riki143 Posted February 13, 2018 Author Share Posted February 13, 2018 Safe haven currencies. 🔝 Overall a safe haven asset is an investment that is expected to strengthen during the periods of uncertainty. Besides other assets, some currencies are sought by investors to limit their exposure to losses when the market is in the state of risk aversion and they are known as Refuge Currencies. 🔹 Which are these safe currencies? 🔹 Which factors make investors buy one currency instead of another one? Find out in this article https://goo.gl/zfnEQW and tell us what currency do you think is the safest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 13, 2018 Author Share Posted February 13, 2018 🎉 FBS Birthday: Celebrate & Win! FBS is celebrating its 9th birthday, which is a very important milestone for our clients and the entire FBS family! We’ve accomplished so much during these 9 years: • Hit a milestone of 6 000 000 traders • Raffled 8 luxurious cars and held 6 Traders Parties • Received 38 international awards • Forwarded over $1 000 000 to charity • Opened over 10 000 000 accounts • Fulfilled 21 traders’ dreams with FBS Dreams Come True contest "" Let’s celebrate this important day together — join FBS gift-for-all birthday promotion till February 28, congratulate FBS on its birthday, and get the coolest presents MacBook Pro, money gifts, drones, and many more!🎁 Join this awesome party NOW! 👇https://goo.gl/UGBXWw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 13, 2018 Author Share Posted February 13, 2018 ➡ https://goo.gl/mFztjQ On February, 3rd FBS participated in Thailand’s biggest financial event - Traders Fair And Gala Night featuring traders, top speakers, companies, lots of entertainment, delicious Thai buffet, and exclusive specials. 🏍 Mr. Jirapat Wisetsil was the luckiest visitor who won the FBS sponsored KAWASAKI NINJA 250 motorcycle. Check out the details and photo gallery on the FBS news section! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 GBP/USD Daily Analytics 06:59 14.02.2018 Technical levels: support – 1.3770; resistance – 1.3900. Trade recommendations: Sell — 1.3880; SL — 1.3900; TP1 — 1.3770; TP2 — 1.3680. Buy — 1.3920; SL — 1.3900; TP1 — 1.3990; TP2 — 1.4040. Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the prices are in the negative area and had returned to SSB’s resistance. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-pound-returned-to-ssb-6796?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 AUD/USD Daily Analytics 07:00 14.02.2018 Technical levels: support – 0.7750, 0.7815; resistance – 0.7880 Trade recommendations: Sell — 0.7870/80; SL — 0.7900; TP1 — 0.7815; TP2 — 0.7750. Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the market returned to bottom border of the Cloud. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/aud-usd-aussie-has-grown-to-cloud-6797?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 USD/CHF Daily Analytics 07:25 14.02.2018 Recommendations: BUY 0.9465 SL 0.941 TP 0.955 TP2 0.9655 SELL 0.926 SL 0.9315 TP1 0.916 TP2 0.906 TP3 0.9015 On the daily chart of USD/CHF, the inability of bulls to keep the pair above 0.9410 points at their weakness. Return to correction low at 0.9465 will allow us to talk about the “Head and Shoulders” pattern. To continue the decline the pair has to break below January low. On H1, USD/CHF is forming “Spike and ledge” and “Bat”. To continue the decline, bears need to pull the dollar below support at 0.93 and 0.9280. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-chf-franc-aims-on-a-record-6799 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 GBP/USD: BEARISH "PENNANT" 10:19 14.02.2018 There's a bearish "Pennant", so the pair is likely going to achieve the nearest support at 1.3741. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this level happens afterwards, bulls will probably try to reach the next resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944. The market is consolidating between the Moving Averages. The main intraday target is the closest support at 1.3763 - 1.3741. This area could be a departure point for a bullish price movement in the direction of another resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944. More:https://goo.gl/Kt1hY7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 GBP/USD Daily Analytics 07:33 14.02.2018 Recommendations: SELL 1.415 SL 1.4205 TP1 1.405 TP2 1.3950 SELL 1.3795 SL 1.3850 TP1 1.3695 TP2 1.3560 On the daily chart, GBP/USD bulls managed to defend the important level of 1.3830 and want to consolidate in the 1.3800-1.4150 area. If the pair renews February low, the risks of it going to 88.6% target of the “Bat” pattern will increase. On H1, GBP/USD bulls try to form “Wolfe waves”. If they manage to do it, the pound may rise to the upper border of the descending channel at $1.41-1.4150. The pullback to the downside will be a selling signal. