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official Daily Market Analysis From Forexmart.eu
KostiaForexMart replied to Andrea FXMart's topic in Forex News & Analysis
Middle East Crisis as a Prelude to Global War... (Limited Downside Possible for Bitcoin and EUR/USD) The missile standoff between the U.S. proxy Israel and Iran continues. Yesterday's unexpected departure of the U.S. president from the G7 summit in Canada sparked speculation that America might engage more directly in the Israeli-Iranian conflict. However, Donald Trump keeps insisting that the conflict must be resolved peacefully. White House Press Secretary K. Leavitt stated Monday that Trump returned to Washington to "attend to many important matters," but later amended this explanation on social media, linking his departure directly to the Middle East situation. Many market participants interpreted this as a signal that the crisis is escalating to a level where both sides are striking critical infrastructure, prompting speculation that the U.S. might become more involved in supporting its regional proxy. Meanwhile, the president continues to take a hands-off approach, saying he's unaware or uninvolved—only intensifying the negative effects of growing uncertainty. On these developments, crude oil prices, which had started to correct lower and energy sector stocks, resumed upward movement. Given the likely long duration and potential intensification of the conflict—particularly if Tehran retaliates by striking U.S. military bases or blocking sea trade routes off its coast (especially if aggressive Western nations join the fray)—we may soon see oil prices soar to $100, $150, or even higher. That would deliver a severe blow to Western economies and global trade overall, with all the negative ripple effects such a crisis entails. Meanwhile, worsening conditions in the U.S. economy may force the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts, which could drive inflation even higher despite already being far from the 2% target. This conflict could throw the U.S. back into an era of double-digit inflation not seen since the 1970s–80s. In such a scenario, the U.S. dollar would lose its status as a safe-haven asset, and interest in dollar-denominated assets would fade. At the forefront would be the massive U.S. national debt, which Washington will likely never be able to repay to foreign creditors. Considering these dynamics, one can conclude that failure to de-escalate the Middle East crisis could soon pull more countries into its orbit and trigger a new world war with catastrophic consequences. What to Expect in Today's Markets? Today, investors are focused on the release of U.S. retail sales data. However, it's important to note that markets remain preoccupied with the Middle East. Events unfolding there will continue to dictate risk appetite and asset flows. For now, investors remain hopeful that full-scale war can be avoided, which has so far prevented gold and oil prices from skyrocketing. Stocks, cryptocurrencies, and the U.S. dollar are consolidating in tight ranges. This behavior is likely to continue even after the Fed's policy decision tomorrow, which isn't expected to offer new insight into Chairman Jerome Powell's stance on either internal or external crises. Forecast for the day: Bitcoin BTC continues to trade in a broad but gradually declining range. The wave of negative sentiment—now amplified by Middle East tensions—puts pressure on crypto demand. Bitcoin is likely to fall further. A drop below $106,733 may trigger a move down to $104,129 and possibly to $100,350, which marks the lower boundary of this short-term trend. The sell level to monitor is $106,504.80. EUR/USD The pair is surging rapidly. The euro, viewed as an alternative to the dollar, is rising not because of eurozone strength but because investors are fleeing dollar assets amid fears that U.S. involvement in the Middle East conflict could severely undermine the greenback. Markets have essentially abandoned the long-standing notion that the dollar, as the world's reserve currency, offers protection from financial turmoil. However, if the Fed holds policy steady, that might lead to profit-taking, causing a correction in EUR/USD. A drop below 1.1540 could spark further downside toward 1.1420. The key sell level to monitor is 1.1535. -
US dollar strengthens despite weaker-than-expected retail sales data. Yesterday, the AUDUSD pair drew a long-bodied bearish candle with a low almost the same as the preceding candle. The price formed a high of 0.65438, a low of 0.64662, and a close of 0.64736 on the FXOpen platform. The Census Bureau reported that advance monthly retail sales fell -0.9% in the May report released yesterday. The April Business Inventories report was neutral at 0.05 at $2,656.5 B. The mixed retail sales data brought the US dollar up. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the USD currency, rose around 0.68% from a low of 98.022 to a high of 98.870, approaching the EMA 20 line. The strengthening of the US dollar seems to be driven more by increasing geopolitical tensions. The Israel-Iran war indicates a greater escalation of the war involving sophisticated and destructive weapons. Meanwhile, traders will be more cautious in the days leading up to the Fed's interest rate decision due out in the near future. Although the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, the market response could be mixed. According to the CME Group's Fedwatch tool, the probability of the Fed leaving rates unchanged in the range of 4.25%-4.50% is 97.3%. Focus shifts to the updated dot plot and Chairman Jerome Powell's guidance on the interest rate path through end-2025. News from Australia, Treasurer Jim Chalmers is scheduled to deliver a key fiscal speech on Wednesday at the National Press Club. According to Reuters, Chalmers will outline structural challenges, including sluggish productivity and long-term budget sustainability. If the Fed keeps rates high for longer while the RBA is more on the sidelines, the widening policy divergence could eventually weigh on the AUD and limit the upside potential for the AUD/USD pair. Today, investors will be waiting for the release of Unemployment Claims data, which could be an important economic indicator driving the market, with jobless claims expected to fall by 246k from the previous revision of 248k.
