All Activity
- Past hour
-
AUDUSD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 04.17.2025 Time Zone: GMT +3 Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4) Fundamental Analysis: Today, the AUD/USD pair faces significant volatility from critical economic news releases from Australia and the US. From Australia, employment data, including Employment Change and Unemployment Rate, will be in focus. Better-than-expected employment figures and a lower unemployment rate could strengthen the Australian Dollar, reflecting positive economic health and potentially increased consumer spending. Additionally, the NAB Business Confidence survey provides insights into the sentiment among Australian businesses, serving as a leading indicator for economic activity. On the US side, investors will closely watch the Treasury International Capital (TIC) data, Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, Residential Building Permits, Housing Starts, and Natural Gas Storage reports. Furthermore, speeches from Federal Reserve officials Michael Barr and Jeffrey Schmid will be scrutinized for signals on future monetary policy direction. Positive US data or hawkish Fed commentary could bolster the US Dollar, impacting AUDUSD price dynamics significantly. Price Action: The AUD-USD H4 chart has exhibited bullish momentum after shaping a clear double-bottom pattern, indicating a significant trend reversal. The price has recently breached the lower boundary of its ascending channel and is currently attempting a pullback towards the previously broken support level at 0.62286. At present, price action remains within a key resistance zone. If bullish momentum persists and the resistance is convincingly broken, the next potential target would be the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Conversely, failure to break this resistance could push the pair down to retest the EMA21 line or further down to the key level at 0.62286. Key Technical Indicators: EMA 21: The EMA 21 line is currently below the price, providing dynamic support and confirming the ongoing bullish momentum. Traders should watch for interactions with this line as a potential turning point. Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR dots remain below the price candles, indicating bullish sentiment remains intact for now. Traders should look for any flips of SAR dots to signal possible short-term reversals. RSI: The RSI currently stands at 64.18, indicating moderately bullish momentum without being overbought. This suggests the pair may still have room for further upward movement before encountering significant selling pressure. MACD: The MACD histogram is positive but declining, hinting at diminishing bullish momentum. Traders should watch closely for a potential bearish crossover, which could signal the onset of a corrective move or bearish reversal. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Immediate dynamic support is at the EMA 21 line, followed by a key support level at 0.62286. Resistance: Current resistance lies within the range of 0.6370 to 0.6380, coinciding with recent price action highs. Further resistance could be encountered at the upper channel boundary around 0.6400-0.6410. Conclusion and Consideration: The AUD USD pair remains bullish on the H4 timeframe, supported by price action and technical indicators. Traders should closely monitor today's significant USD news events, which are likely to increase volatility and could influence directional moves. If resistance at the 0.6370-0.6380 zone breaks, traders can expect further bullish continuation towards the channel's upper boundary. However, caution is advised due to the weakening MACD momentum and potential fundamental disruptions. Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on AUDUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential. FXGlory 04.17.2025
- Today
-
Analisa Fundamental Harian Tickmill
maspluto replied to maspluto's topic in Forex Discussions & Help
Risiko Bearish USDJPY Saat Pembicaraan Dagang Dimulai Ingin Yen Menguat Lagi? Dolar AS berada di bawah tekanan baru hari ini karena kenaikan baru dalam aset safe haven menjadi sorotan di pertengahan minggu. Pasar bersiap untuk komentar dari ketua Fed Powell hari ini serta berita utama seputar negosiasi perdagangan yang dimulai hari ini antara pejabat Jepang dan AS. Ada banyak spekulasi seputar tingkat potensi nilai tukar untuk dimasukkan dalam pembicaraan dengan banyak pelaku pasar merasakan pembicaraan akan membuat kedua belah pihak menyetujui JPY yang lebih kuat sebagai bagian dari kesepakatan apa pun. Mengingat sentimen bearish saat ini dalam USD dan permintaan safe haven alami untuk JPY, kesepakatan semacam itu dapat menjadi bearish yang kuat untuk USDJPY hingga akhir minggu, membuka jalan bagi pergerakan turun ke level terendah 2024 berikutnya. Risiko Dovish USD dalam Pidato Powell Bersamaan dengan perbincangan dagang, pedagang juga akan membahas pendapat dari ketua Fed Powell yang berbicara hari ini. Setelah komentar yang sangat dovish dari Waller dari Fed di awal minggu ini, para pedagang bersiap menghadapi kemungkinan bahwa Powell menyuarakan sentimen dovish ini, yang akan menciptakan tekanan penurunan baru dalam USD jika terjadi. Setiap komentar dari Powell mengenai kekhawatiran terhadap prospek ekonomi AS sebagai akibat dari perang dagang seharusnya akan menggerakkan pasar secara khusus dengan USDJPY yang siap bergerak turun hari ini. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/bearish-usdjpy-risks-as-trade-talks-begin -
A solid plan and thorough preparation are key to trading comfortably and safely. With the right mindset and tools, traders can trade with confidence and security using Tickmill’s reliable platform.