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-pound-got-in-the-corner-6800 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 THE US DOLLAR WEAKNESS AHEAD OF CPI DATA 08:37 14.02.2018 Today we expect the CPI and Retail Sales data at 15:30 MT time. If we look at charts, the greenback is depreciating against all currencies. Why is it happening with the US dollar and what should we expect from the inflation data? Let’s look at some forecasts. Nomura predicts the deceleration of the core inflation in January. They declare monthly core CPI at 0.2% compared to the December one of 0.3%. Such reduction will lead to the annual core CPI decrease by 0.1 percentage point from 1.8% in December to 1.7% in January. Talking about the headline CPI data, they expect an increase from 0.1% to 0.4% in monthly figures and the rise of the annual to 2.0%. Such growth is based on higher gasoline prices and firm growth of food prices. RBC has almost the same forecast as Nomura about the core and headline CPI. Moreover, RBC does not anticipate any real momentum until the second quarter of 2018. They expect that negative effects from the last year will roll off the year calculation only by that time. The annual headline inflation will be able to come closer to 3% in the third quarter. The forecast of Barclay does not differ from the previous ones a lot. They expect the monthly core level to be at 0.2% and the annual one at 1.6%. The monthly headline inflation will increase by 0.4%, the annual by 1.9%. The average forecast of the main economic experts declares the slight decrease of the monthly data of the core CPI growth from 0.3% to 0.2%. The headline CPI is anticipated to rise by 0.2 percentage points (0.1% to 0.3%) m/m. Let’s sum up. The rise of inflation is important for the US dollar. If the CPI is higher, it is more likely that the Fed will raise interest rates. An increase of the interest rates always leads to the strengthening of a domestic currency, so the greenback will have chances to strengthen its positions. But the data is mixed, we expect the fall of the core CPI growth and the rise of the headline CPI at the same time. However, we can say that the forecasts are not negative. The fall is just by 0.1 percentage points. The annual headline CPI forecast is still below 2%, but not too much lower. So why the dollar is weakening a lot? The reason can be hidden in the lack of beliefs in the strong dollar. The market is used to the weak greenback, that is why every negative data can cause its further fall. Another reason is the strengthening of the global equity markets after the great selloff. Furthermore, US 10-year yields are now down to lows on the day, as Treasuries are more bid on the day. So the greenback cannot find a support in any way. More: https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/the-us-dollar-weakness-ahead-of-cpi-data-6802 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 EUR/USD Daily Analytics 10:17 14.02.2018 The main trend is still bullish. Also, there's a "Triple Bottom" pattern, which has been confirmed. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.2405 - 1.2434 in the short term. There's a confirmed "Double Top" pattern, so the market is likely going to reach the 89 Moving Average in the coming hours. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-triple-bottom-pattern-6804 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 EUR/USD: "TRIPLE BOTTOM" PATTERN 10:17 14.02.2018 The main trend is still bullish. Also, there's a "Triple Bottom" pattern, which has been confirmed. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.2405 - 1.2434 in the short term. There's a confirmed "Double Top" pattern, so the market is likely going to reach the 89 Moving Average in the coming hours. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement. More:https://goo.gl/RHhfH8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 GBP/USD Daily analytics 10:19 14.02.2018 There's a bearish "Pennant", so the pair is likely going to achieve the nearest support at 1.3741. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this level happens afterwards, bulls will probably try to reach the next resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944. The market is consolidating between the Moving Averages. The main intraday target is the closest support at 1.3763 - 1.3741. This area could be a departure point for a bullish price movement in the direction of another resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-bearish-pennant-6805 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 DOES THE VALENTINE’S DAY REALLY AFFECT THE FOREX MARKET? 