Daily Market News By Fxnet

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Asian Session - Dollar regains some losses against yen

The US dollar rebounded against the yen to recover some losses made after a huge tumble following disappointing US nonfarm payrolls data on Friday.

The data raised concern about the health of the US economy and led to speculation that a Fed rate hike may be further delayed.

The weaker jobs number caused a sell-off in the dollar and investors were forced to unwind stretched short positions on the yen. This gave the Japanese currency a bit of a breather from recent weakening.

UDJPY climbed up to 103.48 yen in the Asian session, up 0.5 percent to recover some losses after its big drop on Monday, when the pair fell over 1 percent to a one-month low.

A trade report from Japan today showed that country’s current account recorded a larger deficit in November, weighing further on Japan’s balance of payments. This will dent sentiment on the yen.
In other currencies, the euro remained steady against the dollar, close to Friday’s highs when it rallied on the back of the US jobs report. EURUSD traded at $1.3666, off a one-month low of $1.3548 hit on Thursday.

The pound remains weak after falling on Monday against the dollar. Key risk for the sterling will be UK inflation data due later today. GBPUSD ended in Asia at $1.6387, rebounding slightly from yesterday’s low of $1.6346.

The Australian dollar, which has benefited from weakness in its US counterpart and hit a one-month high on Monday, has since retreated, down to $0.9034. AUDUSD is down 0.2percent from Monday’s high of $0.9087.

Key data to watch for in the European session will be UK CPI and Euro zone industrial production data. During the US session, US retail sales data are scheduled for release.

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Asian Session – Soft Australian employment data hurt aussie

The Australian dollar was the worst performer during the Asian session after being hurt by soft Australian employment data.

According to a labour force survey for January, the domestic economy showed a surprise 3,700 drop in the number of employed Australians, which came on top of a slight downward revision in December's figures. The unemployment rate rose to the highest level since July 2003, at 6%.

The aussie tumbled over 100 pips against the US dollar in reaction to the disappointing data today.

AUDUSD fell to 0.8926 from 0.9030, reversing Wednesday’s gains made after strong China trade data.

In other currencies, the euro, pound and yen gained against the US dollar. There is caution with trading the greenback today ahead of a report today that forecast to show U.S. retail sales stalled.

The euro gained for the first time in three days against the dollar before an ECB monthly report later today.

EURUSD opened in Asia at 1.3592 and rose to 1.3615, regaining some losses from the sharp tumble yesterday following ECB policy makers comments on negative interest rates.

GBPUSD climbed to a high of 1.6622, the highest since January 28. The pound was lifted by BOE governor Mark Carney’s comments that the UK’s economic recovery was gaining momentum. Markets factored in a rate increase earlier in 2015, sooner than previously thought.

USDJPY slid to a low of 101.98 from 102.51. US retail sales will be a key risk for the dollar. A relatively flat outcome for sales will provide little rationale to buy the currency.

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USDJPY has fallen a bit but has enough support level, the pair seems good for making long term investment...

[Guest FxNet]

Asian Session – Aussie gains after data shows Australian economy picks up pace

Risk trades were back after the Ukraine crisis de-escalated and this was particularly evident after the S&P 500 rallied 1.5% to a record high on Tuesday.

During Wednesday’s Asian session, the main data releases were from Australian, with fourth quarter GDP numbers coming in stronger-than-forecast.

In other news, China provided its strongest signal yet that it will shift toward balanced and clean economic growth, promising to reduce the pace of investment to the lowest in a decade and wage a "war on pollution".

Most major currencies traded a range during today’s Asian session, consolidating moves from the previous day. The unwinding safe haven trades led to a weaker yen and Swiss franc.

USDJPY opened the Asian session at 102.21 after the yen was sold across the board due to outflows from safe have currencies as the Ukraine crisis eased. The pair traded a 102.11/29 range throughout the Asian session.

EURJPY did little and traded a 140.25/57 range.