-
Continuous education and practice are crucial for every trader. Tickmill offers educational resources that can significantly enhance your knowledge and readiness for trading in a real account.
-
There are many details to understand in the forex market. By staying curious and consistently learning, you’ll gain deeper insight into trading—just like I’ve experienced while trading with Tickmill.
-
Best forex risk management strategies
uncle gober replied to Nadilapars's topic in Forex Discussions & Help
It's important to continuously build and improve your skills in order to understand how to trade profitably. As long as you’re willing to try and keep learning, you’ll be able to transition confidently into live trading with Tickmill. -
Analisa Teknikal Harian Tickmill
uncle gober replied to uncle gober's topic in Forex Discussions & Help
Wawasan Kelembagaan: BofA - SPX butuh stabilitas/uji ulang ke titik terendah Analisis Harian SPX: Titik terendah "A" terbentuk, tetapi apakah akan ada pengujian ulang untuk membentuk titik terendah 1H? S&P 500 telah turun sebanyak 21,35% dari puncaknya tahun ini, menemukan dukungan dalam kisaran 4.835-5.000. Pasar beruang siklus historis sering kali menunjukkan pengujian ulang titik terendah untuk membentuk titik terendah yang lebih solid karena risiko dan ketakutan pasar berkurang. Hal ini diamati pada Q4 tahun 1987 ketika titik terendah diuji ulang enam minggu setelah Black Monday. Pengujian ulang atau titik terendah baru yang sederhana di area 5.000-4.700 dapat membentuk titik terendah di H1 dekat SMA 200-minggu yang meningkat dan menyelesaikan gelombang kelima yang lebih kecil, atau gelombang v dari C, diikuti oleh reli. Namun, pada akhir tahun 2018, setelah penurunan sebesar 20,21%, terbentuklah V-bottom, yang menimbulkan tantangan karena sering kali hanya terlihat jelas setelahnya dan memerlukan katalis bullish yang berkelanjutan untuk pemulihan. SPX Death Cross: Ketika SMA 50 hari melintasi di bawah SMA 200 hari, sinyal death cross dipicu. Secara historis, SPX telah mengalami 50 sinyal seperti itu dengan tren yang tidak meyakinkan setelahnya. Jika SMA 200 hari menurun saat sinyal terjadi, SPX cenderung menurun selama 15-20 hari perdagangan berikutnya dan naik 60 hingga 80 hari perdagangan berikutnya. Kita perlu memantau apakah SMA 200 hari menurun saat sinyal terjadi untuk menilai signifikansinya, yang menunjukkan potensi pengujian ulang posisi terendah YTD di Q2. Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/blog/institutional-insights-bofa-spx-in-need-of-stabilityretest-to-bottom -
official TickMill - tickmill.com
ViproMarket replied to uncle gober's topic in Forex Brokers [Reviews & Updates]
Trading bebas hambatan dengan spread super rendah di ujung jemari Anda Download aplikasi mobile iOS atau Android dan trading di 600+ aset CFD dengan spread super rendah serta komisi terendah di pasar. Buat akun di Tickmill dan buka Akun Tickmill Trader untuk mengakses Akun Demo dan Live Anda, semuanya dari satu tempat! Selengkapnya lihat disini => https://www.tickmill.com/id/trading-platforms/tickmill-trader -
Long-term forex trading requires patience and risk management. While low leverage preserves capital, it limits short-term gains. XeroMarkets sounds solid—quality education and fast transactions are key for sustainable trading. Keep adapting your strategy!
