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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
05:50 24.01.2018

Technical levels: support – 1.2270; resistance – 1.2390.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.2310/20; SL — 1.2300; TP1 — 1.2390; TP2 — 1.2430
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are supported by Cloud, Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and a market is ready to go higher.

1516773032-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-euro-reached-new-highs-6422

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
05:52 24.01.2018
Technical levels: support – 1.4000; resistance – 1.4070.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 1.4000; SL — 1.3880; TP1 — 1.4070; TP2 — 1.5000.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising lines; a market reached new highs over 1.4000.

1516773032-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-strong-bullish-offensive-6423

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USD/CHF Daily Analytics
06:38 24.01.2018
Recommendation:

BUY 0.9665 SL 0.961 TP1 0.973 TP2 0.9775 TP3 0.98

BUY 0.949 SL 0.9435 TP1 0.9555 TP2 0.964 TP3 0.973

On the daily chart, USD/CHF keeps forming the “Bat” pattern with a target of 88.6%. For now, bulls and bears are fighting for 78.6% of the wave XA. If bears manage to conquer it, the decline will continue. On the other hand, rebound from the current support will increase the possibility of a pullback.

1516775827-a5903a7f3cf43bc4f33886526fd84

On H1, USD/CHF there may be a formation of a “Widening wedge”. To do that bulls will need to return the pair to resistance at 0.9665.

1516775843-351a015a31e5fdb2fee97b43bc66a

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-chf-franc-saw-a-bat%E2%80%9D-6426?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics

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GBP/USD Daily Analytics
06:47 24.01.2018
Recommendation:

BUY 1.3935

SL 1.388

TP1 1.405 TP2 1.415 TP3 1.425

On the daily chart, GBP/USD is trading in an uptrend. The pair reached 161.8% of the AB=CD pattern. This increases the possibility of a pullback. On the other hand, a successful test of resistance at 1.4050 will allow talking about the continuation towards the convergence area of 1.4250-1.2495.

1516776417-b6b56ed02b1869ac79ae2067aff9c

On H1, there’s a “Spike and reversal with acceleration pattern”. A break of support at 1.3935 will create grounds for correction to 1.3815 and 1.3745. At these levels, buyers will become more active.

1516776436-2cf183d9aa99dd882e50bd88c66a5

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-pound-is-reaching-targets-6427

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
12:57 24.01.2018

1516798553-d30f89abe23ba20f82c1876edaa4b

The main trend is still bullish, so the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.2358 - 1.2456. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the nearest support at 1.2322 - 1.2272.

1516798553-24348dbdb9577b063ab1ee23758b4

There's no any reversal pattern, so the pair is likely going to test the next resistance at 1.2358 - 1.2398 during the day. This area could be a departure point for a bearish correction towards the closest support at 1.2358 - 1.2322.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-no-any-reversal-pattern-6434

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GBP/USD Daily analytics
12:59 24.01.2018

1516798553-291336963fc27e79a5f8477d21200

Bulls faced with resistance at 1.4089. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to test the next resistance at 1.4129 - 1.4206 soon. If a pullback from these levels happens little later on, we could have a downward correction.

1516798553-287281d873deb8feb5af2cb082031

There's a new local high. Meanwhile, if a pullback from the nearest resistance at 1.4129 happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a bearish correction towards the closest support at 1.4089 - 1.4027.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-new-local-high-6435

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
13:03 24.01.2018

1516798901-e0274efb35225c656524e2fbd75dd

There's no any reversal pattern so far, but we could have a local bearish correction in the coming hours. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to continue moving up afterwards.

1516798901-4fa13122a3b2fe157125eac96c004

We've got a bearish "Shooting Star", which hasn't been confirmed yet. In this case, the 55 Moving Average is likely going to act as support. A pullback from this line will be a green light for another bullish rally.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-bearish-shooting-star-6436

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GBP/USD: POUND IS REACHING TARGETS
06:47 24.01.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 1.3935

SL 1.388

TP1 1.405 TP2 1.415 TP3 1.425

On the daily chart, GBP/USD is trading in an uptrend. The pair reached 161.8% of the AB=CD pattern. This increases the possibility of a pullback. On the other hand, a successful test of resistance at 1.4050 will allow talking about the continuation towards the convergence area of 1.4250-1.2495.

xuacyv67yqibkjjr3msy.png

On H1, there’s a “Spike and reversal with acceleration pattern”. A break of support at 1.3935 will create grounds for correction to 1.3815 and 1.3745. At these levels, buyers will become more active.

x4uvbta61cx8tyztku51c.png

More:

https://goo.gl/vPa1Ey

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USD/JPY Daily analytics
13:06 24.01.2018

1516798901-0a73c57c34e95523ea03abbe7a162

The price has reached the lower "Window", but there isn't any bullish pattern. So, the market is likely going to continue moving down in the short term.

