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USD weakens amid US political developments; NZD rebounds On November 4, the NZD/USD pair experienced a sharp rebound, driven by a weakening USD. According to the FXOpen chart. The NZD/USD formed a long-bodied bullish candle with an upper wick, reaching a high of 0.56454 and a low of 0.55799, before closing at 0.56231. US political developments have taken an interesting turn. The Democratic Party has secured control of both chambers of the US Congress—the Senate and the House of Representatives—following the midterm elections on November 3, 2026. This shift has the potential to alter the direction of Trump’s policies over the next two years. The immediate impact has been a weakening of the USD, though certain lingering risks could potentially lead to a recovery in the dollar’s strength. The US Dollar Index fell by approximately 0.32% to 101.51, while the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note declined to around 4.93%. The USD weakened against several major currencies, whereas stock markets rallied as the election results provided political clarity. But will the USD’s weakness persist? Regarding the NZD, there are several key developments worth noting. Unemployment rose to 5.7% in the third quarter—the highest level in about 11 years. Job growth fell by 0.1%, contrary to market expectations of a 0.4% increase, and annual labor cost growth slowed to 2.0%. On October 28, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) held its benchmark interest rate steady at 2.75%. This weak labor market data reduces the justification for the RBNZ to pursue aggressive interest rate hikes. Nevertheless, the possibility of monetary tightening has not been entirely ruled out; should inflation and wages begin to rise again, the NZD could potentially find support. Meanwhile, China’s Services PMI for October fell from 51.6 to 50.8. While this figure still indicates expansion, the pace of growth has slowed. This could impact the NZD due to concerns over a slowdown in export demand from China, given that China is a key trading partner for New Zealand. Traders will also be closely monitoring US labor market data, which could shift the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy. The New Zealand general election on November 7 is another focal point; political uncertainty may lead investors to exercise caution regarding the NZD. From a technical perspective, the NZD/USD pair is trading below the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA50), with a neutral-to-bearish bias. The projected range for the NZD/USD is 0.55800–0.56600. Immediate support lies near 0.56000, with a subsequent target around 0.55800. Immediate resistance is near 0.56500, with a subsequent target around 0.56800. This forecast could be wrong.

Anthropic's latest IPO filing has revealed some interesting numbers, but I think investors should look beyond the headline revenue figures. Here are four things worth watching: 1. Revenue growth: Anthropic generated $16.96 billion in Q3 2026 revenue, showing how quickly demand for its AI products is expanding. 2. Profitability: Despite that growth, it recorded a $23.29 billion quarterly net loss. Investors need to understand the difference between accounting losses and the actual cost of running the business. 3. Infrastructure costs: The company disclosed approximately $895.4 billion in computing and infrastructure commitments. That's a massive obligation that could influence future margins. 4. Valuation: Even a promising company can become an expensive investment if its IPO valuation already prices in years of future growth. Personally, I'd be watching how the market values Anthropic against its growth potential and the enormous cost of maintaining its AI infrastructure. For anyone following the upcoming listing, Bitget IPO Prime has also introduced its Anthropic-related rANT opportunity. The subscription details are available here: The bigger question is whether investors are buying into sustainable AI growth or simply paying a premium for the next big AI name. Listing may be delayed or may not happen, and ANT could trade below its offer price from day one. Not financial advice.

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I completely agree with this statement. However, risk management should also be considered. Even if you have a good strategy to trade with, by risking too much on one position it can cause you to lose. Using broker data will help you make decisions, however it is important to stay disciplined and remain consistent.

One thing I have noticed with Gold recently is that it can be easy to get your timing wrong. The price can often look like it has strong momentum in one direction and draw in breakout traders but then quickly reverse. I have been noticing more about how price will often act at key levels. If there isn't any follow through on a breakout it doesn't really count as much of a breakout. Sometimes it is better to sit and wait. How do you guys trade this? Do you like to trade the initial breakout or wait for a retest?

