RBFX Support Posted March 24 Author Posted March 24 (edited) Gold is losing its crown: why the dollar is now at its peak while XAUUSD is falling After the decline, gold (XAUUSD) is attempting to recover, with quotes testing the 4,370 USD mark. Discover more in our analysis for 24 March 2026 XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways US manufacturing PMI: previously at 51.6, projected at 51.5 US services PMI: previously at 51.7, projected at 52.0 XAUUSD forecast for 24 March 2026: 4,612 Fundamental analysis Today’s XAUUSD price forecast shows that gold prices continue their corrective wave, currently hovering around the 4,370 USD per ounce level. Yesterday, 23 March, the market went on a real rollercoaster ride: prices first plummeted below 4,100 USD, breaking through five support levels in a row, and then sharply surged by more than 300 USD on news from the White House. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited March 24 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted March 25 Author Posted March 25 (edited) USDJPY is testing 160.00: can BoJ statements withstand the dollar’s rise After the publication of the BoJ meeting minutes, the yen continues to lose ground, with quotes testing the 159.00 mark. More details are in our analysis for 25 March 2026. USDJPY forecast: key takeaways The minutes of the Bank of Japan’s January meeting have been published The oil shock is choking Japan’s economy USDJPY forecast for 25 March 2026: 160.00 Fundamental analysis The forecast for 25 March 2026 looks positive for the USD, as the USDJPY pair is forming an upward wave after a correction and may continue to rise. At the moment, quotes are trading around the 159.00 mark. This morning, the minutes of the Bank of Japan’s January meeting were published, and they turned out to be far more hawkish than the market had expected. The document is literally filled with the regulator’s determination to tighten monetary policy. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited March 25 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted March 26 Author Posted March 26 (edited) Brent oil prices back at 100 USD: what is hidden behind Iran’s threats and geopolitics After falling sharply, Brent prices are recovering and testing the 100.00 USD mark. Find out more in our analysis for 26 March 2026. Brent forecast: key takeaways Iraq and its neighbours are being forced to cut oil production Oil continues to trade on the news Brent forecast for 26 March 2026: 105.50 Fundamental analysis The Brent fundamental analysis for today, 26 March 2026, takes into account that Brent crude is playing a dangerous pricing game, recovering the previous session’s losses amid contradictory signals about negotiations between the US and Iran. In the morning, oil prices again moved above the 100 USD per barrel mark. The main narrative of today is the market’s understanding that the key artery of global oil trade remains paralysed despite a temporary easing in rhetoric. Iran officially notified the International Maritime Organization that it would allow passage through the strait only to vessels from friendly countries, subject to coordination and payment of fees. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited March 26 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted March 27 Author Posted March 27 (edited) The Australian dollar back in play: how US inflation and the Consumer Sentiment Index may strengthen AUDUSD After losing ground, the Australian dollar is making another attempt to recover, with AUDUSD quotes testing the 0.6890 level. Discover more in our analysis for 27 March 2026. AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways US inflation expectations from the University of Michigan: previously at 3.4%, projected at 3.4% University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index: previously at 56.6, projected at 55.5 AUDUSD forecast for 27 March 2026: 0.6960 Fundamental analysis Today’s AUDUSD forecast favours the Australian dollar, which has every chance of recovering against the USD, with the pair currently trading around 0.6890. According to the forecast for 27 March 2026, US inflation expectations from the University of Michigan may remain unchanged at 3.4%. It is worth remembering that the indicator had been falling for several months from 4.2 to 3.4. Actual data at the previous level can be considered neutral, indicating some stabilisation in the US economy. However, a worse-than-expected actual reading may affect the AUDUSD rate, strengthening the Australian dollar. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited March 27 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted March 30 Author Posted March 30 (edited) 160.00 is the psychological barrier for USDJPY: who will win, the dollar or the Japanese yen The yen is on the verge of intervention by the BoJ. The USDJPY pair broke above the psychological 160.00 mark and, after correcting, is trading around the 159.60 level. Discover more in our analysis for 30 March 2026. USDJPY forecast: key takeaways After testing the 160.46 mark, the USDJPY pair plummeted The BoJ prepares for an intervention The Japanese regulator is ready to defend its currency at any cost Fundamental analysis Today, 30 March 2026, the USDJPY currency pair staged a real drama worthy of a Hollywood blockbuster. Within just a few hours, the exchange rate first hit a new 20-month high by testing the 160.46 mark and then plummeted, reflecting the harshest intervention threats from the Japanese authorities in the past two years. At the moment, quotes are consolidating around 159.60, balancing on a thin line between the real threat of currency intervention by the BoJ and the dollar as a safe-haven currency. