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Success in Forex is challenging. Consistent profits require education, disciplined risk management, patience, and emotional control. There are no guaranteed strategies or quick riches. Most successful traders focus on preserving capital, following a tested plan, and improving through experience rather than chasing fast gains.

Date: 1st July 2026. Strong Jobs Data Supports Fed Outlook as Yen Shows Oversold Signals. The US Dollar declines despite the US JOLTS Job Vacancies beating expectations for a sixth consecutive month. Job openings in the US for May read 7.59 million, significantly higher than the previous expectations (7.28 million). Nonetheless, the US Dollar Index is back on the rise during this morning session. Investors will now turn their attention to Kevin Wash’s speech this afternoon at the ECB Forum in Portugal. US Dollar Attempting To Find Support From Strong Employment Data US economic data painted a positive picture for the employment sector, with job openings coming in strong. However, the US Dollar Index saw a sharp decline. This was partially due to the Consumer Confidence falling to 91.2 due to inflation fears. However, this can only have a short-term effect on the currency. Lower confidence due to inflation also prompts the Fed to take a harsher stance on monetary policy. As a result, the longer-term impact remains positive for the Dollar. The US Dollar is the best performing index of the day so far, followed by the Japanese Yen and CAD. The upward price movement is a delayed impact of yesterday’s positive employment data. Indications against most currencies point towards upward price movement, except against the Japanese Yen. However, this will depend on this afternoon’s Chairman speech and ADP Employment Change. Analysts expect the ADP Employment Change to read 118,000, very similar to the previous month. The predictions are higher than the 6-month average, which is 69,000. Therefore, if the report reads as expected or higher, the US Dollar can find support. The ISM will also release the Manufacturing Price Index, which can trigger volatility. If the index reads above 53.8, the US Dollar may experience further support. Lastly, investors expect the Fed Chairman to provide little in terms of views and forward guidance. However, his tone and the topic he concentrates on will impact how the market expects the interest rates path to unfold. If the chairman concentrates on inflation and rate hikes, the Dollar can again rise. In the past hour, the US Dollar is particularly seeing strong price movement against the Euro, Pound, Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar. Japanese Yen Oversold The USDJPY has now risen close to 163.000 after increasing 0.55% over the past 24-hours. However, investors are now considering whether the index is oversold. Previously, major banks advised that any price above 160.000 is at risk of intervention and major resistance levels. The price is now far above this level, and officials from the government and central bank advising above 163.000 is a key concern for them. Analysts are also advising the Japanese Yen may be oversold as inflation remains healthy, wages are on the rise and the Bank of Japan is increasing rates gradually. Economists also advise that the NIKKEI 225’s performance as the best-performing index of the year is also a good indication regarding the health of the economy. HFM - USDJPY 30-Minute Chart The USDJPY is trading above its intrinsic value according to technical analysis. On the 1-hour time frame, the chart is showing clear signs of divergence on the RSI. On the daily timeframe, the RSI is again indicating the price is overbought as the RSI trades above the 75.00 level (18 period). If the USDJPY witnesses a significant decline, the psychological price at 160.00 will be key. A short-term target can be seen at the support level at 162.465. However, a concern for traders shorting the USDJPY will be strong employment data from the US or hawkish Fed comments. Also providing interesting price action are the EURJPY and AUDJPY. Both the Euro and Australian Dollar have seen strong price movement against the Japanese Yen in the past few days. However, the price is now quickly correcting in the opposite direction. Key Takeaways: The US Dollar initially declined despite strong JOLTS data. Job openings beat expectations for the sixth consecutive month at 7.59 million. The Dollar is now attempting to recover, supported by the delayed impact of strong employment data. The Dollar is witnessing bullish price movement against most currencies except against the Yen. ADP Employment Change and ISM Manufacturing Prices are key risks, as stronger-than-expected readings could provide further support for the US Dollar. USD/JPY may be overbought near 163.00. Intervention risk is increasing, and technical indicators suggest the Japanese Yen may be oversold. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Belgium - Senegal 3-1

Belgium - Senegal 3-0

EUR/JPY extends gains, nearing the 186.315 peak The EUR/JPY cross-currency pair is displaying interesting price dynamics. The pair has risen for five consecutive days, reflecting the Japanese Yen's weakness against the Euro. The price currently hovers around the 185.725 level on the FXOpen chart, up from a low of 184.635 during Tuesday's trading session. EUR/JPY price movements reflect a fierce tug-of-war between easing inflation in the Eurozone and the threat of market intervention by Japanese authorities. On the Eurozone front, inflation is cooling, easing pressure for a hawkish stance. German CPI data released yesterday showed a decline to 2.3% year-on-year, down from the previous 2.5%. Germany's HICP index also fell to 2.4%. The easing of inflation in Europe's economic powerhouse provides an early indication that inflation across the Eurozone is also cooling. These moderating inflation figures reduce pressure on the ECB to adopt an overly aggressive stance going forward. Market expectations for further interest rate hikes are very limited, generally capping the Euro's potential for appreciation. Regarding the Japanese Yen, there are threats of verbal intervention and the risk of actual market action. EUR/JPY touched a high near 185.74 yesterday. The Yen's excessive weakness has triggered alarm bells in Tokyo. Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Khara have again issued stern warnings that they are prepared to take action in the forex market to stabilize the Yen's movements. The threat of currency intervention has caused investors to hold back, limiting aggressive buying of EUR/JPY due to the high risk of a sudden price reversal triggered by such intervention. Meanwhile, Japan's core inflation remains at 1.4%—below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target—meaning the BoJ is in no rush to drastically raise interest rates. At the ECB forum held in Sintra, Portugal, from June 29 to July 1, 2026, ECB President Christine Lagarde signaled a crucial shift, stating that the ECB's monetary policy has returned to fundamental principles. The current focus is on controlling inflation via benchmark interest rates, eliminating the need for the non-standard emergency instruments—such as massive post-pandemic asset purchases—used previously. Lagarde emphasized that the ECB no longer needs to act aggressively. Any future interest rate cuts or adjustments will be implemented gradually and cautiously, remaining highly dependent on economic data released ahead of each meeting. From a technical perspective, the EUR/JPY pair is currently in overbought territory on the daily chart and is being constrained by psychological barriers due to the risk of intervention. EUR/JPY is expected to trade within a range of approximately 183.80–186.20. Immediate support lies around 184.50, with the next target at 183.40. Immediate resistance is around 185.80, with the next target in the 186.20 range. This forecast could be wrong.

Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal

Belgium - Senegal: 2-1

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