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MDunleavy

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analysis11jan021954.png

"P&F AUDUSD10080 Box Size 180X3 or(7.19%) HI/LO

Data 1.0255 - 0.4773 ~ 241.48 Month ~ 7350 Day

Database 1051 records 1.02294 (Last Close)

1990-11-11 00~00

2010-12-26 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

=>>>docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_3gb8gd3fh

xotext11jan0217341.png

mane11jan021603.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

small11Jan022105.zip

small11Jan022105.zip

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GOLD11Jan101123.ziptext11jan100927.png

"P&F GOLD5 Box Size$2X3 or(0.43%) HI/LO

Data 1408.98 - 1352.72 ~ 0.19 Month ~ 5.83 Day

Database 1050 records 1372.64 (Last Close)

2011-01-04 13~00

2011-01-10 08~50 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

 

1410|~2||+_____________________________________|-0.07%|4.23%1408|~4||x_o___________________________________|0.07%|4.09%1406|~6||__o_+_________________________________|0.21%|3.94%1404|~8||__o___+_______________________________|0.35%|3.79%1402|~1O|__o_____+_____________________________|0.5%|3.64%1400|~12|__o_______+___________________________|0.64%|3.5%1398|~14|__o_________+_________________________|0.78%|3.35%1396|~16|__o___________+_______________________|0.92%|3.2%1394|~18|__o_____________+_____________________|1.06%|3.05%1392|~2O|__o_______________+___________________|1.21%|2.9%1390|~22|__o_________________+_________________|1.35%|2.76%1388|~24|__o___________________+_______________|1.49%|2.61%1386|~26|__o_____________________+_____________|1.63%|2.46%1384|~28|__o_x___x_________________+___________|1.77%|2.31%1382|~3O|__o_x_o_x_o_________________+_________|1.91%|2.16%1380|~32|__o_x_o_x_o___________________+_______|2.06%|2.02%1378|~34|__o_x_o___o_x___x_______________x_____|2.2%|1.87%1376|~36|__o_______o_x_o_x_o_____x_______x_o___|2.34%|1.72%1374|~38|__________o_x_o_x_o_x___x_o_____x_o_x_|2.48%|1.57%1372|~4O|==========o=x=o===o=x=o=x=o=====x=o=x=|2.62%|1.43%1370|~42|__________o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_____x_o_x_|2.77%|1.28%1368|~44|__________o_x_____o___o_x_o_____x_o_x_|2.91%|1.13%1366|~46|__________o_x_________o___o_x___x_o___|3.05%|0.98%1364|~48|__________o_______________o_x_o_x_____|3.19%|0.83%1362|~5O|__________________________o_x_o_x___+_|3.33%|0.69%1360|~52|__________________________o_x_o___+___|3.48%|0.54%1358|~54|__________________________o_x___+_____|3.62%|0.39%1356|~56|__________________________o_x_+_______|3.76%|0.24%1354|~58|__________________________o_+_________|3.9%|0.09%1352|~6O|__________________________+___________|4.04%|-0.05%Column|||1_1_4_3_3_1_7_3_3_5_3_4_5_1_6_3_9_6_4_|Count||||__7_______O_______________1___________|

 

mane11jan100848.pngview11jan100945.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

GOLD11Jan101123.zip

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Trade Idea: Nzd/Chf - Sell (Stop Limit) at 0.7480; Target: 0.7280 ; Stop: 0.7520.

"P&F NZDCHF30 Box Size 250X3 or(1.01%) HI/LO

Data 0.7773 - 0.703 ~ 1.96 Month ~ 59.73 Day

Database 2076 records 0.74095 (Last Close)

2010-11-15 14~00

2011-01-14 07~30 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

 

http://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_8dctzdmd7

 

mane11Jan132046.PNGreview11Jan132048.PNG

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

=>>>docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_237cvshswvk

=>>>docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_8dctzdmd7

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Trade Idea: GBP/AUD - Sell ⬇(Stop Limit) at 1.6055; Target: 1.5770 ; Stop: 1.6245.

In the case of failures.

Trade Idea: GBP/AUD - Sell ⬇(Stop Limit) at 1.6340; Target: 1.5770 ; Stop: 1.6530.

