official Market Update by Solidecn.com

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EURGBP Analysis

Solid ECN - The EURGBP has experienced a decline from the median line of the bullish flag, extending to the 0.869 pivot. Importantly, this level aligns with the lower line of the bullish flag, making it a crucial point to maintain a bullish outlook.

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator, currently hovering above the 50 level, supports the bullish sentiment. If the EURGBP price can sustain above this pivot, an increase in price towards the R1 resistance level is likely.

Conversely, if the EURGBP price closes below the pivot and stabilizes itself at this lower level, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. In such a case, bears might aim to further drive the price down towards the S1 support level.
 

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USDJPY Technical Analysis: A Fresh Bullish Surge

 

In today's trading session, the USDJPY currency pair demonstrated resilience, bouncing back from the bullish flag's lower boundary. This movement, supported by the S1 level, reinforces the bullish momentum. 

 

 

The RSI indicator's rise above 50 adds to this optimism, suggesting the uptrend might persist. The pair now sets its sights on R2, aiming next for the bullish flag's upper line. This pattern indicates a robust bullish scenario, offering intriguing possibilities for traders.

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EURUSD Technical Analysis: Nearing a Key Level

The EURUSD is approaching the upper boundary of the bullish flag in the 4-hour chart, just as anticipated. This critical juncture offers a compelling opportunity for buyers, with risks situated below the R2 level.

 

 

Should the R2 mark be breached, it would undermine the current bullish scenario.  

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USDJPY

The USDJPY currency pair has made a notable move, breaking through the median line of the bullish flag. Simultaneously, the RSI indicator surged above the 50 level. This signals a strong bullish momentum in the pair. As it remains above the pivot, bulls are likely setting their sights on the upper channel line.

However, this bullish scenario would be invalidated if the pair closes below the pivot. Keep an eye on these developments for key trading insights.

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Understanding Solana's Market Movements

FxNews- Solana's recent price adjustment, a decline from its previous week's high, was largely anticipated by market observers. A key indicator was the formation of a long wick candlestick, positioned close to the $66.9 resistance level. Adding to this, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) divergence also pointed towards a potential drop in price. These signs led many to believe that a downward adjustment in Solana’s price was on the horizon.

As of now, Solana is trading above its pivot point. This indicates a generally bullish sentiment for the SOLUSD pair. However, there's a possibility of a further price correction if the bears manage to push Solana below the $61.3 resistance level. Should this happen, the correction could extend, possibly reaching as low as the $53.3 region.

On the other hand, the primary resistance facing the bullish trend is known as R1. For Solana to continue its upward movement, breaking through this specific resistance level is essential. 

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EURUSD

News Solid ECN - On November 14, the EURUSD pair saw a big increase, shown by a long bullish candle on the chart. This shows that prices are going up, a trend supported by the Ichimoku cloud. Now, the EURUSD is doing well above the cloud and is getting close to the 50% Fibonacci level. The important point here is that a key trendline is now helping push the price up. If the price stays above this line, it might reach the 61.8% Fibonacci level.

A significant aspect of this scenario is the shift in a key trendline from a barrier to a support factor, encouraging the currency pair's upward trajectory. The stability of the EURUSD price above this trendline fuels expectations among investors for it to reach even higher, particularly aiming for the 61.8% level on the Fibonacci scale.

However, if the price goes below this line, it could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci level. But overall, as long as the price is above the Ichimoku cloud, the market looks positive for traders and investors.

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GBPUSD Market Outlook

In recent trading sessions, the GBPUSD pair saw a reduction in downward pressure at the R1 level, aligning with the central line of the ongoing bullish flag pattern. Notably, the 4-hour chart of GBPUSD revealed a hammer candlestick formation, indicating a potential shift towards an upward movement. The chart analysis points towards an anticipated push towards the R2 resistance mark.

The bullish outlook is further reinforced by the support at 1.237. However, if this support fails, it's likely that the downward trend that began on November 15th may extend, targeting the 1.228 level as an immediate goal.