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Date: 4th November 2026. US Midterm Elections 2026: Gold Surges as NASDAQand Dollar Fall. Global financial markets are reacting to the US midterm elections, which saw Democrats secure control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. The results have triggered volatility across stocks, currencies and commodities as investors reassess the outlook for US economic growth, interest rates, and artificial intelligence investment. Gold is among the best-performing assets, climbing more than 2%, while the US Dollar has fallen to a one-month low. Meanwhile, technology stocks remain under pressure as concerns grow over potential AI regulation and slower infrastructure investment. Nasdaq 100: Can Technology Stocks Recover? NASDAQ 100 futures initially declined as much as 2.4% before recovering to trade approximately 0.57% higher. The S&P 500 also recovered its overnight losses, with futures declining 0.3%. The main concern is that Democratic control of Congress could lead to stricter regulation of the AI industry. Furthermore, Democratic victories in key states, particularly Texas, could slow the construction of data centres and increase costs for technology companies. This comes at a difficult time for the NASDAQ 100, which entered correction territory earlier this week following a decline of approximately 10% from its recent highs. However, the recovery in futures suggests that some investors may view the initial selling pressure as excessive. Recent earnings guidance from AMD and Super Micro Computer also indicates that demand for AI infrastructure remains strong. For traders, the key question is whether the NASDAQ can sustain a recovery or whether concerns surrounding AI valuations and regulation will trigger another wave of selling. Asian Stock Markets Decline as Technology Shares Face Selling Pressure The market reaction has extended beyond the United States, with Asian technology stocks experiencing considerable volatility. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined as much as 4.8% during Wednesday’s session, while semiconductor and AI-related companies experienced some of the largest losses. Asian equity markets are particularly sensitive to developments in the US artificial intelligence industry because semiconductor manufacturers and technology suppliers play a central role in the global AI supply chain. If US technology companies reduce or delay their infrastructure spending, demand expectations for advanced semiconductors, memory chips, and specialised electronic components could be affected. Nevertheless, it is important to distinguish between concerns about future investment and evidence of weakening demand. Recent earnings guidance from AMD and Super Micro Computer continues to indicate strong demand for data centre equipment and AI-related processors. This suggests that the underlying industry remains supported by substantial spending, even as investors question whether that spending can generate sufficient returns. Gold: Weaker Dollar Supports a 2% Rally Gold prices have risen approximately 2.2%, reaching $4,016 per ounce and recovering above the important $4,000 psychological level. The precious metal is benefiting from a weaker US Dollar, declining Treasury yields, and increased demand for defensive assets following the election results. The US 10-year Treasury yield has fallen approximately five basis points to 4.915%, reducing the opportunity cost of holding Gold. However, the Federal Reserve remains an important risk. Markets continue to anticipate another interest rate hike in December, which could limit Gold’s recovery if upcoming economic data support a restrictive monetary policy. The $4,000 level remains particularly important for XAU/USD. Maintaining a position above this level could strengthen bullish sentiment, while a decline below it may indicate renewed selling pressure. US Dollar: Falls to a One-Month Low The US Dollar Index declined by 0.6% to 101.27, its lowest level in more than a month, as investors responded to lower bond yields and concerns over US economic growth. The Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc strengthened as traders increased exposure to traditional safe-haven currencies. The election results could also complicate President Trump’s economic agenda, potentially limiting future fiscal expansion and influencing the outlook for Treasury yields. However, the Dollar’s next direction will depend heavily on economic data and Federal Reserve expectations. Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls report will be a key event for Dollar traders. Stronger employment data could support the currency, while weaker figures may reinforce the current bearish momentum. Market Outlook: What Should Traders Watch? The Democratic victory has introduced additional uncertainty for technology stocks, while declining bond yields and a weaker Dollar are supporting Gold. However, the initial market reaction has already moderated, suggesting investors are reassessing whether the political developments justify further declines. Three developments could determine the next major market movements: NASDAQ 100: Whether technology stocks can stabilise following the recent correction and concerns about AI regulation. Gold and US Dollar: Whether Treasury yields continue declining or recover ahead of the next Federal Reserve decision. US Non-Farm Payrolls: Friday’s employment report could influence interest rate expectations and trigger volatility across Forex, Gold, and indices. Although the elections have dominated market sentiment, the next significant price movements may ultimately depend on economic data, inflation expectations and the sustainability of corporate earnings. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.