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Date: 15th August 2025. Producer Inflation Hits 2-Year High, Fed Still Seen Cutting. The US Producer Price Inflation rises to its highest level since April 2022 triggering a sudden decline in stocks. Consumer inflation previously came in lower than expected. Economists still expect a rate cut in September 2025, so investors re-entered at the lower price. Due to this the NASDAQ, Dow Jones and SNP500 are all trading higher. A big factor of the day's fundamental analysis will be the Russia-US talks in Alaska. NASDAQ Regains Losses But Trails Behind The NASDAQ has been the best performing US index of 2025 and the previous years. However, since the Producer Price Index, the NASDAQ is struggling. The NASDAQ is still trading higher than the decline triggered by yesterday’s PPI but weaker than the SNP500 and Dow Jones. Prior to the PPI announcement the NASDAQ’s performance in 2025 was trading 5% higher than the SNP500 and 10% higher than the Dow Jones. The NASDAQ is also exposed to markets outside of the technology sector. As a result, investors are opting to invest in the SNP500 and Dow Jones which are known to be less risky and have a lower possibility of being overbought. Nonetheless, all indices are being positively influenced by the Federal Reserve’s potential move to cut interest rates and today’s meeting between President Trump and President Putin. If the meeting bears fruit, the market sentiment is likely to continue rising. Currently, on Friday 15th, 44% of the most influential stocks are increasing in value, which is relatively low. However, Amazon, Microsoft and NVIDIA are trading higher, supporting the NASDAQ, Dow Jones and SNP500. Dow Jones and SNP500 Outperform The NASDAQ The Dow Jones is trading 0.76% higher and the SNP500 0.24%. The Dow Jones is performing particularly well as investors believe the index may be trading below its intrinsic value and due to its exposure to defensive stocks. The USA30 is now trading at an all-time high and higher than the resistance levels which can be seen from earlier in the year and 2024. However, the price will largely depend on the outcome of today’s meeting between President Putin and President Trump as well as the follow up meeting with Ukraine’s leader Zelensky. In addition to this, the release of NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings report will also be vital to all US indices. Lastly, Warren Buffet is known to have recently purchased stocks within the Dow Jones which have declined in 2025. Mr Buffet is known to purchase stocks which are trading below their true value. Dow Jones 30-Minutes Chart The US, Federal Reserve And Inflation Weekly labor market data showed Initial Jobless Claims at 224,000, slightly below forecasts and the prior reading, while Continuing Claims fell to 1.953 million. Despite the weekly improvement, the broader labor market remains under pressure according to economists. However, this is not necessarily being shown in the actual data. As of yet, the NFP reading is not triggering any alarm bells, but is known as a lagging indicator. July wholesale inflation surged, with PPI up 0.9% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, far above estimates. Core PPI matched the same gains. The data signal rising inflation risks and lessen chances of near-term Fed easing, though Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee still sees scope for policy softening this fall. Mr Goolsbee told journalists, the risks to employment is a particular concern for him. Key Takeaway Points: US Producer Price Inflation hits highest since April 2022, triggering a sudden stock market drop. NASDAQ underperforms SNP500 and Dow after PPI data despite strong 2025 gains. Dow Jones reaches all-time high on defensive stock exposure and perceived undervaluation. Rising PPI reduces odds of near-term Fed easing despite some officials still favoring policy softening. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. 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BNB is heating up again more people are moving in and the ecosystem just keeps expanding. But the biggest move lately? Bullish ($BLSH). It surged 83% on launch day, closed at $68, and is now sitting on nearly $9.9 billion in market cap. It’s the kind of launch that makes people ask: is this the next wave in crypto or just another case of market hype running wild? We’ve seen this kind of energy before but sometimes it turns into something real. If Bullish can back the hype with innovation and strong tokenomics, it might spark more than just short-term interest. People are chasing it now because no one wants to miss the next big thing. I’m in that boat too grabbed mine early and holding it on BingX to see where this one goes. #Bullish #BLSH #BingX
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Rewards are a great way to boost your portfolio, providing both excitement and a real opportunity to grow your crypto holdings. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just getting started, rewards allow you to earn free tokens just by engaging with a platform. The more active you are, the better your chances to grow your investment. BingX is bringing a golden opportunity for both new and experienced traders with its $200,000 Referral Bonanza event. Here’s how it works, when you refer a friend, you’ll earn 10 USDT in SOL airdrop rewards, along with 3 lucky draw entries for even bigger prizes. Plus, when your referred friend completes their first spot trade, you’ll receive 15 USDT in ETH airdrop rewards and an additional 2 lucky draw entries. And it doesn’t stop there. Every participant in the event is automatically entered for a chance to win 1 BTC in the Lucky Draw. The event runs from August 14, 2025, to August 30, 2025, offering plenty of chances to get in on the action. Don’t miss out on this chance to grow your portfolio and Invite your friends, trade, and start winning big today.
