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Solana is Bullish: Wait for Price to Find Support Before Buying FenzoFx—Solana trades in a bullish market above the 50-period simple moving average. However, the recent buying pressure caused the Stochastic Oscillator to enter the overbought area, indicating market saturation. Consequently, the uptrend eased at 184.9. The immediate support rests at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, approximately 175.5, backed by the 50-SMA. That said, the immediate resistance is at 184.9. From a technical perspective, the price is expected to dip toward the Fibonacci retracement level before the uptrend resumes. This level may provide a discounted entry point. Therefore, traders should monitor the 175.5 demand zone for bullish signals, such as candlestick patterns. Please note that the bullish outlook would be invalidated if SOL/USD dips and stabilizes below \$175.5.

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Date: 14th May 2025. Is the Dow Jones Oversold Despite Pharmaceutical Stock Selloff? All US indices rose in value on Tuesday except for the Dow Jones, which fell 0.64%. Very rarely, almost all global indices increase in value while one of the largest declines. What, then, is driving the Dow Jones’ decline despite the favourable market conditions? Pharmaceutical Stocks Crash One of the reasons why the Dow Jones was unable to mirror the bullish tone seen amongst the S&P 500 and NASDAQ was due to the Pharmaceutical sector. Approximately 14% of the weight within the Dow Jones is exposed to Pharmaceutical stocks, which significantly declined on Tuesday. The downward price movement within this sector was due to President Trump confirming that prescription drug prices must fall by almost 60%. Here is the performance of pharmaceutical stocks in the Dow Jones on Tuesday: UnitedHealth Group stocks fell 17.79% Amgen Inc. stocks fell 1.57% Johnson & Johnson stocks fell 3.70% Merck & Co. stocks fell 4.72% According to President Trump, the cost of prescription drugs in the US is sometimes up to 10 times higher than in other countries. This is despite the drug being ‘produced in the same laboratory’ using the same method and ingredients. Therefore, Trump is proposing that pharmaceutical companies lower the cost in the US and increase the cost elsewhere. However, this is triggering fear amongst investors and is prompting a selloff in the sector. US Drug Prices Vs Other Countries In addition to this, UnitedHealth Group stocks are under immense pressure due to the above and the company’s CEO has resigned. UnitedHealth Group in this quarter missed their earnings and revenue expectations for the first time since the 2008 banking crisis, and also gave poor guidance for the upcoming quarter. Defensive Stocks Weaken Due To Improved Sentiment Another reason for the Dow Jones’ weak price movement is its exposure to defensive stocks. Defensive stocks tend to do well during ‘risk-off’ conditions, while they may underperform in favourable stock market conditions. Defensive stocks within the Dow Jones include the following stocks: McDonald’s - Stock fell 1.04% on Tuesday Procter and Gamble - Stock fell 1.35% on Tuesday Coca-Cola - Stock fell 0.82% on Tuesday However, not all components are defensive stocks. The Dow Jones also has growth stocks within the index, which include the likes of NVIDIA and Microsoft. NVIDIA stocks were the best-performing stocks on Tuesday, increasing 5.63%. However, NVIDIA stocks only hold a weight of 1.78%. Dow Jones - Upcoming Performance The price movement of the Dow Jones is largely moving sideways on Wednesday after the decline on Tuesday. However, investors should note that some of the positive developments driving other indices higher also apply to the Dow Jones, even if its price has not reflected the same movement. This includes the lower inflation figures from yesterday. The US Consumer Price Index (inflation rate) fell from 2.4% to 2.3%, the lowest since 2021, and core inflation figures remained at 2.8%. The lower inflation rate is likely to allow the Federal Reserve to opt for a cautious rate cut in July, even though this has not yet been signalled. Nonetheless, interest rate cuts and a better economic outlook are likely to positively influence all indices globally. Currently, the Dow Jones is 7.00% away from its all-time high. Notably, analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. yesterday reduced their projected likelihood of a US recession by year-end from 45% to 35%, while also raising their economic growth forecast from 0.5% to 1.0%. Dow Jones - Daily Chart The price of the Dow Jones is trading within a range during this morning’s Asian Session, but continues to remain above most trend lines. The VWAP is also slightly lower than the current price, giving a bullish bias. If the price increases above the $42,220.00, buy signals are likely to materialise due to the bullish breakout and crossover. However, if the range continues, the average price will be $42,174.18. Key Takeaway Points: The Dow Jones does not follow the market trend and remains one of the only global indices falling in value. However, some analysts believe the index is partially oversold. Dow Jones fell 0.64% as pharma stocks dropped sharply after Trump called for major drug price cuts. UnitedHealth stock fell nearly 18% after missing earnings, weak guidance, and news of the CEO’s resignation. Defensive names like Coca-Cola and McDonald's declined as risk-on sentiment hurt safe-haven stocks. Lower inflation and reduced recession fears support a positive outlook, but the Dow still trails other indices. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. 