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Date: 9th July 2026. Markets Weekly: Oil, Fed Outlook and Middle East Tensions Keep Traders on Edge. Global financial markets continue to navigate a challenging environment where geopolitics, inflation, and central bank policy remain the dominant themes. Renewed military activity in the Middle East, fluctuating oil prices, and shifting expectations for US interest rates have created increased volatility across currencies, commodities, bonds, and equities. Although investors remain cautious, market reactions suggest participants still believe the current geopolitical tensions can be contained. However, with inflation risks returning to the spotlight, traders are closely monitoring every headline for signs of a broader shift in market sentiment. Middle East Conflict Remains the Key Market Catalyst The latest developments between the United States and Iran continue to dominate financial markets. After renewed military exchanges earlier this week, including US strikes on Iranian military targets and retaliatory attacks by Iran, President Donald Trump initially declared that the ceasefire agreement was ‘over.’ However, sentiment shifted once again after Trump later stated that Iran was seeking to resume negotiations. This back-and-forth rhetoric has become a familiar pattern throughout the conflict. While the White House appears eager to reduce tensions, investors remain sceptical that a lasting diplomatic solution is close. Negotiations surrounding Iran’s nuclear programme have made little meaningful progress despite previous commitments, suggesting further periods of uncertainty remain likely over the coming weeks. Strait of Hormuz Still in Focus Although military activity has increased, financial markets have largely avoided panic. The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most strategically important shipping routes, transporting approximately one-fifth of global oil supplies. Following recent attacks on commercial vessels, shipping activity slowed considerably before gradually resuming along alternative routes. While Brent crude briefly climbed above $80 per barrel earlier this week, prices have since eased back below $78 as investors continue to believe that a full-scale disruption to global energy supplies remains unlikely. For now, markets appear to view the latest escalation as another phase in the ongoing negotiations rather than the beginning of a prolonged energy crisis. Oil Prices Keep Inflation Concerns Alive Energy markets remain at the centre of investor attention. Although oil prices have retreated slightly, the recent rally has reignited concerns that inflation could remain elevated for longer than previously expected. Higher energy prices feed directly into transportation and production costs, potentially slowing the recent decline in global inflation. As a result, traders have begun reassessing expectations for central bank policy, particularly in the United States. Federal Reserve Adopts a More Cautious Tone The release of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes provided another reminder that policymakers remain divided over the future path of interest rates. During the June policy meeting, several members argued that another interest rate increase could still become necessary if inflation remains persistent. Others maintained that rates may gradually move lower later this year. Following the minutes, markets increased expectations that the Federal Reserve could deliver another rate hike before year-end. According to futures markets, the probability of another increase has risen significantly over the past week as higher oil prices threaten to keep inflation above target. For traders, the message remains clear: inflation continues to drive monetary policy. Currency Markets: Dollar Volatility Continues The US Dollar experienced another volatile week as geopolitical headlines and interest rate expectations continued to influence investor positioning. Safe-haven demand initially supported the Dollar following renewed military action in the Middle East. However, the currency later weakened after President Trump suggested that diplomatic discussions with Iran could resume. Markets interpreted the comments as another attempt to de-escalate tensions, although investors remain unconvinced that a lasting agreement is imminent. Major currency pairs reflected the changing sentiment: EURUSD climbed back towards 1.1440, approaching recent highs. GBPUSD rose above 1.3420, reaching its strongest level in nearly three weeks after breaking above key technical resistance. AUDUSD recovered alongside improving risk appetite. USDJPY edged lower as Treasury yields eased. The US Dollar continues to trade between competing forces: safe-haven demand during periods of geopolitical uncertainty and weakness resulting from softer Treasury yields and shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Swiss Franc Attracts Defensive Buying The Swiss Franc remained one of the strongest performers among major currencies this week. USDCHF continued to move lower as investors sought traditional safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical uncertainty. At the same time, the Swiss National Bank reiterated its willingness to intervene in currency markets if excessive strength in the franc threatens domestic price stability. Growing demand for both the Swiss Franc and gold reflects investors’ continued search for defensive assets while geopolitical risks remain elevated. Equity Markets Show Signs of Stability Despite heightened geopolitical tensions, global equity markets have remained remarkably resilient. European stock futures point towards a stronger opening, while US index futures also recovered after earlier losses. Asian markets delivered mixed performance, with gains in mainland China and Japan offsetting weakness in Hong Kong. The resilience of equity markets suggests investors continue to expect the current conflict to remain contained rather than escalate into a broader regional crisis. Gold Continues to Benefit from Uncertainty Gold maintained its upward momentum as investors balanced geopolitical risks against rising interest rate expectations. Normally, higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold. However, persistent