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EUR/GBP Daily Analysis: Will the Euro Break Resistance? Introduction to EURGBP The EUR-GBP currency pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. It is one of the most traded currency pairs in the Forex market and is highly influenced by the monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE). As the Eurozone’s single currency and the British Pound are both significant global currencies, this pair is often used by traders to hedge against market fluctuations in both regions. The pair's movement provides insight into the relative strength of the Euro compared to the British Pound and plays a crucial role in Forex market strategies. EUR-GBP Market Overview Over the past few days, the EUR/GBP pair has seen an upward momentum as the Euro gains strength against the Pound. The recent news has provided some significant context to these movements. On the GBP side, the Bank of England’s recent hawkish stance has had a notable effect, with the possibility of further rate hikes. The Bank of England’s monetary policy decisions have always had a profound impact on GBP, and any suggestion of tighter monetary policy boosts its value, as was evident with the recent hawkish tone from the BoE’s monetary policy committee (MPC). On the Euro side, the Eurozone’s economic situation remains stable, with President of Deutsche Bundesbank, Joachim Nagel, highlighting challenges in monetary policy due to uncertain global conditions. His speech at the Young Factor International Conference indicated a more hawkish tone, which led to increased speculation about future ECB actions. These two central bank dynamics are providing traders with important signals, as both banks’ policies will significantly impact the EUR/GBP pair in the near future. EUR/GBP Technical Analysis Looking at the daily chart for EUR GBP, we observe that the price has failed to break the crucial support level of 0.84412. This failure occurred due to weak momentum, which stalled the pair’s potential move lower. However, the price is now trending upwards again and is approaching the important resistance level of 0.86100. The recent upward momentum suggests that there may be an eventual break of this resistance, given that EUR/GBP has previously managed to break above this level but failed to maintain stability. Key technical indicators such as the Parabolic SAR, Momentum Oscillator, Fisher Oscillator, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) all point toward continued upward momentum. The RSI has been hovering around the 70 mark, indicating that the pair is nearing overbought territory. The Momentum Oscillator supports this idea, showing that the bullish momentum is still strong. The Fisher Oscillator is also providing a positive signal, further confirming that the current trend could break the resistance level if momentum remains favorable. Final Words about EUR vs GBP In conclusion, the EUR GBP pair is currently in an interesting phase of upward momentum, aided by the dovish stance of the GBP and the more hawkish tone from the ECB. Technical indicators are signaling that the pair could potentially break through its current resistance and continue its upward movement. However, traders should remain cautious, as the RSI suggests that the pair could be nearing overbought levels, and a pullback could be imminent if the momentum weakens. As central banks continue to make their policy decisions and provide updates on the economic outlook, the EUR/GBP pair’s movement will remain heavily influenced by these factors. Traders should stay updated on economic news and central bank meetings to make informed decisions, particularly those focused on the BoE and ECB's future policies. Risk management will be crucial, as market volatility could escalate based on new economic data or shifts in market sentiment. 06.19.2025

GBPUSD Naik Karena Data Inflasi Inggris yang Sulit GBPUSD Uji Level Kunci GBPUSD diperdagangkan di zona hijau hari ini dengan pasangan mata uang ini berjuang untuk memulihkan posisi setelah kerugian besar kemarin. Kekhawatiran bahwa AS siap bergabung dalam perang Israel melawan Iran telah memicu tawaran safe haven baru dalam Dolar AS, sebuah pergeseran dari dinamika yang telah kita lihat baru-baru ini di mana USD telah diperdagangkan lebih sejalan dengan aset berisiko sebagai akibat dari pergerakan obligasi pemerintah. Namun, GBP melihat permintaan yang lebih baik hari ini menyusul data ekonomi Inggris terbaru pagi ini. Inflasi & Ekspektasi BOE Inflasi Inggris terlihat di atas perkiraan bulan lalu dengan CPI tahunan utama di 3,4%, turun dari 3,5% sebelumnya tetapi di atas 3,3% yang diharapkan pasar. Sementara itu, CPI inti terlihat sesuai dengan perkiraan, di 3,5%. Meskipun turun dari 3,8% sebelumnya, pada level ini inti masih jauh di atas perkiraan BOE. Data tersebut telah menyebabkan ketidakpastian dalam prospek menjelang pertemuan BOE bulan Juni besok dengan para pedagang sekarang merasakan bank tersebut akan kurang terbuka mengenai peluang penurunan suku bunga jangka pendek. Pasar telah semakin memperkirakan penurunan suku bunga sejak Agustus tetapi berdasarkan data ini, harga sekarang bergeser kembali ke arah penurunan suku bunga bulan September. Jika BOE menyuarakan kekhawatiran besok mengenai kekakuan inflasi, harga dapat mulai bergerak lebih jauh, yang menciptakan ruang untuk kenaikan GBP. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/gbpusd-higher-on-sticky-uk-inflation-data

