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Date: 23rd September 2026. Oil Slides as Bonds Rally: Iran Diplomacy Lifts Market Sentiment. Global financial markets are finding some relief as oil prices extend their decline, easing concerns that elevated energy costs could keep inflation and interest rates higher for longer. Government bonds and US Treasury futures strengthened on Wednesday as crude oil fell for a sixth consecutive session. At the same time, technology shares continued to benefit from renewed optimism surrounding artificial intelligence, helping Asian equities build on recent gains. However, the broader market environment remains far from settled. Investors continue to monitor diplomatic developments involving the United States and Iran, expectations for further Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes, and the upcoming US-China talks. Oil Prices Fall as Supply Concerns Ease Oil remains one of the most important drivers of global market sentiment. Brent crude fell below $99 per barrel during Wednesday’s Asian session, extending a decline that has significantly reduced prices from their recent Middle East conflict-driven highs. US crude also traded around the $90 level. Two developments have helped ease fears of an immediate supply shortage. First, Saudi Arabia has restarted operations at its East-West Pipeline following disruptions earlier in September. The pipeline allows Saudi crude to reach the Red Sea port of Yanbu, providing an alternative export route that reduces reliance on the Strait of Hormuz. Reuters reported that operations had resumed, although a full restoration of capacity could take several weeks. Second, markets are responding to renewed diplomatic efforts surrounding the conflict with Iran. US President Donald Trump said discussions with Iran had made progress and expressed expectations that an eventual settlement could be reached, although his comments have continued to include strong warnings towards Tehran. The possibility of greater oil flows through the region is particularly important. Iran has indicated that reopening the Strait of Hormuz could form part of a diplomatic process if US pressure is reduced. Any sustained improvement in shipping conditions could remove some of the geopolitical premium that pushed energy prices sharply higher earlier this year. Higher oil prices can feed directly into headline inflation through fuel, transportation, and production costs. When energy prices rise sharply, investors may expect central banks to keep interest rates elevated for longer, usually putting upward pressure on government bond yields. The opposite dynamic is now offering some relief. A sustained decline in oil could therefore become increasingly important for bonds. If lower energy prices eventually translate into softer inflation, investors may reduce expectations for additional monetary tightening. For now, however, that scenario is far from guaranteed. Federal Reserve Keeps the Dollar Supported Despite falling oil prices, the US Dollar remains close to its strongest level in around two months as traders continue to price in the possibility of further Federal Reserve rate increases. The Fed raised interest rates last week, and several policymakers have since indicated that inflation remains a concern. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said price pressures were not limited to energy and tariffs, pointing to strong consumer demand and broader economic momentum. Markets have consequently continued to debate whether the Fed could raise rates again at its October meeting. Futures pricing recently showed roughly even odds of another 25-basis-point increase. This expectation has helped the US Dollar Index remain around the 100 level, while the euro has traded close to multi-week lows. The Japanese yen has also remained under pressure near 157 per Dollar. Although the Bank of Japan recently raised its policy rate to 1.25%, two dissenting votes and limited guidance over future tightening left investors questioning how quickly Japanese interest rates could rise from here. AI Optimism Pushes Technology Stocks Higher While energy and bond markets focus heavily on geopolitics and inflation, equity investors have another major theme to consider: artificial intelligence. Renewed enthusiasm surrounding AI helped the NASDAQ reach a fresh intraday record this week. Technology and semiconductor stocks have regained momentum after concerns earlier in the year over AI investment costs and the speed at which companies could generate returns from their spending. That optimism has spread into Asian markets. MSCI’s broad Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose around 0.7% on Wednesday and headed towards a sixth consecutive session of gains. South Korean equities advanced as semiconductor shares strengthened, while Taiwan’s market moved close to record territory. Lower oil prices are providing another tailwind. Cheaper energy can reduce inflation expectations, limit pressure on bond yields, and improve the outlook for corporate margins, particularly in energy-intensive industries. The combination of softer crude and renewed AI enthusiasm has therefore improved risk sentiment even while geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated. US-China Talks Become the Next Major Market Focus Attention is also shifting towards talks between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Officials from both countries have recently described preparatory discussions covering trade, artificial intelligence, and investment in positive terms, although significant disagreements remain. For financial markets, the key issue is whether the talks can prevent another escalation in tariffs, technology restrictions, or critical-mineral controls. Even limited progress could reduce another source of uncertainty for global equities. Conversely, renewed tensions between the world’s two largest economies could quickly challenge the recent improvement in market sentiment. Gold Remains Pressured by Higher Rate Expectations Gold has struggled to benefit significantly from geopolitical uncertainty as rising interest-rate expectations and a stronger Dollar offset safe-haven demand. Spot gold traded around $4,345 per ounce early Wednesday. Higher interest rates tend to create a headwind for bullion because gold does not generate interest, while a stronger US Dollar increases its cost for buyers using other currencies. The metal may therefore remain caught between two opposing forces: geopolitical uncertainty supporting demand, and expectations of tighter monetary policy limiting upside momentum. What Markets Are Watching Next The immediate market outlook is increasingly tied to the direction of oil. Further progress towards diplomatic arrangements involving Iran, improved shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, or additional Saudi supply could extend the decline in crude. That would potentially reduce inflation fears, support government bonds, and provide a more favourable environment for equities. However, the geopolitical situation remains highly uncertain, meaning another escalation could quickly reverse the recent move. At the same time, Federal Reserve communication remains crucial. Falling oil alone may not be enough to prevent further rate hikes if US policymakers continue to see persistent inflation across services and consumer demand. For now, markets are benefiting from an unusual combination: oil prices are falling, bond-market pressure is easing and AI optimism is supporting equities. Whether that environment lasts will depend heavily on what comes next from the Middle East, the Federal Reserve and US-China negotiations. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Artificial Intelligence and Cryptocurrency-Based Funding Artificial intelligence (AI) has recently become increasingly self-sufficient, with new solutions emerging that enable it to pay for services independently. This is a significant development, as a major hurdle had previously been the inability of AI to complete financial transactions without human intervention. Companies such as Coinbase and OKX are now developing solutions that allow AI agents to utilize crypto wallets and stablecoins to pay for services. Cryptocurrencies are well-suited for AI because they do not require a traditional bank account and allow for the programming of specific spending rules. AI agents are likely to begin spending funds on digital services and APIs; rather than relying on subscriptions, they will be able to pay for services—such as computing power and data acquisition—on an as-needed basis. Coinbase and Circle are developing new protocols to streamline payments, while OKX is working on integrating AI capabilities into trading. However, questions remain regarding liability for errors made by AI agents and the allocation of revenue generated by their operations. From Bitcoin to Altcoins: Exchange Everything on AllCharge.online

How Does Market Structure Differ Across Bull, Bear, and Sideways Markets（I） #SuperEx #CryptoMarket In today’s article, we’re not going to spend time on the basics — things like what a bull market is or what a bear market is. You can easily look up those basic concepts on Wikipedia or anywhere else online. Instead, we’re going to focus on the logic behind the market: How can you tell what kind of market you’re actually in? And as an everyday trader, what should you pay attention to — or think about — when facing different market structures? What we really want to teach you is how to read the market and understand what you should be doing under different market conditions. So, let me start with a question: What do you think is the most dangerous thing you can do when trading? One of the greatest dangers in trading is not misreading a single candlestick, but applying the wrong trading logic to the entire market environment. What does that mean? It means you’re in a bear market, but you’re still reading and trading the market with a bull-market mindset. Repeatedly buying low and selling high in a trending market may cause users to exit a genuine rally too early. Continuously buying dips in a declining structure may mean buying before temporary rebounds rather than before an actual reversal. Chasing breakouts in a sideways market may result in repeated losses from false moves. The purpose of analyzing bull, bear, and sideways markets is therefore not to attach a label to price action, but to answer three practical questions: Which side currently has control? Is that advantage still continuing? Which actions offer a more reasonable risk-to-reward profile under this structure? Market structure is not merely a conclusion. It is the operating environment that determines position sizing, entries, exits, and risk management. First, Define the Timeframe You Are Trading Before discussing market structure, users must first define their timeframe. The same asset may simultaneously be: In a long-term uptrend on the weekly chart; Consolidating near the highs on the daily chart; Pulling back on the four-hour chart; Rebounding temporarily on the 15-minute chart. These observations can all be correct at the same time. The real question is how long you intend to hold the position. Long-term investors should focus mainly on weekly and daily charts; Swing traders may use daily and four-hour charts; Short-term traders can use the four-hour chart to identify the broader environment and lower timeframes to locate entries. Using a short-term decline on the 15-minute chart to reject a weekly uptrend may cause users to exit during a normal pullback. Conversely, using a 15-minute rebound to justify a large bottom-fishing position in a daily downtrend may confuse short-term volatility with a long-term reversal. The first rule of market-structure analysis is therefore:Use the higher timeframe to define the environment, then use the lower timeframe to find an execution point. Do Not Begin by Asking Whether It Is a Bull Market The basic concepts are straightforward: Rising highs and lows generally indicate an advancing structure; Falling highs and lows generally indicate a declining structure; Repeated movement between relatively stable boundaries generally indicates a sideways structure. However, identifying a few highs and lows is not enough. What matters more is how price completes each upward and downward move. Users can compare the impulse phase with the corrective phase. If the market is advancing, observe: Whether rallies are fast and continuous; Whether volume expands during advances; Whether pullbacks are slow and limited; Whether selling pressure weakens during corrections; Whether buyers appear near key support; Whether price can remain in the higher area after a breakout. If rallies are strong while pullbacks remain weak, buyers are generally still in control. Conversely, if every rally struggles while declines are fast, continuous, and accompanied by increasing volume, sellers may still control the broader structure despite temporary rebounds. Market structure should therefore be evaluated not only by direction, but also by: Which direction advances more efficiently; Which direction receives stronger volume support; Which direction breaks key levels more easily; Which type of correction is more readily absorbed by the market. When Evaluating a Trend, Look for Price Acceptance A brief move beyond a price level does not necessarily mean the market structure