EURUSD opened the Asian session at 1.3742 but barely moved during the Asian session , edging down about 15 pips to 1.3727. Focus is on Euro zone services PMI data later today. The main key risk for the euro will be the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday. There are mixed views on whether the ECB will take action and cut rates.

GBPUSD traded sideways in Asia between 1.6656-73. UK BRC shop prices inflation data released early today had little impact. The UK services PMI data due later today will be more important while Thursday’s Bank of England policy meeting will also be a key risk for the pound.

USDCHF traded a 0.8868-08877 range, remaining calm after fears of the Ukraine crisis subsided and there was less demand for the safe haven Swissie.

AUDUSD opened on Wednesday at 0.8952 and the pair spiked up to 0.8995 after the better-than-expected Q4 GDP numbers. The pair then fell back down to 0.8935.

Looking ahead, Eurozone services PMI data will be released in the European session today.

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Asian Session – Australian dollar rallies after strong retail sales and trade data

The Australian dollar was the best performer today after Australian retail sales beat expectations by more than double the forecast, while the nation’s trade balance posted a strong surplus. The upbeat data lessened the possibility of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia and helped sentiment for the AUD.

Australian retail sales jumped by 1.2% m/m versus a consensus of 0.5% while the trade surplus widened to A$1.433 billion versus a previous A$591 million and above the A$270 million forecasted.

AUDUSD rallied to a high above 0.9030 while AUSDJPY rose to a high above 92.60 yen.

In other news overnight there was soft US data. The private payrolls processor ADP showed a tepid increase of 139,000 jobs in February, while jobs growth in January was revised down sharply to 127,000 from 175,000. The ISM non-manufacturing PMI fell to a 4-year low last month.

However the dollar remained buoyant as Fed policy maker Williams said yesterday that he expects the first rate hike to be in mid 2015. This gave a boost to the dollar.

USDJPY rose to a high above 102.75 in Asia today, up from the session open of 102.30 and up 1.2% since Monday.

EURUSD traded at $1.3728, little-changed in Asia but off 2-month high of $1.38255 hit on Friday. A key risk for the euro will be today’s European Central Bank meeting. Interest rates are expected to remain the same at 0.25% but many expect the central bank to end its SMP sterilization program, which means an end to bond buying that was draining liquidity. By ending this program, the increase in liquidity in the financial system of the Euro zone will weaken the euro.

GBPUSD was flat trading a 20-pip range above $1.6706. The Bank of England policy announcement will be in focus today.It is expected to be a non-event as the rate is predicted to remain at 0.50%.

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Asian Session – Yen gains on safe haven demand after dismal China trade data

Risk aversion took hold on Monday after a shockingly weak Chinese trade balance report sent a shiver through the markets on the weekend. The world’s second largest economy posted a $23 billion monthly deficit in February compared to a $14 billion surplus expected. This comes after a nearly $32 billion surplus in January.

Meanwhile other disappointing news hurt market sentiment as well after Japan's current account deficit hit a record 1.5tn yen in January.

Due to increased safe haven demand, the yen benefited during Monday’s Asian session.

USDJPY opened on Monday with a gap lower on risk aversion following worse than expected China trade data. The pair dipped from 103.11 to 102.96. On Friday the dollar surged to a high of 103.75 on the back of stronger-than-forecast US jobs numbers.

EURUSD is proving to be resilient despite the growing tensions in the Ukraine crisis. The pair moved off post-NFP lows of 1.3851 hit on Friday and opened the Asian session on Monday at 1.3870 to reach a session high of1.3891.

GBPUSD traded a 1.6720-45 range during the Asian session, down from Friday’s high of 1.6784.

USDCHF traded a 0.8759-0.8780 range. Swiss retail sales data will be in focus today.

AUDUSD opened the Asian session at 0.9045, gapping down from Friday’s New York close of 0.9069 and slid to 0.9022. The aussie is being weighed down by the poor China trade numbers. China is a major trading partner for Australia.

