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  1. EUR/USD and EUR/JPY: Euro Gaining Bullish Momentum EUR/USD started a strong increase and it surged above the 1.2000 resistance. EUR/JPY is also gaining momentum and it is trading well above the 125.00 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY The Euro started a strong increase above the 1.1950 and 1.2000 resistance levels. There was a break above a key connecting resistance trend line at 1.2030 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. EUR/JPY followed a similar pattern and broke the main 125.00 resistance. There was a break above a major rising channel with resistance near 125.30 on the hourly chart. EUR/USD Technical Analysis This week, the Euro formed a strong support zone above the 1.1920 and 1.1950 levels against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair started a strong increase and it broke the main 1.2000 resistance level. The pair even gained strength above 1.2020 and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. Moreover, there was a break above a key connecting resistance trend line at 1.2030 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The pair even surpassed the 1.2050 resistance and traded as high as 1.2079 recently on FXOpen. It seems like the pair might continue to move higher above the 1.2080 level. The next key resistance is near the 1.2120 level, above which the pair could test 1.2150. If there is a downside correction, an initial support could be 1.2050 or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 1.1960 swing low to 1.2079 high. The next major support is near the 1.2030 level. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.2020 support or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 1.1960 swing low to 1.2079 high. EUR/JPY Technical Analysis The Euro also followed a similar path above 124.00 against the Japanese Yen. The EUR/JPY pair broke the main 125.00 resistance level to move into a positive zone. There was also a close above the 125.20 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Moreover, there was a break above a major rising channel with resistance near 125.30 on the hourly chart. The pair gained strength above the 125.50 level and it even broke the 126.00 level. A high is formed near 126.14 and the pair is currently consolidating gains. An initial support is near the 125.85 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 124.86 swing low to 126.14 high. The next major support is near the 125.65 level (a multi-touch zone). Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 125.50 support. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 124.86 swing low to 126.14 high. The main uptrend support seems to be forming near the 125.00 level since it is also close to the 50 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the pair could accelerate higher if it clears the 126.15 and 126.20 levels. The next resistance could be near the 126.80 level. Any more upsides might lead the EUR/JPY higher further higher above the 127.00 level. In the stated case, the bulls may possibly aim a larger increase towards the 128.50 and 129.20 resistance levels in the coming days. FXOpen Blog
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  4. All Eyes on Euro and the ECB This Week Following the weak NFP report in the United States last Friday, the market moves to the key event of the week ahead – the European Central Bank (ECB) decision. The central bank already pre-committed to act in December, and most of the impact may already be priced in the market. However, it can still surprise the market, especially if we consider the strong Euro across the board. Strong Euro Remains a Headache for the ECB The EURUSD exchange rate reached 1.2175 ahead of the NFP report last Friday. By the time that it first reached 1.20 in the summer, the ECB verbally intervened, suggesting that the exchange rate level is too high. From that moment on, the EURUSD consolidated below 1.20, but the level eventually gave way. At this point, the Euro rallies across the FX dashboard. Not only the EURUSD rate is higher, but the EURJPY or EURGBP too. This makes this week’s ECB decision even more interesting, as if it is to surprise markets, it may do so by delivering an ultra-dovish statement. What Will the ECB Do? The ECB already hinted that it would not lower the interest rate on the deposit facility more into the negative territory. It also vowed to ease more the financial conditions since most European economies are in some kind of lockdown mode. While the decisions may already be priced in, the ECB may still surprise markets. One way of doing so is to extend the duration of policy support much more into the future than the market expects. The ECB might also extend the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) by June 2022. While the extension is expected by the market participants, the focus will be on the actual size of the package – the higher the number, the stronger the impact on the Euro. Finally, the ECB will likely use this press conference to deliver its concerns about the high exchange rate. If the central bank manages to surprise the markets, then the EURUSD should ease to 1.20 and below. On the other hand, any statement interpreted as less dovish should trigger a further rally in the EURUSD, especially considering that next week the Fed in the United States is expected to ease the policy too. All in all, expect a lot of volatility on the Euro pairs this week, considering the ECB and the ongoing Brexit negotiations. Finally, the end of the year flows should have an impact on the exchange rate too. FXOpen Blog
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  5. GBP/USD and GBP/JPY: British Pound Remains Supported GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.3400 resistance zone. GBP/JPY traded as high as 140.70 before starting a major downside correction. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY The British Pound climbed higher towards the 1.3540 level before correcting lower. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near 1.3430 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. GBP/JPY traded close to the 141.80 resistance level before starting a downside correction. There was a break below a major contracting triangle with support near 139.70 on the hourly chart. GBP/USD Technical Analysis This past week, the British Pound saw a decent increase above the 1.3400 resistance area against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair even broke the 1.3480 resistance to move further into a positive zone. Finally, there was a break above the 1.3500 level and the pair traded as high as 1.3539 on FXOpen. Recently, the pair started a downside correction and traded below the 1.3500 level. There was a break below the 1.3480 and 1.3450 support levels. There was also a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near 1.3430 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The pair traded close to the 1.3400 level and it is currently correcting higher. It is facing resistance near the broken trend line, 1.3440, and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3539 high to 1.3408 low is also near the 1.3440 area. If there is an upside break above the 1.3440 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average, the pair could start a fresh increase. The next major resistance is