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Date: 25th August 2025. Fed Signals A September Rate Cut Still Possible! As the possibility of an interest rate cut was looking less likely, the Federal Reserve Chairman’s speech provides clarity on the matter. Towards the end of the Jackson Hole Symposium, it is tradition that the Fed Chairman delivers the closing address =. Mr Jerome Powell took this opportunity to advise markets that there is still a possibility for a rate cut in September, despite mixed views within the FOMC. Possibility of September Rate Cut The EURUSD rose to its highest price since July 28th after the speech by the Federal Reserve chairman. The price of the US Dollar had been consistently increasing during the previous week as traders became more cautious about a potential rate pause. A rate pause would be a hawkish surprise from the Federal Reserve and would largely support the US Dollar. According to economists, the probability of a September rate cut has now risen from 82% to 88%. In addition, economists suggest that two 0.25% rate cuts by the end of the year remain the most likely outcome. But why has the market’s perception of future rate cuts shifted since the Fed’s speech? Federal Reserve Speech By Jerome Powell Jerome Powell did not provide concrete signals that a September rate cut is certain. However, he clearly stated that if employment remains at risk, “a 0.25% rate cut could be warranted”. Even though Powell did not confirm a rate cut, the slightly dovish tone was enough to weaken the US Dollar and fuel a rebound in the stock market. Powell highlighted the unusual dynamics in the labor market, noting that both worker supply and demand are cooling, which increases risks to employment. At the same time, inflation remains slightly above the Fed’s 2% target, driven in part by tariff-related pressures. He underscored the difficulty of balancing these competing challenges. The July NFP Employment Change came in at only 73,000, the lowest reading since November 2024. In addition, the Unemployment Rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%. If the employment change again reads below 100,000 and unemployment stays at 4.2% or higher, the chances of a rate cut will become almost certain. The US Dollar The best-performing currency in today’s Asian session is the US Dollar. However, traders should note that the price action reflects only a retracement following Friday’s decline. Looking at the broader trend, the US Dollar index is 0.27% lower over the past week, even with today’s slight gains. Meanwhile, the Euro is the second-best performing currency of the past week but is showing mixed performances this morning. Germany’s Q2 GDP was revised down to –0.3% QoQ (vs. –0.1% forecast) and 0.2% YoY (vs. 0.4% expected). The decline reflects weaker US demand after pre-tariff stockpiling, raising doubts over Europe’s recovery this year and next. The Economy Ministry warned that existing support measures are insufficient, calling for new incentives to revive competitiveness and growth. EURUSD - Technical Analysis EURUSD 12-Hour Chart The EURUSD is forming a reversed Head and Shoulders pattern on a daily chart, which provides a bullish bias over the longer term and aligns with market expectations for two rate cuts in 2025. In addition, the price of the EURUSD is trading above the 75-bar EMA and the 100-bar EMA. The RSI is also comfortably trading above the 50.00, further supporting a bullish trend and buyers’ control. If the price of the EURUSD rises above 1.17119, bullish signals on smaller timeframes are likely to materialise again. Key Takeaways: Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole kept the door open for a possible September rate cut, but employment data and the NFP reading will be decisive. Odds of a September cut rose to 88%, fueling a rebound in stocks and pressuring the Dollar. Economists note that if the NFP report comes in below 100,000 again and unemployment holds at 4.2%, the likelihood of a rate cut will increase further. EURUSD shows a bullish bias, trading above key EMAs with RSI strength, supported by a potential reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Weakening of the ruble over the weekend: dollar, euro and yuan quotes The Russian ruble is losing ground against the US dollar, the eurozone and the Chinese yuan. According to the Central Bank of Russia, the official dollar exchange rate for August 24, 2025, was set at 80.7498 rubles (previously - 80.2548 rubles). The euro exchange rate was fixed at 93.6274 rubles (versus 93.5049 rubles the day before). The yuan is trading at 11.1982 rubles (previous value - 11.1562 rubles). Experts note that the cessation of exchange transactions entailed an adjustment of the Central Bank's methodology for determining the dollar and euro exchange rates. Currently, the regulator uses banking statistics and information from over-the-counter digital platforms. At the same time, trading in the yuan on the Moscow Exchange continues, which allows determining the official rate of the Chinese currency based on consolidated information from the exchange and over-the-counter segments of the currency market. Change comfortably with Ponybit.ru

