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Date: 18th August 2025. Week Ahead: Smoke Signals from Jackson Hol. It is Jackson Hole time again, with the central banker symposium taking place from August 21–23, 2025. The theme, "Labour Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy," is highly relevant as policymakers face shifting global dynamics in the age of Trump tariffs. Investors will be watching closely for Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, which could provide hints on whether the Federal Reserve is leaning toward a September rate cut. The July U.S. jobs report showed a surprise weakening in employment, fueling speculation about easier policy. At the same time, a hot PPI reading raised concerns that tariff-driven inflationary pressures may be starting to filter into the economy. We do not expect Powell to provide clear signals, but his tone will be crucial. Globally, most core central banks are cautiously easing policy to offset growth risks, though persistent inflation continues to complicate decisions. North America: Powell in the Spotlight The Jackson Hole symposium will dominate market sentiment this week, with Powell facing the delicate task of balancing labour market weakness with emerging inflation risks. At his July press conference, Powell highlighted inflation concerns over unemployment. However, the July payrolls report shocked markets with a sharp slowdown in hiring, raising the question of whether this is a temporary setback or the start of a more troubling trend. With producer price inflation rising, tariffs appear to be filtering into price measures, complicating the Fed’s mandate. Powell is likely to adopt a cautious stance, warning of both employment risks and inflation risks, while avoiding any suggestion of political pressure from the White House. His “smoke signals” may be deliberately vague, stressing the importance of incoming data before any firm decisions are made. While Jackson Hole will overshadow the US economic calendar, a series of housing reports will provide additional insights. Housing starts and building permits for July are expected to show further weakness, hovering near multi-year lows. Existing home sales are projected to edge higher but remain well below last December’s pace, while the median sales price will likely post a seasonal decline from June’s record level. The leading economic index is expected to remain at its nine-year low, underscoring broader economic fragility. Alongside Powell, a number of Fed officials will also be speaking this week, including Governor Bowman, Governor Waller, and Atlanta Fed President Bostic, while the release of the FOMC minutes will provide additional context on the central bank’s current thinking. In Canada, attention turns to inflation and retail sales after the Bank of Canada kept rates unchanged at 2.75% in July. While the weak July jobs report raised speculation of a rate cut in September, stronger-than-expected retail sales and persistently firm core inflation suggest Governor Macklem may hesitate to ease further. Inflation has been running above target, with median and trim rates holding near 3%, adding weight to the case for holding policy steady at the September 17 decision. Europe: PMIs and Inflation in Focus In the Eurozone, geopolitics and trade continue to dominate sentiment. Preliminary PMI reports are due and are expected to confirm a sluggish growth outlook. Manufacturing activity is likely to slip further into contraction territory, while the services sector may see only a marginal slowdown. The composite PMI is projected to show very weak but ongoing growth. Meanwhile, the second estimate of German Q2 GDP should confirm a small contraction, reflecting weaker external demand after prior quarters were boosted by efforts to front-run tariffs. Inflation pressures in the region appear to be moderating. Eurozone CPI is expected to remain at 2.0% year-over-year, with core CPI at 2.3%. Even Bundesbank President Nagel has signaled less concern over inflation, particularly as German PPI has turned negative. Still, this does not imply additional rate cuts, as policymakers remain cautious about pushing rates below neutral. In the United Kingdom, stronger growth has reinforced the Bank of England’s cautious stance. July CPI is expected at 3.8% year-over-year, keeping inflation well above target. This reading will likely support hawkish voices within the BoE, even as growth prospects remain mixed. PMI data should show manufacturing still contracting, though with a slight improvement, while services remain steady. Retail sales growth likely slowed in July after a strong June, while public finance data may raise further concerns about the need for tax increases in the autumn budget. Asia: Central Banks and Signs of a China Slowdown In New Zealand, the Reserve Bank is expected to resume cutting rates, trimming by 25 basis points to 3.00%. The decision follows weak jobs data, a rise in unemployment, and softer inflation expectations, all of which support further easing. By contrast, Bank Indonesia is expected to leave rates unchanged at 5.25% after its surprise July cut, as policymakers remain cautious about currency stability. In China, commercial banks are set to announce loan prime rates, but no changes are expected after the PBoC held policy steady. However, liquidity injections have increased sharply this year, targeting key sectors such as technology, green development, and the digital economy. Despite these efforts, economic data continues to weaken. Industrial activity slowed to its weakest pace since November, retail sales growth cooled, and both new and existing home prices fell again. The combination of a property sector slump and the drag from tariffs has added further strain on domestic growth. Japan will release CPI, trade data, the tertiary index, and PMI surveys. While GDP growth has strengthened in recent quarters, tariff-related headwinds are evident in weaker exports. CPI remains above 3%, keeping the Bank of Japan inclined toward gradual tightening, though action at the upcoming September policy meeting appears unlikely given global uncertainties. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. 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Bitcoin Tests Key Support at $115K FenzoFx—Bitcoin's downtrend extended to $115,000, filling the bullish fair value gap now acting as support. The current price equals 25.0% of the previous bullish leg. If BTC closes and stabilizes below $115,000.0, the downtrend may deepen toward the $112,000.0 support order block. Conversely, a close above $117,445.0 would invalidate the bearish outlook. This level marks the last bearish candlestick pattern and a break of structure. If confirmed, BTC/USD could recover recent losses, targeting resistance at $119,339.0.