10:41 14.02.2018 The Valentine’s Day is one of the days during a year that brings the biggest amount of money to an economy. An interesting fact is that for this holiday people buy presents not only for their lovers but for families and friends as well. That is why consumer spending increases a lot. This year US consumers are expected to contribute to the economy nearly $19.6 billion, even more than last year record of $18.6. It is an important indicator because consumer spending is the largest part of GDP, it contains nearly 70% of the output. Valentine’s Day has an influence on markets as well. The five best-selling gifts are candy, greeting cards, evening out, flowers and jewelry. It means that these industries will be more volatile before and during the February 14. Prices and demand significantly increase in these markets. For example, Japanese chocolate industry gets more than half of its $5 billion in annual sales on Valentine’s Day. Countries, where these industries are more developed, will get the higher profit on the holiday. These profits will contribute to retail sales and consumer spending data for February. At the same time, if we look at the dynamics of stock indexes during the Valentine day itself, the picture will not be as rosy. It turns out that since 1928 the S&P 500 has closed up on just 40% of Valentine’s Days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen on 14 February just 43% of the time. Maybe it’s a coincidence, but maybe traders just more eager to spend time with their loved ones than to buy stocks. Or maybe this time stocks will get luckier? Making a conclusion, we can say that the Valentine’s Day has an impact on markets and Forex market as well. The huge money contribution has a positive influence on a domestic economy. Countries with more developed industries, that are popular on Valentine’s Day, have higher profit. This effect will have a medium-term impact on the market. However, stock markets depreciate on the day of love. More: https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/does-the-valentine%E2%80%99s-day-really-affect-the-forex-market-6811 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 Important economic releases 📈 February 14 at 15:30 MT time, American Statistical Services will deliver Inflation data, which will be important for the US dollar. Consumer price index will be counted 2 times: as CPI and core CPI (excluding food and energy). These are key inflation gauges that are closely monitored by the Federal Reserve. The data shows the economic activity of the US population. Actual numbers that are better than forecast ones will lead the US dollar to the upside. Follow this event at the FBS Economic Calendar https://goo.gl/WufRvu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 14, 2018 Author Share Posted February 14, 2018 🔥FBS Pro Contest - Make sure you are in to win MONEY prizes! Participate in next FBS Pro; trade on a demo account and win money prizes! Simple easy steps, Zero-Risk trading : 💻 ٌRegister your Demo Account until: 19 Feb 2018 🎓 Recieve a $10.000 demo account with leverage 1:100 💰 The 5 best traders will get cash prizes of $1000 ⌛ This contest will take place from 19 Feb 2018 to 2 March 2018 Join the challange NOW 👉https://goo.gl/8D5T9j Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 15, 2018 Author Share Posted February 15, 2018 EUR/JPY Daily Analytics 06:51 15.02.2018 Recommendation: BUY 133.40 SL 132.85 TP1 134.40 TP2 135.40 On the daily chart, EUR/JPY reached 88.6% target of a “Shark” pattern. As a result, risks of a pullback increased. A pin bar increases the risks of a correction. Its high forms resistance at 133.40. To continue the decline to 113% target of the “Shark” patterns, bears need to pull the euro to February low. On H1, EUR/JPY formed two bars with lower bottom wicks. It means that bulls are ready to counterattack. They want to trigger a “Shark” pattern with a target of 88.6%. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-jpy-euro-is-grabbing-for-a-pin-bar-6831?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 15, 2018 Author Share Posted February 15, 2018 USD/JPY Daily analytics 07:00 15.02.2018 Recommendation: SELL 107.40 SL 107.95 TP1 106.40 TP2 105.35 TP3 102.80 SELL 108.05 SL 108.60 TP1 107.00 TP2 106.4 TP3 105.35 On the daily chart, USD/JPY bears managed to lead the pair out of the long-term consolidation range of 107.35-115.35. As a result, it triggered AB=CD pattern with targets at 127.2% and 161.8%. On the daily chart, bears are in total control of the pair. In such conditions, pullbacks should be used for selling. The nearest resistance levels are at 107.30-107.45, 107.90-108.05 and 108.40-108.50. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-yen-crashes-obstacles-6832?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 15, 2018 Author Share Posted February 15, 2018 USD/JPY Daily analytics 07:00 15.02.2018 Recommendation: SELL 107.40 SL 107.95 TP1 106.40 TP2 105.35 TP3 102.80 SELL 108.05 SL 108.60 TP1 107.00 TP2 106.4 TP3 105.35 On the daily chart, USD/JPY bears managed to lead the pair out of the long-term consolidation range of 107.35-115.35. As a result, it triggered AB=CD pattern with targets at 127.2% and 161.8%. On the daily chart, bears are in total control of the pair. In such conditions, pullbacks should be used for selling. The nearest resistance levels are at 107.30-107.45, 107.90-108.05 and 108.40-108.50. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-yen-crashes-obstacles-6832?