- Yesterday
-
Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore
Capitalcore replied to Capitalcore's topic in Forex News & Analysis
BTCUSD Daily Chart Analysis and Trading Opportunities BTC/USD, commonly referred to as "Bitcoin," is one of the most actively traded cryptocurrency pairs in the forex and cryptocurrency markets. Known for its volatility, Bitcoin attracts traders focusing on price action, fundamental factors, and daily technical analysis. Today's fundamental outlook is particularly influenced by significant upcoming USD news events, including the Treasury International Capital (TIC) report, which reflects foreign investment flows into US securities, and speeches from FOMC members Jeffrey Schmid and Michael Barr, which may signal monetary policy shifts. Additionally, traders should closely watch initial jobless claims and housing sector data (building permits and housing starts), as these can heavily impact the strength of the USD, indirectly influencing BTC/USD movements. Generally, a more hawkish tone from FOMC speakers or positive economic indicators will strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring BTC/USD lower, whereas weaker US data could provide bullish support to Bitcoin. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the provided BTC/USD H4 chart reveals mixed signals. Although the overall longer-term trend remains bearish, recent price action has been trending upward within a bullish parallel channel. Currently, BTC/USD is navigating between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, closely aligned with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which are tightening, signaling a potential upcoming breakout or strong price movement. The MACD histogram shows decreased momentum and possible convergence, indicating weakening bullish pressure, and the Volatility OHLC indicator suggests decreasing volatility. Traders should closely monitor these indicators, as tightened Bollinger Bands alongside decreasing volatility and MACD convergence often precede substantial price movements, making the next sessions critical for BTC/USD price action. • DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore -
AUD/USD extends gains, could it reach the 200-day MA? The AUDUSD currency pair on Wednesday drew a bullish candle with a lower high. The price formed a high of 0.63911 low of 0.63222, and closed at 0.63727. This increase extended the bullish sentiment of AUDUSD that started on April 9, where AUDUSD collapsed at a low of 0.559134. The bullish sentiment on AUDUSD gives hope that it can reach the resistance level based on the 200-day MA at 0.64795. However, it must be able to pass the resistance of 0.63084, which is the high price on February 21. The previous increase was driven by optimism around China's GDP, which grew 5.4% year-on-year in Q1, beating estimates. However, this rebound remains fragile amid ongoing US-China trade tensions and the Aussie's role as a proxy for Chinese demand. The trade war remains a key issue for the Australian dollar, given Australia’s close economic ties with China and its heavy reliance on commodity exports, which increases its exposure to these tensions. President Trump’s decision to impose tariffs of between 10% and 50% has sparked talk of retaliatory measures, raising fears of a full-blown trade war. Such a development could dampen global growth, push up consumer prices, and complicate central bank policy decisions. The US-China trade war has been the most in the spotlight for economists, with President Trump imposing tariffs of 145% on certain Chinese goods. China retaliated shortly after with tariffs of 125% on US goods imported into China, up from 84%. This has again angered the US, which has threatened to impose tariffs of 245%, as China has retaliated with increased tariffs. Australia’s strategists say the Australian dollar remains a barometer of the US-China trade dispute. The RBA is likely to ease policy in May, but the main driver of the AUD will be developments in the commodity trade. Domestically, the Australian economy is facing pressure from global decoupling, and an expected RBA interest rate cut in May could limit upside potential. The dollar index, which is the benchmark for the USD against six major currencies, is still weakening. The DXY shows a bearish sentiment with a bearish candle with a low of 99.174 failing to extend its recovery after reaching a high of 100.104. The DXY is moving away from the 20-day MA, which reflects a strong bearish sentiment. US retail sales showed an increase of 1.4% MoM in March, slightly above expectations, while retail sales YoY rose 4.6%. On the other hand, China's Q1 GDP surprised to the upside at 5.4% YoY; March activity indicators also beat estimates. The RBA is expected to cut rates in May, although China's proxy status makes the AUD vulnerable to external headwinds. However, Governor Michele Bullock highlighted the challenge of bringing inflation back within the 2-3% target. This decision is generally considered hawkish, reducing the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut at the May 20 meeting from 80% to 70%. Today, investors will highlight some important economic data, Employment Change and Unemployment Rate in Australia, which may trigger the movement of AUD today. On the other hand, the US will also release Unemployment Claims data, which is expected to increase slightly. And what is awaited is the speech of Fed Chair Powell, who speaks on the economic outlook at the Economic Club of Chicago, which may give subtle hints that are hawkish or dovish and can trigger market speculation.
