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Date: 10th June 2026. Oil Prices Rise, Gold Falls as Focus Turns to US CPI. Global markets are trading cautiously on Wednesday as oil prices climb following renewed tensions between the United States and Iran, while investors await the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move. Rising geopolitical risks, higher energy prices, inflation concerns, and weakness across Asian stock markets have combined to create a risk-off environment across financial markets. The developments are influencing major asset classes, including equities, currencies, commodities, and precious metals, making today’s inflation report one of the most important events of the week for traders. Key Market Movers Today Oil prices rise as US-Iran tensions escalate. Gold extends losses despite increased geopolitical uncertainty. The US Dollar remains near a two-month high. Asian stock markets decline amid risk-off sentiment. Japanese inflation exceeds expectations. Chinese inflation data highlights ongoing economic challenges. US CPI inflation data is due later today. US-Iran Conflict Drives Market Sentiment Market sentiment weakened overnight after the United States launched strikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz in response to the downing of a US military helicopter earlier this week. Iran retaliated by reportedly targeting several US military bases across the Gulf region, including facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait. Although reports suggest most missiles and drones were intercepted, the latest exchange has significantly reduced hopes for a near-term de-escalation. The Strait of Hormuz remains at the centre of market concerns. The strategic waterway normally handles approximately 20% of global oil shipments, making any disruption a major risk for energy markets and global inflation. As a result, investors are increasingly pricing in geopolitical risk across global financial markets. Oil Prices Rise on Supply Disruption Concerns Crude oil prices moved higher as traders responded to the latest developments in the Middle East. Brent crude rose above $92 per barrel, while WTI crude approached $89 per barrel as concerns over supply disruptions continued to support prices. Oil also received support from inventory data released overnight. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), US crude oil inventories declined by more than nine million barrels last week, marking the eighth consecutive weekly drawdown. The combination of geopolitical risks, declining inventories, and stronger seasonal demand expectations for the third quarter continues to provide support for energy markets. For traders, oil remains one of the most important markets to monitor, as price movements are increasingly influencing inflation expectations and broader market sentiment. US CPI Report Takes Centre Stage The most important event for global markets today will be the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). The inflation report is expected to provide fresh insight into whether inflation pressures remain persistent and how the Federal Reserve may respond in the coming months. A stronger-than-expected CPI reading could: Increase expectations of higher interest rates. Support the US Dollar. Push Treasury yields higher. Pressure stock markets. Weigh further on gold prices. A softer inflation reading could: Ease concerns over additional monetary tightening. Support risk assets. Trigger a pullback in the US Dollar. Help precious metals recover. With oil prices rising and geopolitical risks increasing, traders should expect elevated volatility around the inflation release. US Dollar Holds Firm Ahead of Inflation Data The US Dollar remains near its highest level in two months as investors continue to seek safety amid rising geopolitical uncertainty. The currency is also benefiting from expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates elevated if inflation remains above target. Most major currency pairs traded within relatively narrow ranges overnight as traders positioned themselves ahead of today’s CPI release. The US Dollar Index remains one of the key indicators to watch during today's trading session. Gold Falls Despite Rising Geopolitical Risks Gold prices extended their recent decline despite the escalation in the Middle East. Typically, geopolitical uncertainty supports demand for safe-haven assets. However, the current market environment is being dominated by rising bond yields, a stronger US Dollar, and expectations that interest rates may remain higher for longer. Spot gold fell towards $4,175 per ounce and remains significantly below the highs reached earlier during the conflict. The recent break below the 200-day moving average has also increased technical selling pressure, making inflation data and Treasury yields particularly important drivers for gold traders. Asian Stock Markets Fall Asian equity markets traded lower overnight as investors reacted to the renewed geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined more than 1%, while Chinese stock indices also moved lower following the latest inflation data. Technology stocks remained under pressure across the region as investors continued to take profits in high-performing AI and semiconductor companies. SoftBank shares fell nearly 10% following reports that financing discussions related to its OpenAI investment had stalled. Lenovo also declined sharply after reports suggested the company may increase product prices in the coming weeks. The weakness in semiconductor and AI-related stocks remains particularly important given the sector’s influence on broader equity market performance globally. China Inflation Data Highlights Economic Challenges China released mixed inflation data overnight, highlighting ongoing challenges within the world’s second-largest economy. Consumer inflation rose 1.2% year-on-year in May, slightly below expectations, and signalling that domestic demand remains relatively weak. At the same time, producer prices increased by 3.9%, the fastest pace since August 2022, largely due to rising energy and commodity costs. The divergence between weak consumer spending and rising production costs suggests that Chinese businesses are facing increasing pressure on margins while household demand remains subdued. For global markets, the data reinforces concerns about the pace of China’s economic recovery. Japanese Inflation Strengthens BOJ Rate Expectations Japan’s Producer Price Index increased by 6.3% year-on-year, exceeding market forecasts. The stronger inflation reading was largely driven by rising energy prices and has increased expectations