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EURUSD Technical Analysis

The EURUSD currency pair experienced a rise from the 1.083 pivot point, aligning with expectations. The Average Directional Index (ADX) is currently above the level of 30, demonstrating the strength of the bullish market. The next target for the EURUSD bulls is the R1 resistance level, which stands at 1.1. This target is attainable if the price can sustain itself above the pivot point.

 

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis 

In line with expectations, the GBPUSD currency pair experienced a bounce back from the top boundary of its bullish flag pattern. This upward movement was further supported by the ADX indicator surpassing the 20 level, indicating an intensifying trend. As the pair holds above the flag's upper line, the bulls targeting GBPUSD are now likely setting their sights on the 50% Fibonacci retracement level as their next goal. 

 

 

On the flip side, if the pair falls below the 1.24 threshold, it would negate the current bullish outlook, potentially leading to a downward trajectory towards the lows seen in October.

 

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Analyzing GBPJPY Forex Pair: Key Levels and Market Trends

 

The GBPJPY pair presents a notable scenario as it approaches the S1 support point at 184.89. This particular level gains additional significance due to its association with the Ichimoku cloud, which serves to strengthen the support indication. Recently, the GBPJPY pair has slipped beneath the level of a previously surpassed bullish flag, hinting at a possible shift towards a bearish trend in the near term. For this bearish trend to gain traction and draw in more sellers, it's crucial for the pair's price to settle and remain consistently below the cloud.

 

 

Conversely, maintaining a position above 184.6 could signal a different turn for the GBPJPY pair, possibly indicating the start of a market correction phase. In this event, traders might expect the pair to reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, with a further possibility of advancing to the 50% Fibonacci level.

 

 

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USDJPY 

In our latest review of the USDJPY currency pair, we've noticed a continued downward movement, going past the 23.6% Fibonacci level. The ADX indicator shows low market volatility, but the Super trend indicator points to a further drop in USDJPY.

 

 

SolidECN analysts believe this downward trend could reach the 38.2% Fibonacci level, indicating a short-term bearish outlook for the pair.

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UK Public Sector Borrowing Hits Near-Record High in October 2023

In October 2023, the UK's public sector borrowing (excluding banks) rose to £14.9 billion, a significant jump from last year's £10.5 billion in the same month and surpassing the anticipated £13.7 billion. This represents the second-highest borrowing for October since records started in 1993. There was a 7.7% increase in total spending, reaching £99.8 billion, mainly due to higher expenses like increased benefit payments, despite the end of energy price-related payments from October 2022. On the revenue side, there was a modest 3.3% increase to £85.2 billion, largely driven by a £2.7 billion increase in central government tax receipts.

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USDCAD

 

The USDCAD currency pair is trading close to the lower line of the bullish flag. The market is ranging in this area, as indicated by the ADX indicator hovering below the 20 level on the daily chart. The bullish trend is supported by the super trend indicator and the flag, as depicted in the image below.

 

As long as the pair is ranging above 1.3678, the bullish trend is valid, and the pair may rise to test the 78.6% of the Fibonacci level again. Please note, if the ADX rises above the 20 level, this scenario will gain more credibility.

 

 

On the flip side, if the bears cross down the bullish flag, the ranging area may extend to the Fibonacci 0 level. If this level breaks down, the bullish trend can be considered over, and we would witness a trend reversal in the USDCAD pair.

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Canadian Bond Yields Stabilize Amid Economic Shifts

In November, the Canadian 10-year government bond yield stabilized below 3.7%, marking its lowest point in over two months. This trend reflects growing beliefs that both the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve might pause their rate hike cycles. Recent statistics reveal a drop in domestic inflation to 3.1% in October, surpassing expectations. This decline is a notable improvement from the Bank of Canada's initial projection of CPI inflation lingering around 3.5% until the latter half of 2024.

Such data reinforces the notion that the central bank may hold back on increasing its policy rate. This comes as the unemployment rate reaches its highest in almost two years, coupled with early indications suggesting a continued stagnation of the Canadian GDP throughout the third quarter.