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 15, 2018 Author Share Posted February 15, 2018 EUR/USD Daily analytics 13:10 15.02.2018 The main trend is still bullish, so the market is likely going to reach the next resistance at 1.2537 - 1.2569. If a pullback from this area happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the closest support at 1.2453 - 1.2434 Bulls faced with resistance at 1.2522, so the pair is likely going to test the closest support at 1.2474 - 1.2453. This area could be a departure point for another upward price movement in the direction of the next resistance at 1.2522 - 1.2537. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-pair-going-to-reach-next-resistance-6835 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted February 15, 2018 Author Share Posted February 15, 2018 CAN BITCOIN RETURN TO UPTREND? 10:03 15.02.2018 A lot has happened to Bitcoin since the start of 2018. The recent weeks haven’t been easy for the cryptocurrency: BTC/USD fell to $6,000 on February 6. Since then, some recovery took place. Yet, the highs of 2017 in the $20K area remain far away. Some people argue that Bitcoin will go “to the moon” (i.e. higher than we can imagine today), while others consider it a bubble and expect more declines. Who is right? To begin with, Bitcoin’s selloff in January and February is not unusual. There were periods in 2012, 2013 and 2017 when the market fell by 30% and more during 1 or several days. The recent move simply looks more impressive because it was preceded by a spectacular advance. Now some analysts say that after this healthy correction the market has become more mature and may attract more serious investors. JP Morgan said that cryptocurrencies may represent instruments to diversify portfolios from holding traditional stocks and bonds. Many new players may join the cryptocurrency market when the price makes pullbacks to the downside. In addition, there are so-called HODL investors – people who will hold Bitcoins no matter how low the price gets. Bitcoin futures have provided a way for Wall Street to trade this dynamic market. Good things and bad things for Bitcoin It’s clear that for a significant rebound in Bitcoin the market’s sentiment should improve. The majority of traders should believe that the negative factors affecting the price are only temporary. We can say that the situation starts improving. The price remains influenced by regulatory activity in major trading markets and here there are some bright things. South Korea, which has previously crashed BTC by considering a cryptocurrency ban, now says that it will focus on making cryptocurrency trading transparent and that it was never seriously planning to shut down crypto exchanges. US regulators – SEC and CFTC – admitted the underlying value of cryptocurrencies. According to them, the basis for Bitcoin’s value is miners’ costs. The UK launched the not-for-profit and membership-driven organization to regulate cryptocurrency trading. Big banks have indicated that they are interested in the cryptocurrency market. For example, Goldman Sachs is creating an interface for cryptocurrency trading. JP Morgan also considers integrating blockchain into its systems. Yet, the environment for cryptocurrencies remains difficult. The problem is that, for now, it seems quite easy for big players and decision-makers to destabilize the market. The rapidly moving price attracts a lot of predators who practice different kinds of manipulations, for example, fake news. The infrastructure for trading is far from perfect. Hack attacks, thefts, and hidden mining happen quite often. Bitcoin price forecasts The main resistance level for BTC/USD is located at $12K. If it manages to rise above this level, the correction would be over and the price will get a chance to rise to $14-17K. The inability to break above $12,000 would be a longer period of sideways trading for cryptocurrencies. Analysts at Bloomberg think that BCT should return down to $900 because it’s the average price level since the creation. This looks like a big decline given rather high demand, but given the extreme volatility of the market, this is far from impossible. Yet, it looks more likely that Bitcoin is at the beginning rather than at an end. A lot of things have happened and there will be more: technological breakthroughs, changes in regulation and market sentiment. Bitcoin can actually face several more years of turbulence before the token stabilizes as a legitimate commodity. There are a lot of predictions that BTC will rise to $20,000-$50,000 in 2018. Much depends on the success of the Lightning Network, a technological improvement that’s expected to unfold this year and make Bitcoin transactions faster and cheaper. If we need to answer a question whether Bitcoin can resume uptrend, the answer is yes. To make sure that things go that way watch for news and important technical levels and remember that the one thing we can be 100% sure of is that there will be many more big swings on the way. More:https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/can-bitcoin-return-to-uptrend-6834 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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