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BTC USD Trading Analysis Based on RSI and Bollinger Bands BTC/USD, commonly known as "Bitcoin," is one of the most influential cryptocurrency pairs traded in forex markets, often referred to as "Digital Gold." Today, traders should closely monitor key economic data from the United States, including initial jobless claims, factory orders, and speeches from FOMC members Austan Goolsbee and Lorie Logan. Hawkish comments from these Federal Reserve representatives, signaling tighter monetary policies or fewer-than-expected jobless claims, would likely strengthen the USD, applying downward pressure on the BTC/USD pair. Conversely, weaker-than-forecasted economic indicators might prompt traders to seek refuge in Bitcoin, thus positively impacting BTC/USD prices. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Technically analyzing the BTC/USD H4 chart, after a sharp bullish trend, the candles have transitioned into a range-bound market and, having reached the upper Bollinger Band (150), we could anticipate a retracement toward the midline of the band. Currently, the RSI (14) indicator is hovering around the 72.32 level, suggesting an overbought scenario that aligns with a possible short-term decline. Similarly, the Williams %R indicator is at -12.14, further supporting the likelihood of downward price movement. Although a breakout from the range market is unlikely at this point, if bullish momentum resumes, the BTC/USD pair could aim for Fibonacci extension levels at either 0.236 or 0.382. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

GBP/JPY extends decline amid rumors of hawkish BoJ stance The cross pair of GBP/JPY drew a bearish candle on October 1, extending the decline from the previous two days. The pair drew three consecutive bearish candles amidst pressure from the BoJ to raise interest rates. GBP/JPY formed a high of 199.213, a low of 197.905, and a close of 198.112 on FXOpen's platform. This decline widened the upper and lower bands, reflecting increased market volatility. Pressure for a rate hike by the BoJ is increasing. Normally dovish BoJ members are now stating that a rate hike is increasingly necessary. Additionally, at the last meeting, there was an internal debate about a potential hike, although the policy rate currently remains at 0.5%. These rumors appear to have supported the yen's strength, as rising interest rates support the Japanese Yen. Japanese economic data, in the Tankan survey, showed optimism among manufacturers rose to +14, the highest level since 2024. This positive sentiment supports expectations of a Japanese interest rate hike, potentially strengthening the yen. In the UK, there is pressure on the UK economy from fiscal concerns and moderate growth prospects, as the Bank of England (BoE) has signaled caution regarding stimulus or interest rate cuts. Weak UK economic data or market doubts about the growth outlook could put pressure on the GBP. Alternatively, if the interest differential between the UK and Japan narrows or reverses, the yen may become more attractive to investors. This capital inflow could shift to higher-yielding assets in Japan, putting pressure on GBP/JPY. On the other hand, the Japanese yen is still considered a safe-haven currency during global market turmoil. A US government shutdown could trigger investors to seek other perceived safe havens, such as the JPY and CHF. Overall, the divergence bias between Japanese and UK fundamentals tends to favor potential GBPJPY weakness, or at least stronger downside pressure than upside. Increasingly hawkish pressure from the Bank of Japan and relatively strong Japanese data are risk factors for GBPJPY. On the other hand, the UK hasn't shown strong fundamentals to drive significant GBP appreciation. The medium-term projection predicts a range for October's movement between a high of 202,000 and a low of 194,000. If GBPJPY can break through the resistance at 201,200 with strong volume, there is room for an increase to around 202,000. A breakout of the support at 197.9 could open the door to a move to 195,000. Today's fundamental news focus is on US jobless claims. While not directly related, the strength or weakness can impact other currencies.

This October feels different. On one side, the SEC is reviewing 16 crypto ETF applications, and on the other, Bitcoin is climbing steadily into new highs. The market energy is hard to ignore. Instead of only watching from the sidelines, I decided to take part in something new. I joined the OpenEden ($EDEN) listing carnival on BingX, $60K in rewards available through simple deposit and trade tasks. Even my very first futures trade unlocked a voucher, which gave me a sense of starting small but steady. It makes me wonder,while everyone’s eyes are fixed on ETFs and BTC’s momentum, could quieter moves like new listings end up shaping Q4 in their own way?

The crypto ecosystem is constantly shifting, with new projects reshaping how value flows across markets. OpenEden ($EDEN) now takes the spotlight on BingX through a listing carnival packed with $60,000 in rewards from Sept 30 to Oct 7. Listings like these aren’t just about speculation,they represent the entry point for a project’s story, a chance to see how the market embraces a fresh token backed by community and vision. For many investors, early momentum is a key driver of opportunity, and EDEN’s first days could shape its path forward. The exchange provides not only the platform but also the incentive for traders to engage directly with It's growth, giving both short-term players and long-term believers a chance to participate. So, how do you approach it, jump in early to ride the first wave, or wait to see how the dust settles?

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‎Incentives are becoming a key strategy as exchanges compete for new traders. A current example is the launch of a 50% Cashback Event aimed at first time spot traders. The offer runs from September 30 to October 13, 2025, allowing eligible participants to earn up to 100 USDT back on their highest qualifying purchase, provided they maintain at least 50 USDT in assets by the end. Rewards are given as bonus vouchers, instantly usable to reduce costs or offset losses. ‎The significance of this type of promotion lies in its ability to reduce the risk barrier for market entry. By rewarding initial trades, it encourages new participants to test strategies in a volatile environment where hesitation often keeps fresh liquidity sidelined. This approach doesn’t just add short term volume; it fosters early engagement, which can shape longer term trading behavior. ‎The initiative comes from BingX, which has allocated a $50,000 prize pool to power the program. Whether such cashback incentives can truly translate into lasting adoption depends on how users respond after the bonus fades. In your view, can promotions like this influence sustained trading activity, or do fundamentals and token performance still dominate investor decisions?

‎Hivello HVLO, a DePIN aggregator that lets users monetize idle computing power through AI optimization, has entered a consolidation phase following its recent listing. After an initial pullback, the token is now trading in a narrow range with support holding near recent lows and resistance forming just above. Price stability suggests low volatility and cautious sentiment as traders wait for clearer direction. ‎The main catalyst is the Listing Carnival on BingX, running from September 30 to October 10, 2025, with 60M HVLO in rewards for deposits and trading. This event is driving liquidity and short term attention, but the real test is whether HVLO can maintain momentum once the incentives fade. ‎Do you think HVLO is setting up for long term accumulation? ‎

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