"P&F GBPAUD10080 Box Size 500X4 or(8.79%) HI/LO

Data 3.0393 - 1.5138 ~ 240.1 Month ~ 7308 Day

Database 1046 records 1.60434 (Last Close)

~ 20.01 Years

1991-01-06 00~00

2011-01-09 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

 

http://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_9czpg6whshttps://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_237cvshswvk

 

mane11Jan161627.PNGwithout11Jan161653.PNG

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

GBPAUD_2011.zip

GBPAUD_2011.zip

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Trade Idea: Usd/Zar - Sell ⬇ (Stop Limit) at 7.00; Target: 6.8750/6.8000 ; Stop: 7.100.

In the case of failures.

Trade Idea: Usd/Zar - Sell ⬇ (Stop Limit) at 7.10; Target: 6.8750/6.8000 ; Stop: 7.1800.

"P&F USDZAR5 Box Size 10X3 or(0.43%) HI/LO

Data 7.1054 - 6.7969 ~ 0.3 Month ~ 9.11 Day

Database 2010 records 7.05236 (Last Close)

2011-01-12 05~40

2011-01-21 08~25 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

 

https://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_237cvshswvkhttp://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_126c5nfqcx

 

mane11jan200831.pngwithout11jan200831.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

11Jan201947.zip

11Jan201947.zip

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*DXY as forecasted achieved the 78 handle.

*This manifested on our screens this week and was mainly due to the Leadership of EURUSD to the upside above the long awaited StopHunt over 1.3497,there were still many undercurrents of coming USD strength.The undercurrents came in the form of risk aversion pairs USDCAD, USDJPY and USDCHF staging rather dramatic advances in the face of DXY weakness throughout most of the trading week.

*One reason of course is the upside leader EURUSD has the heaviest weighting in the DXY basket, but I suspect big players are beginning to take off risk and are also hedging as multiple asset classes are breaking down and or topping.(ForexStopHunters)

*U.S. DOLLAR INDEX: Dropped nearly 1% on Friday to 78.12, which would mark its lowest close since November 12.

procent11Jan231517.PNG

 

http://img593.imageshack.us/img593/2894/big11jan231133.pngFull size.

 

"P&F _DXY10080 Box Size1 70X3 or(5.33%) HI/LO

Data 120.51 - 70.7 ~ 215.72 Month ~ 6566 Day

Database 939 records 78.14 (Last Close)

1993-01-24 00~00 ~ 17.98 Years

2011-01-16 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

 

http://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_24hf487zfd

 

 

120.7|~17O||________________________+___+___________________________|-0.16%|70.72%119.0|~34O||____________________+___x_o_x_+_________________________|1.25%|68.32%117.3|~51O||____________________x_+_x_o_x_o_+_______________________|2.66%|65.91%115.6|~68O||____________________x_o_x_o_x_o___+_____________________|4.07%|63.51%113.9|~85O||____________________x_o_x_o_x_o_____+___________________|5.49%|61.1%112.2|~1O2O|____________________x_o_x_o___o_______+_________________|6.9%|58.7%110.5|~119O|____________________x_o_x_____o_________+_______________|8.31%|56.29%108.8|~136O|____________________x_o_______o___________+_____________|9.72%|53.89%107.1|~153O|____________________x_________o_____________+___________|11.13%|51.49%105.4|~17OO|________________+___x_________o_______________+_________|12.54%|49.08%103.7|~187O|____________+___x_+_x_________o_________________+_______|13.95%|46.68%102.0|~2O4O|________+___x_+_x_o_x_________o___________________+_____|15.36%|44.27%100.3|~221O|________x_+_x_o_x_o_x_________o_____________________+___|16.77%|41.87%98.60|~238O|____+___x_o_x_o_x_o_________+_o_x_____________________+_|18.18%|39.46%96.90|~255O|____x_+_x_o_x_o_x_________+___o_x_o_____________________|19.59%|37.06%95.20|~272O|+___x_o_x_o___o_x_______+_____o_x_o_____________________|21%|34.65%93.50|~289O|x_+_x_o_x_____o_______+_______o_+_o_____________________|22.41%|32.25%91.80|~3O6O|__o_x_o_x___________+_________+___o_x___x_______________|23.82%|29.84%90.10|~323O|__o_x_o_x_________+_______________o_x_o_x_o_____________|25.23%|27.44%88.40|~34OO|__o_+_o_x_______+_________________o_x_o_x_o_x___x___x___|26.65%|25.04%86.70|~357O|__+___o_x_____+___________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|28.06%|22.63%85.00|~374O|______o_x___+_____________________o_+_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|29.47%|20.23%83.30|~391O|______o_x_+_______________________+___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|30.88%|17.82%81.60|~4O8O|______o_+_____________________________o_+_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|32.29%|15.42%79.90|~425O|______+_______________________________+___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|33.7%|13.01%78.20|~442O|==========================================o=x=o===o=x=o=|35.11%|10.61%76.50|~459O|__________________________________________o_x_____o_x_o_|36.52%|8.2%74.80|~476O|__________________________________________o_x___+_o_+___|37.93%|5.8%73.10|~493O|__________________________________________o_x_+___+_____|39.34%|3.39%71.40|~51OO|__________________________________________o_+___________|40.75%|0.99%69.70|~527O|__________________________________________+_____________|42.16%|-1.41%Column||||||1_3_5_9_1_3_4_5_6_3_1_5_6_5_4_1_3_8_4_6_6_1_1_6_6_8_8_7_|Count|||||||________1___________1_________5___________2_O___________|

