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GBP/USD: The Triangle That Could Define the Rest of 2026 The pound just closed its strongest week against the dollar in months, ending July up more than 1% and holding just below $1.35. Two factors are driving the move. First, political risk has faded: the UK appointed its seventh prime minister in a decade, and the new government's pledge of fiscal discipline has reassured markets. Second, the Bank of England surprised with a more hawkish tone than expected—policymakers voted 6-3 to hold rates steady, but three members pushed for a hike, a stronger signal of resolve than markets had priced in. The dollar, meanwhile, has had a rough few sessions. Following the Fed's decision to hold rates for a fifth consecutive meeting, Chair Kevin Warsh offered little clarity on the path ahead, leaving investors questioning whether the central bank is doing enough to bring inflation back to target. The dollar index posted its worst weekly performance in three months as a result, though roughly two-thirds of the market still expects a September hike. With both central banks striking cautiously hawkish tones but offering little forward guidance, GBP/USD's next move looks set to hinge on incoming US labor data. TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Nasdaq 100 Analysis: De-escalation Around Iran Boosts Demand for Technology Stocks The beginning of August brought renewed optimism to the US technology sector. President Donald Trump announced the cancellation of a planned strike on Iran and expressed his intention to resume negotiations, prompting a sharp decline in oil prices. Investors interpreted the easing of geopolitical tensions as a signal that inflationary risks may also begin to moderate. Additional support for the market came from the Federal Reserve’s earlier decision on 29 July to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged within the 3.5–3.75% range, although the decision was not unanimous. Together, these developments helped restore investors’ appetite for risk, particularly in large-cap technology stocks. TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Ethereum (ETHUSD) is well positioned and only needs momentum Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading near 1,861 USD on Tuesday. Tokenisation could provide support for ETH. Technical outlook On the H1 chart, Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading near 1,862 and remains range-bound after recovering from the 1,831–1,840 area. The price is hovering near the middle Bollinger Band, while the indicator’s boundaries are gradually narrowing, indicating lower volatility and the absence of sustained directional momentum. The Ethereum price has entered a range, while fundamental support is strengthening. Read more - ETHUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

US 500 forecast: index approaches upper channel boundary The US 500 index is testing the resistance level again. A breakout could resume the uptrend. The US 500 forecast for today is positive. US 500 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: the US Federal Reserve held its interest rate steady at 3.75% Market impact: the data is moderately positive for the stock market Fundamental analysis The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep the interest rate within the 3.50–3.75% range was not a surprise to the market. However, the statement and the Federal Reserve chairman’s comments were far more important than the decision to leave the rate unchanged. For the US 500 index, the news is primarily negative in the short term. Initially, keeping the rate unchanged could have been viewed positively, as the regulator refrained from immediately raising borrowing costs further. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Date: 4th August 2026. Global Stocks Near Records as Yen and Oil Stay Volatile | Eyes on US Jobs7. Global stock markets are trading close to record levels after a technology-led rebound on Wall Street improved investor sentiment following a highly volatile month. However, the market outlook remains sensitive to several major developments. Traders are closely monitoring the impact of coordinated US-Japan intervention in the currency market, renewed volatility in oil prices, geopolitical tensions involving Iran, and the upcoming US employment report. Technology earnings are also returning to the spotlight as investors assess whether the substantial investment directed towards artificial intelligence is beginning to generate stronger revenue and profits. Global Stock Markets Remain Near Record Highs The MSCI All Country World Index remained close to 1,130, slightly below its record high of 1,136.59. US stocks strengthened during Monday’s session, led by large technology companies. The rally moved the S&P 500 closer to its all-time high, while index futures subsequently climbed to record territory. NASDAQ 100 futures also rose approximately 0.6%, indicating that demand for technology stocks remained positive heading into Tuesday’s trading session. European stock futures pointed towards a stronger opening, although Asian markets delivered a more mixed performance. The latest recovery follows a turbulent period for the technology sector. Investors