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Understanding chart patterns in forex trading analysis is crucial for predicting potential future price movements, as chart patterns indirectly provide information about market psychology and reflect what's happening in the market. The most important thing is understanding the basic concepts of charts and market behavior as reflected in price history.

AUDUSD plummets ahead of Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes The Australian dollar faced increasing selling pressure on Monday, November 17, 2025, breaking through the key support level of 0.6500 ahead of today's RBA minutes. The AUDUSD candlestick drew a long-bodied bearish candlestick with almost no shadows, reflecting a sharp decline. At the time of writing, the AUDUSD pair had formed a high of 0.65375, a low of 0.64820, and a close of 0.64861. This decline has crossed the middle band and is seeking a lower band target of around 0.64554. The RBA is currently maintaining its cash rate at 3.6% and stating that the current policy is somewhat restrictive to dampen lingering inflation. Due to relatively high Australian inflation and a rebounding housing market, the RBA appears cautious about cutting more quickly. The market had initially anticipated a rate cut from the RBA, but these expectations have been tempered by relatively strong Australian employment data. On the other hand, the US dollar strengthened due to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates later than expected. According to the CME Group's Fedwatch tool, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut at its December 10, 2025, meeting is only 42.6%. Meanwhile, 55.6% believe the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged (3.75%-4.00%). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD's performance against six major currencies, showed improved performance, rising from a low of 99.245 to a high of 99.598 on Monday. As the interest rate differential between the US and Australia narrows, this could also put pressure on the Australian dollar against the USD. The AUD is often classified as a commodity currency, meaning it is influenced by Australian exports, particularly to China, such as iron ore and copper. China's economic conditions and the commodity dilemma could put pressure on the AUD. Furthermore, global risk sentiment is a factor. If the market is optimistic and tends to be risk-on, the AUD could strengthen. Conversely, if market sentiment is fearful and tends to be risk-off, the USD, as a safe-haven currency, will benefit. Currently, the USD is receiving support from the strength of the US economy and reduced expectations of interest rate cuts, which has put some pressure on the AUD. Overall, based on fundamental analysis, there is a negative bias towards AUDUSD in the short term due to a combination of USD strength, the RBA's lack of aggressive policy cuts, and the ongoing commodity market dilemma. However, this does not mean the AUD will fall freely, as there are also supporting factors such as stable interest rates in Australia and the potential for a commodity rebound if Chinese data improves. The forecasted price range for the AUDUSD pair today is estimated at around 0.6460 - 0.6580. The support level to watch is around 0.6490 - 0.6465, with a breakout potentially reaching 0.6420. The main resistance level is around 0.6550 - 0.6580, with a further breakout potentially reaching 0.6620.

