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official Daily Market Analysis From Forexmart.eu
KostiaForexMart replied to Andrea FXMart's topic in Forex News & Analysis
The Market Will Face Reality How quickly things change on the financial markets! Before America's Liberation Day, investors viewed the 10% universal import tariff as disastrous. Now, it's seen as the most favorable option. The S&P 500 has climbed 14% from its April lows, erasing all losses since the imposition of the highest U.S. tariffs since the early 20th century. But is this justified, considering the tariff burden remains at very high levels despite being reduced? Most of the spring rally in the S&P 500 was emotionally driven. Investors were buying the rumor that the April 2 tariffs were the peak and would soon be lowered, making it an "ideal" time to buy stocks. According to Bank of America, the time has come to "sell the fact," meaning the upward movement of the broad equity index is likely over. This is supported by Bloomberg's model tracking S&P 500 corporate earnings, which has now moved into the red zone, indicating a potential deterioration in financial results. Historically, this does not bode well for equities. In seven previous cases when the index entered the red zone, the S&P 500 dropped by an average of 5.6% over the following 12 months. S&P 500 Companies' Expected Earnings Trajectory This seems quite plausible. Donald Trump believes that reducing tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 80% would be "fair"—but only if China reopens access to its markets for U.S. companies. According to Bloomberg, S&P 500 companies on average earn 6.1% of their revenue from selling goods in China or to Chinese companies. Beijing's 125% retaliatory tariffs would significantly worsen their financial performance. Bilateral trade between the U.S. and China is valued at $700 billion. China has invested $1.4 trillion in the U.S. An escalation of the trade war would be harmful not only to the largest Asian economy, whose exports are already suffering, but also to the U.S. Growing recession risks would exert serious pressure on the S&P 500. China's Export, Import, and Trade Balance Dynamics In this context, statements from White House officials about progress in U.S.-China negotiations—and a potential agreement whose details may be announced on Monday—sounded like music to the ears of stock market bulls. Still, the market has long been driven by emotion. Is it now time to face the truth? The trade war threatens both economic growth and corporate profits. Against this backdrop, the stock market rally appears excessive. Technically, on the daily chart, the S&P 500 shows a high probability of forming a bearish reversal pattern known as Anti-Turtles, highlighted by a candlestick with a long upper shadow. A drop below 5635 would trigger a sell signal for the broad index. -
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naale replied to naale's topic in Crypto Investing Opportunities (Websites & Apps)
https://bscscan.com/tx/0xdce1e7c52ba6c5f4f877cb877fd1d806d3fbff4522fdf2124e424637acbc2d59 39.69 USDT May-13-2025 12:35:30 AM UTC -
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Daily Market Analysis and Overview by Unitedpips
Unitedpips replied to Unitedpips's topic in Forex News & Analysis
Understanding GBP/USD: Daily Technical Outlook and Market Insights Introduction to GBPUSD The GBP-USD pair, popularly known as "The Cable," is among the most actively traded currency pairs globally. Representing the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling and the U.S. Dollar, it is frequently influenced by economic data from the United Kingdom and the United States. Traders closely monitor GBP/USD movements, as fluctuations can indicate broader market sentiment and economic stability. GBP/USD Market Overview The GBP USD pair currently exhibits a mixed trading environment influenced by recent economic indicators and market sentiment. Recent UK economic data, including the British Retail Consortium (BRC) Retail Sales and employment indicators such as Jobless Claims and Average Earnings, have contributed to volatility. Optimism from stable retail sales has provided some support to the Pound, while mixed signals from labor market data have led to uncertainty. Upcoming speeches from Bank of England (BoE) officials, including Governor Andrew Bailey, are closely monitored for indications of monetary policy direction. Meanwhile, U.S. CPI data, reflecting stable inflation trends, is strengthening the Dollar, potentially limiting GBP gains. Traders should remain alert to shifts in economic sentiment from both the UK and the US. GBP-USD Technical Analysis Analyzing the daily chart, GBP/USD has approached the lower boundary of an ascending channel, coinciding precisely with the bottom Bollinger Band. This convergence typically signals strong support at current levels (around 1.3175), suggesting a potential bullish rebound. The Fisher oscillator shows an oversold scenario, indicating a potential upcoming reversal to the upside. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48, a neutral stance that allows room for upward movement if buying momentum picks up. Traders should watch closely for a bounce or break scenario at this crucial support to determine future trading strategies. Final words about GBP vs USD Considering the technical indicators and current fundamental landscape, GBP/USD seems poised for a potential short-term rebound from current support levels, though caution is advised due to mixed economic signals. Traders should closely monitor BoE Governor Bailey’s remarks and upcoming employment and inflation data from both nations for clarity on the pair’s direction. Risk management remains essential due to the potential for increased volatility. Overall, GBPUSD will likely remain sensitive to economic news and sentiment shifts, making strategic positioning critical. 05.13.2025 -
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mixpepper22 replied to mixpepper22's topic in Crypto Investing Opportunities (Websites & Apps)
https://tronscan.org/#/transaction/59b38ff42e0bcf75ef6b2c00b5f4140adcde6f2c74bcf1cdc50072126e520b7e 2025-05-12 06:05:18 (UTC) 2 USDT -
Why Board Games are Making a Comeback in the Digital Age?
