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The RSI is a highly popular momentum indicator among traders. It is primarily used to assess whether a price trend has reached overbought or oversold territory, potentially signaling a reversal. However, the RSI must be used judiciously; reaching overbought or oversold levels does not guarantee an imminent correction. Instead, the trend may continue, meaning the risk of false signals remains.

USD/JPY is consolidating strongly near the psychological high of 162.53. Price action for the safe-haven USD/JPY pair shows a trend of strong consolidation near the psychological peak around 162.50. The market appears wary of potential intervention by the Japanese government at this psychological level, which is preventing a rally beyond it. USD/JPY currently stands at 162.602 on the FXOpen chart, forming a symmetrical triangle near multi-decade highs. Overall, the long-term bullish trend in USD/JPY continues to be driven by the widening interest rate differential between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Recent US economic data demonstrates solid macroeconomic resilience, limiting market expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Fed. This "higher-for-longer" stance from the Fed keeps US bond yields elevated, driving capital flows out of the Yen and into the USD. Despite periodic speculation regarding monetary policy normalization and rate hikes by the BoJ, their pace remains very slow. The market's appetite for carry trades—borrowing low-interest JPY to purchase high-interest USD—maintains massive selling pressure on the Yen. With the USD/JPY pair currently trading above the 162.00 level, the USD is in a "red zone" that risks triggering verbal or actual intervention by Japanese authorities. Traders should remain alert to potential sudden drops driven by liquidity intervention from Japanese monetary authorities. Today's economic calendar is relatively quiet regarding high-impact data releases for both the US and Japan. US market focus this evening is limited to minor data points, such as the CB Leading Index (MoM). Price movements will likely be driven by technical flows and global market sentiment. Geopolitical risks remain a key market focus. Escalating tensions involving the US and Iran are prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets. This uncertainty could trigger sudden volatility in USD/JPY movements, particularly if the market reacts to a surge in oil prices or if there is unexpected intervention by global monetary authorities. Technically, USD/JPY is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, having held steady around the 162.53 level over the past 24 hours. The projected fair value range is 161.35–163.20. Immediate support lies near 161.80, with the next target at 161.35. Immediate resistance is around 162.85, with the next target at 163.20. This forecast could be wrong.

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Gold has pulled back as stronger inflation concerns and expectations of higher interest rates have supported the US dollar, reducing demand for non-yielding assets in the short term. That said, central banks continue adding to their gold reserves, suggesting long-term confidence in the metal remains intact despite recent volatility. For me, this looks like a market to watch rather than chase. If rate expectations ease, gold could regain momentum, but for now I'm staying patient and letting price action lead the way.

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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may rise, but it needs more support Bitcoin (BTCUSD) climbed to 64,772 USD. The market is keeping a close eye on external developments and the US bill to create reserves. Technical outlook On the hourly chart, Bitcoin is recovering after falling to the 62,400–62,800 area and is now trading around 64,770. The price is holding above the middle Bollinger Band and is again approaching the upper boundary of the indicator, signalling continued local demand. The Bitcoin price is attempting to rise, but consolidation remains the baseline scenario. Read more - BTCUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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DE 40 forecast: the index is testing the support level During the correction, the DE 40 stock index began to test the support level, which could lead to a trend reversal. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive. DE 40 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: Germany’s CPI rose by 2.3% year-on-year in June Market impact: the data creates a moderately positive backdrop for the German stock market Fundamental analysis The German inflation data release has a moderately positive, but limited, impact on the DE 40 index. The annual Consumer Price Index slowed from 2.6% to 2.3% in June, while prices fell by 0.3% month-on-month. For the DE 40, this could result in growing interest in stocks of companies focused on domestic consumption, industry, and capital expenditure. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team