Daily Market Analysis and Overview by Unitedpips

[Unitedpips]

Key Drivers Behind Euro-Dollar Movements



Introduction to EUR USD
The Euro against the US Dollar (EUR/USD) is the most widely traded currency pair in the world, often referred to as the "Fiber." Representing the exchange rate between the euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, and the US dollar, the global reserve currency, EUR/USD plays a central role in the forex market. This pair reflects the relative strength of the European and US economies, making it a key indicator for international trade, monetary policy, and investor sentiment. Monitoring EUR/USD movements helps traders and investors assess market trends, hedge risks, and capitalize on global economic shifts.


EUR/USD Market Overview
The EUR/USD pair is poised for potential volatility as traders await key events from both the Eurozone and the United States. On the European front, markets are focused on ECB President Christine Lagarde’s remarks at the 10th Annual ECB Research Conference in Frankfurt, with investors looking for subtle hints regarding future monetary policy. Alongside this, upcoming Eurostat inflation releases, particularly the Core CPI and Final CPI data, remain crucial in shaping expectations around the ECB’s rate path. Additional attention is on Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel’s speech, which could provide further hawkish signals from one of the Governing Council’s most influential voices. Meanwhile, in the US, focus turns to upcoming housing data, including building permits and housing starts, as well as weekly crude oil inventories, all of which provide insight into the health of the economy and potential impacts on dollar strength. With the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting approaching in late October, traders remain cautious, weighing Eurozone inflation signals against US growth momentum, setting the stage for possible sharp moves in EUR/USD.



EURUSD Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, EUR/USD has exhibited a notable bullish structure, with the ZigZag indicator highlighting a series of higher highs and higher lows since early 2025. After a strong upward leg, the pair is currently consolidating near the 1.1860 resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion but maintaining a bullish bias. Volatility Close-to-Close stands at around 6.15%, reflecting moderate market fluctuations relative to prior spikes earlier in the year. If bullish momentum persists, EUR/USD could look to retest the recent swing high near 1.2000. However, a corrective pullback remains possible, with the ZigZag pattern hinting at prior retracements that provided healthier buying opportunities. Traders are closely watching whether current consolidation evolves into a breakout continuation or a corrective phase, as volatility levels remain subdued compared to previous peaks.


Final Thoughts on EUR vs USD 
In summary, EUR/USD remains at a pivotal juncture, shaped by both fundamental drivers and technical dynamics. With key Eurozone speeches and inflation releases on the horizon, alongside critical U.S. housing and energy data, the pair is likely to experience heightened volatility in the near term. From a technical perspective, the consolidation around 1.1860 signals an important decision point, with potential for either a breakout toward 1.2000 or a corrective retracement before the next leg higher. For traders, balancing short-term market reactions with the broader macroeconomic outlook will be essential in navigating opportunities and risks in this heavily traded currency pair.


Disclaimer: This EURUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


09.17.2025

[Unitedpips]

GBP/USD Price Action: Bullish Momentum Meets Key Fibonacci Levels



Introduction to GBP/USD
The GBP/USD pair, also known as “Cable”, represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling (GBP) and the United States Dollar (USD). It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, favored by traders due to its liquidity and volatility. The nickname "Cable" originates from the mid-19th century when the first transatlantic cable transmitted GBP/USD quotes between London and New York. Monitoring this pair provides valuable insight into the economic health of both the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as the broader global economy.


GBPUSD Market Overview
The GBP USD pair is currently trading around 1.3619 after testing higher levels earlier in the week. Recent US data releases continue to influence the greenback, with the latest Initial Jobless Claims report signaling labor market resilience ahead of the September 25, 2025 release. Traders are also focusing on the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, due in October, which could offer fresh signals on business sentiment. On the UK side, attention remains fixed on the Bank of England (BOE) and its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) stance, with the next rate decision scheduled for November 6, 2025. Until then, speculation around rate hikes or policy shifts continues to drive Sterling volatility. Broader global sentiment has also impacted the pair, with commodity prices and risk appetite affecting short-term positioning in GBP/USD.



GBP-USD Technical Analysis
From a daily chart perspective (D1), GBP USD has been moving in a bullish trend but recently entered a correction phase. The price action shows that candles have broken above the 0.236 Fibonacci extension level (1.3572) and are currently targeting the next significant resistance near the 0.382 Fibonacci level (1.3803). However, if bullish momentum fades, the pair could retrace towards the key support at 1.3199, which marks a previous swing low. The Williams Alligator indicator shows alignment with the lips, teeth, and jaw structure pointing to a continuation of the uptrend, while the Aroon indicator signals strong bullish dominance with the upper line at 92.86% compared to the lower line at 21.43%. Meanwhile, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is hovering near 0.00128, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish momentum but also cautioning traders of possible consolidation.


Final Words about GBP vs USD
Overall, the GBP/USD pair remains in a cautiously bullish structure, with price action supported by recent technical breakouts. Traders should watch closely how the pair reacts to the 1.3800 Fibonacci resistance zone, as a clear break above could confirm a stronger bullish continuation. On the downside, failure to maintain current momentum may lead to a pullback toward the 1.3200 support area, which aligns with previous market structure. Upcoming US labor market data, coupled with BOE policy expectations, will play a decisive role in setting the next directional bias. In conclusion, GBP/USD traders should remain alert for both macroeconomic developments and technical signals to optimize their trading strategies.


Disclaimer: This GBPUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


09.18.2025