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USD/JPY gapped at the opening market. On Friday, the US dollar and Japanese yen currency pair formed a long bearish candle with a wick below the candle. The price formed a high of 148.515, a low of 146.818, and a close of 147.387 on FXOpen's trading platform. Today, Monday, September 8, 2025, the USD/JPY open price is well above Friday's closing price, with the USD/JPY opening at 148.077. Factors influencing market sentiment include recent data, which indicates weak US employment. The latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed job gains that fell short of market expectations. This figure reinforces the signal that the US labor market is slowing. Market implications of weaker-than-expected data will increase speculation that the Fed will cut its benchmark interest rate soon, at its September meeting. Lower interest rates are less attractive to investors for the USD and support the strengthening of the JPY. Inflation data due this week will be a major focus. While concerns about inflation persist, the market appears to be more influenced by signs of economic slowdown, as evidenced by employment data. If inflation data shows a decline, or at least no significant increase, this would further confirm speculation about a Fed interest rate cut and potentially put further pressure on the USD. The slight correction on Wall Street suggests investors are weighing economic concerns against optimism about a rate cut. The weakening of the US dollar against major currencies, including the Japanese yen, reflects this shift in sentiment. The Japanese yen is traditionally considered a safe-haven currency. Amid concerns about global fiscal instability and a US economic slowdown, investors tend to shift to safer assets, including the Japanese yen. Increased demand for the yen as a safe-haven has boosted the currency, particularly against the depressed US dollar. In Japan, despite political uncertainty surrounding the resignation of the ruling party, which could impact the Prime Minister, the market appears to have reacted less to this news. Market focus is more on global economic data and key monetary policies, compared to Japan's domestic political turmoil, which has not significantly affected current currency movements. The BoJ has previously indicated its intention to continue gradual monetary tightening. Recent statements from BoJ officials indicate that the central bank is monitoring economic growth and exchange rate movements. The BoJ's current policy pause and the possibility of further interest rate hikes in the future provide structural support for the yen. This contrasts with the Fed's expected rate cuts. Based on recent data, USD/JPY movement tends to be under pressure from the US dollar. The USD's weakening was driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut following disappointing employment data. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is supported by its status as a safe-haven currency amid global uncertainty and the BoJ's policy, which still signals future monetary tightening.

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