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Asian Session – Yen steady after Bank of Japan policy remains unchanged

The focus of the Asian markets on Tuesday was on the Bank of Japan policy meeting which concluded after two days. As was anticipated by many, the BOJ held its policy unchanged and left its overnight call rate at 0.1% and the monetary base target at Y60-70 tln.

The BOJ also left its economic assessment of the Japanese economy unchanged, noting that the moderate economic recovery is continuing. The BOJ said that although export growth has levelled off there has been a pick up in capital spending, and that industrial production has been increasing at a somewhat accelerated pace.

USDJPY eased back to a low near 103.15 following the BOJ decision. Earlier in the session it rose to a high above 103.40.

EURJPY slid after the BOJ but holds above 143.00 as it has been doing in Monday’s US session.

GBPUSD slid down to a low near 1.6630 stayed near its low after the release of the BRC like-for-like retail sales which came in at -1.0% y/y versus forecast of 1.6%.

AUDUSD initially slid down to a low of 0.9010 following the release of weak Australian data before ending the session little changed. The National Australia Bank (NAB) business conditions and confidence data) came in at 0 versus +5 previously and +7 versus +9 prior (respectively) . However, the pair remains on the defensive on uncertainty regarding the weak China data over the weekend and the geopolitical tensions between Russia & Ukraine.

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Asian Session – Yen strengthens on risk aversion over China concerns

Risk aversion led to a stronger yen while other major pairs drifted without clear direction as investors are taking on a cautious stance as concerns remain over a weakening Chinese economy after soft trade data earlier in the week. Also geopolitical tensions in Ukraine are weighing on market sentiment.

The only economic data releases today were from Australia. The Westpac report showed that consumer confidence in the country fell in March, extending its decline from a post-election peak in November.

The Australian dollar fell due to the domestic data as well as due to concerns over China, which is Australia’s major trading partner. Also Australia is a major producer of copper and iron ore, whose prices are tumbling recently. This is because copper is being used as collateral for loans in China, and with a slowing Chinese economy there are fears of defaults on these loans.

USDJPY opened the Asian session at 103.02 and came under pressure early as Asian markets started off on a nervous note (Nikkei went 2.4% lower) and Shanghai copper opening limit down. USDJPY eased to 102.78.

EURUSD opened the Asian session 1.3860 after another very quiet US session and traded a 1.3851/65 range. All of the market’s attention was on JPY and AUD pairs due to rising risk aversion sparked by China fears. Focus will turn to Euro zone industrial production data out later today although it is unlikely to have a large impact.

GBPUSD traded a tight range between1.6612-33 during the Asian session.

AUDUSD opened on Wednesday at 0.8977 and came under pressure early in the session due to soft Westpac consumer confidence numbers. Also weighing on AUD was falling copper and iron ore prices (Australia is a major exporter

[Guest FxNet]

Forex Daily Analysis - 2 April 2014

The EUR/USD picked up 27 focuses today as eurozone Pmis demonstrated improvement over needed and German employments information reported a change with unemployment ticking down. The euro is exchanging at 1.3798. the euro EURUSD +0.27% was pushing higher against the dollar, creeping ever closer to that $1.38 level after information indicated the euro-zone fabricating PMI for March was affirmed at 53, easier than 53.2 seen in February. Still, the normal perusing for the first quarter arrived at the best result since the second quarter of 2011.

The GBP/USD eased today giving up 26 points to exchange at 1.6637 after manufacturing PMI dipped below forecast but remained in a positive zone. March UK Markit/CIPS manufacturing PMI printed at 55.3 vs 56.7 expectations the lowest since July 2012

The AUD/USD added 3 points giving back a bit of earlier gains after the RBA announcement. Glenn Steven’s did as expected and held rates and policy. Prior to the release the Aussie was at the 93 price level on stronger than expected Chinese data. The Chinese Governments Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 50.3 in March, the National Bureau of Statistics and China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said today. That compared with February’s 50.2 reading and the 50.1 median estimates from analysts in a Bloomberg News survey. Numbers above 50 signal expansion. The Aussie is trading at 0.9268 at this writing.

