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NZDUSD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 05.16.2025 Time Zone: GMT +3 Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4) Fundamental Analysis: Today's fundamental outlook for NZDUSD is marked by critical economic data from both New Zealand and the United States. On the USD side, traders will closely monitor the release of Residential Building Permits and Housing Starts, indicators that reflect the health of the U.S. housing market. Additionally, the Import Price Index will provide early inflation insights, while the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data may affect market sentiment toward the USD. Moreover, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin’s speech will be scrutinized for insights into future Fed monetary policy. In New Zealand, traders will pay attention to BusinessNZ’s Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI), which could indicate economic expansion or contraction and influence the NZD’s strength. Price Action: Analyzing the NZD/USD pair on the H4 timeframe indicates a clear bearish trend through recent price action. The market has consistently formed lower highs and lower lows, confirming ongoing selling pressure. The most recent candles display bearish momentum, with price action struggling to break above moving average resistances, and continuously testing support near recent lows. The candlestick patterns suggest the bears remain in control, albeit with some hesitance approaching the immediate support area. Key Technical Indicators: Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR indicator distinctly illustrates the bearish sentiment as its last 8 dots have consistently been placed above the price candles. This alignment signals continuing downward pressure and indicates that sellers are maintaining their dominance, suggesting further bearish continuation is likely unless a bullish reversal is clearly established. Moving Averages (MA 9 & MA 17): The moving averages confirm the bearish scenario; the short-term MA (9, blue line) recently crossed below the longer-term MA (17, orange line), a classic bearish crossover indicating continued selling pressure. As the price remains below both MAs, bearish momentum remains strong and intact. Volumes: The Volumes indicator is showing decreased buying activity with slightly increasing volume on bearish candles, signifying stronger selling pressure at current price levels. This suggests that bearish sentiment persists, with market participants leaning towards further downside movements. OsMA (Moving Average of Oscillator): The OsMA indicator currently shows bars below the zero line and increasing in negative magnitude, reflecting growing bearish momentum. Such negative divergence reinforces the potential for further downward movement, indicating sellers are likely to maintain control in the short term. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 39.41, trending downward but not yet in oversold territory. This signifies that while the bearish sentiment is clearly strong, the pair still has room to continue falling before becoming oversold, which would signal caution for potential reversals or consolidation. Support and Resistance: Support: Immediate support is identified at the 0.58585-0.58710 zone, a critical area where recent lows have formed. Resistance: The nearest resistance levels are at 0.59350 and subsequently at 0.59750, where previous swing highs and consolidation phases occurred. Conclusion and Consideration: The NZD USD H4 chart analysis continues to reflect a bearish trend, supported strongly by the Parabolic SAR, moving averages crossover, and negative OsMA. Traders should consider short positions, particularly if the immediate support at 0.58585 is breached with conviction. However, caution is advised ahead of significant fundamental news today from both NZD and USD, as these events could trigger increased volatility and potential reversals or corrective moves. Disclaimer: The analysis provided for USD/NZD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on USDNZD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential. FXGlory 05.16.2025

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Dow Jones Price Action Analysis and Trading Insights US30, commonly known as Dow Jones or DJIA, is a significant index representing the top 30 industrial companies listed in the United States, acting as a crucial indicator of overall market health. Traders often refer to this index as "Wall Street 30". Today's fundamental analysis for US30 highlights critical economic events including Residential Building Permits, Housing Starts, Import Price Index, and Consumer Sentiment data from the University of Michigan, along with an important speech by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin. Stronger-than-expected building permits and housing starts can indicate robust economic growth and higher investor confidence, potentially driving bullish momentum in the US30. Simultaneously, improvements in import price data and higher consumer sentiment readings could reinforce expectations of sustained economic growth, further supporting an upward trend. Market participants will also closely monitor President Barkin's comments for clues about future monetary policy direction, which could introduce volatility into the market depending on the tone adopted. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the US30 Dow Jones H4 chart, the price is clearly in a bullish trend, moving between the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level towards the critical 0 level, indicating a strong buying momentum. Price action is currently positioned above the Ichimoku green cloud, though the cloud has slightly narrowed, suggesting a minor reduction in bullish strength; however, the lower cloud boundary has flattened horizontally, offering solid support. The MACD indicator and its histogram are exhibiting bullish signals, with the MACD line remaining above the signal line and positive histogram bars gaining strength. Concurrently, the RSI indicator at 64.64 suggests room for continued upward movement before reaching an overbought zone. The Williams %R indicator positioned near -1.52 also confirms bullish sentiment, reflecting strong buying pressure. • DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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US Market News Digest for May 15 JP Morgan gains, Kraft Heinz under pressure Shares of JPMorgan Chase continue to climb steadily towards the 295.25 level, supported by strong investor demand and solid financial results from the bank. This positive momentum stems from broader interest in the banking sector. Meanwhile, Kraft Heinz shares remain under pressure and continue to decline, making them a suitable hedge against long positions in JPMorgan. This strategy may prove useful amid ongoing market uncertainty. US stock market ends mixed US equity indices ended the trading session with mixed performance: the Nasdaq rose by 0.7%, while the Dow Jones closed in negative territory. The tech sector was buoyed by strong earnings reports and growing interest from retail investors. However, concerns persist over overbought individual assets and rising Treasury yields, both of which could exert short-term pressure on equities. S&P 500 rebounds, but risks persist The S&P 500 is showing a V-shaped recovery, reflecting the resilience of the US economy and easing trade tensions. Improved consumer sentiment and declining inflation expectations are also contributing to the upward momentum. Still, analysts caution that a market correction remains possible, particularly if upcoming macroeconomic data disappoint. Market participants are advised to remain cautious and factor in heightened volatility. Trump announces $600 billion deals with Saudi Arabia US President Donald Trump unveiled plans for $600 billion worth of deals with Saudi Arabia, including purchases of US-made microchips. The announcement boosted interest in the technology sector and export-focused companies. However, experts remain skeptical about the feasibility of such large-scale agreements, citing political and economic headwinds. Nevertheless, the mere discussion of such initiatives is having a positive effect on market expectations. As a reminder, InstaForex offers the most competitive conditions for trading stocks, indices, and derivatives, helping clients capitalize on market swings with confidence. More analytics on our website: bit.ly/3VobLUv

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