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GBPJPY outlook is neutral with a slightly bullish bias. Price action for GBPJPY on October 2nd showed dynamics leaning from neutral to slightly bullish. The price formed a bullish candle with a long lower wick—recording a low of 207.712, a high of 209.103, and a close of 208.950 on the FXOpen chart. GBP fundamentals remain reasonably supportive. The Bank of England (BoE) is currently maintaining its bank rate at 3.75%, while UK inflation stands at 3.1%, implying limited room for aggressive rate cuts. However, there is a downside for the GBP: UK business activity is slowing. The September Services PMI came in at 51.7—down from 52.5 and marking a three-month low. Speculative positioning on the GBP is also quite bearish; CFTC data showed a non-commercial net position of approximately -91.1 thousand contracts as of October 2nd. Meanwhile, JPY fundamentals are beginning to gain support. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high. Recent Tankan data also showed Japanese manufacturing sentiment improving to +24, while corporate inflation expectations remain elevated. These conditions keep the possibility of a further BoJ rate hike on the table. Additionally, the 10-year JGB yield is hovering around 3.10%, significantly higher than previous levels. Rising Japanese yields could enhance the JPY's appeal. Thus, while the carry trade still favors GBPJPY, the GBP's advantage diminishes as the market grows increasingly convinced that the BoJ will raise rates again. Currently, GBPJPY is trading in the 207–210 range; concerns regarding the Japanese Ministry of Finance's vigilance over rapid Yen depreciation could trigger profit-taking at any moment. Today, the UK market will focus on the September Services PMI and Composite PMI. Preliminary "flash" data indicated a Services PMI of 51.7, so a stronger final figure could provide a boost to the GBP. For Japan, attention now shifts to the 10-year JGB auction on October 6. The yield at the previous auction reached 2.995%, so the outcome of the upcoming auction could influence expectations regarding the JPY and the BoJ. From a technical perspective, GBPJPY is trading below the 200-day EMA, with the RSI at the 42 level. The projected price range for GBPJPY is 208.000–210.000. Immediate support is around 208.20, with the next target at 207.50. Immediate resistance is around 209.400, with the next target at 210.000. This forecast could be wrong.

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Спасибо за бонус 0xf33ce1e85c262a2c8be + 0.2 USDT - Oct-04-2026 18:34:27 0x6a3e4c294f284016711027ef53834556f13d4ac9637d9f0d26b6dcee653ad62a Викторина

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Спасибо за бонус! 0x4C0ec75B56e1974************************* 0.15 USDT - Oct-04-2026 03:34:27 PM +UTC 0x6a3e4c294f284016711027ef53834556f13d4ac9637d9f0d26b6dcee653ad62a

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Спасибо за баунти 1.14 USDT - 2026-10-03 17:50:50 *ac4a3440 0x230204efe1e5c4ccb4f20bff1dad9ccb2f468f5484d35f360943bad80a57b670

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