The USD/JPY continued to decline as the sale tax increase goes into effect today. The JPY eased by 8 pips to trade against the US dollar at 103.30. The yen remained lower against the dollar after Bank of Japan data showed the Tankan index for sentiment among large manufacturers in the nation rose to 17 in the first quarter from 16 in the previous period. The Tankan was weak,” said Ken go Suzuki, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities Co. in Tokyo. “Some investors buying the dollar against the yen may take profits as it climbed above 103 in the past few days.” Gold is flat for the day moving between small gains and losses at 1284.80 after falling below the 1280 price on Monday for a few minutes.

Gold prices steadied on Tuesday, recovering early losses, as comments from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen defending easy-money policies hurt the dollar, while a drop to seven-week lows overnight sparked interest from bargain-hunting buyers. The metal fell to a low of $1,278.34 an ounce in Asian trade as stocks rallied on the back of Yellen’s comments, which reassured investors that the bank would maintain monetary support for the U.S. economy.

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The USD/JPY gained 17 points to trade at 103.84 as the yen loses

EUR/USD : is level for the day, exchanging at 1.3794 unable to support the 1.38 level after Spanish unemployment indicated a huge drop in cases and yearly GDP met desires, in spite of the fact that quarterly GDP printed underneath figure. The euro also ticked higher. Like the dollar it tends to draw support from prospects of higher world growth and is also supported by expectations the European Central Bank will steer clear on Thursday of any action to ease monetary policy. A rising dollar was this year’s big call for many banks and funds in January and most have been disappointed, with a falloff in growth in China and a euro bolstered by returning flows of capital instead the dominant trends.

GBP/USD : climbed by 14 points after construction PMI printed close to expectations but showing strong growth. The pound is trading at 1.6642 as traders evaluate the Bank of England’s next move now that the economy is recovering steadily. The improved outlook suggests the Bank of England may tighten monetary policy in the next 12 months.

AUD/USD : eased to trade at 0.9235 giving up 13 points after building approvals missed expectations. The currency continues to remain well above its trading range on hopes of stimulus from the Chinese government. The RBA kept the target cash rate at 2.5 percent, as expected, and kept its view that rates won’t change while the central bank supports the economy.

USD/JPY : gained 17 points to trade at 103.84 as the yen loses its value as traders are now expecting the Bank of Japan to add stimulus to offset the negative effects of the sales tax increase which went into effect on April 1st. The combination of rising global equity markets with rising U.S. Treasury yields is a catalyst for USD/JPY to move higher,” said Kit Juckes, analyst at Societe Generale

Gold : added $3.90 ahead of the ADP payroll release to trade at 1283.90 as traders begin to take position ahead of the ECB and the NFP over the next two days. The ADP jobs report will be the main event that traders are waiting for with data due to be released in just a few hours. Having fallen 8% in just over two weeks, gold “hasn’t found a host of willing buyers looking to pick up cheaper metal,” said UBS analyst Adel Tully. “Some buying interest has emerged on the lows, but further downside has been prevented largely because sellers are in short supply.”

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Fundamental Analysis April 4

EUR/USD is flat ahead of the ECB meeting. the choice is expected in simply a couple of hours, yet the firecrackers will probably be later in the day at Mr. Draghi's question and answer session. Merchants can anticipate that the Governing Council will simplicity arrangement unassumingly at this gathering, through a little cut in key rates or liquidity activities. Aggressive unconventional policies remain distant. The ECB may introduce new liquidity measures today to counter tightness in funding conditions, but we think they will most likely not deliver additional rate cuts or monetary policy accommodation.

GBP/USD gave up 16 points to trade at 1.6610 after UK services PMI missed expectations and also printed lower than last months. It is not a major upset to the markets but enough to see some traders moving away from the pound as the US dollar continues to climb. Sterling fell to a day’s low against the dollar and the euro on Thursday, after UK services sector expanded at a slower-than- expected pace in March.