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Daily Market Analysis and Overview by Unitedpips
Unitedpips replied to Unitedpips's topic in Forex News & Analysis
BTCUSD Outlook: Breakout Retest Holds Above 110k Introduction to BTC/USD The BTCUSD pair tracks the value of Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD)—the world’s reserve currency. Often dubbed “digital gold” and the “king of crypto,” Bitcoin’s price in dollars remains the most watched benchmark in the digital‑asset market. Because the denominator is USD, shifts in US economic data and the dollar index frequently sway BTC/USD. This daily analysis (D1) blends price action, support and resistance, and indicator signals to frame today’s trading outlook. BTCUSD Market Overview On the daily time frame, BTC/USD continues to respect a rising (ascending) channel, keeping the broader structure bullish despite intermittent pullbacks. Over the last two sessions, buyers defended the breakout retest above the 110,000 zone and pushed price back toward the 118,000–120,000 psychological area. From the USD side, traders are focused on a dense run of US macro releases that tend to move the dollar—and by extension BTC/USD—via risk appetite and liquidity. The docket includes Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales (ex‑Autos) from the Census Bureau, Import Price Index (BLS), Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization (Federal Reserve), Empire State Manufacturing Index (NY Fed), Business Inventories (Census), and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & 1‑yr Inflation Expectations. As a rule of thumb, stronger‑than‑forecast US data tends to support USD and can cap BTC/USD, while softer prints usually weaken USD, lift risk assets, and can help the pair extend higher. The next notable dates cluster in mid‑September (UoM on Sep 12; NY Fed on Sep 15; Retail Sales, Import Prices, Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization, and Business Inventories on Sep 16), so positioning into those events may remain sensitive in the sessions ahead. BTCUSD Technical Analysis On the daily chart (D1), BTC/USD broke above 110,000, pulled back to retest that level, and is now bouncing from the lower boundary of a well‑defined ascending channel. Price is rotating toward the dashed median line of the channel, with immediate overhead supply layered near 118,500–120,000. Fibonacci expansion of the most recent impulse leg projects upside targets at ~133,000 (0.618) and ~148,900 (0.786) should momentum carry price through the midline and upper boundary. The Linear Regression Slope prints +346.13, confirming a positive trend bias and indicating that the path of least resistance remains higher while this reading stays elevated. The Momentum oscillator is near +4,295, signaling that bullish pressure is rebuilding after the retest; sustained readings above zero typically support trend continuation, though a flattening or rollover from here would warn of range development around the midline. Key support is stacked at the channel lower band and the 110,000–112,000 breakout shelf; a daily close below 110,000 would invalidate the bullish channel and expose deeper pullbacks toward prior swing zones. On strength, watch 120,000, then ~123,000–125,000 (intermediate resistance), before the Fibonacci targets at 133,000 and 148,900. Final words about BTC vs USD The BTC/USD daily outlook remains constructively bullish while price holds above 110,000 and inside the ascending channel. Bulls will look for follow‑through from the lower‑band reaction into the midline, and a firm daily close above 120,000 would strengthen the case for a run toward 133,000. Bears would need a decisive break back below 110,000 to shift control and put 100,000–105,000 back in view. Macro‑wise, upcoming US data could inject volatility—USD‑positive surprises may temporarily cap rallies, whereas USD‑negative outcomes could provide fuel for an extension toward the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci expansion levels. As always, align entries with the channel structure, respect psychological round numbers, and keep risk tight around invalidation levels on this BTC/USD daily analysis. Disclaimer: This BTCUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions. 08.15.2025