EURUSD Market Momentum and Cloud Signals EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar), often called the “Fiber,” is the world’s most traded forex pair and a benchmark for global currency strength. Today’s EUR USD fundamental outlook is shaped by a dense schedule of USD-related risk events, with multiple FOMC members—including Waller, Barr, and Barkin—set to speak on the U.S. economic outlook, monetary policy, and financial conditions. These speeches have the potential to inject volatility into the EUR-USD daily chart and overall price action, especially if policymakers sound more hawkish than markets expect. Additional USD-sensitive data such as the delayed U.S. Factory Orders report, NAHB Housing Market Index, and the Treasury Budget statement may further influence expectations for U.S. growth, inflation, and interest rates—factors that generally support the dollar when stronger-than-forecast. Combined, today’s fundamental drivers create a USD-centric environment where any hawkish tilt could pressure the Fiber lower, while softer tones may offer EUR/USD a short-term relief bounce. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the EURUSD H4 chart, the price action shows a broader bearish trend, with lower highs forming since the 1.19179 peak on September 17 and a decline reaching 1.14682 on November 5 before a corrective recovery toward 1.16000. The current price action trades slightly above the Ichimoku cloud, but bearish momentum remains visible as price is turning downward toward the green cloud, whose Leading Span B is flat indicating strong horizontal resistance and whose Leading Span A slopes gently downward. The 1.16000 zone aligns as immediate resistance, while 1.15500 serves as the nearest support, followed by 1.15000 and 1.14800. The %R(14) oscillator sits around -91, signaling deep oversold conditions on the EUR-USD H4 chart; however, in bearish environments, oversold readings can persist. The Ichimoku signals, cloud structure, and resistance confluence suggest that unless EUR/USD breaks decisively above 1.16000–1.16500, downside pressure and continuation of the dominant downtrend remain the higher-probability scenario in technical analysis. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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Short-term holders just offloaded 148,000 BTC into the abyss, one of those capitulation moments where you can almost feel the fear pouring out of the charts. With $93K hanging by a thread, analysts are already murmuring about a possible dip into the $80Ks. What always fascinates me is how the whole market becomes hypnotized by a single red candle. Everything pauses. Everyone stares. And in that stillness, other narratives move quietly, almost deliberately, as if they’re waiting for the noise to drown itself out. Because right in the middle of this storm, GAIB went live on BingX an AI, Robotics, RWA ecosystem that turns real-world compute assets like GPUs, robotics fleets, and AI energy systems into onchain, yield-bearing instruments. Not a promise. Actual infrastructure stepping onto the stage while the crowd is looking the other way. I’m keeping my eyes on GAIB for one reason:It arrived on a day when most people were too distracted to notice anything new. So here’s the question I’m asking myself… and you:Do you chase the fear everyone is glued to or explore their opportunities hiding just outside the spotlight?

GAIB is gearing up for its launch on November 19, 2025 at 11:00 UTC+1. Unlike most hype driven tokens, GAIB focuses on bridging AI infrastructure with real world assets (RWA), giving traders exposure to tangible economic activity rather than pure speculation. ‎ ‎The project tokenizes GPUs, robotics, and data center hardware, converting them into digital assets that generate yield. Staking AID produces sAID, which earns revenue directly from AI compute infrastructure. This approach marks a shift from standard crypto yields, which often rely on token emissions instead of real economic outputs. ‎ ‎GAIB operates on BNB Chain with a 1 billion total supply, which could impact early trading behavior. Understanding the distribution and liquidity dynamics will be crucial for traders watching the debut. ‎ ‎The listing will occur on a platform like BingX, where users can access the token with a Zero Fee trading window until November 26. While not a promotion, it’s a practical detail: traders often consider fee structures and initial liquidity when evaluating new token performance. ‎ ‎GAIB aims to create an economic layer for AI infrastructure with real-world backing. Given its novel model, how might early participants value AI hardware backed revenue compared to conventional crypto tokens?

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Викторина от Profit-Hunters 0.1 USDT 0xb79ab65381e54b8906e4ea5123ea870bcccc82776b9054bdeb26a4a689c94645 Nov-16-2025 06:16:22 PM UTC

Date: 17th November 2025. The US Reopens. Central Banks Pause. What Happens Next? Global Markets Outlook: Uncertainty Persists as the US Reopens and Central Banks Hold Steady The US government is officially back in operation, but the shutdown has left a mark. Beyond the drag on fourth-quarter growth, the bigger issue now is the integrity of the economic data. Several key surveys were simply not conducted, meaning policymakers may be navigating with only partial visibility for weeks, possibly until 2026. This uncertainty could cloud the Federal Reserve’s view heading into the 9-10 December FOMC meeting. In the meantime, Fed hawks are taking the lead, arguing for a cautious, wait-and-see stance until the labour market and inflation picture becomes clearer. Elsewhere, central banks are signalling stability, not action. The ECB looks firmly on hold. The BoE’s flexibility is constrained by budget pressures. And in Japan, fiscal and political developments continue to shape the BoJ’s next steps. United States This week will finally bring a wave of US economic data back to the markets, with the delayed September nonfarm payrolls report on November 20 expected to attract the most attention. Yet how insightful these releases will be is another question entirely. The information is now outdated, and the October household employment survey may never be recovered. As a result, markets will be relying on older indicators to piece together the state of the economy. Construction spending, industrial production, factory orders, trade price data, and consumer sentiment will all come through, but the labour market will remain at the center of the debate. Policymakers want to see whether the slowdown in employment is significant enough to justify a rate cut. Hawkish commentary in recent weeks has already pushed expectations lower, with markets now assigning roughly even odds for a cut next month. Our expectation is for nonfarm payrolls to rise by around 40k, following modest gains in previous months. The unemployment rate is likely to hold steady at 4.3%, while wage growth should maintain a monthly pace of 0.3%, keeping the annual rate at 3.7%. Alternative indicators, from jobless claims to ISM employment components, suggest cooling rather than collapsing labour conditions. If data land in line with these expectations, it would strengthen the argument for holding rates steady. This week will also be dominated by a packed Fedspeak calendar. Key policymakers, including Jefferson, Waller, Williams, Kashkari, Barr, Barkin, Logan, and Goolsbee, will be delivering remarks across the week. Their commentary following the jobs report will be particularly important, especially for understanding the direction of the December meeting. The release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday adds another layer to an already heavy calendar. Canada Canada will release October CPI and retail sales, both of which will be central to shaping expectations for the December 10 Bank of Canada meeting. The economy continues to soften under the weight of global trade pressures, tariffs, and a weakening job market. Inflation has eased, with headline CPI expected to remain slightly above 2% year-over-year, although core inflation is still hovering near 3%. This makes it difficult for the Bank to justify an additional cut without stronger evidence of cooling. Retail sales, which showed a solid increase in August before slipping in September’s advance estimate, will provide further clarity. For now, the odds of either a hold or a cut remain evenly balanced. Eurozone ECB officials continue to stress that current interest rates are appropriate, and upcoming data is unlikely to shift that stance. Markets will focus on the flash HCOB PMI reports, where manufacturing activity is expected to inch slightly above the 50 expansion threshold, while services remain comfortably in growth territory. This combination supports the ECB’s narrative of an economy that is not strong, but still resilient. Inflation should confirm the preliminary reading of 2.1% year-over-year, a figure that aligns closely with the ECB’s target. However, core inflation, and especially services inflation, remains elevated, reinforcing the view that rate cuts are not on the agenda anytime soon. Additional data from Germany, the Eurozone confidence surveys, and French business indicators will offer more insight but are unlikely to alter the overall picture. United Kingdom In the UK, fiscal concerns have re-emerged following reports that Chancellor Reeves abandoned plans to raise income taxes. The decision came after more optimistic debt projections from the OBR, but it has reignited concerns about how the government intends to address a remaining fiscal gap estimated at around GBP 20 billion. Markets reacted nervously, particularly on fears that this uncertainty could limit the Bank of England’s ability to cut rates in December. The November 26 budget will overshadow most other developments this week. Even so, the BoE will be watching the inflation report closely. CPI is expected to ease to 3.6% year-over-year, while core inflation should also decline slightly. Despite remaining above target, the downward trend gives the central bank some room to consider a cut, assuming the budget does not disrupt confidence further. PMI figures are expected to soften, with services activity dipping but still above 50, while manufacturing may slide deeper into contraction. Retail sales will likely reflect the same cautious spending behaviour seen in recent months, with households saving more and spending less. Japan Japan enters an important week with a flood of major economic reports, including GDP, CPI, trade data, production numbers, and machinery orders, arriving ahead of the December 18-19 BoJ meeting. While inflation is expected to remain near the 3% mark, GDP likely contracted sharply by around -2.0%, which supports the argument for keeping policy unchanged. Ongoing uncertainty around fiscal plans under the new Takaichi government adds another reason for a cautious approach. Apart from a few hawkish voices, most policymakers seem in no rush to tighten policy again in the near term. China China’s loan prime rate announcements are also due, although no changes are expected. The PBoC has resisted easing, keeping the one-year and five-year LPRs at 3.00% and 3.50% respectively, levels last trimmed in May. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. 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