geopolitical uncertainty has continued to support demand for precious metals. Silver also advanced alongside gold, reflecting broader defensive positioning across commodity markets. Corporate Developments Artificial intelligence remains one of the strongest long-term investment themes despite current macroeconomic uncertainty. Among the week’s major corporate developments: SK Hynix’s upcoming US listing has reportedly attracted exceptionally strong investor demand. Reports suggest China may ease restrictions on purchases of Nvidia’s advanced AI chips, potentially supporting semiconductor stocks. Meta Platforms announced plans to invest approximately $10 billion in its first Canadian data centre as the company continues expanding its AI infrastructure. Economic Calendar European Session The European Central Bank will release its latest meeting accounts. While the report provides useful insight into policymakers’ discussions, it rarely generates significant market volatility because the information is already considered outdated. US Session Attention turns to the latest US labour market data. Economists expect: Initial Jobless Claims: 217,000 Continuing Claims: 1.814 million Unless the figures differ significantly from expectations, the release is unlikely to become a major market catalyst. Investors will also monitor speeches from several central bank officials, including representatives from the Federal Reserve, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of England. What Traders Should Watch Next Financial markets remain highly sensitive to both economic data and geopolitical headlines. The key themes likely to drive markets over the coming days include: Further developments between the United States and Iran. Security of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices and their impact on global inflation. Federal Reserve interest rate expectations. US Dollar performance across the major currency pairs. Next week’s US inflation data, which could significantly influence expectations for future Fed policy. For now, investors continue to favour the view that geopolitical tensions will remain contained. However, any disruption to global energy supplies or another sharp rise in oil prices could quickly reverse sentiment across global financial markets. As inflation remains the defining issue for central banks, traders should expect elevated volatility to continue throughout the coming weeks. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Solana shows strong fundamentals, but bears remain in control SOLUSD remains under selling pressure despite a strong fundamental backdrop and growing institutional investor interest in the Solana ecosystem. The price currently stands at 78.03. SOLUSD forecast: key takeaways The volume of tokenised real-world assets in the Solana network increased by 540 million USD over the week, reaching a new all-time high The introduction of European regulation accelerated the redistribution of capital from high-risk altcoins into more stable blockchain platforms SOLUSD forecast for 9 July 2026: 64.80 Fundamental analysis The SOLUSD price is correcting upwards after declining for two consecutive trading sessions. Near the 75.85 USD mark, sellers encountered strong support, allowing buyers to seize the initiative temporarily. The fundamental backdrop remains favourable for Solana. The volume of tokenised real-world assets in the network increased by 540 million USD over the last week. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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SuperEx Educational Series: Understanding the ZK Bridge Mechanism #SuperEx #ZKBridge #ZKP If you compare the evolution of blockchain with the history of the Internet, you’ll notice that the two have followed remarkably similar paths — from static systems to dynamic ones, and from one-way browsing to rich interaction and interoperability. As the blockchain ecosystem continues to evolve, data exchange between different blockchains, Layer 2 networks, and application-specific chains is becoming increasingly common. Users no longer simply want to transfer assets across chains — they also expect different networks to securely exchange states, messages, and cryptographic proofs. To make this possible, cross-chain bridges have become an essential piece of blockchain infrastructure. However, there isn’t just one way to build a bridge. Some rely on: Validator networks Economic incentive mechanisms Cryptographic proofs The ZK Bridge Mechanism represents one of the most prominent cryptography-based approaches. Here, “ZK” stands for Zero-Knowledge Proof. It’s important to clarify that a Zero-Knowledge Bridge does not mean hiding all data. Instead, its core idea is to use cryptographic proofs to convince the destination chain that a specific event has already occurred without requiring the entire verification process to be executed again. In other words, the destination chain focuses on one question: “Is the proof valid?” — not — “Can I recompute every step myself?” By replacing repeated computation with cryptographic verification, this design reduces redundant work while lowering the trust costs involved in communication between independent blockchains. As zero-knowledge proof technology has advanced in recent years, ZK Bridges have become one of the most important research directions in cross-chain interoperability. The Core Logic of the ZK Bridge Mechanism The core principle of a ZK Bridge can be summarized in one sentence: Replace repeated verification with a verifiable cryptographic proof. In traditional cross-chain systems, the destination chain typically depends on validators or waits for a challenge period to conclude before confirming the state of another blockchain. A ZK Bridge takes a different approach. It first generates a zero-knowledge proof based on the source chain’s current state. This proof is created using cryptographic algorithms and submitted to the destination chain together with the cross-chain message. Instead of replaying every transaction, the destination chain simply verifies whether the proof is mathematically valid. If the proof passes verification, the destination chain can confidently conclude that the corresponding operation genuinely occurred on the source chain. Throughout this process, the proof itself is verified — not the entire computation behind it. This greatly improves verification efficiency. The overall workflow typically consists of the following stages: A state change occurs on the source chain. A zero-knowledge proof is generated. The proof and cross-chain message are submitted. The destination chain verifies the proof. Once verification succeeds, the destination chain updates its state. Unlike optimistic models, this process does not depend on default trust or challenge periods. Instead, it relies entirely on the guarantees provided by modern cryptography. For this reason, many researchers consider ZK Bridges to be a cryptography-based cross-chain verification model. How the ZK Bridge Mechanism Works Although implementation details differ between projects, the overall architecture remains highly consistent. 