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XAU/USD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 06.30.2025 Time Zone: GMT +3 Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4) Fundamental Analysis: Today’s USD news events are anticipated to bring volatility to XAUUSD. The Chicago PMI, released by ISM-Chicago, will be closely monitored; a reading above forecasts could strengthen the USD, putting bearish pressure on gold prices. Moreover, speeches by Federal Reserve officials Raphael Bostic and Austan Goolsbee will significantly influence market sentiment. Hawkish comments hinting at future interest rate hikes could further pressure gold, typically negatively correlated with rising interest rates. Price Action: XAUUSD price action analysis in the H4 timeframe indicates a clear downward trajectory, having broken two key support lines recently. However, the latest candle formation, a bullish hammer, suggests potential bullish reaction at the third support line. Traders should watch for a possible pullback toward previously broken support levels, now acting as resistance, or monitor signs of a bullish reversal concluding the correction phase. Key Technical Indicators: Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR dots remain positioned above the candles, confirming an ongoing bearish trend. However, the recent tightening proximity to price suggests weakening bearish momentum, potentially signaling a reversal or pullback soon. Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic currently resides near oversold territory, indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure. Traders should watch for bullish crossovers as signs of possible upward correction or reversal. MACD: MACD continues below the zero line, indicating a bearish environment. Nevertheless, the decreasing histogram bars suggest the bearish momentum is gradually weakening, hinting at a potential bullish divergence forming. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator, currently at approximately 30.62, is hovering close to oversold levels, suggesting limited room for additional bearish moves. A reversal from this area could provide bullish entry signals. Support and Resistance: Support: Immediate support is observed near 3264.08, corresponding to recent lows and potential demand zone. Resistance: Initial resistance is marked around 3294.25, aligning with previously broken support levels acting as new resistance. Conclusion and Consideration: The XAU-USD H4 technical and fundamental daily chart analysis suggests the potential for a bullish correction or reversal given the oversold technical conditions indicated by RSI and Stochastic. However, upcoming economic events related to USD can introduce volatility, significantly influencing gold’s short-term direction. Traders should cautiously monitor both fundamental developments and price action confirmations around identified support and resistance levels. Disclaimer: The analysis provided for XAU/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on XAUUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential. FXGlory 06.30.2025

AUDUSD 4H Chart Signals Reversal Potential The AUD/USD forex pair, commonly known as the "Aussie," is one of the most actively traded pairs in the market, influenced heavily by commodity prices, interest rate expectations, and macroeconomic data from both Australia and the U.S. Today’s focus is on the Melbourne Institute CPI and Private Sector Credit releases, which could boost the Australian Dollar if inflation and credit data surprise to the upside. Meanwhile, the U.S. Chicago PMI and speeches from Fed officials Bostic and Goolsbee may strengthen the USD if they adopt a hawkish stance, making today crucial for short-term AUD-USD direction based on these key economic drivers. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. As observed in the AUD/USD 4-hour chart, the pair has been experiencing a broader bullish trend over the long term, albeit with intermittent corrections. Recently, price action surged strongly from the 0.63755 support zone, aligning with a significant volume increase, and is now retracing slightly after touching the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands. The latest candle is green and has rebounded from the middle Bollinger Band and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6511—indicating renewed bullish momentum that could drive the AUD USD price toward the upper Bollinger Band and the key psychological resistance at the 1.000 Fibonacci level (~0.6580). However, the recent red volume bars suggest selling pressure, which warrants caution. The MACD line is slightly above the signal line but flattening, while the histogram shows weakening bullish momentum—traders should watch for confirmation before further upside continuation. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

USD/CNH steady in the range of 7.1678 amid Yuan campaign On Friday, the offshore Yuan pair USDCNH drew a bullish candle with a slight shadow on the top candle. The price formed a high of 7.1748, a low of 7.1598, and a close of 7.1707. It is steady between the middle and lower bands of the contracting Bollinger bands. Amid the USD challenges, China is trying to seize the moment to globalize the Yuan as doubts grow about the USD. According to Bloomberg, Chinese policymakers see erratic US decision-making and geopolitical tensions as the most favorable backdrop in recent years to promote the yuan. The move is aimed at facilitating trade and opening up China's financial markets and embedding the yuan deeper in investment flows. China's central bank governor Pan Gongsheng envisioned a new global currency order in which the US dollar plays a smaller role and the Yuan plays a major role in global capital flows. He plans to set up an international operations center for the digital yuan in Shanghai. In 2025, the Chinese government is targeting 5% growth, and in the first quarter recorded a 5.4% year-on-year expansion, higher than the 5.1% expectation. However, official annual growth is estimated at 4.5% to 5% by institutions such as the OECD (4.7%), Goldman (4.0%), and Moody's (3.8%), which projected a slightly lower figure. In the economic sector, industrial and export performance declined in May due to weak demand and tariff pressures. The property sector is also still weak; the Evergrande & Country Garden crisis was exacerbated by liquidation to large-scale restructuring, and this sector is a major drag on growth. Household consumption is -39% of GDP, but stimulus and trade-in have boosted consumer spending. PPI is negative, and consumer inflation remains low; there is a risk of deflation due to weak domestic demand. Trade tensions with the US continue to be an external and geopolitical challenge. However, on the other hand, energy diversification has helped reduce vulnerability to global supply disruptions. China's long-term challenges include an aging population, a drastically declining ratio of workers to retirees, and hampered productivity. Suboptimal services in the transformation of the economy from industrial exports to consumption and dependence on foreign technology, especially semiconductors, continue even though the Made in China 2025 program has shown success in high technology such as EV, AI, solar, etc. Today, CFLP (China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing) will release Manufacturing PMI data with expectations of 49.6 from the previous revision of 49.5.

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I recently took part in the $DMC price prediction event on BingX, and it’s turned out to be more insightful than expected. Beyond the rewards, it feels like a live test of how well you can read market sentiment and short-term volatility. Right now, BTC is holding around $107.5K and ETH near $2.44K, fairly stable but $DMC has corrected heavily to $0.0038 from its June high, opening potential for a bounce. What makes this event interesting is that $DMC is tied to real world use cases like EV reservations and on chain tracking via DeLorean Labs. The contest reminds me of Kalshi-style prediction markets, where community sentiment often aligns with real outcomes. Even if you don’t win, you walk away with a clearer understanding of price behavior, narrative momentum, and how macro shifts affect micro caps like $DMC. Definitely more than just a guessing game. Anyone else here trying this? Curious to hear how you approached your guess. Did you go with technicals, gut, sentiment… or a mix?

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