 

*But nevertheless! Prediction. Up from 77.74 to 79.58!

mane11Jan231524.PNG

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

View_$index(DXY).zip

View_$index(DXY).zip

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*AUD\SEK outlook.( AUD\SEK = AUD\USD X USD\SEK )

*Rally from 6.2635 to 6.4903. Up 2% in one day!

*In the future, we will probably see correction,

pullback, consolidation in this range.

*See charts below.

"P&F AUDSEK5 Box Size 50X3 or(0.23%) HI/LO

Data 6.4903 - 6.3625 ~ 0.15 Month ~ 4.7 Day

Database 768 records 6.4619 (Last Close)

2011-01-26 13~55

2011-01-31 06~50 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

xoxo11jan310836.png

 

Charts_Review_More_Pictureshttps://docs.google.com/View?id=dg3m7zmf_28g4bmvtgthttps://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_237cvshswvk

 

mane11jan300743.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.

 

http://iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/BJF-Trading-Group-AUDSEK_2011-01-29.zip

 

view11Jan3016.zip

view11Jan3016.zip

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2011-Feb-12 09-24 (GMT+01:00) Paris

I remain bearish on EUR/USD too.

EUR/USD's break of 1.3510 support last week indicates that whole decline from 1.3860 has resumed. Initial bias remains on the downside towards 100% projection at 1.3393 and possibly below. However, we'd remain cautiously bullish in EUR/USD as long as 1.3253 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.3860 at 1.3250) [ by ActionForex]

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell ? (Stop Limit) at 1.3500; Target: 1.3250 ; Stop: 1.3600.

"P&F EURUSD10080 Box Size 260X3 or(6.43%) HI/LO

Data 1.6038 - 0.8225 ~ 242.4 Month ~ 7378 Day

Database 1055 records 1.35513 (Last Close)

1990-11-25 00~00 ~ 20.2 Years

2011-02-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

11feb131844.png

mane11feb121152.png

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11Feb131100.zip

11Feb131100.zip

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After an upbeat week, the pound faces new information about the upcoming rate hike and also a worrying GDP among other events. Here’s an outlook for the British events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.

I am neutral on GBP/USD.

The rate policy is still unclear, although it will come earlier than expected. On the other hand, we’ll get a reminder of the horrible fourth quarter. Another interesting week is ahead of us, but a major breakthrough isn’t likely. [by forexcrunch].

"P&F GBPUSD10080 Box Size 270X4 or(6.23%) HI/LO

Data 2.1161 - 1.3503 ~ 241.71 Month ~ 7357 Day

Database 1052 records 1.62521 (Last Close)

1990-12-23 00~00 ~ 20.14 Years

2011-02-13 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

11feb210802.png

mane11feb201902.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.

GBPUSD11Feb20.zip

GBPUSD11Feb20.zip

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  • 2 weeks later...

This has been a turbulent week on the geopolitical front, triggering waves in the stock market and sending the price of crude oil through the roof. While the stock market corrects itself (as we anticipated), the price of crude oil seems to be creeping ever higher, putting upward pressure on the price of fuel and energy. Worse still is the serious effect this could have on the economic recovery that everyone has been banking on.[marketoracle]There's no way of knowing how events will unfold. Since the current oil price is always the best predictor of the future oil price in the very short-term, I predict that Nymex WTI will be priced in the $93-$104 range on March 12th.

