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The euro will strengthen against the dollar in 2026

RBC experts forecast a strengthening of the euro against the US dollar in 2026, setting a target for the EUR/USD pair at 1.24.

To support this forecast, RBC analysts cite three main reasons for the likely appreciation of the euro against the US dollar.

1. The expected increase in hedging of US assets as the cost of rolling positions becomes cheaper. Such a shift in hedging strategies could create upward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate.
2. The ongoing expectation of a reallocation of investment from US markets to European ones. This hypothetical shift in capital flows should naturally support the strengthening of the euro against the dollar in the foreseeable future.
3. The prospect of more dynamic economic development in European countries in 2026, which will essentially become the fundamental basis for a higher valuation of the euro compared to the US dollar.

At the same time, RBC analysts also note a number of factors that are holding back the EUR/USD's long-term growth. These include:
     ✔ Outpacing productivity growth in the US,
     ✔ A shortage of attractive European alternatives to US Treasuries,
     ✔ The US's leading position in artificial intelligence and high technology,
     ✔ Continuing political risks within the European Union.

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The yuan remains stable against the dollar.

The yuan remains stable against the dollar, remaining at 7.114. The yuan is stable thanks to easing trade tensions and China maintaining its benchmark lending rates. Lending in China remains below expectations.

The dollar closed last week at 97.7, reflecting a recovery in the dollar index. This followed the Federal Reserve's rate cut and updated economic forecast.

The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.174, and a drop below 1.17 could lead to a decline in the euro. The British pound has rebounded slightly from its sharp decline, currently at 1.348. The Japanese yen remains in the 146.5-148.5 range.

The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday and predicted two more cuts this year. The GDP growth forecast was raised, which is helping the dollar as unemployment data came in better than expected. Political tensions are rife in the US as Congress nears a government shutdown. Gold prices hit a record high of $3,714 per ounce amid demand for safe-haven assets.

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New currency pairs and exchange directions

The financial sector is constantly changing, requiring market participants to adapt. One result of these changes is the increasing number of currency pairs and conversion options, creating new opportunities for investors and speculators.

In recent years, there has been interest in currency pairs from emerging markets, driven by the growth of economies in Asia, Latin America, and Africa. This offers investors the chance to achieve high returns, but also comes with risks such as exchange rate fluctuations and low liquidity.

With the increasing number of currency pairs, new exchange methods are emerging, including digital currencies. The integration of new assets into traditional finance requires market participants to continually improve their skills and develop a deep understanding of risks and macroeconomic factors.

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Answers to Frequently Asked Questions about Online Exchange

1. What is online exchange and how does it work?

Online exchange is the process of exchanging one currency (cryptocurrency) for another, or cryptocurrency for fiat money (e.g., dollars or euros) through specialized online platforms.

It works like this:

1. The user selects the currency they want to send and the currency they want to receive.
2. The platform displays the current exchange rate and transaction fee.
3. After the exchange is confirmed, the funds are converted, and the user receives the desired currency in the wallet they specified.

2. What are the advantages of online exchange compared to traditional methods?

• Transaction speed,
• 24/7 availability,
• Ease of use from anywhere in the world,
• Wide selection of available currencies (cryptocurrencies).

3. What risks should be considered when using online exchange?

• It is important to choose reliable and proven platforms with a good reputation.
• You should also consider the volatility of cryptocurrencies, which can lead to exchange rate fluctuations during the transaction.
• Be careful when entering your wallet details to avoid errors when transferring funds.

4. How to choose a reliable online exchange platform?

When choosing an online exchange platform, consider the following factors:

• Platform reputation,
• Licensing,
• User reviews,
• Transparency of fees,
• Security,
• User-friendly interface, and transaction processing speed.

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