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited March 30 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted March 31 Author Posted March 31 (edited) US 500 forecast: the index falls more than 10% The US 500 is falling rapidly, exceeding average seasonal fluctuation levels. The US 500 forecast for today is negative. US 500 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: US services PMI preliminarily came in at 51.1 in March Market impact: the data is negative for the stock market Fundamental analysis The release of the US services PMI data turned out to be moderately weak for equities. The actual US services PMI came in at 51.1 compared to a forecast of 52.0 and a previous reading of 51.7. This means the services sector is still expanding, since the index remains above 50.0, but the pace of growth slowed more than the market expected. For the US 500, such news more often creates a moderately negative outlook in the short term. This is especially noticeable if the market had been positioned for stronger macroeconomic data ahead of the release. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited March 31 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 1 Author Posted April 1 (edited) US 30 forecast: the index continues to fall after a correction After a correction, the US 30 index resumed its downward movement. The US 30 forecast for today is negative. US 30 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: US core PCE index rose to 3.1% Market impact: the data has a negative impact on the stock market Fundamental analysis The US core PCE data can generally be viewed as moderately neutral, but with a slightly negative bias for the US 30 index. The actual reading was 3.1% year-on-year, in line with forecasts but above the previous level of 3.0%. This suggests that underlying inflation pressure is not easing as quickly as the market and the Federal Reserve would like. For the US 30 index, the reaction is typically restrained, but more likely cautiously negative. The index comprises large, established companies, many of which operate in the industrial, financial, consumer, and healthcare sectors. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 1 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 2 Author Posted April 2 (edited) EURUSD is down again: everyone wants the safe-haven dollar The EURUSD pair slipped to 1.1532. The US dollar is in a strong position, as no one expects a quick Federal Reserve rate cut. Find more details in our analysis for 2 April 2026. EURUSD forecast: key takeaways The EURUSD pair is retreating as external pressure mounts The market remains negative on Middle East risks EURUSD forecast for 2 April 2026: 1.1500 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate fell to 1.1532 on Thursday. The US dollar was supported by uncertainty over the timing of the end to the conflict in the Middle East following statements by US President Donald Trump. In his evening address the previous day, Trump noted that Washington was close to accomplishing its key strategic objectives in Iran, but allowed for the possibility of new hard strikes over the next two to three weeks. This increased tension and maintained a high degree of uncertainty for global markets. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 2 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 3 Author Posted April 3 (edited) AUDUSD on the verge of a breakout: Australia is ready to raise interest rates Ahead of the NFP release, volatility in the AUDUSD pair has fallen noticeably, with quotes testing the 0.6900 mark. Find more details in our analysis for 3 April 2026. AUDUSD forecast: key takeaways Westpac expects three rate hikes in 2026 US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at -92 thousand, projected at 65 thousand The Australian dollar received unexpected support from China Fundamental analysis Today’s AUDUSD forecast takes into account that the Australian dollar is showing remarkable resilience, balancing on a knife edge between strong domestic support and an external geopolitical storm. The AUDUSD pair is trading around 0.6900, attempting to build on its upward momentum after the recent decline. The domestic driver for the AUD today is not just hawkish signals, but a real consensus on the inevitability of further policy tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 3 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 6 Author Posted April 6 (edited) USDJPY is entering a range: the market needs news The USDJPY pair declined to 159.56 at the start of the week, but this is temporary. The Middle East conflict is still influencing market decisions. Discover more in our analysis for 6 April 2026. USDJPY forecast: key takeaways The USDJPY pair is moving into a range amid continued geopolitical pressure The market expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates soon USDJPY forecast for 6 April 2026: 158.50 or 160.00 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate is declining to 159.56 on Monday. Despite the correction, the yen remains near its weakest levels since July 2024, with pressure on the Japanese currency increasing amid the escalating conflict around Iran and rising energy prices. US President Donald Trump stated that strikes on Iran’s energy and civilian infrastructure may begin within the next few days if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened. Tehran rejected these demands, and the water route remains effectively blocked. