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The dollar moved higher against the other major currencies on Tuesday, amid growing concerns over China's economy and despite uncertainty over a potential U.S. rate hike this year as investors eyed upcoming U.S. consumer sentiment data. The dollar was steady against the yen, with USD/JPY at 119.96. Concerns over China’s economic woes escalated after data on Monday showed that Chinese industrial profits fell 8.8% in August from a year earlier. It was the largest decline in four years. Market participants were looking ahead to data on China’s factory sector on Wednesday for further indications on the health of the world’s second-largest economy. Sentiment on the dollar was also vulnerable amid uncertainty over whether the Federal Reserve will raise short term interest rates this year following mixed messages from central bank policymakers. New York Fed President William Dudley and San Francisco Fed head John Williams indicated support for a rate hike in 2015 in separate speeches on Monday, but Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said rates should remain on hold until mid-2016. The remarks came after Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last week that the bank was still on track for a rate hike before the years end. The dollar pushed higher against the euro, with EUR/USD down 0.40% at 1.1198. The single currency came under pressure after data showed that Germany's annual rate of inflation slowed to zero in September, worse than forecasts of 0.1%. The German consumer price index fell 0.2% from a month earlier, compared to expectations for a decline of 0.1%. Elsewhere, the dollar was higher against the pound, with GBP/USD down 0.14% at 1.5153, and steady against the Swiss franc, with USD/CHF at 0.9740. Data earlier showed that U.K. net lending to individuals rose to £4.3 billion last month from £4.0 billion in July, whose figure was upwardly revised from an initially estimated £3.9 billion. Analysts had expected net lending to individuals to rise to £4.1 billion in August. The Australian and New Zealand dollars turned higher, with AUD/USD up 0.08% to 0.6996 and with NZD/USD gaining 0.39% to 0.6352. Meanwhile, USD/CAD held steady at 1.3403, close to an 11-year high of 1.3432 hit earlier in the day. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.24% at 96.36. Read More to the site of Traders-Trust

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Central banks in Japan and Australia had their own comments on the global economy on Friday that boosted the Aussie and the yen after the Federal Reserve cited it as a reason to hold rates steady overnight. USD/JPY changed hands at 119.17, down 0.19%, while AUD/USD traded at 0.7185, up 0.14%. EUR/USD traded at 1.1408, down 0.24%. Some Bank of Japan board members suggested that higher government spending is a key variable in lifting price expectations, according to the minutes of the August meeting released on Friday. The minutes noted the certain job categories are commanding higher wages, but that the slowdown in China has weighed on exports and a drag on economic prospects. As well, the central bank said weak oil prices continue to have a strong effect on the inflation goal. In its most recent review, the BoJ kept policy steady and its asset buying program at ¥80 trillion annually. Elsewhere, monetary policy is supporting economic growth and the weaker Australian dollar is helping, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said on Friday. "Monetary policy is seeking to support this transition, something it can do because inflation remains low. Very low interest rates, coupled with financial institutions wanting to lend, have played a part in the improvement in conditions in some sectors," Stevens said. Stevens made the remarks in comments before the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics. He added that China remains a question mark as its economy continues to moderate and the global economic outlook remains complex. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, rose 0.08% to 94.70. Overnight, citing the negative effects of global economic weakness on U.S. inflation, the FOMC voted to leave its benchmark Federal Funds Rate at its current level between zero and 0.25% on Thursday. Nearly a decade has passed since the U.S. central bank has last raised short-term rates. "Recent global economic and financial developments may restrain economic activity somewhat and are likely to put further downward pressure on inflation in the near term," the FOMC said in a statement. Adopting a relatively dovish stance, Fed chair Janet Yellen said the U.S. central bank will begin monetary policy normalization when it has seen "further improvement in the labor market," and it is "reasonably confident" that inflation is moving toward its targeted goal of 2%. Yellen also noted that large drags from falling energy and import prices should dissipate in the near future allowing long-term inflation to move back toward its long-term target. Still, the Fed downgraded its median inflation forecasts at the meeting to 0.3% for the end of 2015, while lowering inflation expectations for the end of next year to 1.7%. The Fed now expects that inflation will not reach its 2.0% target until 2018. The Fed also lowered its median forecasts for the Fed Funds Rate for the end of the year to 0.4%, from previous estimates of 0.6%. A bevy of short-term rates such as debt for credit card holders are pegged to the benchmark, which banks use to lend to other institutions on overnight loans. The Fed also lowered its rate forecasts for 2016 and 2017 to 1.7 and 1.9% respectively, representing a decline of 0.1% for each year. In addition, the FOMC said four of its members do not see a rate hike occurring in 2015, up from two in June. One member of the FOMC, Richmond Fed president Jeffrey Lacker, dissented, recommending a 0.25% interest rate hike at the meeting. Read More... http://traders-trust.com/daily-morning-report-daily-technical-levels-18092015/

