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GOLD/USD Analysis: Sideways Movement Amid Bearish Signals Introduction to GOLDUSD The GOLD/USD pair, commonly known as XAU/USD, represents the price of gold per ounce quoted in US dollars. Known as a safe-haven asset, gold is often traded as protection against market volatility and inflation. Traders and investors track GOLD-USD closely to understand global economic stability and monetary policy shifts. GOLD USD Market Overview Currently, GOLD/USD is experiencing sideways movement with a mildly bearish bias. Market sentiment is influenced by recent statements from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, expected at the Santander International Banking Conference, potentially indicating a hawkish stance beneficial for the USD. Additionally, consumer sentiment data from RealClearMarkets shows mixed economic confidence, affecting the USD's strength and indirectly impacting gold prices. These factors lead investors to cautiously observe economic developments to gauge future gold movements. Traders should closely monitor upcoming USD-related news releases, as these will significantly impact GOLD dynamics over the coming days. GOLD/USD Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, GOLD/USD has been consolidating around the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382 at approximately $3966.91. The price action in recent candles indicates significant resistance at this Fibonacci level, supported by a noticeable bearish tilt. The Alligator indicator shows the green Lips line positioned at the top but trending downward, with the red Teeth line flat near the price, and the blue Jaw line gradually rising. The Fisher indicator signals bearish sentiment with values at -1.38 (Trigger line) and -1.41 (Fisher line), while the Rate of Change (ROC) indicator is at -3.30, suggesting negative momentum and potential further downside in the short term. Final Words About GOLD vs USD Considering the prevailing technical indicators and market sentiment, GOLD/USD is likely to maintain its sideways trend with a potential for bearish breakouts. Traders must pay close attention to upcoming economic indicators and Federal Reserve announcements, as these could create volatility and directional shifts. Risk management strategies should be prioritized, given gold’s sensitivity to global financial events and USD strength fluctuations. Continuous monitoring of Fibonacci retracement levels and Alligator indicator dynamics will provide critical insights for decision-making. Disclaimer: This GOLD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions. 11.04.2025

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AUDUSD Pair Faces Bearish Pressure on H4 Chart AUD/USD, commonly referred to as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate of the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar. It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs globally, reflecting the economic dynamics between Australia and the United States. Fundamental analysis indicates potential volatility today due to crucial news events including the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate decision and rate statement, both influential in guiding traders' expectations regarding future monetary policy. Positive or hawkish signals from the RBA, hinting at higher interest rates or stronger economic outlooks, would likely strengthen the Australian dollar. Conversely, commentary from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman at the Santander Banking Conference, combined with U.S. consumer confidence data from RealClearMarkets, may influence USD strength depending on perceived economic optimism or signals toward future Fed policy adjustments. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Technically, the AUD/USD H4 chart today indicates short-term bearish momentum, evident from the latest five consecutive bearish candles. The AUDUSD price action is currently within a narrowing Ichimoku green cloud, suggesting reduced volatility and potential trend uncertainty. Both Leading Spans A and B have flattened, hinting at indecision in market direction. The last candle closed below both the baseline (Kijun-sen) and conversion line (Tenkan-sen), aligning closely with the lagging span (Chikou Span). Additionally, the recent volume has been predominantly bearish, supported by four consecutive red volume bars. MACD indicators (12,26) are currently negative at -0.00029 and -0.00048 respectively, with a histogram reading at 0.00019, further suggesting bearish sentiment and possible continuation of the downward price action in the short term. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

The Australian dollar is trending lower against the USD ahead of the RBA interest rate decision. On Monday, November 3, the AUD/USD pair drew a small-bodied bearish candle with long shadows at the top and bottom of the candle. This candlestick pattern extended the previous four-day losing streak. AUD/USD formed a high of 0.6535, a low of 0.65176, and a close of 0.65381 from an open of 0.65413. The main factor likely to drive the AUD/USD pair today is the RBA's interest rate decision. The market currently expects the RBA to maintain its cash rate at 3.60%. If the RBA ultimately cuts rates as expected, the focus will shift to the accompanying statement, or RBA rate statement, for subtle hints about the RBA's future policy tone. If the statement is hawkish, indicating the RBA remains wary of inflation, the implication is likely to be that the AUD will strengthen. If the RBA unexpectedly cuts rates, the AUD is likely to weaken sharply. Conversely, if the RBA unexpectedly raises rates, the Australian dollar could strengthen sharply. Given the Australian economic backdrop, the higher-than-expected monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for September 2025 has reduced market bets on further interest rate cuts in the near term and provided temporary support for the AUD. The market will also be closely monitoring other economic data from Australia this week, such as the trade balance. A larger trade surplus could support the AUD. This is because the AUD has a strong correlation with commodities such as copper and iron ore, with its strategic partner, China. If the global recovery strengthens, this could support the AUD. The current pressure on the AUD is primarily due to the continued strength of the USD. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates soon are supporting the USD and putting pressure on the AUD. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US dollar against six major currencies, has risen over the past five days, reflecting this strong performance. The DXY has currently reached 99.988. While the Chinese economy and commodity demand remain at risk, disappointing data could negatively impact the AUD. Although several US economic data releases have been delayed due to the government shutdown, the market will continue to focus on this week's US employment report. Weak US data could pressure the USD, while stronger data could support it. Price movements ahead of the RBA announcement are likely to be cautious. Key support is forecasted at 0.6480-0.6500, with key resistance at 0.6600-0.6610. The RBA interest rate decision is high-impact news, so strict risk management is required. Significant price movements could occur following the RBA announcement.

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The AUD finding support in recent statistics suggests the market is responding well to domestic data. If this momentum holds, we might see further bullish sentiment—especially if upcoming inflation or employment figures stay strong. Definitely worth watching how it reacts around key resistance levels.

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