1516798901-8c9fb37af9e520a162fdc7ebdbd97

All the last candles are bearish, so the isn't any reversal model. Therefore, the market is likely going to declining towards the next support area.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-all-the-last-candles-are-bearish-6437

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USD/CHF: FRANC SAW A “BAT”
06:38 24.01.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 0.9665 SL 0.961 TP1 0.973 TP2 0.9775 TP3 0.98

BUY 0.949 SL 0.9435 TP1 0.9555 TP2 0.964 TP3 0.973

On the daily chart, USD/CHF keeps forming the “Bat” pattern with a target of 88.6%. For now, bulls and bears are fighting for 78.6% of the wave XA. If bears manage to conquer it, the decline will continue. On the other hand, rebound from the current support will increase the possibility of a pullback.

xeuymagk9h2unkxxiz523.png

On H1, USD/CHF there may be a formation of a “Widening wedge”. To do that bulls will need to return the pair to resistance at 0.9665.

xge6enzcj9py2m4k7wzgt.png

More:
https://goo.gl/oDktfu

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Today will be released the Crude Oil Inventories data by The Energy Information Administration's (EIA), which measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of oil.
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WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE ECB MEETING?
08:37 25.01.2018

Today we are waiting for the news from the European Central Bank. The ECB press conference will be held at 15:30 MT time.

It is worth to say that last time in December the ECB left its monetary policy unchanged. So let’s see what we can expect from this meeting.

Most of the economists suppose that the ECB will not change the monetary policy again because of an obstacle - the continuing quantitative easing that it promised to hold until September 2018. However, we can say that this time the most interesting part of the conference is not interest rates, but comments of the bank President. First of all, Mario Draghi will face a huge number of questions over how fast the central bank is going to change its policy. Secondly, his address and comments will affect the EUR/USD pair. The pair was rising since the beginning of 2017 and recently achieved a new 3-year high. Such growth creates worries for the ECB because continuing rise of the currency is not good for the economy. That is why the ECB should gradually shift its stance to avoid a more destructive move in the future. And it is what economists are waiting from Draghi, they expect him to announce gradual policy changes. Although no one expects immediate changes in the ECB policy, traders will pay a lot of attention to the speech of the President. During the conference, the single currency will be vulnerable.

As for numbers, analysts from Danske Bank forecast the fall of the single currency to 1.20 in short-term, but not lower. However, it is expected to surge to 1.28 by the end of the year, if only inflation will grow to 2%.

So we can say that the ECB monetary policy will likely stay stable but the conference will affect the EUR/USD pair a lot. Considering future, economists are looking for policy changes in March/April meetings.

More forecasts on EUR/USD rate you can find

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/what-to-expect-from-the-ecb-meeting-6451

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EUR/JPY Daily Analytics
09:21 25.01.2018
Recommendation:

SELL 134.95 SL 135.5 TP1 134.3 TP2 133.7

BUY 136.2 SL 135.65 TP 137.2 TP2 138

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY is consolidating in the 135.00-136.40 area. A break of its upper border will increase the odds of advance to 127.2% of AB=CD pattern. The nearest support level is near 134.30.

1516872012-151f939c6df1fdb4a28b3d5785d89

On H1, EUR/JPY is retesting the neckline of “Head and Shoulders”. A break below correction low will allow bears to count on the continuation of a pullback. On the other hand, advance above 136.20 will increase the risks of uptrend’s resumption.

1516872028-b35d7fb0c22de42ad09055593ba2f

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-jpy-who-will-be-the-loser-6452

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
09:29 25.01.2018

Recommendation:

BUY 109.45

SL 108.9

TP1 110 TP2 110.45

On the daily chart, a return of the pair inside the downtrend channel shows that bears have total control. Never the less, there may be a small pullback from 78.6% and 88.6% of the wave XA of the “Bat” pattern.

