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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
01:11 22.03.2018

1521680907-6f0e6c75e3d6bbf133c3891079785

There're bearish patterns such a "High Wave" and a "Shooting Star". In this case, the pair is likely going to decline towards the last low in the short term.

1521680906-e18a06eed42f218c71d090265f47f

We've got a bullish "Harami", so there's an opportunity to have a local upward correction. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to continue declining afterwards.

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https://goo.gl/xmrYBo

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EUR/JPY Daily Analytics
06:44 22.03.2018
Recommendation:

SELL 129.60 SL 130.05 TP1 128.60 TP2 127.60 TP3 126.00

BUY 132.15 SL 131.6 TP1 133.15 TP2 134.45 TP3 136.70

On the daily chart of EUR/JPY, a break of resistance at 132.25-132.50 will trigger the “Bat” pattern with a target at 88.6%. On the other hand, a slide to March minimum will allow bears to resume the decline towards 200% target of AB=CD.

1521701010-151f939c6df1fdb4a28b3d5785d89

On H1, a “Shark” is transforming into 5-0. A successful test of support at 129.60 will increase the risks of a further selloff. On the other hand, advance above resistance at 132.15 will create grounds for correction.

1521701025-b35d7fb0c22de42ad09055593ba2f

More:
https://goo.gl/eZ5YKx

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
07:06 22.03.2018
Recommendation:

SELL 105.35

SL 105.90

TP1 104.35 TP2 103.35 TP3 102.80

On the daily chart, the inability of bulls USD/JPY to bring the pair outside of the downtrend channel and keep them above 106.50 points at their weakness. To continue the decline towards 161.8% target of AB=CD, bears need a confident test of support at 105.35.

1521702300-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f7356

On H1, the transformation of the “Shark” into 5-0 allowed forming short positions. Triggering of AB=CD will allow bears to continue the decline towards 161.8%.

1521702318-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda

More:
https://goo.gl/u8nRXn

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
07:45 22.03.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.2300, 1.2350; resistance – 1.2400.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.2360; SL — 1.2340; TP1 — 1.2400; TP2 — 1.2450
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the market are returned into the positive area.

1521704713-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

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https://goo.gl/dk5BWK

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
07:46 22.03.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.4140; resistance – 1.4200, 1.4250.

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 1.4200; SL — 1.4220; TP1 — 1.4140; TP2 — 1.4080.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the market was supported by Kijun-sen, but now is overbought and it’s under strong resistance.

1521704713-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

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https://goo.gl/YE7dyJ

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GBP/USD: POUND IS NEAR MAIN RESISTANCE
07:46 22.03.2018

Technical levels: support – 1.4140; resistance – 1.4200, 1.4250.

More: https://goo.gl/EtTejx

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 1.4200; SL — 1.4220; TP1 — 1.4140; TP2 — 1.4080.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the market was supported by Kijun-sen, but now is overbought and it’s under strong resistance.

bnXCdOv.png

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EUR/USD: THE BULLS RETURNING TO MARKET
07:45 22.03.2018

Technical levels: support – 1.2300, 1.2350; resistance – 1.2400.

More: https://goo.gl/sbC3dA

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.2360; SL — 1.2340; TP1 — 1.2400; TP2 — 1.2450
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the market are returned into the positive area.

AdZkzQA.png

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
01:09 23.03.2018

1521767260-f4ef6a33ffbfaac0c83bf00fb5968

The main trend is still bullish. It's likely that the pair is going to test the closest support at 1.2289 - 1.2259, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement.

1521767260-f3832a249d9488158ec88ed7138ec

The price has been declining since a "V-Top" pattern formed. The main intraday target is the nearest trend line. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement towards the next resistance at 1.2358 - 1.2387.

More:
https://goo.gl/HxfbtM

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
01:10 23.03.2018

1521767260-9deb15c524f18db6058c4c0a85b55

There's a "Thorn" pattern, so the market is going to test the closest support at 1.4069 - 1.4027. If a pullback from these area happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement.

1521767260-47be6e7835151f72bc9662b6de989

The last "Thorn" pattern led to the current decline. The main target is the 89 Moving Average, which could be a starting point for another bullish rally.

More:
https://goo.gl/NXPm5P

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
07:20 23.03.2018
Recommendation:

SELL 1.2245 SL 1.23 TP1 1.2145 TP2 1.208 TP3 1.1965

BUY 1.2415 SL 1.236 TP1 1.2515 TP2 1.2615 TP3 1.2715

On the daily chart, EUR/USD is consolidating in the 1.2245-1.2415 range. A break below the lower border of the range will allow bears to pull the pair to 127.2% of the violet AB=CD. On the other hand, advance above resistance at 1.2415 will increase the odds of advance to 127.2% target of the green AB=CD.

1521789546-8afba167b3e7c15d0d5d28d0f3c7b

On H1, EUR/USD keeps forming the junior “Widening wedge”.

1521789560-144c086f9efd0dd7367f2818eb875

More:
https://goo.gl/2anrsm

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AUD/USD Daily Analytics
07:52 23.03.2018
Technical levels: support – 0.7690; resistance – 0.7730, 0.7780

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 0.7730; SL — 0.7750; TP1 — 0.7610; TP2 — 0.7580.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the horizontal lines; the market had returned to negative area.

1521791526-42a68b4bfa2f0515dfbaa054e9dba

More:
https://goo.gl/nZXggD

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
07:55 23.03.2018
Technical levels: support – 104.30, 103.50; resistance – 105.20.

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 105.20; SL — 105.40; TP1 — 104.30; TP2 — 103.50.
Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A and B; the falling lines Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the market made a new lows since Nov 2016.