1. State Proof Generation A cross-chain transaction begins when a state change occurs on the source chain. Examples include: Locking assets Sending cross-chain messages Updating blockchain state The system then generates a corresponding zero-knowledge proof. Importantly, what is generated is not the transaction itself, but proof that the transaction was executed correctly according to predefined rules. The purpose is to minimize the amount of information the destination chain must verify. 2. Proof Submission Once generated, the proof is submitted together with the cross-chain message. Rather than transmitting complete transaction records, only the information required to verify authenticity is sent. Compared with synchronizing large amounts of blockchain data, this significantly reduces the verification workload on the destination chain. However, factors such as proof size, generation time, and verification efficiency still depend on the specific zero-knowledge proof system being used. 3. On-Chain Verification After receiving the proof, the destination chain invokes its pre-deployed verification logic. The verifier checks whether: The proof satisfies the required cryptographic algorithm. The proof corresponds to the correct underlying data. The proof matches the current cross-chain request. If verification succeeds, the system accepts that the source chain’s state has been validly proven. No replay of the original computation is necessary. 4. State Synchronization After successful verification, the destination chain updates its own state. For example: Tokenized assets are minted. Cross-chain messages are executed. The transfer is finalized. Only the final state is updated. The destination chain never recomputes the entire transaction history. This significantly improves verification efficiency. 5. Cryptographic Security Model The security of a ZK Bridge does not rely on challenge mechanisms or trusting validators. Instead, it is built upon cryptographic mathematics. If a proof successfully passes verification, it mathematically demonstrates that the underlying computation satisfies all predefined rules. Therefore, the primary design objective becomes ensuring: The correctness of the proof system. The reliability of the verification logic. 6. How It Differs from Other Bridge Designs Today’s cross-chain bridges employ a variety of security models, including: Multi-signature bridges Validator-based bridges Optimistic bridges Zero-knowledge proof bridges All of them ultimately solve the same problem: How do you verify the state of another blockchain? The differences lie in: How verification is performed. Where trust originates. How final confirmation is achieved. Different applications choose different bridge architectures depending on their requirements. 7. Proof Generation and Proof Verification Are Not the Same Thing One common misconception is treating proof generation and proof verification as the same process. In reality, they are completely separate stages. Proof generation usually takes place on the source chain or within specialized proving systems. This stage often requires significant computational resources. Proof verification, on the other hand, happens on the destination chain. Compared with generating proofs, verification is typically much lighter and more efficient. For this reason, most ZK systems intentionally shift heavy computation into the proof-generation stage while keeping on-chain verification inexpensive. This separation is one of the defining characteristics of zero-knowledge proof technology. Advantages of ZK Bridges — and Important Considerations One of the biggest reasons ZK Bridges have attracted so much attention is that they introduce an entirely different approach to cross-chain verification. Instead of relying on trusted participants, they place trust in cryptographic proofs. This reduces certain external trust assumptions and represents an important direction for the future of cross-chain systems. At the same time, because the destination chain only verifies proofs rather than replaying full computations, some implementations can significantly reduce on-chain verification costs. However, this does not necessarily mean the overall computational cost is lower. Generating zero-knowledge proofs itself is computationally intensive. Different proving systems also vary considerably in terms of: Proof size Proof generation speed Verification efficiency Overall performance therefore depends heavily on the specific implementation. Another important consideration is development complexity. Building a ZK Bridge requires expertise in: Cross-chain protocol design Zero-knowledge proof algorithms Proof circuits Verification logic Cryptographic security models These components are generally more sophisticated than those found in traditional bridge architectures. As a result, engineering requirements and security audits are typically much more demanding. Fortunately, zero-knowledge technology continues to advance rapidly. New proving systems continue to emerge, improving proof generation speed and enabling broader adoption. Even so, significant differences remain between competing technical approaches. Choosing the right solution requires evaluating the specific needs of each application rather than assuming one architecture is universally superior. Finally, it’s worth emphasizing that ZK Bridges are not intended to replace every other bridge design. The blockchain industry