that the Bank of Japan could continue normalising monetary policy. Investors will now closely monitor next week’s Bank of Japan meeting for any signals regarding future interest rate adjustments. What Traders Should Watch for the Rest of the Day US Consumer Price Index (CPI) US Treasury yields US Dollar Index (DXY) Oil price movements Further developments in the US-Iran conflict Gold price reaction to inflation data Wall Street’s response to the CPI release Comments from Federal Reserve officials Market Outlook Global markets remain highly sensitive to both geopolitical developments and inflation expectations. The escalation between the United States and Iran has increased uncertainty surrounding energy supplies and pushed oil prices higher, while investors remain focused on the outlook for US monetary policy. Today’s US CPI report is likely to determine market direction for the remainder of the session and could influence expectations for Federal Reserve policy over the coming months. Until greater clarity emerges on inflation and the Middle East conflict, traders should expect elevated volatility across currencies, commodities, equities, and precious metals. Frequently Asked Questions Why are oil prices rising today? Oil prices are rising because renewed military tensions between the United States and Iran have increased concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important energy shipping routes. Why is gold falling despite geopolitical tensions? Gold is under pressure from rising Treasury yields, a stronger US Dollar, and expectations that interest rates may remain elevated for longer, which are outweighing its safe-haven appeal. Why is the US CPI report important? The US CPI report provides a key measure of inflation and can significantly influence expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, making it one of the most important economic releases for financial markets. What are traders watching most closely today? The main focus is on the US CPI report, oil prices, developments in the US-Iran conflict, Treasury yields, the US Dollar, and the reaction of global equity markets. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. 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EURUSD rises ahead of the key US inflation report The EURUSD rate continues to strengthen amid a weaker US dollar, as investors await the release of key US inflation data. The rate currently stands at 1.1555. Technical outlook The EURUSD pair is correcting after the previous decline; however, despite the upward move, there remains a risk of a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern forming. Today’s EURUSD forecast suggests the current correction will end and the decline will resume, with the nearest target at 1.1465. Expectations of slower US inflation and lower demand for safe-haven assets continue to support the EURUSD rate. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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GBPUSD recovered, but the outlook remains minor The GBPUSD pair returned to 1.3381, with broader prospects for the pound remaining negative. GBPUSD forecast: key takeaways The GBPUSD pair recouped some of its losses, but its further trend remains uncertain Tension in the oil market and US dollar strength are preventing a full-fledged rebound GBPUSD forecast for 10 June 2026: 1.3300 or 1.3485 Fundamental analysis The GBPUSD rate recovered to 1.3381 after falling to a two-month low shortly before. The primary reason for the previous drop was the strengthening of the US dollar, which is supported by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike and demand for safe-haven assets amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Rising oil prices are putting additional pressure on the British currency. Following new Israeli strikes on targets in Iran, Brent prices rose by more than 5%, fuelling concerns about inflation and possible disruptions in global supply chains. This factor is especially sensitive for the UK due to its heavy dependence on energy imports. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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Nikkei 225 Price Action Near Key Retracement The Nikkei 225 Index, commonly known as the Nikkei, is Japan’s flagship stock market benchmark and one of the most influential equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region. In today’s Nikkei 225 fundamental analysis, traders are focused on Japan’s Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) and the 30-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) auction results. Stronger-than-expected inflationary signals from the CGPI could reinforce expectations of tighter Bank of Japan policy, while JGB auction demand and yields will provide insights into investor confidence and interest rate expectations. As a result, these releases could have a significant impact on Nikkei 225 price action, making them key drivers for the Nikkei 225 daily chart technical and fundamental analysis outlook. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h On the Nikkei 225 H4 chart technical analysis, despite the broader bullish trend that has dominated recent months, the candles have recently been declining as buyers continue to struggle to regain control of the market. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement structure, price has already moved below the 0.236 level at 64,629 and appears to be targeting the 0.382 retracement level at 63,897. This suggests that bearish pressure remains dominant in the short term even though the larger trend remains positive. Williams %R (14) at -66.18 indicates that momentum remains on the weaker side, with sellers still maintaining an advantage, although the indicator is not yet in deeply oversold territory. Meanwhile, the Stochastic (14,1,3) reading of 33.82 and 35.23 reflects subdued momentum and a lack of strong buying interest, supporting the possibility of further downside toward the next Fibonacci support. Overall, the current Nikkei 225 price action analysis suggests a corrective phase within a broader uptrend, with traders closely monitoring whether the 0.382 Fibonacci level can stabilize the market before a potential bullish recovery. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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Position trading is a long-term trading style where traders hold assets for weeks to years. Decisions are based on fundamentals and major trends, not daily price moves. It needs patience, low trading frequency, and aims to capture large market moves while ignoring short-term volatility.

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