have increasingly questioned whether the billions of dollars being spent on artificial intelligence infrastructure will produce sufficient growth and profitability. Until recently, much of the AI-related investment interest had focused on semiconductor producers, data centre providers, and other companies supplying the infrastructure required to develop artificial intelligence. Attention may now be shifting towards businesses that can use AI to improve their products, reduce costs, or increase earnings. This change could become an important theme for technology markets. Investors may increasingly distinguish between companies simply spending heavily on AI and those demonstrating measurable financial returns from that investment. Palantir Rallies After Raising Its Forecast Palantir Technologies gained approximately 14% in extended trading after the company raised its financial forecasts. The strong reaction suggests that investors remain willing to reward companies that can demonstrate clear revenue growth linked to artificial intelligence. The announcement also supported broader optimism towards technology stocks following Monday’s strong Wall Street session. A gauge of major technology companies recorded its best daily performance since March, while semiconductor shares rose by approximately 1%. Nevertheless, volatility remains elevated. Technology-focused investment funds have experienced significant fluctuations as expectations surrounding AI spending, valuations, and future profitability continue to change. Amazon shares fell approximately 1.6% in post-market trading after Chairman Jeff Bezos disclosed plans to sell shares. The decline followed a three-day rally that had lifted Amazon’s market value to around $3 trillion. SpaceX Earnings Enter the Spotlight Another major event for technology investors is the first earnings report from SpaceX as a publicly traded company. The report could test investor demand for highly valued technology and aerospace businesses, particularly after the recent volatility in AI-related shares. Markets will be watching SpaceX’s revenue, profitability, capital expenditure, and forward guidance. Investors may also focus on the performance of its launch operations and satellite-related businesses. The earnings report comes before a potentially significant increase in the company’s available share supply. As much as $116 billion in stock could become eligible for sale for the first time next month. Large share unlocks can affect market prices if early investors, employees, or other shareholders decide to sell part of their holdings. Yen Weakens After Historic US-Japan Intervention The Japanese yen declined around 0.3% during the Asian session, trading close to 157.70 against the US dollar. The pullback followed a gain of more than 4% over the previous four trading days after the United States and Japan carried out coordinated yen-buying intervention. The operation represented the first coordinated intervention of its kind since 1998 and pushed the yen sharply higher from a four-decade low near 164 per dollar. The intervention has now shifted market attention towards the 155 level in USD/JPY. Why USD/JPY at 155 Is Important The 155 level is viewed as an important test of whether the yen’s recovery can develop into a more sustained trend. Previous Japanese intervention in April and May briefly pushed USD/JPY towards this area. However, the pair subsequently recovered, leading traders to question whether direct intervention can create lasting currency strength without broader changes in monetary and fiscal policy. A decisive move below 155 could alter market behaviour. Traders who previously bought USD/JPY during declines may become more cautious, while Japanese exporters could increase their dollar sales as the currency pair moves outside its recent trading range. The yen’s recovery could also accelerate because of speculative positioning. Asset managers and leveraged funds reportedly hold their largest net short yen positions since 2024. If USD/JPY falls below 155, some investors may be forced to reduce these positions by purchasing yen. This type of short squeeze could potentially push USD/JPY towards 152. The currency pair has already moved below its 200-day moving average near 158 for the first time since October, adding further technical significance to the recent decline. Can the Yen Maintain Its Recovery? Despite the intervention, some analysts remain cautious about the yen’s longer-term outlook. The US dollar continues to offer a considerable yield advantage over the Japanese currency. That advantage could widen further if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates while the Bank of Japan continues to tighten policy gradually. Some strategists expect investors to resume using the yen as a funding currency once the threat of further intervention decreases. Under this scenario, USD/JPY could eventually recover towards the 160-162 region. Market activity already indicates that some traders are taking profits following the intervention-driven move. For the yen to achieve a more sustainable recovery, investors may need stronger evidence that Japan’s broader policy direction is changing. This could include faster interest rate increases from the