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The crypto ecosystem has matured far beyond speculation, with projects like PublicAI ($PUBLIC) showing how blockchain can fuel practical innovation. By turning human expertise into high-quality AI training data, $PUBLIC offers a clear use case that goes beyond charts. There's a 1000 $PUBLIC Airdrop on BingX highlights this momentum, giving traders opportunities to earn through deposits, trades, and community contributions. With early-bird perks, lucky draws, and rewards for top annotators, the event creates multiple pathways to benefit from the project’s rise. As crypto continues to reward early movers,Will you position yourself at the front of PublicAI’s growth, or step aside while others seize the chance?

EURJPY Trend, Momentum, and Trade Ideas Today Introduction to EUR/JPY The EURJPY pair (Euro vs Japanese Yen), often called “Euro-Yen” or referenced by its ticker EURJPY, is a widely followed FX cross that blends Eurozone macro dynamics with Japanese safe-haven flows. This currency pair is a popular barometer for global risk sentiment because it links the euro — sensitive to European growth and ECB policy — with the yen, which reacts strongly to risk aversion and BoJ policy shifts. Traders use EUR/JPY for directional plays, carry trades and macro hedges across emerging risk cycles. Daily monitoring of EUR/JPY technicals and macro releases is essential for precision entry and risk management in forex trading. EURJPY Market Overview On the daily chart EUR JPY is in a clear uptrend, with price making higher highs and higher lows as global risk appetite has supported cyclicals and the euro. Over the past two days the pair attempted a breakout toward the previous high near ~175.5 but the first attempt failed and pulled back briefly; however, buying pressure has returned and the market is attempting another run at that key resistance. From a macro perspective, the near-term news calendar for EUR/JPY is light but important: Eurostat’s trade balance (seasonally adjusted) can be currency-positive if ‘Actual’ prints above Forecast, while Japan’s METI business services spending is a leading indicator for corporate activity and JPY strength if it surprises to the upside. Because both releases tend to have muted-to-moderate impact, traders are watching risk sentiment, yield differentials and any ECB/BoJ comments that could amplify moves. Overall, the combination of improving momentum and a string of higher closes suggests bulls retain control in the short term, but a confirmed daily close above 175.5 is needed to validate the next leg higher. EUR-JPY Technical Analysis On the daily timeframe EUR/JPY remains bullish and is currently challenging a multi-month resistance area: the prior swing high around 175.5 is the immediate obstacle for trend continuation. The chart also shows Fibonacci retracement zones from the last major swing, with 0.236 at ~161.16 and 0.382 at ~152.26 that acted as prior consolidation/support areas; price has cleared those zones and is trading well above them, confirming the medium-term uptrend. Momentum readings are supportive: the momentum oscillator sits at 2.337 (strengthening from the first breakout attempt) and the RSI is 57.54, indicating bullish bias but not yet overbought — giving room for more upside before typical RSI overbought thresholds. A rising dashed trendline underpins recent price action, and immediate support levels to watch are the psychological 170.00 area and the trendline confluence; failure below these could open a retest of the 161.16 Fibonacci level. Traders should look for a decisive daily close above 175.5 with expanding momentum as a breakout signal — alternatively, rejection there with bearish divergence or a close back below 170 would increase the odds of a deeper pullback into the Fib zone. Final words about EUR vs JPY EURJPY’s daily picture favors the bulls, but the pair is at a technical crossroads where a confirmed breakout or a clear rejection will define the next directional opportunity. If EUR/JPY closes convincingly above 175.5 with continued momentum and RSI staying elevated, the next targets are the 178.00–180.00 area and then extension toward higher round levels; traders can consider trend-following entries on breakout retests with stops beneath the breakout candles. Conversely, failure at resistance or signs of momentum fading would warrant caution and could lead to a decline toward 170 and the 161.16 Fibonacci support, where buyers previously stepped in. Keep a close eye on Eurostat trade balance and METI services-spending releases for short-term volatility, plus any ECB/BoJ commentary or global risk events that can quickly flip yen flows. As always, combine technical confirmation with disciplined risk management — position size, stop placement, and a clear plan are essential when trading EUR/JPY on the daily chart. Disclaimer: This EURJPY analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions. 08.18.2025

