentah telah turun dari harga tertinggi awalnya mengingat belum ada tanggapan langsung dari Iran dan tidak ada serangan lanjutan dari AS. Selat Hormuz Penting untuk Diperhatikan Ada pembicaraan tentang kemungkinan Iran memblokir Selat Hormuz, jalur pelayaran utama yang dilalui sekitar 20% pasokan minyak/gas global. Jika dilihat, ini akan berdampak besar pada harga minyak dengan minyak mentah berjangka kemungkinan akan melonjak lebih tinggi ke level tertinggi multi-tahun. Langkah seperti itu akan berdampak besar secara global dan karenanya bukan respons langsung atau pasti dari Iran. Dampaknya terhadap ekonomi AS akan lebih terbatas daripada di banyak negara lain yang sangat bergantung pada impor minyak (AS adalah eksportir neto). Memang, harga minyak yang lebih tinggi sebenarnya meningkatkan persyaratan perdagangan AS meskipun dampak inflasi akan berdampak besar pada rumah tangga dan konsumen. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/huge-oil-volatility-risks-this-week

Garis Akhir FTSE: 23 Juni - 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Mitra: Strategi Pasar, Tickmill Group. Saham Inggris mengawali minggu ini dengan catatan yang suram karena investor mencari indikasi intensifikasi dalam konflik Timur Tengah yang sedang berlangsung, sementara produsen instrumen Spectris melonjak menyusul kesepakatannya untuk diambil alih oleh perusahaan ekuitas swasta Advent. Investor bersiap menghadapi reaksi Iran terhadap serangan udara AS yang menargetkan beberapa fasilitas nuklirnya selama akhir pekan, karena mereka menghadapi potensi meningkatnya ketegangan geopolitik di area yang vital bagi pasokan minyak global, terutama Selat Hormuz. Sektor minyak dan gas mengalami kenaikan, menyusul harga minyak mentah yang mendekati level tertinggi dalam lima bulan. Perusahaan energi BP dan Shell masing-masing naik sekitar 1%, sementara Harbour Energy naik 2%. Sementara itu, saham maskapai penerbangan, termasuk EasyJet, Wizz Air, dan perusahaan induk British Airways, International Consolidated Airlines, turun antara 1,1% dan 2,3% karena kenaikan harga minyak mentah. Data ekonomi menunjukkan pertumbuhan moderat dalam aktivitas bisnis Inggris selama bulan Juni, meskipun kekhawatiran masih ada karena konflik yang sedang berlangsung di Timur Tengah. Sementara itu, Ketua Federal Reserve Jerome Powell diperkirakan akan memberikan kesaksian di hadapan Kongres pada hari Selasa dan Rabu. Para pedagang akan memantau dengan saksama wawasannya mengenai ekonomi dan suku bunga. Goldman Sachs memperkirakan bahwa perusahaan-perusahaan FTSE 100 akan mengembalikan 6% dari kapitalisasi pasar mereka kepada pemegang saham melalui dividen dan pembelian kembali tahun ini, jauh lebih tinggi daripada rata-rata global, sehingga membuat pasar tersebut sangat menarik bagi investor yang berfokus pada pendapatan. Daya tarik saham-saham Inggris juga didukung oleh penerapan Bagian 899 dalam undang-undang pajak Trump, yang dapat mengenakan pajak atas dividen AS, menurut Goldman Sachs. "Potensi perputaran modal ke Inggris dapat meningkat, terutama mengingat hasil arus kas bebas FTSE 350 melebihi 6%," kata bank tersebut. Namun, meskipun Inggris memimpin dalam pengembalian pemegang saham, tidak ada yang namanya "makan siang gratis," Goldman memperingatkan. Bank AS mengamati bahwa perusahaan-perusahaan Inggris dengan pertumbuhan dividen yang lambat diperdagangkan dengan valuasi yang lebih rendah, seperti perusahaan-perusahaan di sektor sumber daya dasar, Energi, dan Utilitas. Sebaliknya, perusahaan-perusahaan dengan pertumbuhan dividen yang kuat memiliki valuasi yang lebih tinggi, seperti perusahaan-perusahaan di sektor Teknologi dan Perjalanan & Kenyamanan. Selain itu, pembelian kembali saham diperkirakan akan menurun, menurut Goldman, karena basis ekuitas di Inggris terus berkurang, dengan perusahaan-perusahaan korporat menjadi pembeli utama saham-saham Inggris. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/the-ftse-finish-line-june-23-2025