The yen held flat to weaker on Thursday as trade data showed a fifth straight monthly deficit while the New Zealand dolalr eased on GDP as markets across the region braced for whether the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates. USD/JPY changed hands at 120.55, flat, while NZD/USD traded at 0.6347, down 0.29. AUD/USD traded at 0.7194, down 0.04%. In New Zealand, second quarter GDP data rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, below the 0.5% gain seen, but meeting expectations of a year-on-year increase. Looking ahead, the recent rebound in dairy prices would be supportive of growth but this could be offset by drought risks. Overall it doesn't change expectation for further easing in the official cash rate by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. In Japan, August trade data showed a deficit of ¥57.0 billion, compared to a deficit of ¥54.1 billion seen for a fifth straight monthly deficit, while imports fell 3.1%, more than the 2.2% drop seen and exports rose 3.1%, less that the 4.0% gain seen. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.02% at 95.49. Overnight, the dollar pushed lower against the other major currencies on Wednesday, after data showed that U.S. inflation ticked lower last month and as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's highly-anticipated policy statement due on Thursday. The Commerce Department said consumer prices edged down by 0.1% last month, in line with forecasts following a 0.1% increase in July. Consumer prices inched up 0.2% on a year-over-year basis, in line with expectations. Core consumer prices, which exclude volatile food and energy costs, increased by 0.1%, also in line with the consensus forecast and was 0.2% higher from the same month a year earlier. Investors remained cautious amid uncertainty over whether the Fed would hike short term interest rates for the first time in almost a decade on Thursday. An increase in interest rates would boost the greenback by making it more attractive to yield-seeking investors. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said that an interest rate increase is data dependent but has also indicated that she expects to begin raising rates before the end of the year. Read More... http://traders-trust.com/daily-morning-report-daily-technical-levels-17092015/

The dollar trimmed gains against the other major currencies on Wednesday, after data showed that U.S. inflation ticked lower last month and as investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly-anticipated policy statement due on Thursday. The dollar edged higher against the yen, with USD/JPY up 0.09% at 120.48. The Commerce Department said consumer prices edged down by 0.1% last month, in line with forecasts following a 0.1% increase in July. Consumer prices inched up 0.2% on a year-over-year basis, in line with expectations. Core consumer prices, which exclude volatile food and energy costs, increased by 0.1%, also in line with the consensus forecast and was 0.2% higher from the same month a year earlier. Investors remained cautious amid uncertainty over whether the Fed would hike short term interest rates for the first time in almost a decade on Thursday. An increase in interest rates would boost the greenback by making it more attractive to yield-seeking investors. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said that an interest rate increase is data dependent but has also indicated that she expects to begin raising rates before the end of the year. The dollar was higher against the euro, with EUR/USD slipping 0.10% to 1.1261. Final data on Wednesday showed that the euro zone CPI was flat in August, compared to expectations for a 0.6% fall. Elsewhere, the dollar was lower against the pound and the Swiss franc, with GBP/USD up 0.74% at 1.5457 and with USD/CHF sliding 0.32% at 0.9707. The Office for National Statistics earlier reported that the U.K. claimant count rose by 1,200 last month, compared to expectations for a decline of 5,000. Average earnings, including bonuses rose by 2.9% in the three months to July from a year earlier after a 2.6% increase in July, ahead of forecasts of 2.5%. The report also showed that the U.K. rate of unemployment ticked down to 5.6% in the three months to July, better than forecasts for 5.6%. The Australian dollar was stronger, with AUD/USD rising 0.37% to 0.7168, while NZD/USD held steady at 0.6353. USD/CAD fell 0.27% to trade at 1.3213. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was steady at 95.69.

The New Zealand dollar traded lower against its U.S. rival during Thursday’s Asian session from Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler. "Sustained strength in the exchange rate that leads to lower inflationary pressure would provide the bank with greater flexibility as to the timing and magnitude of future increases in the OCR," said Wheeler in a statement released earlier in the session. On Wednesday it was revealed Moody’s Investors Service recently considered stripping New Zealand of its AAA sovereign debt rating due in part to the country’s widening account deficit. Moody’s is the only one of the three major ratings agencies to have an AAA rating on New Zealand. Thanks for reading, http://www.tradingforex.com Technical Analysis http://www.tradingforex.com/en/blog/entry/daily-morning-report-and-technical-levels-thursday-31-10-2013

The Australian dollar traded higher against its U.S counterpart during Thursday’s Asian session following some decent economic data out of China. Earlier Thursday, the HSBC China flash PMI climbed to a seven-month high of 50.9 in October. The HSBC final PMI reading for September was 50.2, well below the flash estimate of 51.2. China, the world’s second-largest economy, is Australia’s largest export market. The flash PMI reading for October "implies that China’s growth recovery is becoming consolidated into 4Q following the bottoming out in 3Q. This momentum is likely to continue in the coming months, creating favorable conditions for speeding up structural reforms," according to HSBC. Output, new orders and new export orders all increased at faster clips, but the employment index fell. Input and output prices rose, but at slower rates. On Wednesday in Australia, official data showed that consumer price inflation rose by 1.2% in the third quarter, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% increase, after a 0.4% rise in the three months to June. The New Zealand dollar traded higher against its U.S. rival during Thursday’s Asian session following the release of encouraging domestic and Chinese data. Earlier Thursday, Statistics New Zealand said the country’s trade deficit dropped to NZD199 million in September from NZD1.91 billion in August. Economists expected a September deficit of NZD680 million. Exports jumped to NZD543 million to NZD3.83 billion in August - topping estimates for NZD3.46 billion and up from NZD3.33 billion in the previous month. Imports fell NZD48 million NZD4.03 billion below the estimate of NZD4.13 billion. For the year ending September, New Zealand’s trade deficit is NZD1.56 billion, well below the estimate of NZD2.073 billion. Thanks for reading www.tradingforex.com

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