has changed. What matters is whether the market accepts the new price area. Price acceptance may be reflected by: Candlesticks closing beyond the key level; Price not immediately returning to the previous range; New buying or selling activity appearing on the retest; Subsequent trading continuing in the breakout direction; Former resistance becoming support, or former support becoming resistance; A new sequence of highs and lows beginning to form. If price only leaves a long upper wick above a key level and quickly falls back, the move is more likely a rejection than a valid breakout. Ordinary users do not need to compete for the earliest possible breakout entry. Waiting for a close, continued movement, or a confirmed retest may sacrifice part of the entry price, but it can reduce losses caused by false breakouts. A Reliable Trend Needs Broad Participation A rally led by only one or two assets is different from a broad market advance. When analyzing the crypto market, users can examine: Whether BTC and ETH are moving together; Whether both major and smaller assets are participating; Whether the number of advancing assets is increasing; Whether volume is concentrated in only a few pairs; Whether total market capitalization supports the move; Whether stablecoin capital is moving into risk assets; Whether the rally depends on a single news event. Broad participation generally indicates a stronger trend foundation, while isolated gains may represent only a sector-specific move. Market breadth should not be used alone. Near the later stages of a bull market, large numbers of low-quality assets may rise together. This does not necessarily indicate a healthier market and may instead signal excessive risk appetite. Breadth should therefore be evaluated together with price location, volume, and market crowding. Crowded Positioning Can Make a Trend Fragile Correctly identifying the trend does not automatically make the current price an attractive entry. When too many users position in the same direction, short-term risk may rise significantly even if the long-term trend remains intact. In futures markets, users can also monitor: Whether open interest is increasing rapidly; Whether funding rates remain at extreme levels; Whether long and short positioning is heavily imbalanced; Whether the rally depends primarily on leveraged capital; Whether liquidations are concentrated in one direction; Whether market sentiment has become excessively one-sided. For example, the bullish structure may remain intact, but extremely high funding rates, rapidly rising open interest, and failure to make a new high may indicate overcrowded long positioning. This does not necessarily mean the bull market is about to end, but it does suggest that the risk-to-reward profile of chasing higher prices is deteriorating. Ordinary users should separate two questions: Is the market direction still upward? Is the current price still suitable for entering? The answers are not always the same. What Should Users Consider in an Advancing Structure? Once an advancing structure is established, the priority is not to keep proving how strong the market is, but to find a position where risk can be controlled. Determine Whether the Pullback Is Healthy A healthy pullback may show: A slower decline than the previous rally; Lower volume during the pullback; Price remaining above the previous major low; Buying support near key levels; Stability in core market assets; Renewed active buying after the correction. If the pullback accelerates, volume continues expanding, and several key levels are broken, it may no longer be a normal correction and could be developing into structural weakness. Do Not Ignore Entry Location Just Because the Trend Is Up A common mistake in an uptrend is recognizing the bull market only after a major rally and then entering far above meaningful support. A more reasonable process is: If entering now, where does the structure become invalid? How much could be lost before that point is reached? How much realistic upside remains? Is the potential reward sufficient relative to the risk? Would waiting for a retest or entering gradually be more appropriate? The trend may continue upward while a poorly located trade still loses money. That’s all we have room for today. Tomorrow, we’ll pick up where we left off and talk about: Manage Risk as Price Advances What Should Users Consider in a Declining Structure? What Should Users Consider in a Sideways Structure? The Most Important Phase Is the Transition Between Structures Volatility Changes How the Same Structure Should Be Traded Indicators Should Answer Questions, Not Replace Judgment A Practical Market-Reading Process for Everyday Users Action Principles for Different Structures Final Thoughts Identifying a bull, bear, or sideways structure is not about predicting the next candlestick. It is about choosing a trading approach that matches the current environment. Effective market-structure analysis should help users determine: Whether to participate actively or protect capital; Whether to follow the trend, wait for a pullback, or observe a range; Whether the current price offers a reasonable entry; Whether the market is overcrowded; Where to exit if the analysis is wrong. Ordinary users do not need to capture every top and bottom. Instead of trying to predict exactly what the market will do next, it is more important to know: What to do if the current structure continues, and how to adjust if that structure changes. That is the real value of understanding market structure. Disclaimer This article is intended solely for market education and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. Market structure and technical indicators cannot guarantee future price movements. Digital assets may experience substantial volatility, while futures trading may amplify both gains and losses. Users should make independent decisions based on their experience, financial circumstances, and risk tolerance, and fully understand the applicable product rules before trading. About SuperEx As the world’s first Web3-powered cryptocurrency exchange, SuperEx remains committed to building the Web3 ecosystem through products and services including SuperEx DAO, SuperEx Web3 Wallet, Super Start, SuperEx P2P, SuperEx Copy Trading, SuperEx Earn, and SuperEx DAO Academy. Today, SuperEx serves over 10 million users, has a social media community of more than 600,000 followers across 166 countries and regions, and supports more than 1,000 cryptocurrencies for spot and futures trading. Click to register SuperEx Click to download the SuperEx APP Click to enter SuperEx CMC Click to enter SuperEx DAO Academy — Space

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