-
Came across the Minutes Network Token $MNTX airdrop and joined earlier today. Simple setup, 150 winners get between 5 to 500 USDT worth of tokens. Link here if anyone wants to take a look: https://gleam.io/dSoLk/minutes-network-token-mntx-airdrop Closes April 22, 23:59 (UTC+8) I usually just track where these tokens end up trading in this case I’ll likely manage it through BingX, since I already use it for smaller listings. Just sharing in case others here are following new drops too.
-
Been seeing many Noob Traders confused on how the two trading Avenues we have in crypto, trading offers two primary avenues: spot trading and futures trading. Each caters to different strategies and risk levels, but futures trading’s leverage gives it an edge for those chasing substantial profits Spot trading involves buying or selling cryptocurrencies at current market prices, with immediate settlement. You own the asset, like 0.1 BTC or DARK tokens, stored in your wallet. It’s straightforward, low-risk, and suits beginners or long-term investors. Gains rely on price increases, and losses are limited to your investment. For example, with $1,000, you buy DARK at $1 per token (1,000 DARK). If DARK rises to $1.10, your holding is worth $1,100, yielding a $100 profit (10% return). If it drops to $0.90, you lose $100 but can hold for recovery. Spot trading, including DARK on BingX, lacks leverage, so profits are proportional to price moves. Futures trading involves speculating on an asset’s future price via contracts, without owning the asset. Leverage lets you control large positions with small capital (e.g., 10x, 50x, or up to 125x on BingX). This magnifies profits and losses, making futures high-risk, high-reward. BingX’s listing of DARK/USDT Perpetual Futures allows traders to leverage DARK’s price movements, going long (price rises) or short (price falls). For instance, with $1,000 at 10x leverage, you control a $10,000 DARK position. A 5% price increase nets $500 profit (50% return), versus $50 in spot trading. However, a 5% drop loses $500, risking liquidation. DARK’s futures listing on BingX, announced April 15, 2025, taps into its high volume and 111% 24-hour surge, offering traders a volatile asset to amplify gains. Futures’ leverage is the key to “real monies.” A 2% move with 50x leverage doubles your investment, while spot trading yields just 2%. With $5,000, a 10% DARK rally nets $500 in spot but $10,000 in futures at 20x leverage. Futures also offer capital efficiency, market flexibility (long/short), and strategies like hedging. what's your thought on both and which do you like using ?
-
Minutes Network Token ($MNTX) is stepping into a fairly overlooked niche telecom infrastructure via blockchain. The team claims over 400 interconnects globally, with known names like Skype, Lyca, and Lebara in the mix. If accurate, that’s a solid footprint. From a tokenomics angle, 70% of rewards go to node operators and stakers, split between Switch and Validation roles. Supply is capped at 500M tokens, which at least signals some attempt at emission control. Now live on BingX, and they’ve thrown in a limited airdrop with up to 500 USDT per winner, though that's mostly for traders completing tasks. Might be worth tracking for those who follow real-world integrations, but as always, time will tell if this one moves beyond buzzwords.