Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

USDCHF H4 Fundamental and Price Action Insights

The USDCHF currency pair, often nicknamed the "Swissie," represents the US Dollar against the Swiss Franc and is a popular pair among forex traders due to its stability and safe-haven characteristics. In today’s market outlook, the focus is on USDCHF fundamental and technical setups, integrating core elements from the EURCHF daily chart technical and fundamental analysis to gain deeper price action insights. From a fundamental perspective, today's economic calendar is packed with high-impact events, notably the US Core Durable Goods Orders and Durable Goods Orders, both of which are expected to show weakness compared to previous readings, possibly increasing downside pressure on the US Dollar. Furthermore, speeches from FOMC members Kashkari and Musalem could inject volatility, especially if they hint at future rate policy changes. On the Swiss side, traders will keep an eye on the SNB Quarterly Bulletin and UBS Economic Expectations, which may boost the Franc if the tone remains cautious or dovish. In the context of EURCHF analysis, increased safe-haven demand for CHF may spill over into USDCHF, further supporting a bearish outlook.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Technically analyzing the USDCHF H4 chart, the pair has been riding a bearish wave and currently trades below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a dominant downtrend. The price action is now approaching the cloud once again, indicating a potential retest phase which could either lead to a rejection or a reversal. The RSI indicator reveals bearish divergence, suggesting momentum is weakening despite minor upward moves, strengthening the bearish case. This setup presents sellers with a promising opportunity to consider short positions, particularly if price gets rejected from the lower edge of the cloud. This aligns well with overall bearish sentiment observed in EURCHF daily chart technical and fundamental analysis, enhancing the probability of further downside in USDCHF price action.

 

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

[Capitalcore]

Bearish Momentum Builds On ND100_NASDAQ

ND100_NASDAQ, commonly referred to by traders as “NQ,” is a premier benchmark for US technology stocks, reflecting market sentiment toward major tech giants. With a series of high-impact US economic events on the horizon, including speeches by US President Donald Trump about auto tariffs, quarterly GDP figures, Jobless Claims, and other key data points such as Trade in Goods and Pending Home Sales, the ND100_NASDAQ daily chart technical and fundamental analysis is poised for heightened volatility. Investors will be closely monitoring how these announcements shape risk appetite and price action, as GDP and labor-market indicators can significantly shift market sentiment, while any unexpected policy comments from the White House could further influence the overall outlook for this tech-heavy index.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the ND100_NASDAQ H4 chart, the last seven candles have been decisively bearish, all printing in red and pushing the price action down to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This move appears to be breaking below that Fib support and heading toward the 0 Fib area, aligning with the Ichimoku cloud. Although the candles remain above the cloud for now, the current bearish momentum is driving them closer to a potential retest of this zone, signaling a possible trend shift. Both the MACD and RSI also reflect weakening momentum, reinforcing the bearish tone in the ND100 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

BTCUSD Market Reaction to USD Data

Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold,” is the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and its pairing with the US dollar (BTCUSD) remains a pivotal benchmark in both cryptocurrency and forex markets. With several major US economic events scheduled today—including Federal Reserve speeches by Thomas Barkin, Michael Barr, and Raphael Bostic, as well as key data releases such as the Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income, and Personal Spending—the US dollar may experience notable volatility that could influence BTCUSD daily chart technical and fundamental analysis. Hawkish signals regarding interest rates, or shifts in inflation and consumer spending, may drive significant price action in this cryptocurrency pair as traders weigh the potential for tighter monetary policy and broader market sentiment.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
n the BTCUSD H4 chart, the price is exhibiting slightly bullish momentum, moving above the Ichimoku cloud between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels and heading toward the 0.618 level, which could serve as the first resistance. A stronger resistance appears at the 0.5 Fib level, while the green Ichimoku cloud’s upper and lower boundaries are moving horizontally, suggesting caution. Meanwhile, MACD and RSI indicators point to ongoing bullish potential, though traders should monitor any break above these resistance zones to confirm further upward price action in BTCUSD daily chart technical analysis.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

UK100 Technical Analysis Before Breakout

The UK100, commonly referred to as the FTSE 100 Index or simply the "Footsie", represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange by market capitalization. It serves as a key benchmark for the performance of major UK equities and is often influenced by both domestic economic indicators and global market trends. In today's fundamental outlook, attention turns to three key economic metrics released by the Bank of England: money supply, mortgage approvals, and consumer credit. All three are forward-looking indicators tied closely to consumer and business confidence. If today's figures surpass expectations, it would suggest improved economic momentum, supporting the GBP and potentially fueling further upside in the FTSE 100 through stronger corporate earnings expectations. However, any disappointment in these data points may pressure sentiment and dampen near-term price action on the UK100 daily chart.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, the UK100 H4 chart reveals a classic symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation following an earlier bullish move. Currently, the price is hovering near the ascending trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce—especially if it holds. A breakout above the descending resistance line could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend. The Parabolic SAR shows the last four dots forming below the candles, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) sits at around 45.71, showing a neutral to slightly bearish stance, yet not oversold, leaving room for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows a slight bearish crossover, indicating weakened momentum but not an aggressive downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction around the triangle's lower trendline and watch for a breakout confirmation in either direction on this UK100 H4 price action setup.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore