Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

US500 Price Action Near Upper Band

The US500 CFD, more widely known as the S&P 500 Index and nicknamed “the Spoos” in futures pits, is the marquee gauge of U.S. equity performance and is quoted in forex platforms against the U.S. dollar. Heading into today’s session, sentiment hinges on a heavy U.S. macro docket: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack’s balance-sheet remarks, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and the twin Durable Goods Orders prints will test the economy’s resilience, while Existing Home Sales, IMF meetings in Washington and the EIA’s natural-gas inventory update round out the risks. A hawkish tone from Hammack or upbeat orders data could strengthen the USD, lift Treasury yields and curb stock-market enthusiasm, whereas softer prints or dovish rhetoric may revive risk appetite—so traders should brace for volatility in US500 price action as technical and fundamental forces collide on the daily chart.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the H4 timeframe, the US500 remains in a short-term bullish trend: price punched through the mid-Bollinger Band, tagged the upper band near 5450, then pulled back with two modest red candles before today’s green bar reclaimed higher ground around 5420. The bands have started to widen, signalling expanding volatility, and the most recent fractal highs sit just above price, flagging nearby resistance. Beneath the candles, the MACD histogram has crossed back above zero and the signal lines are tilting positive, while RSI hovers at 60—bullish but shy of overbought territory. Collectively, this technical setup supports a cautiously constructive bias toward the 5500 area, provided the index holds above the 20-period moving average (mid-band) near 5310; a failure there would expose deeper retracement toward 5150.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

[Capitalcore]

GOLDUSD H4 Bollinger Band Price Action Outlook

GOLDUSD —quoted on trading platforms as XAU / USD and nicknamed the “yellow metal”—tracks the value of one troy ounce of gold against the U.S. dollar, making it a premier barometer for global risk sentiment and dollar liquidity. Today’s fundamental landscape is dominated by three USD-centric events: Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari’s Q&A, the final April University of Michigan consumer-sentiment and 1-year inflation-expectation releases, and wide-ranging IMF meetings in Washington. A hawkish tilt from Kashkari or stronger-than-forecast sentiment/inflation prints would likely firm Treasury yields and the greenback, pressuring XAU/USD; conversely, any dovish hints or soft data could revive safe-haven demand for gold ahead of weekend IMF headlines. Traders eyeing XAUUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis should therefore brace for headline-driven volatility in today’s price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the GOLD/USD H4 chart, price rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band near $3,280 after a swift pullback from the upper band record around $3,480. The latest candles show a mild bullish correction toward the 20-period middle band (~$3,350), which aligns with the rising 20-SMA and may act as immediate resistance. Momentum signals are stabilizing: the MACD histogram is contracting toward zero with its signal lines curling upward, hinting at a potential bullish crossover, while the RSI has recovered to 52, indicating improving—but still neutral—bullish momentum. A sustained close above the middle band and the recent swing high at $3,365 would expose the $3,420–$3,480 resistance zone; failure to clear that area could invite renewed selling back to $3,300 and the lower Bollinger Band. Watch how the upcoming USD news flow shapes this GOLD USD price action narrative on the four-hour timeframe.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore