Sunbird Daily Technical Analysis

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-05-28

EURUSD is struggling to find support. At the moment, the 200 EMA is the best indicator of when the weakening euro can stop in the near term. Today, we might see 1.36 again, and this will be a key level for the next days.

AUDUSD is at 0.926 and it seems that over the past few days, the pair has been building a low angle ascending trend line that can lead to a strong break out to its recent high of 0.94.

USDJPY is at the 102 resistance level. From here, it may be a good opportunity to SELL with a stop loss at 102.4 and a take profit at 100.9.

CRUDE OIL is trading steadily at its high from the last couple of days, but it feels like momentum is weakening. A SELL opportunity may be best for this commodity.

GOLD slumped yesterday to a 2 month low, and it looks like it's just the beginning of this move that can lead to a new low for the year! In the near term, this commodity may pull back, but it is likely just a correction from yesterday's massive move.

S&P500 is at an ALL TIME HIGH again and the trend remains strong! Selling is not advisable at this time, but if you do, you may not want to hold onto the position for more than a few days. Next stop is at 1920.

Economic news:

09:45 - French Consumer Spending m/m (EUR)

10:55 - German Unemployment Change (EUR)

11:00 - M3 Money Supply y/y + Private Loans y/y (EUR)

13:00 - CBI Realized Sales (GBP)

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-05-29

EURUSD- The pair is trading at 1.3596, the MA-20 on the 1 hour graph. If it breaks down, it may go down to 1.3560 at first, followed by 1.3460. If the pair does not break down, it can go up to 1.3630, followed by 1.3660, the MA-200 on the 1 hour graph.

Crude Oil- Oil has been breaking downward since yesterday, a trend that may continue today. Currently trading at 102.51, it may go down to 101.64, the MA- 200 on the 4 hour graph.

USDJPY- The pair is trading at 101.66, the MA-200 on the 1 hour graph. If it breaks below this level, it can go down to 101.34 at first, followed 101.10. If it doesn't, it can go up to 101.80, followed by 102.00.

GBPUSD- The pound has made 180 pips so far this week, and it seems like the trend could continue today. The pair is now at the 1.6720 level. It can go down to 1.6650, the MA- 100 on the daily graph, after which it can drop as low as 1.6430.

Important data for today:

15:30- USD- Prelim GDP q / q

USD- Unemployment Claims

17:00- USD- Pending Home Sales m / m

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-02

EURUSD is getting support at the 1.36 level. For now, the pair is moving according to the 200 EMA (daily chart), and may go up to 1.367 in the near term.

AUDUSD made a doji candle on Friday. That, combined with today's loss of the reversal pattern, could result in the pair going much lower!

CRUDE OIL is up after getting support from the fast EMA. Still, the 103 level can be a strong resistance, so there might be a correction before the commodity continues its move up.

GOLD is trading down and can't find bottom. The next major support is at 1200.

S&P500 is at an ALL TIME HIGH again. We will hear this term at least a couple of more times this year! For the near term, a correction may be getting closer, and if so, support will be at 1900.

PAY ATTENTION - this week we have massive economic news that can deeply affect the markets!

Economic News:

11:30 - Manufacturing PMI (GBP)

17:00 - ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD)

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-03

GBPUSD has not broken below the lows on the daily chart for the past two days. This might be the beginning of the pair moving its way back up. If so, by the weekend we could see it at 1.68.

AUDUSD has once again found support at last week's lows level, so there may be more to the medium trend rally we have been seeing.,If everything continues smoothly this week, we could see the pair reach 0.935.

USDCAD is at a major resistance and, most likely, that it will seek further support before the pair continues its massive move upwards.

GOLD is trading at 1243.5 with a very narrow range. If it remains that way, then we might reach the bottom of the last downward movement.

S&P500 looks like it may need some room to breath, following its gains of 2.6% in the past two weeks, (the index has gained every day except for one). It may find a good support at the round number 1900.

Economic news:

11:30 - Construction PMI (GBP)

12:00 - CPI Flash Estimate y/y (EUR)

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-05

EURUSD- The pair is currently at 1.3608, near the 1.617 resistance level. If the EUR crosses this level, it can go up to 1.3635, followed by 1.3660. If it fails to do so, it can go down to 1.3590, followed by 1.3560.

GBPUSD- The pair is near the 1.6762 resistance level, the MA-200 on the 1 hour graph. If the pound crosses that level, it can go up to 1.6826, the MA-200 on the 4 hour graph. If the pound fails to do that, it can go down to 1.6730, followed by 1.6690.

USDJPY- The pair is currently at the 102.50 support level. If it crosses this level, it can go down to 102.26 at first, and then to 102.00, followed by 101.74. If the pair crosses the MA-20 on the 1 hour graph at 102.62, it can go up to 102.74, followed by 103.30.

GOLD- Gold has been unable to break through 1244.80, the MA50 on the 1 hour graph. If it crosses that point, it can go up to 1249, followed by 1256. If it fails to do that, it can go down to 1231, and then 1217.

Important data for today:

14:00-GBP- Asset Purchase Facility

Official Bank Rate

14:45- EUR- Minimum Bid Rate

15:30-USD- Unemployment Claims

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-06

Good morning EURUSD - Yesterday we saw a very volatile session across the European board,

The pairs moved around 170 pips range, made an outside candle on a daily chart.

Lower rates in Europe, the EUR is cheap, it is very possible that a down trend will start in some of the EUR pairs.