AUD/USD eased by 33 points against a much stronger greenback after more data showed a steady recovery in the US economy. Retail sales in Australia missed expectations this morning and the trade balance widened more than expected but remain less than the previous months. In Australia, the RBA wants Australia’s biggest banks and building societies to pay a levy to help pay for a fund that will protect their own depositors in the event of a banking collapse.

USD/JPY soared to trade at 104.05 as the dollar gained momentum after the ADP data release on Wednesday showed that the private employers created more jobs than in previous months and there was a strong upward revision to the previous month. The Japanese yen declined against other major currencies in Asian morning deals on Thursday as investor sentiment rose on strong U.S. data and China’s mini stimulus package designed to boost spending on railways and tax relief for struggling small businesses.

Gold reversed course and begin to ease giving up $4.50 to trade at 1286.30 after climbing in the Asian session as high as 1293. Traders are beginning to take positions ahead of tomorrow’s NFP and after comment from several Federal Reserve members all saying that we would likely see an interest rate increase in mid-2015. Investors are waiting on a European Central Bank policy statement later in the session and monthly jobs data from the U.S. Friday.

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Forex Daily Analysis - 7 April 2014

 

 

EUR/USD kept on decliing in front of the non-cultivate payroll report. The euro keeps on traing

 

downwards after dovish remarks from ECB Director Draghi, who made no move yesterday yet talked

 

down expansion and offered signs that the Bank could add liquidity to the business sectors.

 

GBP/USD eased to trade at 1.6585 falling steadily since construction PMI missed expectations and the

 

US dollar continued to gain ahead of the NFP release due shortly. Sterling headed for the bottom of its

 

recent range against the dollar on Friday, hurt by a bullish week for the US currency and a couple of

 

marginally weaker than expected numbers on the British economy.

 

 

AUD/USD gave up 9 points to trade at 0.9283 remaining close to its record high the currency fell against

 

a strong USD and a minor data release from the ANZ jobs advertisements which slipped below last

 

month. It has been a slow trading morning with Chinese markets closed traders looked for any signs or

 

news.

 

USD/JPY is flat this morning ahead of the Bank of Japan meeting trading at 103.28 after steadily

 

declining last week against a strong greenback. Japan’s central bank will probably double purchases

 

of exchange-traded funds in a second round of monetary easing under Governor Haruhiko Kuroda

 

anticipated in coming months, a Bloomberg News survey of economists’ shows. The dollar remained

 

stronger following a three-week rally before the U.S. central bank releases minutes this week of the

 

Federal Open Market Committee’s March meeting.Leveraged funds boosted their bearish bets on the

 

U.S. currency to the most in almost four years last week, spurring speculation it will strengthen as some

 

of those positions are reversed.

 

Gold gained to trade at 1292.50 as traders begin to take positions prior to the non-farm payroll release

 

wid could send the US dollar soaring or just the opposite. Gold headed for a third weekly decline, the

 

longest run of losses since September, before a report forecast to show the fastest jobs growth in the US

 

in four months, supporting further reductions to monetary stimulus.

 

[Guest FxNet]

Fundamental Analysis April 8

EUR/USD is exchanging at 1.3715 up by 11 focuses as the euro picked up a bit of force after the arrival of German Industrial Production numbers indicating a positive build in processing. A week ago on April third, the European Central Bank (ECB) took off its most recent redesign on money related strategy. President Mario Draghi reminded markets that dangers in the euro zone stay to the downside. Speculators keep on showwing enthusiasm toward euro region holdings. This investment probably illustrates at any rate a portion of the headstrong quality in the euro.

GBP/USD is completely flat today, with no direction as traders are taking a break. The pound is holding at 1.6575 ahead of the Bank of England meeting later this week. The Fed will release on minutes of its March 18-19 meeting on April 9. Policy makers at the gathering cut monthly bond purchases by $10 billion to $55 billion. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the central bank may start to raise interest rates “around six months” after ending its asset-buying program.