will likely continue supporting multiple bridge architectures simultaneously. Different security models, settlement speeds, and cost structures each serve different use cases. Understanding a ZK Bridge is ultimately about understanding its verification philosophy, rather than simply ranking it against alternative solutions. Summary The ZK Bridge Mechanism is a cross-chain verification model built on zero-knowledge proofs. Instead of replaying entire computations, it enables the destination chain to verify the state of another blockchain through concise cryptographic proofs. Compared with validator-based or optimistic bridge architectures, ZK Bridges place greater emphasis on the verifiable proof itself. The entire workflow revolves around three core steps: Generate the proof. Submit the proof. Verify the proof. As zero-knowledge technology continues to mature, ZK Bridges have become one of the most important directions in cross-chain interoperability research. Understanding how they work not only provides insight into the evolution of modern cross-chain infrastructure, but also highlights the increasingly central role that cryptography plays in blockchain systems.

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European Currencies Seek Stability Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions European currencies are showing mixed performance as they attempt to stabilise following their recent decline and the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes. The minutes revealed growing concern over persistent inflationary pressures, with several policymakers supporting the possibility of an immediate interest rate increase, while the majority maintained a more cautious approach to further monetary tightening. Overall, the document highlighted ongoing divisions within the Fed over the future path of interest rates but maintained a broadly hawkish backdrop for the US dollar, as further rate hikes have not been ruled out should inflation remain elevated. Fresh uncertainty has also emerged from renewed tensions in the Middle East. Following the latest escalation between the United States and Iran, investors have once again shifted their focus to the risk of a broader regional conflict and the potential disruption of energy supplies through key shipping routes. Rising geopolitical tensions continue to support demand for safe-haven assets while increasing concerns that higher energy prices could fuel another wave of inflation, further complicating the Federal Reserve's prospects for policy easing. Against this backdrop, European currencies are attempting to stabilise, although persistent uncertainty continues to limit the scope for a sustained recovery. TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Netflix: Attempting to Break the Short-Term Downtrend Netflix is preparing to release its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. According to the company's official press release published on 15 June, the earnings report will be released on 16 July, followed by a video interview with management for investors. Back in April, when reporting its first-quarter results, the company warned that content spending would likely peak during the second quarter before moderating in the second half of the year. Investors are now looking to the July earnings release as the first opportunity to assess that forecast, as well as the pace of subscriber and advertising revenue growth. TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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EUR/JPY surges amid Yen weakness The EUR/JPY cross-rate is displaying interesting price dynamics. It is a highly liquid and volatile pair, capable of significant pip movements. EUR/JPY often serves as a leading indicator for global stock markets, with peak volatility occurring when the Tokyo and London trading sessions overlap. Yesterday, EUR/JPY trended upward, forming a long-bodied bullish candle with almost no wicks. The price rose from a low of 104.601 to a high of 185.706; it currently stands at 185.626 on the FXOpen chart. EUR/JPY's movement is in an intriguing phase, influenced by structural changes in Japan and a generally defensive European monetary policy. The Japanese Yen recently hit a 40-year low, yet the Japanese bond market is experiencing turbulence. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has raised interest rates to 1.00%. This tightening measure—combined with market concerns regarding the Japanese government's $2 trillion long-term spending plan—has pushed the yield on 10-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) to 2.87%, the highest level since 1996. Markets are beginning to anticipate that the era of cheap currency in Japan is truly over. Speculation that the BoJ must act aggressively to curb inflation and stabilize the currency is providing a floor of support, preventing the JPY from falling further. Meanwhile, the Euro has remained relatively stable, though its movement against other major currencies has been somewhat limited. Market focus is currently on regional economic data releases, with few major catalysts expected this week. Interest rates that remain relatively higher than Japan's sustain the appeal of the "carry trade," a key factor enabling EUR/JPY to hold above the 185.00 level. The FOMC minutes have been released with an overall hawkish tone; the majority of Fed members agreed to drop signals indicating an imminent interest rate cut. The Fed views inflation as remaining highly persistent; notably, they cite new drivers such as surging energy demand, AI-related infrastructure needs, and geopolitical tensions. The biggest surprise was the statement that policymakers are prepared to raise interest rates again should inflation prove stubborn or spike. The Fed's hawkish signal could prompt global investors to take profits on carry trade positions, thereby exerting downward pressure on EURJPY, as the Yen is frequently sought after as a safe-haven asset. Technically, EURJPY is currently trading above its 50-day moving average. The pair is expected to trade within a range of approximately 184.20–186.20. Immediate support lies around 184.80, with the next target at 184.20. Immediate resistance is near 185.80, with the next target around 186.20. This forecast could be wrong.