1516872481-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f7356

On H1, a pullback of USD/JPY from 200% target of AB=CD with the following formation of Anti-Turtles will signal potential correction. For a start, bulls have to push the pair above 109.45.

1516872500-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-yen-is-playing-cat-and-mouse-6454

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
10:01 25.01.2018

1516874355-0925cd5297de99fbba068ef5f8189

Bulls faced with resistance at 1.2456, so the market is likely going to test the nearest support at 1.2358 - 1.2322. If a pullback from this area happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards the next resistance at 1.2456 - 1.2500.

1516874355-30cfca8ec2e0539fb04b22da1392c

There's a "V-Top" pattern, so the pair is likely going to achieve the closest support at 1.2358. This level could be a departure point for a bullish price movement in the direction of another resistance at 1.2456 - 1.2500.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-v-top-pattern-led-to-decline-6455?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics

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GBP/USD Daily analytics
10:06 25.01.2018

1516874355-9cc1dafcc302e77c39d55a6d0dc9e

The main trend is still bullish, but the pair faced resistance at 1.4331, so there's an opportunity to have a downward correction towards the nearest support at 1.4129 - 1.4089. If we have a pullback from this area little later on, bulls will probably try to test the next resistance at 1.4386 - 1.4433.

1516874355-4cc965d91d7c6060f23b97f63f5fe

We've got a "V-Top" pattern, which has been formed at the last local high. The main intraday target is the closest support at 1.4195 - 1.4129. However, if a pullback from these levels arrives afterwards, there'll be a moment to have another upward price movement in the direction of the nearest resistance at 1.4386 - 1.4433.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp-usd-main-target-is-closest-support-6456?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics

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EUR/USD Daily Analytics
11:16 25.01.2018

1516878933-2966f38dd506c4dee3f3e86785ed9

There're a "High Wave" and a "Harami" patterns, which have been formed at the last high. Therefore, the price is likely going to test the 21 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another bullish price movement.

1516878933-89c6c57817ff0f4982df2ece01da2

We've got a "Three Black Crows" pattern, which has been confirmed. In this case, we should keep an eye on the 55 Moving Average as an intraday bearish target.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur-usd-three-black-crows-pattern-6457?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics

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USD/JPY Daily Analytics
11:19 25.01.2018

1516878933-a2ce36913b9bb3adb068515b94866

There's still no any reversal pattern so far, which means the price is likely going to continue declining towards the lower "Window". If any bullish pattern forms little later on, there'll be a moment to have an upward correction

1516878933-10fb522090cbeb9f0a95aeab112df

We've got a bearish "Engulfing", but this pattern hasn't been confirmed yet. So, there's an opportunity to have a local bearish correction in the coming hours. Nevertheless, bears are likely going to test the next support area afterwards.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd-jpy-bearish-engulfing-6458?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics

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WHY THE DOLLAR FELL SO LOW?
11:29 25.01.2018
We are seeing the fall of the US dollar since the end of December 2017, but US Treasury secretaries preferred to say little about it until this Wednesday.

The US made the biggest fall since December 2014 when the Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin claimed on Wednesday that “a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates to trade”. The Secretary made his comment in Davos, Switzerland during the World Economic Forum, where a lot of people are waiting for the Donald Trump’s address

What did he really say? Mnuchin said that a cheaper dollar increases export demand. And he is right. Mnuchin claimed that the US wants fair economic competition and reciprocal trade. Tax cuts make the US more attractive for investments. He believes that where the dollar is in short-term reflects a very liquid market, but the long-term level will support the strength of the economy.

However, despite positive comments about the US policy, the market reacted to the confirmation of dollar weakness and the dollar fell losing 0.8% against the Euro.  

1516879197-447ad6d5eb13f500dcf583023b93f

But we cannot say that Mnuchin’s words were crucial for the USD. We should not forget that overseas economic growth and shifting perceptions of monetary policy have been causing the dollar weakness as well. So the fall was expected but maybe not at such rate.

Summing up the Secretary’s statement, we can suppose that the US will not act to strengthen the dollar now. However, it is important to remember that depreciation adds pressure on inflation. So the Fed will have to take it under control. But if inflation rises, the Fed will have to tighten its monetary policy and it will change the US dollar rate.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/why-the-dollar-fell-so-low-6459?utm_source=forum&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_campaign=EN_English&utm_content=Riki_Analytics

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