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EUR/USD Sensitive to Fundamentals and Technical Resistance EUR/USD, the currency pair representing the Euro against the US Dollar, remains sensitive today to key economic indicators and central bank commentary from both sides of the Atlantic. From the US, market attention is focused on speeches by FOMC members Jefferson and Waller, whose remarks could provide crucial insights into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory. Additionally, US Crude Oil Inventories came in line with expectations at -2.0 million barrels, maintaining pressure on oil prices and indirectly influencing inflation expectations and USD strength. On the European front, German Final CPI month-over-month met expectations at 0.4%, indicating stable inflationary pressures in Europe's largest economy. Meanwhile, remarks from Bundesbank President Nagel and outcomes from the German 30-year bond auction, yielding 2.90% versus the prior 1.7%, hint at evolving investor sentiment and economic outlook in the Eurozone. Overall, these developments, combined with cautious tones from both central banks, are likely to keep EUR/USD traders vigilant for further directional signals. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the EUR/USD H4 chart, the price is currently encountering significant resistance around the 1.1250–1.1300 area, a zone that previously acted as strong support and has now become a critical resistance level after the recent bearish breakout. A descending trendline further emphasizes bearish sentiment, suggesting potential downward pressure ahead. The RSI is gradually rising but remains below the neutral level of 50, indicating limited bullish strength at this moment. Simultaneously, the MACD histogram is shrinking with a potential bullish crossover on the horizon, signaling weakening bearish momentum. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction at the resistance area around 1.1300; a confirmed breakout above this level and the descending trendline could lead to renewed bullish momentum. However, a rejection here may reinforce bearish sentiment, pushing the pair towards recent lows. • DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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AUD/USD Daily Analysis: Ichimoku and Stochastic Align for Potential Drop Introduction to AUD/USD The AUD/USD, commonly known as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar. This currency pair is among the most actively traded in the forex market, reflecting the economic ties between Australia and the United States. Traders closely monitor AUD/USD for indications of global risk sentiment, monetary policy divergence between the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Federal Reserve, and key economic indicators including commodity prices, employment figures, inflation rates, and GDP growth. Movements in AUD/USD often act as a gauge for broader market trends, particularly due to Australia's significant role as a major commodity exporter. AUDUSD Market Overview Currently, the AUD/USD pair reflects a cautiously neutral sentiment, influenced by recent economic data releases and upcoming remarks from key Federal Reserve officials. Australia's Wage Price Index quarter-over-quarter rose by 0.8%, slightly above market expectations of 0.7%, providing modest support to the Australian dollar by reinforcing expectations of resilient domestic wage growth. Conversely, Australia's CB Leading Index remained flat at 0.0%, suggesting subdued forward momentum in the economy. On the US side, attention is centered around speeches from FOMC members Waller and Jefferson later today, which could offer fresh insights into the Fed’s monetary policy outlook. Additionally, US Crude Oil Inventories data, projected at a drawdown of 2.0 million barrels, could introduce volatility into USD trading if results deviate significantly. Traders will closely monitor these developments, which are likely to dictate the short-term directional bias for AUD/USD. AUD-USD Technical Analysis Technical indicators on the daily AUD/USD chart reflect a cautiously bearish outlook. The price has recently declined through a bearish wave and is currently approaching a significant support area near the 0.63270 level. A decisive break below this support could trigger further bearish momentum in upcoming sessions. The Ichimoku Cloud reinforces this bearish sentiment, with the price trading beneath the cloud and the Tenkan-sen (blue) line positioned below the Kijun-sen (red), indicating an established downtrend. Additionally, the Stochastic oscillator remains in oversold territory, with the %K and %D lines converging, suggesting potential short-term consolidation or a possible corrective bounce. Traders should closely monitor the support at 0.63270, as a confirmed break below could pave the way for an extended bearish move. Final Words about AUD vs USD In summary, AUD/USD is presently at a significant support area, with both fundamental and technical factors aligning to support a cautiously bearish outlook. Although Australia's recent Wage Price Index showed resilience, subdued momentum indicated by the flat CB Leading Index, combined with technical signals such as the bearish Ichimoku Cloud setup and downward pressure near the key 0.63270 support level, suggests potential further downside. From the US perspective, anticipated commentary from Federal Reserve officials and volatility induced by US Crude Oil Inventory figures could provide near-term direction, possibly strengthening USD if signals remain hawkish. As the pair tests critical support at 0.63270, a confirmed breakdown would likely open the door for an extended bearish movement. Traders should closely monitor incoming economic data and price action around this pivotal support for clearer directional guidance. 05.14.2025

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