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Gold Prices Rise Amid US CPI Inflation and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained traction on Thursday, driven by a weaker US Dollar (USD). The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report revealed that inflation in the US slowed in April, leading market participants to increase their expectations for US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year. Lower interest rates tend to benefit gold, as they reduce the borrowing costs associated with investing in the yellow metal. On Thursday, gold traders will be closely monitoring several key economic indicators, including US Building Permits, Housing Starts, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Industrial Production. These data points will provide insights into the health of the US economy and potential future Fed actions. In addition to economic data, several Fed officials, including Barr, Harker, Mester, and Bostic, are scheduled to speak on Thursday. Their comments could influence market sentiment and the USD’s performance. Hawkish remarks from these officials could strengthen the USD and limit gold’s upside potential in the short term. Despite the potential for hawkish Fed commentary, the overall outlook for gold remains positive due to the market’s anticipation of rate cuts. Lower interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive to investors, as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. As traders await further economic data and Fed speeches, the interplay between inflation expectations, Fed policy, and USD movements will continue to be crucial in shaping gold prices. If the economic data points to a weakening US economy or if Fed officials signal a dovish stance, gold could see further gains. Conversely, strong economic data or hawkish Fed comments could strengthen the USD and limit gold’s upward momentum. Read More : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtrememarkets

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To trade profitably, you need to learn how to analyze the market using technical and fundamental analysis. You can also use different analytical resources to understand the market - for example, fxopen has its own analytical blog, where specialists conduct technical and fundamental analysis for various trading instruments. This can enable you to make more informed trading decisions.

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Dollar Adjusts After the Publication of Inflation Data in the US Data on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the US, released yesterday, had a significant impact on the pricing of major currency pairs. According to the provided report: The core Consumer Price Index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased by 0.3% from the previous month, while experts had forecasted 0.4%. Retail sales remained unchanged at 0.0%, contrary to analysts' expectations of 0.4%. As a result of the publication of such data, the dollar depreciated against almost all major currencies. For instance, the USD/JPY currency pair retreated from its peak at 156.60, the EUR/USD strengthened by more than 100 pips within a couple of hours, and buyers of the GBP/USD pair tested a significant resistance level at 1.2700. The main reason for the sharp decline of the dollar against G-10 currencies is likely due to the possibility that slowing inflation growth and a weak labour market could prompt the Federal Reserve to change its monetary policy direction and reduce the base interest rate in the coming months. USD/JPY According to technical analysis of the USD/JPY pair on the daily timeframe, a "bearish engulfing" pattern has formed, the confirmation of which could contribute to a retest of the important area between 152.80-152.00. If dollar buyers manage to establish themselves above 154.90, the price may resume its upward movement towards recent highs around 156.00. Macro-economic data that could influence the pricing of the pair in the upcoming trading sessions: Today at 15:30 (GMT +3:00), the number of initial jobless claims in the US. Today at 15:30 (GMT +3:00), the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (US). TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Murrey Math Lines 16.05.2024 (USDCHF, XAUUSD) USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc” USDCHF quotes are above the 200-day Moving Average on D1, indicating a prevailing uptrend. The RSI is testing the support line. In this situation, the price is expected to surpass the 6/8 (0.9033) level and rise to the resistance at 8/8 (0.9277). The scenario could be cancelled by a breakout of the 5/8 (0.8911) level. In this case, the pair might decline to the 4/8 (0.8789) level. On M15, the price rise could be additionally supported by a breakout of the upper boundary of the VoltyChannel. XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar” Gold quotes are above the 200-day Moving Average on D1, indicating a prevailing uptrend. The RSI has rebounded from the support line. In this situation, the price is expected to rise further to 4/8 (2500.00). The scenario could be cancelled by a breakout of the 3/8 (2375.00) level. In this case, Gold prices might fall to the support at 2/8 (2250.00). Read more - Murrey Math Lines (USDCHF, XAUUSD) Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