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Just got into the $BOMB listing on BingX as they’re celebrating with a 130,000 USDT prize pool for early traders, and I’ve noticed some solid momentum already. Interestingly, the broader altcoin space is heating up too. Over on some top exchanges, $SPX, $TST $TUT and others are among today’s top gainers. It’s clear that speculative capital is rotating into newer and high-volatility plays and $BOMB is launching right in the middle of that trend. With $BTC sitting near $104.6K and $ETH at $2.5K, both still holding key support zones, it feels like the market is open to fresh narratives. I’m watching how $BOMB positions itself in this surge of community-driven tokens. Let’s see if this carnival is just a short-term wave or something that sticks.
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As the GameFi sector continues to evolve, the entry of Bombie (BOMB) onto the scene warrants a closer look particularly for investors seeking exposure to early stage digital assets that integrate real user engagement potential with blockchain utility. BOMB operates as both the utility and governance token for a newly launched strategic mini game, and what differentiates this project is its integration with Line DappPortal and Telegram. This dual platform accessibility offers a unique gateway into two of the largest messaging ecosystems globally opening up potential user acquisition channels that are rarely explored in blockchain gaming. Tokenomics and Infrastructure Blockchain: Built on the TON (The Open Network) chain Total Supply: 10,000,000,000 BOMB Token Utility: In-game utility and governance Key Listing: Listed on BingX and other trading platforms as of June 17, 2025 The underlying premise is simple but compelling by embedding the game within widely used messaging apps, BOMB aims to reduce the onboarding friction traditionally associated with Web3 gaming and reach mainstream audiences more effectively. Initial Market Activity and Trading Dynamics Since its listing, BOMB has experienced substantial volatility typical of tokens entering their price discovery phase. However, several metrics provide insights into early market sentiment and speculative appetite. 24 Hour Trading Overview (As of June 17, 2025) Current Price: $0.001467 24-Hour Change: -50.3% (from intraday highs near $0.002950) Peak Price: $0.003938 (shortly after listing) Trading Volume: Over 10.6 million USDT in 24 hours Observations 1. High Initial Demand, Followed by a Rapid Correction The price surge post listing reflects speculative interest, likely driven by the project’s narrative and marketing. The subsequent 60% correction is not unexpected, as early holders capitalize on initial momentum. 2. Liquidity and Market Engagement Trading volumes, particularly a spike of 3.5 million USDT within a single hour, suggest a high level of speculative trading activity. This indicates that the token is liquid enough for short term traders but also highly reactive to market sentiment shifts. 3. Price Consolidation Phase The token appears to be entering a stabilization phase, currently fluctuating between $0.001300 $0.001500. Whether this becomes a sustained support level depends on broader adoption of the game and token utility realization. Strategic Considerations for Investors From an investment standpoint, BOMB offers both opportunity and caution Bullish Case: Exposure to the growing GameFi segment Unique go to market strategy via existing mass market apps Potential network effect if adoption gains traction on Line and Telegram Early stage volatility In short, BOMB presents an asymmetric investment opportunity high potential upside if the platform achieves meaningful user adoption, counterbalanced by significant short term volatility and execution risk. What’s Your Take? Do you see BOMB’s dual platform GameFi approach as a viable path to user scale and token value accrual? Or is this another short lived speculative surge in a saturated space?