1521791526-3dcc4d3b0e9d38341d309e86e7227

More:
https://goo.gl/5YLw3v

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EUR/GBP Daily Analytics
07:55 23.03.2018
Recommendations:

SELL 0.8785 SL 0.884 TP1 0.8695 TP2 0.8525 TP3 0.845

SELL 0.881 SL 0.8865 TP1 0.8695 TP2 0.8525 TP3 0.845

On the daily chart of EUR/GBP, there is a continuation of a medium-term consolidation in the range of 0.8695-0.9015 within the “Spike and ledge” pattern.  The first break of its bottom line was unsuccessful, however, bears still hope and are ready to repeat the break after a small pullback.

1521791661-1b185fa62bc60dfe496809f3b325c

On H1, there is a transformation of the AB=CD pattern to 5-0. Usually, pullbacks in the direction to 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% are used for a formation of short positions.

1521791680-480bf18779fe5c8e690881b193480

More:
https://goo.gl/NYorG3

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
15:12 23.03.2018

1521817874-7187903ecfdc57abfa5ede6c569a3

There's an "Inverted Hammer", so the price is rising. It's likely that bulls are going to test the nearest resistance area in the coming hours.

1521817873-0af137b0288d21733774bddd716e3

We've got a bullish "Harami", which has been confirmed enough. Also, there's a pullback from the Moving Averages, so the pair is likely going to continue moving up.

More:
https://goo.gl/nVHdDj

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
15:14 23.03.2018

1521817873-4e2ed67c1221449a85bfe568f1e16

There's a bullish "High Wave", so we're likely going to have an upward correction soon. However, if a pullback from the Moving Averages happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have another decline.

1521817873-84cdad1805bd1ac6363ea4e8cc135

The last bullish "Hammer" has been confirmed, so the price is rising. It's likely that the market is going to test the Moving Averages, which could be a departure point for a decline.

More:
https://goo.gl/n3ej9s

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NZD/USD Daily Analytics
07:00 26.03.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 0.7280

SL 0.7215

TP1 0.7335 TP2 0.7395 TP3 0.7475

On the daily chart of NZD/USD, the third attempt of bears to conquer an important support at 0.7185 failed. It points at the weakness of sellers. The necessary conditions for uptrend’s resumption are a successful test of resistance at 0.7265 and the pair’s exit from the short-term descending channel.

1522047511-fb9be1d9d65d6402746f6573306cf

On H1, a break of resistance at 0.7280 will increase the risks of “Head and shoulders” and “Shark” patterns. Target at 88.6% of the latter is near 0.7335.

1522047540-3696dc2326705fd45dfa7b732beb8

More:
https://goo.gl/3N6wK8

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AUD/USD Daily Analytics
07:16 26.03.2018
Recommendation:

SELL 0.7825

SL 0.7890

TP1 0.7725 TP2 0.7650

On the daily chart of AUD/USD, there’s a desperate fighting for 0.7410-0.7460. Bulls are trying to return the pair inside the long-term uptrend, while bears want to return it to the medium-term downtrend.

1522048532-1db64c049cc9775b27418fd0e6b08

On H1, the “Shark” pattern is transforming into 5-0. Never the less, a break of resistance at 0.7795 will trigger a “Bat” with a target at 88.6%. Powers of bulls and bears near 0.7765-0.7865 are relatively equal. This increases the possibility of consolidation. 

1522048546-ef00342837a633bda01cab6a3fe3e

More:
https://goo.gl/GkRQFP

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
08:07 26.03.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.2350; resistance – 1.2400.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.2360; SL — 1.2340; TP1 — 1.2400; TP2 — 1.2450
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the rising lines; the prices are fixed in the positive area supporting by the Cloud.

1522051644-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

More:
https://goo.gl/qPafj7

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
08:09 26.03.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.4150; resistance – 1.4200, 1.4250.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.4170/80; SL — 1.4150; TP1 — 1.4250; TP2 — 1.4290.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but the lines Senkou Span A and B are horizontal; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the horizontal lines; the market is going to local highs.

1522051644-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

More:
https://goo.gl/N9Wa4z

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DIRECTION OF COMMODITY CURRENCIES. WESTPAC’S FORECASTS
09:46 26.03.2018
In the environment of trade wars, a lot of currencies are suffering. We can say that the most negative impact trade wars have on the Australian and the Canadian dollars. Both commodity currencies are suffering from volatility now. Let’s look at Westpac’s forecasts to determine if the loonie and the aussie have a possibility to strengthen.

Note: Westpac is one of Australia's "big four" banks and the second largest bank in New Zealand.

We will start with the Canadian dollar. According to the Westpac’s analyst, threats of trade wars and accommodative policy of the Bank of Canada are exaggerated. If we talk about the trade wars, risks of the US-Canada war have declined as the last one was excluded from Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs. Moreover, there is a progress in NAFTA negotiations.

What about the BOC policy? Expectations on the BOC’s tighter monetary policy declined, however, the central bank is still anticipated to increase interest rates for the first time to the middle of 2018 and second time to the end of the year.

So market’s negative mood is supposed to slow down in the soon future.

What about rates? Westpac supposes that the USD/CAD unlikely will get a strong support at 1.30-1.35.

1522057336-bd82db647f8628d84c81f807d5b0e

The Australian dollar. Ahead of the release of the interest rate, the AUD/USD pair traded at the three-month low. However, the aussie managed to strengthen after the Fed’s meeting as the rate hike could not support the greenback.

The Australian dollar is still under the pressure because of trade wars that dramatically affect the currency. Furthermore, declining prices of basic commodity goods produced in Australia, have a negative impact on the Australian currency.

However, Westpac’s analyst notices that new workplaces and a weakening dollar will be able to support the stability of the AUD/USD pair, so it will trade near 0.77.

1522057327-875612112b44805221d72d28a5294

More:
https://goo.gl/uXpazN

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