DediRock replied to abirami's topic in General Money Making Chat
Absolutely, the digital adaptation of board games like Monopoly and Scrabble is really bringing a fresh wave of engagement! It’s fascinating how tech is transforming this classic pastime. -
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sendong replied to mitul's topic in Forex Brokers [Reviews & Updates]
not familiar with python, i just got into coding and using AI mostly for mt5 and doing some back testing. nothing fruitful so far though -
Date: 13th May 2025. US-China Deal Eases Recession Fears, Goldman Raises 2025 Targets. Investors continue to focus on the weekend's trade deal between the US and China which continues to prompt vital trends. The agreement between the two largest economies changes the outlook for almost all assets. Although investors will also start to turn their focus to a pending trade agreement with the EU and this week’s inflation data. Global Stocks Rebound Aiming To Fully Regain Previous Losses The global stock market rose significantly after the announcement of a trade deal with China to lower tariffs. You can find the details of the agreement in yesterday’s article. The SNP500 rose 3.26% and has regained 79% of the stock market crash from March-April. Of the most influential components (stocks within the SNP500) 82% rose in value with mainly defensive stocks declining. Defensive stocks include Philip Morris, Johnson & Johnson and Coca-Cola. Due to the trade agreement most economies have lowered their projections for a recession in 2025. Previously economists were advising a 30-50% chance of a recession in the second half of the year. However, these projections have now significantly fallen and will do further if the US and EU also sign a trade agreement. In today’s early hours Goldman Sachs advised it is increasing its target within the stock market. Goldman Sachs strategists, such as David Kostin, now project the SNP500 to potentially rise to $6,500 within the next 12 months. Previously the estimate was between $6,100-6,200. However, analysts also note that the US-China agreement is still temporary and will expire in 89 days. In the short-term, investors will be laser focused on the Consumer Price Index (inflation). The CPI is due to be made public at 12:30 GMT. Analysts expect the US inflation rate to remain at 2.4%. If the rate reads as expected or lower, the stock market potentially can further rise as economists will expect a Federal Reserve rate cut. GBPUSD - The Pound Struggles Despite Positive Employment Data The US Dollar has been the best performing currency of the week as investors return to the Greenback. This is largely due to the trade agreement with China and investors correcting previous market pricings. However, the USD is retracing lower on Tuesday giving back some od this week’s gains. The Great British Pound on the other hand is also supported by the latest employment data from this morning. Although this has not been mirrored on the price. The UK Claimant Count Change fell to +5,200 and the Average Earnings Index read 5.5%. Both announcements were better than previous expectations. However, the GBP still remains the worst performing currency of the day so far after the USD. Yesterday, Bank of England Monetary Policy Director Megan Green stated that while wage and consumer price growth continues to slow, the figures remain meaningful. However, she also noted a rise in medium-term inflation expectations among the public. Gold Forms a Retracement Pattern and Obtains A Divergence Indication The price of Gold rose 0.88% on Tuesday almost fully correcting the bearish price action from Monday, bar the bearish price gap. Currently, the metal is finding support at the $3,201.00 support level from April 12th and May 1st. However, the upward price movement of the day is forming a similar pattern to previous retracements. Therefore, it is vital for Gold traders to note that the price movement could either be a retracement or change in trend. Currently, in terms of fundamentals, the data is indicating a bearish bias, although some positive factors remain. For example, if the Federal Reserve starts to take a more dovish tone due to the trade deal, Gold may continue to be used as a hedge against inflation. However, if countries continue signing trade deals and Ukraine and Russia reach an agreement in Thursday’s negotiations, renewed bearish momentum might hit Gold. According to the White House, President Trump may possibly attend the negotiations on Thursday between Ukraine and Russia. Key Takeaway Points: The weekend trade agreement between the US and China has boosted investor confidence and shifted the outlook across global assets, reducing recession fears for 2025. Global stock markets surged, with the S&P 500 up 3.26%. Defensive stocks underperformed, while 82% of components posted gains. Investor attention now turns to today’s US CPI data and the potential US-EU trade agreement. A softer inflation reading could trigger Fed rate cut expectations. The US Dollar leads among currencies but is slightly retracing. The Pound is supported by strong UK jobs data but remains one of the day’s weaker performers. Gold rose 0.88% Tuesday but remains at risk of renewed bearish pressure if global trade deals continue and Ukraine-Russia negotiations succeed. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Quppy replied to Quppy's topic in Crypto Wallets & Payments [Reviews & Updates]
