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Fundamentally, when traders place orders in the forex market, they all hope to close them at a profit. However, expectations do not always align with reality. When this happens, it often affects the trader's emotions and mindset. While losses are indeed part of trading, they can be minimized through strict risk management established right from the start of the investment. Do not use borrowed funds.

WTI oil prices extend gains amid supply disruption concerns XTI/USD price action shows a bullish trend accompanied by rising volatility. WTI oil is currently trading around the $82.15 level on the FXOpen chart, extending gains for a fourth consecutive day after hitting a low of 73.81 on August 5. Market sentiment is dominated by uncertainty regarding global energy distribution routes in the Middle East, particularly issues surrounding tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Concerns over potential supply disruptions are providing strong upward momentum for oil prices. In its latest report, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) raised its forecast for the average WTI price in 2026 to $80.88 per barrel, up from the previous estimate of $76.26. This establishes a bullish foundation for the medium term. Monthly reports from the IEA and OPEC are due for release today. The OPEC report reflects caution regarding adjustments to global oil demand growth, though this is balanced by production limits or adjustments from OPEC+ members. Today's release of U.S. core CPI data—expected at 2.5% year-over-year—could directly impact the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD's performance against six major currencies. A strengthening USD could weigh on oil prices, as USD-denominated commodities become more expensive for holders of other currencies; conversely, a weaker USD would provide a boost to oil prices. A key fundamental factor for traders today is the upcoming U.S. crude oil inventory data. The consensus forecast predicts a 1.3 million barrel decline in stocks. Additionally, U.S. inflation data will influence perspectives on Federal Reserve interest rate expectations; looser economic policy tends to support economic growth and fuel demand. Traders are also monitoring for any sudden news regarding the Strait of Hormuz or an escalation in conflict, as such events could trigger an immediate spike in volatility. From a technical perspective, the oil price is trading above the 50-day EMA, indicating an upward trend. The projected fair price range for WTI oil today is between $77.00 and $84.00. Immediate support is around $80.00, with the next target near $78.50. Immediate resistance is around $82.80, with the next target in the $83.50 range. This forecast could be wrong.

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