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While not easy, opportunities for success certainly exist in forex trading. However, for high-risk investments like forex, it is not advisable to use borrowed funds or money needed in the near future. This approach serves to mitigate risk from the outset, given the inherent risks involved in trading. Success in forex trading requires discipline in maintaining money management, risk management, and strategy, as well as keeping emotions in check.

EUR/JPY Caught Between Two Sentiment-Driving Forces The EUR/JPY cross-rate is exhibiting movement dynamics characterized by a high-level consolidation phase, driven by the clash of two major sentiments regarding hawkish interest rate stances from both the ECB and the BoJ. Yesterday, EUR/JPY formed a bullish candle on the FXOpen chart—with a low of 184.921, a high of 185.627, and a close of 185.556—reversing the previous bearish candle formation. Over the past seven days, EUR/JPY price action has largely remained within the 184.921–186.015 range. On the Yen side, there are expectations of a BoJ rate hike. The market is aggressively pricing in a 57% to 85% probability that the BoJ will raise its benchmark interest rate at the September meeting. Statements from BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino did not refute this speculation and highlighted inflation risks stemming from high energy prices. The conflict in the Middle East, which is driving up global energy prices, has forced Japan to take decisive action to prevent further depreciation of the Yen. Previous joint market interventions with the US were deemed ineffective, making an interest rate hike the primary option. Notably, on August 31, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence that Japan would take measures to strengthen the Yen and hinted at the possibility of a BoJ rate hike in September. On the Euro side, rising inflation trends are fueling the potential for an ECB rate hike. The market anticipates a 25-basis-point rate increase by the ECB at the upcoming September 10 meeting. Eurozone inflation is projected to creep toward the 3.0% range due to energy costs, providing the Euro with a solid footing to withstand pressure from the Yen. German inflation rose to 2.9% year-on-year in August (up from 2.8%), while core inflation held steady at 2.4%. The increase was driven primarily by energy costs, thereby reinforcing expectations of a rate hike. While inflation is fueling expectations of interest rate hikes, concerns regarding stagflation or a collapse in European manufacturing are limiting any sustained rally in the Euro. Eurozone inflation data is of critical importance today; the calendar highlights the August flash CPI/HICP as a key data point for the EUR. Higher-than-expected inflation could potentially strengthen the Euro. Technically, EURJPY is trading above the 200-day EMA, with an expected trading range of 184.000–186.500. Immediate support lies around 185.100, with the next target at approximately 184.500. Immediate resistance is around 185.800, with the next target at approximately 186.300. This forecast could be wrong.

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Topic is little complicated

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