near the 1.3475 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3539 high to 1.3408 low is also near the 1.3473 level. Any more upsides could lead the pair above 1.3500. Conversely, the pair could decline further below 1.3408. The next major support is near the 1.3400 and 1.3385 levels. A close below the 1.3385 level might call for a larger decline towards the 1.3320 level in the near term. GBP/JPY Technical Analysis The British Pound also climbed higher above the 140.00 resistance against the Japanese Yen. The GBP/JPY pair even climbed above the 140.50 level, but it failed to continue higher above 140.75. A swing high was formed near 140.70 before the pair started a downside correction. There was a steady decline below the 140.50 and 140.20 levels. The pair even broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 139.47 swing low to 140.70 high. There was also a break below a major contracting triangle with support near 139.70 on the hourly chart. The pair is now trading below the 139.80 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is now approaching the 139.47 swing low. The next major support is near the 139.20 level. It is close to the 1.236 Fib extension level of the upward move from the 139.47 swing low to 140.70 high. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 139.00 support zone. On the upside, the recent breakdown zone near the 140.00 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average might act as a hurdle. The next major resistance is near the 140.25 level, above which the pair could revisit the 140.70 high. FXOpen Blog
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  6. AUD/USD and NZD/USD Signaling Downside Correction AUD/USD gained momentum above the 0.7400 level before it faced sellers near 0.7445. NZD/USD is also correcting gains and it could test the 0.7020 support. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD The Aussie Dollar followed a bullish path above the 0.7350 and 0.7400 resistance levels against the US Dollar. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near 0.7385 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. NZD/USD surged above 0.6950 and 0.7000, and even traded close to 0.7120. A major ascending channel is forming with support near 0.7055 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD. AUD/USD Technical Analysis In the past few days, the Aussie Dollar saw a steady increase above the 0.7320 pivot against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair even broke the 0.7400 resistance level to move into a positive zone. During the increase, there was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near 0.7385 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. The upward move gained pace above 0.7400 and the pair settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded to a new monthly high at 0.7449 and recently started a downside correction. There was a break below the 0.7430 level. It is testing a key support zone near 0.7425, and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 0.7351 swing low to 0.7449 high. If there are more losses and a downside break below 0.7425, the pair could extend losses towards the 0.7400 support. The 50 hourly simple moving average is also near the 0.7405 level to act as a support. Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 0.7351 swing low to 0.7449 high is at 0.7400. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 0.7350 support. Conversely, the pair could start a fresh increase above the 0.7440 level. The first major resistance is near the 0.7450 level, above which AUD/USD could accelerate higher towards the 0.7500 level. NZD/USD Technical Analysis In the past few days, there was a major increase in the New Zealand Dollar above the 0.6950 resistance level against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair even surged above the 0.7000 resistance zone. The pair climbed above the 0.7050 level and spiked above the 0.7100 level. A high is formed near 0.7104 and it is currently correcting lower. There was a break below the 0.7080 support level, and the pair broke the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7031 swing low to 0.7104 high. The pair is now trading below the 0.7070 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is testing the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7031 swing low to 0.7104 high. There is also a major ascending channel is forming with support near 0.7055 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD. If there is a downside break below the channel support, there is a risk of more losses towards the 0.7040 and 0.7020 support levels. Conversely, the pair could stay above the channel support and start a fresh increase above 0.7065. The first major resistance is near the 0.7080 level, above which the pair could make another attempt to settle above the 0.7100 level. FXOpen Blog
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  7. LTC and EOS – Final Push To The Upside Coming? LTC/USD From last Thursday, November 26th when the price of Litecoin was sitting at the $65 level, we have seen an increase of 42.64% measured to its highest point at $92.664 made on Tuesday. Since then the price has been moving sideways, spiking to the downside at first but then making a series of lower highs. Currently, it is being traded $90 and is starting to move to the upside again. On the hourly chart, you can see that the price formed a symmetrical triangle from Tuesday’s high around the significant horizontal level at $86.486. Now we are seeing an attempt for a breakout to the upside after the price reached its apex. It is currently making a higher high compared to the last one and has started going above the territory of the triangle, moving above its resistance level. A breakout looks like developing but can still end as a fakeout on the hourly time-frame. If we see further upside movement with the hourly candle closing above the prior local high the breakout would be validated and would indicate further price growth. This rise would be the uptrend continuation from last Thursday and would be the ending wave from the five-wave impulse that is set to push the price above its higher degree high made on the 24th of November after which a significant corrective descending move was made. EOS/USD The price of EOS has also been increasing from last Thursday, coming from $2.77 area to $3.315 which was an increase of 19.26%, but has since then fallen to $3 and is currently being traded at $3.1. On the hourly chart, we can see that the price has started moving the to upside again after falling back to the levels of the 1st wave’s ending point after a previous higher degree descending move. This is why there is still a possibility that the price is developing its 5th wave from the impulsive five-wave move to the upside. If that is the case then we could see it increasing past its highest point in December made last Thursday when it found resistance at the 0.786 Fib level. The price is likely to continue increasing from here but it could very well be another corrective move before the further decline is made so we are yet to see if it manages to break the Fib level resistance and continues for a higher high. Significant horizontal resistance is sitting around $3.3 area so it might end as a truncation before its completion. FXOpen Blog
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