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EUR/USD market sentiment leans bearish to neutral The EUR/USD major pair displayed interesting dynamics during Friday's trading session, with a movement leaning from bearish to neutral sentiment. The price formed a small-bodied bearish candle with a long upper wick. According to the FXOpen chart, the price recorded a high of 1.14006, a low of 1.13640, and a close of 1.13641. This movement brought the EUR/USD close to the lower band. However, the opening of the market on Monday showed a "gap up," indicating an opening price higher than Friday's close. At its last meeting, the ECB maintained interest rates. Although it signaled a potential rate hike for the September meeting, the market assessed that this move was insufficient to overcome the current strength of the US dollar. The ECB responded to rising Eurozone inflation—projecting it to reach around 3.0% by 2026 due to surging energy prices—by shifting its policy stance. It moved from an expected easing to a tighter stance for the medium term to ensure inflation returns to the 2% target. The Fed maintains a hawkish stance, keeping US bond yields high and supporting the US dollar's strength. US interest rates currently range between 3.50% and 3.75%. The US economy is expanding solidly with a relatively stable labor market, and unemployment hovering around 4.2%. However, inflation remains above the 2% target due to energy supply issues and production costs. Market expectations, which earlier in the year predicted rate cuts, have completely shifted. Market participants are now factoring in scenarios where rates remain higher for longer, or even a potential limited hike at year-end if inflation fails to cool down. Under the leadership of Chair Kevin Warsh, the Fed has also moved away from providing rigid forward guidance; consequently, the policy direction depends heavily on week-to-week economic data releases. The interest rate differential—showing US rates significantly higher than those in the Eurozone—continues to make US dollar yields more attractive. As both central banks have paused tightening measures while monitoring energy inflation, EUR/USD movements are currently highly sensitive to the release of daily economic indicators, such as manufacturing data, durable goods figures, and monthly inflation rates. Energy prices and geopolitical tensions continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like the USD, thereby influencing the US dollar's performance. Tensions between the US and Iran have escalated again; since mid-July, both nations have launched renewed military strikes. The US has targeted military sites and infrastructure across various regions of Iran. In retaliation, Iran has attacked US military bases in the Gulf region and threatened strategic shipping lanes—including those near the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea—keeping the risk to energy trade high. The UN has once again called for de-escalation and urged both parties to return to the negotiating table. Meanwhile, political debate has emerged within the United States; the US House of Representatives passed a resolution requiring Congressional approval for further military engagement with Iran, although this measure has not yet halted military operations. From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is trading within Bollinger Bands, with an estimated range of 1.13300–1.14750. Immediate support lies around 1.13600, with the next target at 1.13300. Resistance is situated around 1.1430, with the next target at 1.1475. This forecast could be wrong.

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Викторина от Profit-Hunters 0.15 USDT 0x662366a109f419d894caa0552c5434cfb5bd56d5a996320eec37921da0590699 Jul-24-2026 02:10:12 PM UTC+03

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The setup definitely looks more interesting now, but I'd still wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance before getting too optimistic. False breakouts happen quite often, especially when sentiment changes so quickly. Volume will be the key thing I'm watching.

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Transaction date: 26.07.2026 in 19:08 Transaction ID: 1129311 Payer transaction ID: 1129310 Transaction type: Transfer Status: Accepted and enrolled Using Azvox API To your wallet: W142574 Sender: W214982 Credited amount: + 5.88 RUB Sender's comment: Выплата из проекта Buxnova

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