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I bought $SPK shortly after its BingX launch saw it run over 180% within hours. What looked like a quick pump actually led me to dig deeper. It’s designed for real-time microtransactions with very low fees and relies on community governance, which makes it more than just a meme coin in my book. Now it’s popped up on top exchanges as one of the top gainers, alongside $STRAX and $GPS. That’s usually a sign that traders across platforms are catching on. With BTC holding around $104K and big players like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital doubling down, I think tokens with actual use cases might get more attention this cycle. Still early for SPK, but definitely one of the more promising launches I’ve seen recently.
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While our conversations naturally gravitate towards traditional assets like gold, silver, and established market trends, it's always smart to keep an eye on developments in the digital asset sector. These emerging areas can sometimes offer interesting diversification opportunities or provide early indicators of broader market shifts. A recent event that caught our attention is the listing of Spark (SPK) on the BingX exchange. For those who aren't deep into the crypto world, Spark is described as a DeFi lending protocol specifically focused on stablecoins. Its main goal is to optimize on chain yield through various strategic approaches within the blockchain ecosystem. The SPK token's listing now offers a new avenue for those considering exposure to this particular digital ecosystem. The listing officially began today, June 17th, with trading for the SPK/USDT pair kicking off at 9:00 AM UTC. Deposit and withdrawal functionalities are already active or will be very soon. It's clear that digital assets operate with different dynamics compared to our more traditional investments. SPK Market Performance A Quick Look at Recent Price Action For those of you who do monitor the digital asset markets, here's a brief snapshot of SPK's recent performance: Spark (SPK) has seen some notable volatility over the past 24 hours: Current Price: Around $0.05049 24 Hour Change: It's down about 7.2% from $0.05443 to $0.05049. Price Range: The price has moved between $0.04873 and $0.05087. Key Observations We've observed significant selling pressure over the last nine hours, with the price dropping from $0.06113 to its current level. The highest trading volume occurred between 7:00 PM and 8:00 PM UTC, with over 40 million SPK traded during that hour. Interestingly, the price found temporary support around $0.049, showing a slight bounce back in the most recent hour. For those among us who keep tabs on digital assets, what are your thoughts on DeFi projects like Spark? Do you see any significant implications from this listing for the broader market, and what factors do you typically weigh when evaluating these kinds of opportunities?
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One of the best parts of being deep in DeFi is finding that perfect yield strategy and sharing it with your inner circle. Summer.fi has officially launched something new: The Beach Club, a referral system that doesn’t reward you once, but creates a long-term stream of rewards from the people you onboard. It’s not another referral link. It’s an onchain, transparent rewards engine, and it could become a serious income layer for anyone active in the DeFi space. Here’s what you need to know. What Is the Summer.fi Beach Club? The Beach Club is Summer.fi’s new referral program, built to reward users who help spread the word about the protocol, especially around its fast-growing Lazy Summer vaults. You earn a percentage of the fees from the vaults you refer. Let that sink in: You earn rewards automatically From onchain protocol fees (not your friends’ deposits) With no limit on referrals And no expiration — as long as they earn, you earn. That means if you’ve got an audience, even a small one, you now have a way to monetize your insights in a way that’s sustainable, transparent, and aligned with DeFi values. Why It’s Different (and Better) We’ve seen plenty of referral systems in crypto, but most of them fall into one of two categories: Short-term campaigns with time-limited incentives Opaque systems where you have no clue how or when you’ll get paid The Beach Club is fully integrated into Summer.fi’s platform, and everything is 100% visible and onchain. You can actually track: Who’s using your link What positions they’re opening How much protocol revenue they’re generating And exactly how much of that is being shared with you No guessing. No lock-ins. Just yield... on top of yield. How the Referral System Works Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of how you can start earning: 1. Connect your wallet to Summer.fi Head to summer.fi/beachclub, connect your wallet, and your referral dashboard instantly goes live. No signup, no KYC, just Web3 flow. 2. Grab your custom referral link You’ll get a unique link tied to your address. Share it anywhere on X (Twitter), Telegram, newsletters, even TikTok if that’s your thing. 