Bank of Japan, greater fiscal discipline, and continued coordination between Japanese and US policymakers. Oil Rebounds as US-Iran Uncertainty Continues Oil prices rose after recording their largest daily decline in a week. Brent crude traded near $85 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate moved above $81. The rebound followed a decline of almost 5% during Monday’s session. The latest price movement reflects uncertainty surrounding negotiations involving the United States and Iran. US President Donald Trump described his latest diplomatic offer as Iran’s ‘last chance’ and said he expected the Strait of Hormuz to reopen fully. Iran denied that direct negotiations with the United States were taking place. However, Tehran said discussions with Oman regarding the movement of ships through the Strait were progressing. The conflicting statements highlight the uncertainty surrounding diplomatic efforts. Oil prices could continue to react sharply to any indication of military escalation, successful negotiations, or improved shipping conditions. Strait of Hormuz Remains a Major Market Risk Commodity flows through the Strait of Hormuz have slowed considerably. Before the conflict, the Strait handled approximately one-fifth of global crude oil and liquefied natural gas flows. Any prolonged disruption could reduce global supply and place upward pressure on energy prices. Concerns increased after a cargo vessel northeast of Al Khasab, Oman, reported being struck by an unidentified projectile. Meanwhile, activity increased at Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu export terminal on the Red Sea. The port provides an alternative route that allows some Saudi oil exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. However, security risks also remain present in the Red Sea, where vessels have faced threats near the Bab El-Mandeb shipping route. Additional supply risks are emerging from the war in Ukraine. Refineries, tankers, pipelines, and other Russian oil infrastructure were reportedly targeted at least 30 times during July, the second-highest monthly total since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022. Together, these developments indicate that oil prices may remain volatile even if diplomatic discussions between the United States and Iran continue. Treasury Yields Rise as Oil Prices Recover US Treasury prices gave back part of Monday’s gains as oil prices rebounded. The 10-year Treasury yield increased by approximately two basis points to 4.69%. Energy prices can influence government bond markets because higher oil costs may contribute to inflation. If inflation remains elevated, the Federal Reserve may have less flexibility to lower interest rates. Alternatively, a sustained decline in oil prices could reduce inflationary pressure and support expectations of less restrictive monetary policy. This relationship means that developments in the Middle East may continue to influence currencies, bonds, and equities, as well as the energy market. US Employment Data Becomes the Next Major Test Investors are now preparing for several US employment reports, with Friday’s nonfarm payrolls release expected to be the most important economic event of the week. The report could provide clearer evidence regarding the strength of the US labour market and the likely direction of Federal Reserve policy. Stronger-than-expected job creation could increase expectations that interest rates will remain high or rise further. This could support the US dollar and Treasury yields, but create pressure on interest rate-sensitive stocks. Weaker employment growth could reduce rate expectations, although an unexpectedly sharp slowdown might also raise concerns about the economic outlook. Recent manufacturing data showed that US factory activity expanded in July at its fastest pace in more than four years. Production increased strongly, while companies also added workers. The figures suggest that parts of the US economy remain resilient heading into the latest employment report. What Should Traders Watch Next? Market sentiment remains constructive, with global equities trading close to record levels and technology shares attracting renewed demand. However, several developments could determine whether the rally continues. For stock traders, earnings growth and evidence of financial returns from AI investment may become increasingly important. For currency traders, the 155 level in USD/JPY represents a key technical and policy-related threshold. Oil traders will continue monitoring diplomatic developments involving the United States and Iran, as well as shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz. Bond and US dollar traders will focus on Friday’s employment report and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. With equities near record highs, oil prices reacting to geopolitical headlines, and the yen remaining sensitive to official intervention, volatility may remain elevated across several major markets. Traders should continue following economic data, central bank expectations, and geopolitical developments while applying appropriate risk management measures. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. 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