AUD/USD gave up 9 points to trade at 0.9283 remaining close to its record high the currency fell against a strong USD and a minor data release from the ANZ jobs advertisements which slipped below last month. It has been a slow trading morning with Chinese markets closed traders looked for any signs or news

USD/JPY is flat this morning ahead of the Bank of Japan meeting trading at 103.28 after steadily declining last week against a strong greenback. Japan’s central bank will probably double purchases of exchange-traded funds in a second round of monetary easing under Governor Haruhiko Kuroda anticipated in coming months, a Bloomberg News survey of economists’ shows.

Gold is trading at 1299.00 down by $4.50 as traders book profits after the commodities climb at the end of last week. Gold rose Friday to its highest level in more than a week after data showed the U.S. created slightly fewer jobs than expected in March. This suggested the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates near zero well into 2015 and encouraged lurking buyers to step into gold. Although prices back below $1,300 Monday, they held onto the majority of their gains. After a closer analysis the upward revision to the previous month’s jobs creation turned traders to a more positive note that the Fed will move swiftly to cut its asset purchases and end the program.

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Fundamental Analysis April 9

EUR/USD added 27 focuses to exchange at 1.3769 after the dollar plunged as dealers re-assessed the FOMC taping and rate increment. Dealers are holding up to see the points of interest of the last Fed gathering in tomorrow's moment discharge. Climbing pressures in Ukraine likewise tempered speculator craving for danger. Ace Moscow dissenters in eastern Ukraine seized arms in one city and announced a separatist republic in an alternate. Ukraine on Monday called the moves a piece of a Russian plan to legitimize an attack.

GBP/USD soared today adding 91 points after positive economic data releases. The GBP is trading at 1.6699 and is likely to break the 1.67 range before the end of the day. Industrial production and manufacturing production both exceeded forecast. Sterling rose to its highest in three weeks against the dollar and a one-month maximum against the euro after data on Tuesday showed industrial output rose much faster than forecast in February.

AUD/USD added 11 points to trade at 0.9281 after the release of the NAB business confidence report which printed a bit lower than the previous month. Traders moved from equities to commodity currencies as earning season begins today. The value of Reserve Bank of Australia’s foreign currency reserves jumped by $US10 billion ($10.8 billion) last month just as emerging market central bankers accelerated their intervention in foreign exchange markets in an attempt support their economies.

USD/JPY gave up 12 points to trade at 102.98 remaining well above its trading range as the JPY strengthened after the Bank of Japan held rates and policy this morning. Today’s decision said that Japan’s economy has continued to recover moderately, and noted front-loaded demand ahead of the April sales-tax bump. Overseas economies, mainly advanced ones, are starting to recover, the BOJ said.

Gold continued to climb today as geopolitical tensions grew between Russia and the Ukraine. Gold added $12.20 to trade at 1310.50. Foreign currency market sources think that the Federal Reserve will postpone the tapering of bond purchases, following the disappointing jobs report for March. Businesses added 192,000 jobs during the month, below expectations of 199,000 jobs. The unemployment rate in the US remained unchanged at 6.7%, compared with expectations of a drop to 6.6%.

[Guest FxNet]

Fundamental Analysis April 11

EUR/USD keeps on inflaing exchanging at 1.3866 including 11 focuses moving without much explanation behind the additions. The euro searches headed for a genuine fall in the close term. he dollar dropped to more than two week-lows against the euro and Swiss franc on Wednesday after minutes of the most recent Federal Reserve money related arrangement gathering recommended that the U.s. national bank may not raise premium rates at whatever time soon.

GBP/USD is quiet ahead of the BoE meeting later today, although the MPC is not expected to make any changes and will avoid a public statement traders are remaining cautious before the release. The GBP exchange rate jumped by half a cent to a near-2-month high in reaction to the latest Minutes from the Federal Reserve, which showed that policymakers are concerned that a premature hiking of interest rates could damage the burgeoning economic recovery.

AUD/USD added 13 points to break over the 94 level trading at 0.9402 after a strong employment release this morning. The Aussie unemployment rate fell to 5.8% a much larger fall than expected. The nation also created a lot more new jobs that forecast. Australia’s dollar reached a more than four-month high versus the greenback after the government reported unemployment unexpectedly fell for the first time since September.