AUDUSD H4 I Potensi Pembalikan Bearish Preferensi: Harga naik menuju level pivot di 0,6451, resistensi pullback. Pembalikan dari level ini dapat membawa harga menuju support pertama di 0,6407, support swing low. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/audusd-h4-i-potential-bearish-reversal-23rd-june-2025

Minyak Mentah Berjangka (CL!) H1 | Pullback Support pada Fibonacci Retracement 38,2% Kasus Pilihan: Melihat grafik H1, harga dapat jatuh ke arah pivot dan berpotensi berbalik dari level ini sebelum reli menuju Resistance pertama di 78,00. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/crude-oil-futures-cl-h1-pullback-support-at-382-fibonacci-retracement-23rd-june-2025

Analisis, App, Chart Live dan Segala Sesuatu Di Antaranya. Toolkit Trading Mutakhir Tickmill adalah kit yang tidak ada duanya. Dengan berbagai macam alat, Anda dapat meningkatkan MT4 & MT5 Anda untuk mendapatkan pemahaman yang lebih dalam tentang pasar sambil berinteraksi dengan jaringan luas dari enthusiast trading lainnya! Dengan 13 aplikasi individual dan 15 indikator, klien Tickmill sekarang memiliki akses ke salah satu layanan analisis dan berbagi yang paling komprehensif di industri Forex. Publikasikan dan analisis hasil trading dengan mudah untuk tidak hanya meningkatkan strategi trading Anda, tetapi juga untuk belajar dan berkembang bersama rekan-rekan Anda! Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/id/tools/advanced-trading-toolkit

Forex trading is not instant success; many traders give up because of failure, but traders who are persistent in learning will find their own trading style that can be relied on. It takes patience in learning, controlling emotions, and manage finances well.

updated material

Circle, the issuer of USDC, is currently a Wall Street darling, with its shares hitting fresh record highs and extending a post-IPO rally to an astonishing 750%. Its market capitalization has soared to approximately $66 billion, remarkably surpassing the $60 billion supply of its flagship stablecoin, USDC, and is even nearing crypto exchange giant Coinbase's valuation. This impressive performance, despite high valuation multiples, signals strong investor confidence in the rapidly expanding stablecoin market, especially as U.S. lawmakers push for clearer regulations in the sector, paving the way for wider institutional adoption. Meanwhile, in the broader crypto market, many are eagerly awaiting the next "altcoin season." I recently tapped into #BingXAI, my go-to bot, to look for signals. It provided a clear roadmap: watch for a sustained two-to-three-week drop in Bitcoin dominance, an upward trend in the ETH/BTC ratio, and a significant shift in trading volume (think 30%+ spikes) towards altcoins. It also pointed to capital rotating through various sectors like Layer 1s, DeFi, NFTs, and GameFi, coupled with a consistent pattern of higher lows across major altcoin charts, indicating growing strength independent of Bitcoin's movements. This contrasting landscape highlights crypto's complex and evolving nature. On one hand, you have a regulated entity like Circle demonstrating how traditional finance is embracing digital assets, particularly stablecoins, as foundational infrastructure. On the other hand, the speculative altcoin market patiently awaits its moment, driven by distinct technical indicators and a flow of capital that often moves independently of Bitcoin. It makes you wonder: As institutional crypto adoption accelerates, will the traditional "altcoin season" narrative eventually converge with or diverge further from the growth seen in regulated digital asset sectors like stablecoins?

It’s interesting to see how Ethereum has held its ground in the face of rising global tensions. While Bitcoin experienced a massive dip to $103,414 recently, ETH has shown a unique kind of stability. With its robust ecosystem of decentralized finance (DeFi), smart contracts, and growing adoption by developers, Ethereum has become a cornerstone in the crypto space, proving it’s not just a store of value but a platform with real utility. In a recent chat with #BingXAI, I asked about the timing for the next altcoin season. The next meaningful alt season could begin within 2-3 months if geopolitical tensions ease and Bitcoin finds stability. Historical trends suggest that Q3-Q4 2025 could be the sweet spot for significant altcoin outperformance, as capital rotates from Bitcoin and crypto-stocks into the broader altcoin market. Then there’s $SHIB, which has been consistently climbing, often unrelated to global events. Despite the noise around geopolitical instability, SHIB continues to perform well due to its meme culture and ever-growing fan base. It’s a reminder that while Bitcoin and Ethereum dominate, the power of memecoins and the crypto community should not be underestimated. So, do you think altcoins could offer a safe haven in uncertain times, or are they just another speculative bet?