------------------

"P&F QM_CONT1440 Box Size $4X3 or(13.94%) HI/LO

Data 147.3 - 24.825 ~ 99.68 Month ~ 3034 Day

Database 2000 records 98.225 (Last Close)

2002-11-05 00~00 ~ 8.31 Years

2011-02-25 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

------------------

xo11feb281137.png

mane11feb272145.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.

 

http://iticsoftware.com/postimages2//Oil11Feb28.html    ^^^ OR vvvhttp://img96.imageshack.us/img96/4624/11feb281149.pdf    ^^^ OR vvva t t a c m e n t 

 

Oil11Feb28.zip

Oil11Feb28.zip

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I am neutral on USD/JPY.

The magnitude of Middle -Eastern events has been extraordinary. This sent oil up and the dollar down, with the yen being one of the big winners. When the Libyan crisis ends, dollar/yen will rise back up, but the level of uncertainty is very high.

I am neutral on EUR/USD too.

The clear statement about rate hikes will continue to boost the Euro, as well as the strength in Germany. On the other hand, the US economy is moving forwards, as seen in the improving job market, and another round of the debt crisis is around the corner. Choppy trading is likely, until a new direction is seen – probably down.

[forexcrunch]

EUR\JPY = EUR\USD X USD\JPY

Movement will be neutral as well. Or may turn bearish.... See chart....

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY- Sell (Stop Limit) at 115.50; Target: 112.00 ; Stop: 116.50.

"P&F EURJPY10080 Box Size300X4 or(8.99%) HI/LO

Data 177.98 - 88.87 ~ 241.94 Month ~ 7364 Day

Database 1053 records 115.117 (Last Close)

1990-12-30 00~00 ~ 20.16 Years

2011-02-27 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

xo11m07.png

large11m051.pngmane11m051.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.

eurjpy11M07.zip

eurjpy11M07.zip

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*Trade Idea: NZD/USD- Sell (Stop Limit) at 1.7410\40; Target: 1.7100\30; Stop: 1.7480\1.7520.

*I remain bearish on NZD/USD.

*The consequences of the devastating earthquake are still felt in New Zealand. A rate cut to accommodate to the economic weakness will likely drive prices even lower.

=======================

*The NZD/USD has formed a hammer at the 0.7350 level, a key support level for the last several months. Because of this, it looks decidedly bullish for the short-term. It appears that support will end up holding, and as such – we could see more consolidation between this level and 0.7800.

Any break above Thursday’s high. 0.7377 is a buy signal towards as highs at 0.78, and any break below its low at 0.7320 is a sell signal that could lead up down to 0.70 or lower. This pair is at one of those places you like to take longer-term trades since it is such an important area.[dailymarkets]

"P&F NZDUSD10080 Box Size 150X3 or(7.43%) HI/LO

Data 0.8214 - 0.39 ~ 243.32 Month ~ 7406 Day

Database 1059 records 0.74246 (Last Close)

1990-11-25 00~00

2011-03-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

xo11m13.png

mane11m121.pngbig11m121.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.

 

http://iticsoftware.com/postimages2//11M12.html    vvv OR ^^^http://img29.imageshack.us/img29/636/11m13.pdf    vvv OR ^^^A t t a c h m e n t

 

11M12.zip

11M12.zip

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  • 2 weeks later...

I turn bearish on NZD/CAD.

I'm afraid of a bull trap...NZDCAD=NZDUSD X USDCAD

=========================================

_____The Canadian economy won't release any economic fundamentals before next Wednesday,....

_____NzdUsd pair was able to rise during the last week to cover its previous losses, as the economy expanded ......

[ForexMansion.com]

Learn more ....

mane11m261.png

https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1cVITjOIRPqY040Qn_lcGsD9GNyxrGbSK5gb5KWOotAQ

^^^ OR vvv

http://img593.imageshack.us/img593/5461/11m26.pdf

^^^ OR vvv

A t t a c h m e n t

11M27.zip

11M27.zip

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  • 2 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...

The USD/CAD rose this week, but fell short of closing above the all-important 0.97 area. This shows that the area is indeed significant, and could be a massive headwind for USD strength in this pair. Compounding this is the fact that there is a downtrend line that we are currently bumping up against. I remain bearish on USD/CAD.

The Canadian dollar doesn’t rely only on oil, but is more dependent on the US economy, which is gradually improving. In addition, the economy of Canada is doing great, especially with the recent impressing gain in jobs.

mane11may16.pngbig11may162.png

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