JPY “revives”. Overview for 16.05.2024 The Japanese yen, paired with the US dollar, has significantly strengthened. The current exchange rate for USDJPY stands at 153.88. The yen found support as the US dollar fell. Following the release of inflation data the previous day, the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut increased markedly. Inflation in April slowed to 3.4% y/y from the earlier 3.5%, with the core CPI dropping to 3.6% y/y from 3.8%. This easing of inflationary pressure provides grounds for anticipating a greater potential for a Fed rate cut in September. Consequently, the dollar retreated, enabling the yen to regain its position. However, the morning’s GDP statistics for Japan failed to inspire confidence. The economy contracted by 2.0% year-on-year in Q1 2024, surpassing the expected 1.5% decline. The downturn was 0.5% on a quarter-to-quarter basis, higher than the projected -0.3%. The report shows that weak private consumption emerged as the primary driver behind the GDP fall, marking a decline for four consecutive quarters. Meanwhile, yen investors remained undeterred by the report, preoccupied with market corrections. Fundamental analysis for other instruments can be found in the section "Forex Forecasts and Analysis" on our website. Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Date: 16th May 2024. Market News – Stagflationary Risk for Japan; Bonds & Stocks Higher. Economic Indicators & Central Banks: Stocks and bonds gave a big sigh of relief after CPI and retail sales came in below expectations, supporting beliefs the FOMC will be able to cut rates by September. The markets had positioned for upside surprises. Wall Street surged with all three major indexes climbing to fresh record highs. Technical buying in Treasuries was also supportive after key rate levels were breached, sending yields to the lows since early April. Fed policy outlook: there is increasing optimism for a September rate cut, according to Fed funds futures, BUT most officials say they want several months of data to be confident in their actions. Plus, while price pressures are receding, rates are still well above the 2% target, keeping policy on hold. But the market is now showing about 22 bps in cuts by the end of Q3, with some 48 bps priced in for the end of 2024. Stagflationary Risk for Japan: GDP contracted much sharper than anticipated, for a 3rd quarter in a row. This is mainly due to consumer spending. The GDP deflator though came in higher than expected but still down from the previous quarter. The sharper than anticipated contraction in activity will complicate the outlook for the BoJ, and dent rate hike bets. Financial Markets Performance: The USDIndex slumped to 103.95, the first time below the 104 level since April 9. Yen benefitted significantly, with USDJPY currently at 154.35 as easing US inflation boosted bets on the Fed easing monetary policy this year, weakening USD, boosting the Yen. Gold benefited from a weaker Dollar and a rally in bonds and the precious metal is trading at $2389 per ounce. At the same time, the precarious geopolitical situation in the Middle East is underpinning haven demand. Oil prices rebounded slightly after the shinking of US stockpiles and the risk-on mood due to declined US Inflation. However USOil is still at the lowest level in 2 months, at 78.57. Market Trends: The NASDAQ popped 1.4% to 16,742. The S&P500 advanced 1.17% to 5308, marking a new handle. And the Dow rose 0.88% to 39,908. Treasury yields tumbled sharply too on the increasingly dovish Fed outlook. Additionally, the break of key technical levels extended the gains to the lowest levels since early April before the shocking CPI data on April 10 boosted rates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

The US Dollar Is Weakening Following Inflation Data Yesterday saw the release of key economic indicators for the US. According to ForexFactory: → Core Price Index (CPI) monthly: actual = 0.3%, expected = 0.4%, previous = 0.4%; → Core Price Index (CPI) annual: actual = 3.4%, expected = 3.4%, previous = 3.5%; → Retail Sales monthly: actual = 0.0%, expected = 0.4%, previous = 0.6%. Concerns about rising inflation did not materialise. Reuters reports that unchanged retail sales suggest conditions are forming for interest rate cuts. Financial markets reacted significantly, with the US dollar weakening: → As we reported yesterday, signs of slowing inflation increased market participants' belief in imminent rate cuts, leading to the S&P 500 stock index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reaching an all-time high; → Gold prices reached a high not seen since April 21; → Other currencies strengthened against the US dollar. An interesting situation is developing on the USD/JPY chart. Applying Fibonacci ratios, we note three instances where price recovery halted around the 0.382 level: → Recovery from B to C following the impulsive decline from A to B; → Recovery from D to E after the impulsive decline from C to D; → Recovery from F to G after the 3-wave decline from A to F. TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Euro Climbs: What Traders Need to Know Solid ECN – The Euro climbed above $1.085, marking its highest point in five weeks. This rise comes as traders anticipate changes in monetary policies between the US and Europe. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates at its meeting on June 6. Market predictions suggest a potential decrease of around 70 basis points over the year. This expectation has contributed to the Euro's recent strength. There is growing speculation in the US that the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year. This follows a slowdown in core inflation in April, the first in six months. If the Fed does cut rates, it could further influence forex markets. Recent GDP data showed that the Euro Area has exited recession in the first quarter. The European Commission's latest forecasts indicate a steady economic path ahead. This positive outlook supports the Euro's strength and adds confidence for investors.

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The amount of 0.1 USD has been deposited to your account. Accounts: U42819369-U2976. Memo: API Payment. Викторина в чате Profit-Hunters Date: 18:46 15.05.24. Batch: 593274290.

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