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USD CAD H4 Chart Strong Resistance Breakdown Possible The USD/CAD, often referred to as the "Loonie," is a highly liquid currency pair reflecting the economic dynamics between the United States and Canada. As the market anticipates today's fundamental news, key events include the release of the New York Manufacturing Index and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, both expected to lend strength to USD if outcomes are hawkish. Conversely, Canada awaits significant CPI data and housing starts, which could influence CAD strength positively if actual results surpass forecasts. These events make USD/CAD pivotal for forex traders assessing daily price action based on robust technical and fundamental analysis. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the USD/CAD H4 chart, the market has begun a sharp bearish momentum marked by significant downward movements with brief bullish corrections. Currently, the price action indicates a minor bullish correction phase, yet the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.38442 appears distant given the recent shallow corrective patterns. The bearish force seems robust enough to challenge and potentially break the longstanding historical support zone at around 1.37500. Technical indicators support bearish momentum: the Stochastic indicator stands at 22.26 and 16.13, signaling an oversold market nearing bearish exhaustion but still without confirmed bullish signals. Similarly, the RSI at 33.17 indicates strong selling pressure. The Ichimoku Cloud, spanning levels from 1.37727 to 1.39491, reinforces bearish sentiment as prices remain decisively below the cloud. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

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NZD/CAD Forecast: Economic Releases Could Deepen Bearish Momentum Introduction to NZDCAD The NZD/CAD currency pair, commonly referred to as the "Kiwi-Loonie," represents the exchange rate between the New Zealand dollar (Kiwi) and the Canadian dollar (Loonie). Traders and investors frequently follow NZD/CAD to assess economic health comparisons between New Zealand and Canada, two commodity-driven economies. The pair often moves with global commodity trends, particularly in agriculture and energy markets, influencing its volatility. NZD CAD Market Overview The NZD-CAD pair currently exhibits a bearish sentiment amid recent Canadian economic releases. Canadian housing starts and multiple CPI measurements, which significantly affect currency valuation, are expected soon. Strong housing starts and higher-than-expected CPI figures generally strengthen the Canadian dollar. The upcoming release of Canada’s CPI data on January 19, 2026, will be critical, as inflation indicators strongly influence central bank rate decisions. Conversely, the next BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index for New Zealand, due on January 26, 2026, will also impact the pair, with numbers above 50.0 indicating economic expansion and potentially providing some support for NZD. NZD/CAD Technical Analysis The daily chart for NZD CAD demonstrates long-term bearish sentiment, clearly reflected in a bearish price channel formation. Candlesticks currently gravitate towards the channel's mid-band, suggesting persistent selling pressure aiming for the lower channel boundary. The Moving Average Channel currently resides above the candles, reinforcing the bearish trend. The Aroon indicator at 57.14% bullish and 0.00% bearish indicates recent upward moves have limited strength, further supported by the Chaikin oscillator at -23.369K, confirming underlying selling momentum. Final words about NZD vs CAD Given the prevailing bearish technical structure and anticipated positive Canadian economic indicators, the NZD/CAD pair appears likely to maintain its downward trajectory. Traders should closely monitor Canadian CPI and housing data releases, along with New Zealand's upcoming services sector performance index, for clearer trading signals. The bearish channel's lower boundary could serve as the immediate downside target. Effective risk management is crucial, given the pair's susceptibility to rapid changes in commodity markets and economic data-driven volatility. Disclaimer: This NZDCAD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions. 12.15.2025