3. Users open positions via your link When someone uses your link and interacts with any Lazy Summer strategy on Base, Mainnet, Sonic, etc. that activity gets tracked onchain. 4. You earn a cut of protocol fees Each vault has a service fee. As long as your referrals maintain open positions, you receive up a percentage of those fees, paid directly to your wallet. And the best part? They don’t pay extra. The rewards come from Summer.fi’s share of fees making it a win for them, a win for you, and a win for the protocol. What Counts as a Valid Referral? Summer.fi doesn’t do referral shenanigans. A referral is considered “valid” if: The person lands on Summer.fi using your link They connect their wallet and interact with a supported vault Their wallet hasn’t used Summer.fi before Once they’re tagged to your referrer ID, that relationship is permanent. Every interaction they have with the protocol going forward counts toward your earnings. It’s like building a personal network of passive income sources, and it grows as the DeFi ecosystem around Summer.fi does. If you’re already farming on Summer.fi, this is a no-brainer. If you’ve been looking for a way to monetize your DeFi knowledge, this might be your best shot yet. Ready to Join? 👉 Launch your referral dashboard here: summer.fi/beachclub Then start earning when your friends, followers, or fellow farmers do.
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Brent and WTI: Is $100 oil just Around the corner? #Brent and #WTI prices are steadily climbing, now reaching $73.30 and $71.15 per barrel. The market is showing strong signs of an upward trend, similar to what we saw in 2021–2022. With global demand picking up and increased interest from major market participants, analysts believe prices could soon push past the $100 mark — especially amid ongoing global tensions and rising consumption. New to FreshForex? Start strong — get +15% on your first deposit from $100. Already trading? Use promo code STO202 on deposits from $202 to receive a 202% drawdown protection bonus. Standard Chartered forecasts Brent reaching $95 by December 2025, while some outlooks go even higher. What’s fueling this potential rally? Top 5 reasons oil may surge in the coming months: Global instability: Tensions in the Middle East and unrest in key producers like Venezuela and Nigeria raise concerns about supply disruptions. Any flare-ups could push prices to $90, $95 — or beyond. Economic recovery: Asia and developing economies are bouncing back fast. With industrial activity rising, so does energy demand — including for oil. OPEC+ tight supply policy: OPEC+ is likely to maintain production cuts to support prices and keep the market balanced. Low reserves, limited expansion: Stockpiles remain tight, and exploration has lagged in recent years. If demand spikes, producers may struggle to scale output quickly. Aviation and petrochemicals rebound: Global air traffic and plastic manufacturing are growing, increasing demand for jet fuel and oil-based feedstocks. Together, these factors create a strong setup for upward momentum in Brent and WTI prices. According to FreshForex analysts, the current levels could mark the beginning of a new growth cycle. Trade Brent and WTI with up to 1:1000 leverage. Choose from 270+ instruments, including crypto and index CFDs. Stay ahead of the market with powerful tools and timely insights. Trading oil now
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J.J. Edwards’ Expert Market Analysis at FenzoFx
FenzoFx replied to FenzoFx's topic in Forex News & Analysis
Crude Oil Tests $74 FenzoFx—Crude Oil climbed to $74.0, testing the bearish Fair Value Gap and a high-volume zone. The Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought market, suggesting possible consolidation. Oil could dip toward the previous daily low if $74.0 holds as resistance during the NY session. A breakout above $74.0 would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook. -
Meowthereum (MEOWTHERUM) Meowthereum - A cat + Ethereum hybrid for feline fans 🐾 Meowthereum – The Purrfectly Decentralized Catpital Born on the blockchain and raised in a litter box of chaos, Meowthereum is the first feline-fueled fork of the future. Think Ethereum, but with more attitude, whiskers, and fur-powered gas fees. 😼 Why Meowthereum? Because while dogs bark about utility, cats quietly take over the metaverse. Contract Address: FdrNzGyowou87wFfuusfsK6hRLJ4iiiqghsEgTT5pump