USD/JPY eased by 15 points to trade at 101.84 as the yen has steadily gained since the Bank of Japan decision to hold rates and stimulus. Mr. Kudora later gave a glowing outlook for the economy and said that there was little need for additional stimulus. he dollar drifted at three-week lows against a basket of major currencies early on Thursday, having fallen for a fourth session after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s March meeting disappointed dollar bulls.

Gold added $16.40 to trade at 1322.30 climbing steadily after the FOMC minutes release and on geopolitical tensions with Russia. Gold extended gains to a third session on Thursday, scaling fresh two-week highs, after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting showed that officials were not keen on increasing interest rates anytime soon.

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Fundamental Analysis April 14

EUR/USD moved by 11 focuses unable to move over the 1.39 level. The EUR is flat to yesterday's nearby, having neglected to support a short rally over 1.3900. A few outskirts yields have dropped to new lows—note that both Italian and Spanish 10‐years are currently at 3.2%. German CPI came in obviously with feature tumbling from 1.2% in February to 1.0%y/y in March; the delicateness was normal yet denote a three‐year low in German feature inflation and will weigh on Eurozone inflation, which thusly will weigh on the ECB. Today a viewpoint update for Portugal (Fitch to positive) was offset by a standpoint downsize to Finland (S&p to negative on development concerns). Next week's center will be the arrival of Eurozone CPI, anticipated that will raise 0.5%y

GBP/USD gave up 58 points to trade at 1.6726 as the US dollar gained momentum. . The GBP is soft, down 0.2% since yesterday’s NA close failing to sustain brief gains above 1.68. Construction output was soft, down 2.8%m/m and up 2.8%y/y. Next week’s focus will be the release of CPI, expected to fall to 1.6% on headline and core as well as employment.

AUD/USD eased by 9 points as traders booked profits after last week’s strong showing and continued worries over the Chinese economy with GDP due later in the week and the holiday season many traders are booking profits and moving to the sidelines. The Aussie is trading at 0.9390 well above its 2014 average range.

USD/JPY eased by 7 points as traders moved to the safety of the Japanese currency, pushing the pair to trade at 101.56. Asian share markets gave up more ground in early trade this morning after a dismal week on Wall Street, helping underpin the safe-haven yen. The low-yielding yen benefited from the heightened risk aversion. The dollar was down about 0.1 percent in early trading at 101.56 yen, after touching a 3-1/2 week low of 101.32 yen on Friday, a far cry from a 2-1/2 month high of 104.13 yen set on April 4.

Gold moved between gains and losses today, to trade at 1321.70 its highest level in weeks. Risk appetite was also curbed by tensions in Ukraine, where pro-Moscow protesters seized arms in one city and declared a separatist republic in another, in moves Kiev described as part of a Russian-orchestrated plan to justify an invasion to dismember the country. Gold, seen as an alternative investment, usually benefits from economic and geopolitical uncertainties.

[Guest FxNet]

Fundamental Analysis April 16

EUR/USD fell on Tuesday after the arrival of a disillusioning German ZEW Economic Sentiment report. The administration reported a drop to 43.2 from 46.6. Moguls were searching for 46.3. The decrease in the ZEW puts further weight on the European Central Bank to make a move to empower the economy, however the ECB is liable to hold up until the arrival of most recent CPI information on Wednesday. This report is relied upon to show a 0.5% perusing which will be unaltered from the past month.

GBP/USD rallied after U.K. inflation data fell in-line with expectations. The headline year-on-year CPI data fell to the lowest level since October 2009 and the year-on-year measure of retail inflation declined to its weakest level in nearly five years. One bright spot was the surge in the House Price Index. This report exceeded expectations with a 9.1% rise. Traders were pricing in an increase of 7.2%.

AUD/USD rose slightly following the release of the latest Reserve Bank minutes, but failed to hold on to its gains. The minutes didn’t offer any surprises for traders and was viewed as somewhat neutral. Some traders thought the recent run up in the Aussie would have been addressed in the minutes, but the central bank seemed to be unfazed by the price level.