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USDCHF H1I Potensi Pembalikan Bearish Preferensi: Harga dapat membuat pembalikan bearish dari level pivot di 0,8175, resistensi tumpang tindih yang sejajar dengan retracement Fibonacci 61,8%. Pembalikan dari level ini dapat membawa harga menuju support pertama di 0,8145, resistensi tumpang tindih. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/usdchf-h1i-potential-bearish-reversal-18th-june-2025

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USD/CHF continues to rise, approaching dynamic resistance 0.82304 USDCHF extends four consecutive days of gains. Yesterday, the Swiss Franc drew a bullish candle with a small shadow on the top of the candle. The price formed a high of 0.81989 low of 0.81410, and closed at 0.81782. The Fed announced interest rates yesterday, as expected, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at 4.50%. The FOMC projections showed the Fed expects lower economic growth and higher inflation and unemployment rates in 2025 compared to previous projections. They also raised their long-term interest rate projections. Economic growth is projected to be revised lower for 2025. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation is projected to increase to 3.0% in 2025. The unemployment rate is projected to increase to 4.4% in 2025. The long-term interest rate (neutral rate) projection has also been adjusted, indicating the potential for future interest rate increases. The Fed maintained its benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25-4.50%. Several FOMC members saw the potential for further rate cuts in 2026 and 2027, despite lower economic growth projections and higher inflation. The FOMC projections suggest that the Fed is being more cautious in its monetary policy, taking into account the potential for an economic slowdown and inflationary pressures. They also highlighted the importance of monitoring the impact of the policies that have been taken. The US dollar index (DXY), which measures the performance of the USD against a basket of six major currencies, is seen continuing its four-day rally. DXY rose to 99.010 near the 20 EMA from a low of 98.483. However, the doji candle suggests further gains as this pattern indicates an indecisive market. Switzerland is facing deep-rooted disinflation, as core inflation has hit its lowest level in almost four years, and CPI is now negative on a year-on-year basis. In addition, officials have previously expressed concerns over the persistent strength of the Swiss Franc (CHF). YTD, the CHF is up 11% (vs. USD). They have indicated that they are open to cutting interest rates to zero or even negative territory. Today, investors will be waiting for the Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting, which is expected by Forexfactory to cut the SNB interest rate to 0.0% from 0.25% previously. A dovish rate cut could support a move higher in USD/CHF. The Israel-Iran War headlines are still a hot topic today. Rising geopolitical risk tensions could boost demand for safe-haven currencies and assets, including USD, CHF, JPY, and precious metals such as gold and silver.

Detailed H4 Chart Analysis for AUDUSD Today The AUD/USD pair, often referred to as the "Aussie Dollar," is a popular currency pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar. It is significantly influenced by economic events and data from both Australia and the United States, with commodity prices, employment figures, and central bank policies playing key roles in its movements. Today, the market is awaiting crucial economic reports. For Australia, the employment data, including changes in employment and the unemployment rate, will be highly anticipated. A positive outcome could signal economic strength, supporting the Aussie Dollar. Conversely, the US will release Treasury International Capital (TIC) data, reflecting foreign demand for US securities. If the TIC data exceeds expectations, it could boost the US Dollar as increased foreign investment in US assets generally leads to higher demand for USD. Additionally, the US Juneteenth holiday could result in low liquidity, which may lead to irregular volatility in the forex market, impacting the AUDUSD pair. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. The H4 chart for AUD/USD reveals a price moving within a slight bullish trend, marked by several ups and downs. The price has been fluctuating between the upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, indicating some volatility. Recently, the price has moved from the lower band toward the upper band and is now encountering resistance at the middle band. This middle band is aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the center line of the regression trend, which together act as a strong resistance zone. The last candlestick is red, indicating the AUD USD price could struggle to break through this resistance. Additionally, volume indicators show a decline in momentum, with the previous large red candle followed by a smaller red candle. This suggests that the market may be losing bullish momentum, and the price could face a pullback before any further upward movement. The MACD and histogram also indicate weakening bullish momentum, further supporting the idea that the price may struggle to break through the resistance at the 0.786 Fibonacci level. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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Bitcoin and Ethereum setups are healthy: BTC hovering just above $105k and ETH at ~$2.53k. Institutions are still stacking — Bitcoin ETFs pulled in north of $1.3B last week and ETH funds saw roughly $583M inflows . When the big names are buying, it gives confidence to small-scale plays and airdrops that reward actual trading. Meanwhile I’ve been trying out BingX’s $TMAI airdrop and it actually feels worthwhile. I got $5 in $TMAI just for making my first spot trade, and now I’m ticking through Gleam entries and adding more trades to try and land up to $500. It’s never felt like useless fodder – this one’s really tied to platform activity. On top of that, Binance’s 24‑hour top gainers list looks interesting: $ALT is up about +10.9%, $SOLV is around +3.8%, and $FUN is also trending (+3–4%), so the altcoin space is seeing some momentum . I’m noticing that these small caps are moving and the atmosphere feels bullish. Putting this together, that $TMAI airdrop isn’t just fluff, it rewards engagement while larger market trends support continued upside. I’m stacking entries, naturally increasing my chance of landing something bigger, and riding the market tailwinds at the same time.

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