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USDCHF

 

The USDCHF pair shows a pronounced bearish trend, with the pair drawing close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement mark. This particular level might serve as a pivotal support point, likely to decelerate the current downward trend. This slowdown is further hinted at by the RSI indicator approaching the oversold area.

 

 

If the pair successfully stays above the 61.8% threshold, we could see USDCHF entering a phase of correction, aiming for the 50% Fibonacci level, a known zone of resistance. At this juncture, the resistance could become a crucial point for bearish traders to consider new entries, especially in a market that's heavily leaning towards short positions.

 

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Positive Outlook for European Markets

European stock markets are poised to kick off Wednesday's trading session on a positive note, buoyed by an uptick in risk appetite. Market participants are still digesting the implications of the recent Federal Reserve meeting minutes. The US central bank has hinted at maintaining a tight monetary policy, with no immediate plans to reduce interest rates.

 

Key Events to Watch

 

In the UK, all eyes will be on Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt, who is set to present his "Autumn Statement". This important announcement will outline the government's economic strategy moving forward. Meanwhile, Russia is due to release data on producer inflation, which could influence market trends.

 

Market Indicators

In the premarket trade, futures for the Euro Stoxx 50 and FTSE 100 indices were seen slightly higher, both showing a modest increase of around 0.1%. This suggests a cautiously optimistic start to the trading day in Europe.

 

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Bitcoin

 

Examining today's Bitcoin technical analysis reveals that the cryptocurrency, often dubbed 'digital gold', is currently exhibiting a bullish flag pattern. Notably, Bitcoin's price has positively responded to the flag's lower boundary, with the market's bulls now challenging a critical threshold at $36,712. Should they successfully breach this mark, it could amplify the upward trend, potentially elevating the next target to R1, valued at $38,665.

 

 

On the flip side, the S1 mark plays a crucial role as a supportive base within this bullish context. However, if this support level were to be broken, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend that initiated on November 16, possibly leading the price towards the S2 level, located near $33,483.

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Oil

 

The price of crude oil has recently experienced a decline, reaching the median line of its bearish channel. This downward trend aligns with expectations set when a bearish engulfing pattern emerged close to the bullish flag's upper boundary.

 

 

It's anticipated that the oil price may stabilize somewhat near the bearish flag's central line. Nevertheless, the projected target appears to be the S1 level, corresponding to a support point around $72.

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EURUSD

EURUSD price is declining. This trend began to emerge when the pair's price hit the top of the bullish flag, marked at 1.0966. The decline is further confirmed by a divergence indicated by the awesome oscillator. If the critical support level of 1.0844 cannot hold back the downward momentum, we might see an extended drop. A sustained closure below this key level could point to a downward trajectory, potentially reaching 1.076 and possibly extending to 1.07.

At this juncture, the midpoint of the bullish flag plays a pivotal role. It acts as a significant line of defense against the bearish trend. A breach of this median line could signal a shift, potentially reviving the upward trend of the pair.

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European Markets Edge Higher as ECB Minutes Loom

 

In European financial circles, there was a modest uptick in stock values on Thursday. The STOXX 50 index saw a slight increase of 0.1%, reaching 4,355 points—a peak not observed since August 10th. Similarly, the broader STOXX 600 index climbed by 0.2%, marking a new two-month high. Contributing to this trend, recent PMI surveys indicated a slower contraction in Eurozone business activities for November. Notably, there was a downturn in employment for the first time since early 2021, alongside a six-month peak in input cost inflation. The financial community is now keenly awaiting the ECB's October meeting minutes.

 

On the corporate front, notable developments included Virgin Money's annual profits falling short of expectations, Jet2's operating profit soaring by 19%, and Endesa revising its profit forecast downwards. Outside of the immediate financial sector, political developments in the Netherlands captured attention, particularly the exit polls suggesting a significant rise in support for Geert Wilders' right-wing populist Freedom Party.