USD/JPY finished flat-to-slightly better following the release of better-than-expected U.S. consumer inflation data. According to the latest data, the U.S. CPI rose 0.2 percent in March, versus expectations of a 0.1 percent gain. Helping to limit gains was the weak Empire State Manufacturing Index. Traders were looking for a robust gain of 8.2. The actual report showed a decline of 1.3.

Gold futures plunged sharply lower after the better-than-expected U.S. CPI report helped trigger a rally in the dollar. Since gold is dollar-denominated, a stronger dollar tends to weaken demand for gold, pressuring the commodity.

[Guest FxNet]

Fundamental Analysis April 17

EUR/USD gained 20 points to trade at 1.3835 and I cannot explain why. CPI missed expectations which will force action from the ECB. Perhaps it is a correction after comments from Mr. Draghi and other ECB members over the weekend about stimulus to push inflation upwards had already been taken into account by the markets.

GBP/USD remains the stellar performer as the UK economy keeps moving forward showing a stronger recovery than the US. Today the unemployment figure drops 2 points to report at 6.9% which might push the Bank of England to consider raising interest rates.

USD/CAD traded between small gains and losses as the US dollar gained a bit of momentum to trade at 1.0981 ahead of US and CAD data due towards the end of the European session.

Gold is trading just over the 1300 level at 1302.50 up $2.20 today ahead of US data and this evenings speech by FOMC Director Yellen. Pressures continue to climb in the Ukraine but traders are no longer moving to safety. Fed Chair Janet Yellen is due to speak on monetary policy and the economic recovery later on Wednesday.

[Guest FxNet]

Fundamental Analysis April 23

EUR/USD picked up 20 focuses to exchange at 1.3813 staying inside its late exchanging reach with no Eurozone information and US information still before the businesses.

GBP/USD was the star performer today adding 35 points to trade at 1.6827. Decent factory production figures combined with another strong month for the labor market sent March’s index of US Leading Indicators higher.

AUD is trading at 0.9348 after trading as high as 0.95 just a week ago. The US dollar has climbed above the 80 level as is expected to continue to gain as US data supports the defrost of the US economy after the severe winter freeze.

USD/JPY was the most active currency pair on Monday and continues to climb on Tuesday trading at 102.67 above its average trading range as data released on the Easter Monday holiday upset traders and analysts.

Gold recovered a few dollars today moving between small gains and losses with little direction as tensions seemed to ease in Ukraine. Gold is trading at 1291.40. Gold recovered from early losses on Tuesday as the dollar gave back some gains, but sentiment among investors continued to be fragile on further outflows from bullion-backed funds.

[Guest FxNet]

Fundamental Analysis April 24

EUR/USD moved to exchange at 1.3838. The euro zone streak PMI was stronger than anticipated, and this helped lift the euro about a large portion of a penny and further bond its recuperation from the dip to seven-day lows yesterday.

GBP/USD eased by 28 points to trade at 1.6795 after the MPC meeting minutes seemed to indicated that the members were not contemplating an interest rate increase in the near future.

AUD/USD recovered 4 points after Wednesday’s decline after inflation reported lower than expected. The AUD is trading at 0.9294 well below its April trading range. Even the declining US dollar did not help support the currency. Traders were hit with a decline in China manufacturing.

USD/JPY eased by 21 points as the US dollar declined to trade at 102.32 after the dollar declined on lackluster new home sales. “The WSJ reported yesterday that the BOJ may upgrade its inflation forecast for FY2014 if the April Tokyo CPI, due to be released on Friday, is strong.” “Unnamed sources familiar with the matter in a WSJ article emphasized that a 2% inflation forecast for FY2015-16 does not necessarily mean the BOJ will consider exiting monetary easing any time soon.

Gold recovered $5.30 to trade at 1286.40 but remains directionless as data continues to support an increase in tapering at the next FOMC meet..