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BTC/USD Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 05.13.2025 Time Zone: GMT +3 Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4) Fundamental Analysis: Today, BTCUSD's price action is closely influenced by upcoming economic releases from the United States, including the NFIB Small Business Index and Core CPI data. A higher-than-expected NFIB Small Business Index could strengthen the USD, placing downward pressure on BTCUSD. Meanwhile, market participants keenly await the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, given its critical impact on inflation expectations and potential Federal Reserve actions. A higher CPI reading may boost USD strength, potentially pressuring BTC downward. Price Action: BTC-USD analysis on the H4 timeframe continues to display an uptrend, currently undergoing a correction phase. Recently, BTCUSD reached a strong support zone evidenced by a confluence of the horizontal support level and ascending trend line. The formation of a doji candle at this support zone indicates market indecision, highlighting the critical nature of this technical level. Traders should closely monitor subsequent candles to confirm price direction. Key Technical Indicators: Volume: Volume indicators suggest moderate trading activity. While volume decreased slightly during the latest corrective candles, a spike in buying volume near current support would significantly reinforce bullish sentiment, confirming potential reversal points. Parabolic SAR: Currently, the Parabolic SAR dots are positioned above the price action, suggesting short-term bearish pressure. However, their proximity to price action hints that a reversal may be imminent should the price stabilize and rise from the support zone. MFI (Money Flow Index): The MFI currently stands at 55.77, indicating balanced market participation with room for further buying or selling pressure. It suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, supporting the potential for price stabilization and subsequent bullish momentum from the current support zone. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram shows a diminishing bullish momentum, indicating a weakening uptrend in the short term. Traders should watch for a bullish crossover of the MACD and signal line to validate potential upward continuation. Support and Resistance: Support: Immediate support is identified at $10142.09–$10279.95, strengthened by a historical consolidation area and the ascending trend line. Resistance: The immediate resistance levels to watch are around the recent high near $105786.14, with further resistance observed at historical peaks above this area. Conclusion and Consideration: BTCUSD on the H4 chart currently shows a corrective phase within an overall bullish trend, supported by key indicators like Volume, Parabolic SAR, MFI, and MACD. Today's significant economic data releases from the U.S. pose potential volatility, likely affecting BTC USD movements sharply. Traders should cautiously observe the critical support zone at current levels for potential reversal signals, while maintaining awareness of U.S. economic indicators which could heavily influence the BTCUSD pair. Disclaimer: The analysis provided for BTC/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on BTCUSD Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential. FXGlory 05.13.2025
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Forex News & Analysis
Japan’s economy under pressure, USDJPY poised to surge The downward revision of Japan’s GDP forecast may propel the USDJPY pair towards the 149.50 level. Discover more in our analysis for 13 May 2025. USDJPY technical analysis On the H4 chart, the USDJPY price tested the upper Bollinger Band and formed a Hanging Man reversal pattern, hovering around 147.60. It may now form a corrective wave following the signal from the pattern. Since the price remains within an ascending channel, it could reach 146.80. Coupled with the USDJPY technical analysis, the decline in Japan’s economic data suggests a correction towards 146.80 before growth. Read more - USDJPY Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Forex News & Analysis
EURUSD tumbles to the 1.1100 area; will the decline continue? The EURUSD pair plunged to 1.1100 following the US-China agreement on reducing reciprocal tariffs. Today's spotlight is on the US inflation report. Find more details in our analysis for 13 May 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: today’s highlight is the US April inflation statistics, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for release Current trend: a downtrend prevails EURUSD forecast for 13 May 2025: 1.1200 and 1.1000 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD pair continues to decline as the US dollar gains strength amid optimism over a de-escalation in the US-China trade dispute. The two countries agreed to a 90-day reduction in tariffs after talks in Geneva, signalling a meaningful thaw in trade tensions that had intensified last month. Today, all eyes are on the US CPI data for April. The consensus forecasts suggest an increase of 0.3% month-on-month and 2.4% year-on-year. Any substantial deviation from these expectations could fuel heightened volatility in the EURUSD pair. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team