More volatility is expected, Buying the EURUSD around 1.3635 with a stop loss of 30 pips can generate a nice ratio of 3:1 if the you EUR will continue to go up towards the 1.3740 level (200 SMA in the 1 Hour chart)

Important news is duo today, The N.F.P. will be published later on today at 15:30 MT4 server time.

The USDJPY loves to go up during the N.F.P. in some cases it's just jumps higher from it's current price around 50-70 in less then 1 minute, So a buy position with a close STOP LOSS

Indexes are touching the sky, every new day we have a new high, looking for the correction ? Maybe it's about time, the indexes has a good statistics of been in a down trend during the summer months, June / July / August , we will try to find a reversal candle in the 4 hour chart, to signal us the right time and price to sell the US indexes.

But be aware and be careful, don't forget to place SL in the positions, cause when an Index is breaking up, it can continue without even blinking.

UK100 is the weakest index, barley went up, possible to have the bigger profit in the correction with this Index, the 6890 level is a resistance for the last 5 months.

An expensive oil barrel (now at 102.10) can help the Indexes to start the correction, Buying the oil 102.10 with a 100 pips stop, and try to hold it till 104.35

EURCHF is not going up, so maybe the direction is down ? sell the pair till the 1.2040 level, sounds with a low change trade, but it's worth the try.

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-09

EURUSD has opened a new week following its doji candle last week. Although it can still go lower and seek support at 1.355, we could still see it break last week's high, and maybe go higher.

AUDUSD advanced during the night, and is continuing to move up. It's now holding at 0.935 and may just be a matter of a day or two before we see it at 0.94.

USDCAD does not look like it's ready to move higher yet. At its current level, there is strong resistance, and we may see it drop this week to its next support at 1.088.

GOLD closed last week with a slight gain and a narrow candle range, which can be a good indicator for a possible reversal. It may be a good option to buy at around 1260 with a buy and hold strategy.

S&P 500 is trading at 1950, where it may need a break from its upward rally. This level is a possible hold, but may not be a good point to enter buy positions.

Economic news:

15:15 - Housing Starts (CAD)

19:00 - RBA Gov Stevens Speaks (AUD)

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-10

EURUSD- The pair is now trading at 1.3600, the MA-20 on the 1 hour graph. If it crosses this level, it can go up to 1.3620, followed by 1.3680. If it fails to do so, it can go down to 1.3560, followed by 1.3520.

GBPUSD- The pound did not see any special movement in the last two days. It is now trading at 1.6810, the MA-50 on the 1 hour graph. It may go up to 1.6850, followed by 1.6906. If it fails to go up, it can drop to 1.6760, followed by 1.6700.

GOLD- Gold has strengthened in the last two days. It may continue to gain today, and could reach up to 1260, followed by 1268, the MA- 100 on the 4 hour graph.

GBPJPY- The pair is trading at 171.96. It can drop down to 171.50, the MA-200 on the 1 hour graph. If it fails to do so, it can go up to 172.30, followed by 172.80.

FT_DJ30- The Dow Jones is trading at 16918, the MA-50 on the 1hour graph. It may go down today to 16880, followed by 16820, the MA-100 on the 1 hour graph.

Important data for today:

GBP- 11:30- Manufacturing Production m / m

Daily Analysis 2014-06-11

USDCHF- It looks like the pair may make a downward correction. The pair is trading at 0.9000, the MA-20 on the 1 hour graph. It can go down to 0.8964, the MA- 200, and then to 0.8930. If it fails to do so, it can go up to 0.9020, followed by 0.970.

USDJPY- The pair is trading at 102.28, the MA-100 the daily graph. From here, it can go down to 102.04, followed by 101.70. If it fails to do so, it can go back up to 102.60, followed by 103.36.

EURUSD- The dollar is still strong against the euro, and it seems like it's going to stay that way. The pair is trading at 1.3537, the MA-20 the 1 hour graph. It can go down to 1.3460, which may be a good place to buy up to 1.3650.

SP_CRUDEOIL- Oil is still strong and may continue to go up until 105.60. If it fails to do so, it can drop down to 102.60, the MA-200 on the 1 hour graph.

FT_DJ30- The Dow looks like it may go down to 16875, the MA- 100 on the 1 hour graph, and then go back up to 17020.

Important date for today:

11:30- GBP- Claimant Count Change

Unemployment Rate

[SunBird]

Daily Analysis 2014-06-16

EURUSD can go higher from here, and it may be a good option to put a stop loss at the weekly low and hold on to it until at least 1.38

GBPUSD has opened higher today and is continuing its strong move up. The next stop is at 1.71 for the week ahead.

USDJPY has gone down from its opening level. Can this move lead to something bigger? It may be a smart choice to sell this pair with a stop loos on today's high and see where it leads to.

GOLD has made it to 1280 and from this level, we might see a correction later in the week. Still, the commodity is very bullish and can reach 1360 in the next two weeks or so.

OIL has again opened higher today, and it looks like this trend could maintain due to the escalation in violence in Iraq.

S&P500 is getting support from the fast EMA at the daily chart. If this level can hold, we may see another new high this week.

Economic news -

12:00 - CPI y/y + Core CPI y/y (EUR)

15:30 - Foreign Securities Purchases (CAD)

15:30 - Empire State Manufacturing Index (USD)

16:00 - TIC Long-Term Purchases (USD)

16:15 - Capacity Utilization Rate (USD)

16:15 - Industrial Production m/m (USD)

17:00 - NAHB Housing Market Index (USD)