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EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 12.15.2025 Time Zone: GMT +2 Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4) Fundamental Analysis: Today's fundamental outlook for the EURUSD pair highlights critical economic data releases from both the Eurozone and the United States. Euro traders will closely monitor the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), which signals potential consumer inflation trends, as well as the Eurozone Industrial Output, reflecting economic health across manufacturing and utilities sectors. For the USD, market attention is on the New York Manufacturing Index, speeches by Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran and New York Fed President John Williams, and the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. These events collectively might induce significant volatility in the EURUSD pair, influencing its near-term direction. Price Action: Analyzing EURUSD on the H4 timeframe, recent price action shows a bullish channel formation. After a short bearish pullback, EURUSD managed to break out above the bullish channel. However, bearish momentum is now guiding prices back towards the channel’s upper boundary. Should the price action continue this retracement, traders could eye the previous key high at 1.16771 as the next significant support target. Key Technical Indicators: Parabolic SAR: Dots positioned above the current candlesticks highlight a bearish sentiment in the short term. Traders should watch for continuation signs or potential reversals indicating renewed bullish strength. William’s %R (14): Currently at -21.93, this indicator signals near-overbought conditions, which implies potential corrective bearish movements might continue if buying momentum weakens further. MACD (12, 26, 9): With MACD reading at 0.002516 and signal at 0.002509, the narrow difference suggests declining bullish momentum, warning of possible trend exhaustion and upcoming bearish crossover signals. Support and Resistance: Support: Immediate support is found at 1.16771, marking a significant previous high and potential target for bearish corrections. Resistance: The nearest resistance is the recent high near 1.17580, where bullish momentum recently encountered selling pressure. Conclusion and Consideration: The EURUSD pair's technical and fundamental analysis for the H4 timeframe indicates a cautious bullish bias amidst decreasing upward momentum. With significant fundamental events approaching, traders should remain vigilant for potential market volatility. Carefully monitoring the outlined support and resistance levels and technical indicators such as Parabolic SAR, Williams %R, and MACD will provide strategic insight for informed trading decisions. Disclaimer: The analysis provided for EUR/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on EURUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential. FXGlory 12.15.2025

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USD/CAD is under bearish pressure due to divergent monetary policies and US dollar weakness. The Canadian dollar, a commodity currency, tends to strengthen amid divergent monetary policies and US dollar weakness. On Friday, the USD/CAD pair drew a small-bodied bearish candle with a shadow at the top of the candle. The price formed a high of 1.37946, a low of 1.37534, and a close of 1.37626. The Bank of Canada appears to be maintaining a cautious stance, stating that interest rates should remain at their current level in the short term. The BoC held the interest rate 25 basis points (bps) at 2.25%, indicating it is likely to wait for evidence of declining inflation. Meanwhile, the Fed recently cut its interest rate by 25 bps on December 10th to 3.50%-3.75%, meaning the USD/CAD interest rate spread is narrowing and could potentially weaken the USD. However, the Fed remains cautious, as the market is still weighing the prospect of further cuts. As a commodity currency, the CAD is also influenced by oil price performance, as Canada relies heavily on oil exports. WTI oil prices are currently around $57 per barrel, relatively stable but down from their peak. The weakening oil price is reducing support for the CAD. The key economic data that traders are focusing on this week is the Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI), which will be released today, and has the potential to be a catalyst for the Canadian dollar. If the data is stronger than expected, the CAD could strengthen. The differential between the Fed and the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rates following the Fed's rate cut remains favorable for the USD, with the Fed funds holding a larger portion than the BoC. Therefore, there is no expectation of dramatic CAD strengthening unless the BoC raises rates or Canadian data is particularly strong. The US dollar remains under pressure due to weaker-than-expected US employment and growth data. Risk-on sentiment in global markets also often reduces the USD's appeal as a safe-haven currency. The CAD, a risk-sensitive commodity currency, is supported. However, if signs of we economic weakness accompany the cut, the USD as a safe-haven currency may remain strong through volatility in safe-haven flows, a situation currently neutral. The US dollar index is currently below 100. The DXY reached its lowest level since November at 98.134 from a high of 100.395. The US dollar index is often used as a benchmark to measure the performance of the USD against six other major currencies. The forecast price range for USDCAD is: key support is around 1.37500 - 1.37000, and key resistance is around 1.38000 - 1.39000. If USD weakness persists and market sentiment continues to digest policy differences, USDCAD could retest and potentially break through the 1.37500 support level and move towards 1.37000. If the USD finds technical support and unexpectedly stronger-than-expected US data arrives, it could push the price back towards 1.38000-1.38700.

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