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Date: 23th June 2025. The USD Benefits From Middle East Escalations UK and European Purchasing Managers’ Indexes have been made publicly available but so far are not supporting either currency. So far, the best-performing currency is the US Dollar. The US will release its own PMI report at 13:45 GMT+0. The price of the US Dollar continues to witness the impact of the hawkish Federal Reserve and new escalations within the Middle East. UK and EU PMI Data The European PMI reports were the first to be made public. Both French PMI reports fell below expectations and below the previous month’s release. Particularly investors were concerned with the Manufacturing PMI which fell from 49.8 to 47.8. The German Manufacturing PMI read as expected while the Services PMI rose to a 2-month high. A similar story for the UK, Manufacturing PMI data read higher than expectations while the Services PMI read as expected. However, the Great British Pound index still fell in value despite the report. In addition to this, the Pound also continues to remain under pressure from the Bank of England which held its interest rate at 4.25%, supported by six of the nine governing board members, in response to improved trading conditions following the agreement with the US. The Euro Index is currently trading at 0.56% lower and the Pound at 0.63%. The Bank of England Governor’s speech tomorrow afternoon, along with Thursday’s address, will play a major role in driving the British Pound. Meanwhile, the Euro will see limited releases, with the German IFO Business Climate standing out as the key focus. US Dollar And Middle East Escalation The best-performing currency of the day is the US Dollar which is currently trading 0.69% higher so far today. The first reaction of the US Dollar after the US bombing of Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan was a downward price movement, however, the market since then has significantly risen in value. The US Dollar is currently trading at its highest price on June 11th. The US Dollar strengthened as geopolitical tensions escalated after US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites triggering a lower risk appetite. However, traders will be closely monitoring the release of the US Manufacturing and Services PMI. Investors expect both PMI reports to be slightly weaker than the previous month, however, this cannot be certain until the release is made public. EURUSD - Technical Analysis EURUSD 2-Hour Chart The EURUSD is currently trading below the 75-period EMA and is currently forming a descending triangle pattern on the 2-hour chart. The descending triangle pattern is known to provide a bearish bias as it trades below the 75-period EMA. However, the price is also trading at the support level. On smaller timeframes, the price continues to trade below the 200-period SMA but is retracing higher. However, the retracement is unable to maintain momentum and is forming lower highs. Key Price Takeaways: USD leads as geopolitical tensions and Fed hawkishness boost demand; up 0.69% today. UK and EU PMIs failed to support GBP and EUR despite some stronger readings. BoE and ECB speeches/data remain key drivers; markets await US PMI release. EUR/USD shows bearish signals, trading below key EMAs in a descending triangle. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Recently, I had this argument with my friends about how they choose a cryptocurrency exchange to trade in, setting security aside, as most exchanges now have fund protection in place. Is it by trading volumes alone? The number of social media followers? Or by their partnerships with other reputable brands? My stance was a combination of everything. As we have seen, exchanges can fail despite having good trading volume, and some have huge social media followings, but this did not help when they faced difficulties. Combining both of these factors with partnerships with trusted brands can enhance confidence in using them, as most of these brands would not want to engage in any bad deals that could harm their reputation. After checking these factors then you can now add security to the mix. The discussion was sparked by the recent partnership between Bitget and MotoGP. Based on this, I believe that the exchange, along with a few others, is doing an excellent job of instilling confidence in its users. Do you think my argument is correct? What are your thoughts?

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Binance HODLer Airdrops Listed Newton Protocol (NEWT) The 24th project on Binance HODLer Airdrops is Newton Protocol (NEWT), a protocol aimed to establish a secure rollup for AI-driven strategies, automated trading and a marketplace for AI developers. Users who subscribed their BNB to Simple Earn (Flexible and/or Locked) and/or On-Chain Yields products from 2025-06-14 00:00 (UTC) to 2025-06-17 23:59 (UTC) will get the airdrops distribution. HODLer Airdrops Token Rewards: 12,500,000 NEWT (1.25% of total token supply) Binance will then list NEWT at 2025-06-24 14:00 (UTC) and open trading against USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY pairs. The seed tag will be applied to NEWT. More details Not financial advice. Do your own research.

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