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 6 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 7 Author Posted April 7 (edited) US 500 forecast: the index may enter a sideways channel The US 500 index sees elevated volatility, with a sideways range likely to form. The US 500 forecast for today is negative. US 500 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: US Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 178 thousand in March Market impact: the data is negative for the stock market Fundamental analysis On Friday, 3 April, US employment data for March 2026 was released. At first glance, the figures appear very strong: the economy added 178 thousand jobs compared to a forecast of just 49 thousand. But if you look deeper, the picture is not that optimistic. Out of those 178 thousand jobs, about 76 thousand were doctors and healthcare workers who returned to work after the Kaiser Permanente strike ended. For the US 500, the impact is not entirely positive. A stronger labour market reduces the likelihood of rapid monetary easing. Following the report, expectations increased that the Federal Reserve will maintain a more hawkish stance and will not rush to cut rates. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 7 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 8 Author Posted April 8 (edited) Gold (XAUUSD) in positive territory, but the pause looks fragile Gold (XAUUSD) prices rose to 4,800 USD. A catastrophe in the Middle East has not happened so far. Find more details in our analysis for 8 April 2026. XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways Gold (XAUUSD) is in positive territory, but there are still too many geopolitical risks Since the start of the Middle East conflict, gold has fallen by 25% from its peak values XAUUSD forecast for 8 April 2026: 4,700 or 4,850 Fundamental analysis Gold (XAUUSD) rose by more than 2% on Wednesday, moving above the 4,800 USD per ounce mark and continuing its recovery. The market received support from Donald Trump’s statements about postponing strikes on Iran’s civilian infrastructure for two weeks to complete negotiations. Less than two hours before the set deadline, Trump announced a bilateral ceasefire on condition that the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. He also reported receiving a 10-point proposal from Iran, which he described as a working basis for further negotiations. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 8 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 9 Author Posted April 9 (edited) Brent on the edge: the truce collapsed – the market is preparing for a new shock The ceasefire agreement sent Brent quotes plummeting, but a new upward wave is now possible, with a test of the 112.45 USD mark and eventually 150.00 USD. Find out more in our analysis for 9 April 2026. Brent forecast: key takeaways Brent prices have plummeted to 92.00 USD per barrel and are attempting to recover The ceasefire between Iran and the US has practically collapsed The Strait of Hormuz remains closed Fundamental analysis The Brent fundamental analysis for today, 9 April 2026, takes into account that the oil market is going through a dramatic two-act story, with prices first plunging on news of the ceasefire and then sharply reversing as it effectively collapsed. Brent crude is hovering around 94.00 USD per barrel in the morning, recovering losses after yesterday’s fall below 90.00 USD. Act one: euphoria and collapse. It all started when US President Donald Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran just an hour and a half before his ultimatum expired. The terms of the agreement were that Iran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz and the US would lift part of the sanctions. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 9 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 10 Author Posted April 10 (edited) US Tech forecast: the index resumed its upward movement with a strong impulse The US Tech index broke through resistance with a strong impulse and formed an uptrend. The US Tech forecast for next week is negative. US Tech forecast: key takeaways Recent data: U.S. GDP for March increased by 0.5% Market impact: for the technology sector, the current data are mixed Fundamental analysis The release of the U.S. GDP data looks restrainedly negative for the US Tech index overall. The U.S. economy grew only 0.5% (annualized) in Q4 2025, while the consensus expected 0.7%, and the previous quarter showed growth of 4.4%. This signals a noticeable slowdown in business activity and confirms that the economy entered 2026 with weaker momentum than the market had assumed. For US Tech, the initial reaction may be mixed, but in the base scenario the news is more likely to worsen the fundamental backdrop. On the one hand, weaker GDP is a signal of more moderate economic growth, meaning the market may revise down expectations for sales growth at companies tied to advertising, corporate budgets, e-commerce, and consumer activity. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 10 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 13 Author Posted April 13 (edited) EURUSD weekly forecast: data and Islamabad will decide The EURUSD pair enters the week of 13–17 April near 1.1687 amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and mixed US macro data. The market is watching the Islamabad talks involving JD Vance and assessing the outlook for inflation and Federal Open Market Committee policy. EURUSD forecast: key takeaways Market focus: EURUSD ended the week at 1.1687 Current trend: after the decline, EURUSD formed a local low in the 1.3150–1.3200 area Outlook for the week: the baseline scenario is consolidation in the 1.3300–1.3450 range with attempts to break higher Fundamental analysis The EURUSD pair ended the April week at 1.1687. Investors’ focus is on the Islamabad talks, where the US delegation is led by JD Vance. The market is hoping for more clarity on the conflict outlook, but overall sentiment remains cautious. Strikes in the region and disruptions to operations in the Strait of Hormuz keep risks to any agreements elevated and limit risk appetite. US macroeconomic data look uneven. GDP growth in Q4 slowed to 0.5% q/q versus 4.4% previously, signaling cooling in the economy. The labor market is sending mixed signals: initial jobless claims rose to 219K, but continuing claims fell to 1.794M. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 13 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 14 Author Posted April 14 (edited) US 500 forecast: the index resumed growth on positive expectations from the Iran–US talks The US 500 index formed an uptrend due to the start of talks between the US and Iran, but the threat of the US blocking the Strait of Hormuz triggered a corrective decline. The US 500 forecast for today is negative. US 500 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: US CPI in March came in at 3.3% year-on-year Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market Fundamental analysis US inflation data showing annual consumer price growth at 3.3% versus a 3.4% forecast appears moderately positive for the US 500 at first glance, as the actual figure came in slightly below market expectations. For investors, this suggests price pressure was not as strong as previously feared. However, it is also important to note that the previous reading was notably lower at 2.4%, meaning inflation still accelerated compared to the previous period. Overall, this data creates a mixed but rather supportive backdrop for the US 500. The positive aspect is that inflation did not exceed the forecast, so the pressure on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy may be somewhat lower than it would have been with a higher reading. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 14 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 15 Author Posted April 15 (edited) US 30 forecast: the index rises amid talks between the US and Iran The US 30 index has entered an uptrend, driven by expectations that the conflict between Iran and the US may end soon. The US 30 forecast for today is positive. US 30 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: US PPI rose by 0.5% in March Market impact: the data is positive for the stock market Fundamental analysis The release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data at 0.5% month-on-month versus the forecast of 1.1% appears moderately positive for the US 30. Although the reading did not slow versus the previous month and remained at 0.5%, the key factor for the market in this case is the deviation from expectations. For the US 30, the effect may be especially noticeable through improved sentiment towards cyclical sectors. Industrial corporations may find support, as easing inflation pressure reduces the risk of further increases in raw material, logistics, and intermediate goods costs. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 15 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 16 Author Posted April 16 Brent crude prices fluctuate between hope for peace and the harsh reality of shortages Brent prices remain in a narrow range while waiting for news on the resolution of the Middle East conflict. Brent quotes are trading around 92.50 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 16 April 2026. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, Brent prices formed an Inverted Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, as the signal plays out, quotes may form an upward wave, with the 101.75 USD resistance level as the upside target. Oil prices remain hostage to the White House administration, with their future course depending on the outcome of the negotiations between Iran and the US. Read more - Brent Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team
RBFX Support Posted April 16 Author Posted April 16 (edited) Gold (XAUUSD) recovers losses: risk has eased Gold (XAUUSD) prices rose to 4,800 USD, as investors are pleased with the prospect of inflationary pressure easing. Discover more in our analysis for 16 April 2026 XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways Gold (XAUUSD) prices are reacting positively to the prospect of negotiations between the US and Iran Quotes are clearly recovering after the sharp decline a month ago XAUUSD forecast for 16 April 2026: 4,850 Fundamental analysis Gold (XAUUSD) returned above 4,800 USD per ounce on Thursday, recouping the previous session’s losses. Prices received support from a reassessment of the prospects for negotiations between the US and Iran and of a possible long-term peace agreement, which may reduce inflationary pressure. According to media reports, Washington and Tehran are considering extending the two-week ceasefire to gain time for negotiations. At the same time, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed because of a double blockade. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 16 by RBFX Support
RBFX Support Posted April 17 Author Posted April 17 (edited) US Tech forecast: the index hit a new all-time high The US Tech index continues its long growth streak and has reached a new all-time high. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive. US Tech forecast: key takeaways Recent data: US initial jobless claims for last week came in at 207 thousand Market impact: the current data has a mixed impact on the technology sector Fundamental analysis US initial jobless claims data can be viewed as a moderately positive signal for the US Tech index. The actual figure came in at 207 thousand versus a forecast of 213 thousand and a previous reading of 218 thousand, meaning new claims were below expectations and below the previous value. This indicates that the labour market remains resilient and the US economy is not showing signs of a sharp cooling. However, for the US Tech, the reaction is not always clear-cut. Strong employment and labour market data supports overall risk appetite for stocks, but at the same time can reduce the likelihood of rapid monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. This is important for technology companies, as a significant part of their market valuation is sensitive to interest rates. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Edited April 17 by RBFX Support
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