Hey guys, Whitescale here I want to share a method that made me over $3,000 in a 3 days. When using https://swapzone.io (a crypto exchange aggregator) to swap Bitcoin into another cryptocurrency, there's a way to boost your payout by around 37% due to a miscalculation on one of their partner exchange offers - ChangeNOW. For example, swapping $2000 worth of BTC can return $2740 worth of any other coin, instantly locking in a ~$740 profit. The trick is to force Swapzone to route the ChangeNOW offer through their older backend node (version 1.9), which is still connected to the aggregator but no longer used on ChangeNOW's main website. This older node calculates BTC to ANY conversion using an outdated formula that inflates the payout. Full instructions for loading the node are here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Y8BdJ0anbSdNVSbqFb7evKPYYSstO7yLwJW_6Rsfmnw/edit?usp=sharing Tips: After each transaction wait at least 2 hours before starting the next one because of AML policy. If you do it more frequently they could keep your funds until you verify your identity. If you wait 2 hours it will not happen.

BTC has surged to nearly $124,000, and some analysts suggest it’s entering week seven of its current uptrend. Historically, this stage often precedes a correction, and BTC hovering near $117,000 hints at a potential price adjustment ahead. In parallel, BingX is hosting a 1000 $PUBLIC airdrop from August 15–20, rewarding users who trade at least $100 in $PUBLIC and submit their UID. Early participants, lucky draw winners, and top contributors stand to claim additional rewards, offering an engaging way to stay active during this market phase.

BTCUSD Chart Key Levels and Price Action Bitcoin (BTC), often nicknamed “digital gold”, is the most traded cryptocurrency against the US Dollar (USD) and remains a major focus for both retail and institutional traders. Today, upcoming USD news from the NAHB Housing Market Index could influence BTC/USD sentiment, as stronger-than-expected home builder confidence often strengthens the USD and may put short-term pressure on BTC/USD. Investors should watch for this monthly release, as it signals economic health in the US housing sector and can impact crypto-to-fiat price action, especially during periods of high volatility and retracement from all-time highs. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. On the H4 chart, BTC/USD recently corrected after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) near $124,500. The long-term bullish trend line has acted as dynamic support near the lower Bollinger Band (~$116,000), aligning closely with the horizontal support at $116,934. Following this, the price has started a rebound toward the middle Bollinger Band and is forming a fresh green candle. Immediate resistance is observed around $119,259–$120,000, which has historically acted as a strong reversal zone. The Williams %R at -85.17 shows oversold conditions with a slight corrective move toward -80, indicating potential upward momentum. Overall, BTC/USD shows a bullish retracement within a long-term uptrend, with key levels to watch for breakout or reversal near $120,000 and $124,500. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore

Bitcoin price stabilizes around $117k, with upside potential still present We witnessed a correction in the BTCUSD price after reaching a new all-time high above $124k. The price then fell to around $117k. This stable price movement within a narrow range occurred for four consecutive days, with movement near the middle band line. Fundamentally, Bitcoin is currently in an interesting phase, with several key factors likely influencing its movement. Market sentiment and institutional adoption remain the main drivers of Bitcoin price movements. Currently, the crypto market generally shows neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. The Fear and Greed Index is at 59, indicating the market is not experiencing excessive euphoria or panic. This is a healthy signal, as inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs remain consistent, indicating continued interest from institutional investors. Bitcoin recently experienced a correction following a disappointing US PPI report. This demonstrates that, despite its role as an independent asset, Bitcoin is still influenced by US macroeconomic data. Movements in the Fed's interest rate and the US dollar exchange rate remain important factors influencing Bitcoin's price movements. Meanwhile, miner activity in August 2025 will influence BTC price movements due to the balance between miner sales and institutional inflows. If miners continue to sell BTC to cover operational costs, this could create selling pressure. However, if institutional demand is stronger, the potential for Bitcoin price increases remains open. Overall, the long-term fundamental sentiment for BTCUSD remains positive, with some analysts predicting BTC could reach $150,000, even after hitting a record high above $124,000 in August. Technically, the BTCUSD price movement is showing signs of consolidation, hovering around $117k-$118k, with support at $111k-$112k. Stronger support is around $108k.