USDCAD under pressure: dovish Fed and strong CAD weigh on USD US monetary policy easing supports the CAD. After completing its correction, the USDCAD pair may decline towards the 1.3770 support level. Discover more in our analysis for 25 August 2025. USDCAD technical analysis On the H4 chart, the USDCAD pair formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, the pair is building a corrective wave based on this signal. Since quotes remain within an ascending channel, a rebound towards the nearest resistance level at 1.3860 is possible. US fundamentals remain unfavourable for the USD. USDCAD technical analysis suggests a decline after the correction. Read more - USDCAD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

trending now: worldcoin is back in the headlines as people debate its future and the long term impact of identity and biometric-based blockchain projects bingx has launched a trading campaign for wefi (wfi), featuring a prize pool of 122000 usdt. the setup is pretty straightforward if you trade wfi during the campaign period, you’re automatically entered to win a portion of the prize. but the bigger story is what this could mean for wefi as a project. many tokens struggle to gain initial visibility. events like this not only reward traders but also help bring more people into the conversation around that token. wefi now has a chance to attract real traders and build interest where there was little before. i’m planning to watch this one closely and see if it picks up steam over the next few weeks. #crypto #bingx #wefi #wfitoken #altcoins #blockchain #tradingevents #marketawareness #usdt #cryptoinsights #newprojectlaunch

EURUSD poised for breakout: thanks to Powell and rate-cut expectations The EURUSD pair reached July highs near 1.1721, with market sentiment clearly risk-on. Find out more in our analysis for 25 August 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The EURUSD pair accelerated its rally after Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Markets now expect Fed monetary easing with more enthusiasm than before EURUSD forecast for 25 August 2025: 1.1800 Fundamental analysis At the start of the last week of August, the US dollar came under pressure, while the euro strengthened. The EURUSD pair climbed to 1.1728, marking its highest level since late July. Following Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, markets sharply revised their Fed rate expectations. The probability of a September cut now stands at 85%, compared with significantly lower odds earlier. By the end of the year, investors are pricing in 54 basis points of easing, up from 48 basis points a week ago. Investors remain focused on the labour market, which, according to Powell, is showing an unusual balance, with both demand for and supply of workers slowing. Employment will serve as the key indicator for future Fed decisions. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Many beginners wonder what is time frame in forex and why it matters. Simply put, a time frame shows how price moves over a specific period, like 1 minute, 1 hour, or 1 day. Choosing the right time frame can help traders spot trends, plan entries, and manage trades better. Read more here: https://www.inveslo.com/blog/forex/time-frames-in-forex-trading

When it comes to high-volume crypto transactions, speed and privacy matter most. OTC trading makes it possible to move large amounts without delays or the stress of market slippage. Instead of waiting in order books, deals are made directly and securely, giving you the confidence to trade big with ease. It’s the perfect choice for investors who value efficiency and discretion while handling major trades. No queues, no noise, just smooth transactions that put you in full control. At Beleaf Technologies, we deliver advanced OTC crypto exchange solutions tailored for seamless high-volume trading. With our proven expertise and innovation, we proudly stand as the best in the OTC crypto exchange development industry. Big trades? Zero delays. Tap to trade OTC! https://beleaftechnologies.com/crypto-otc-trading-platform-development Reach us :- Whatsapp : +91 7904323274 Email id : [email protected] Telegram : https://telegram.me/BeleafSoftTech

When Bitcoin crossed the $100,000 mark in 2025, many expected mainstream adoption to follow. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have flooded institutional portfolios, corporations are stacking digital assets on balance sheets, and Ethereum recently hit record highs. Yet, according to Morgan Stanley’s latest intern survey, the next generation of financial professionals is still hesitant: only 18% of interns reported owning or using cryptocurrencies. This contradiction highlights an important insight — price doesn’t equal adoption. The “Still Early” Reality The phrase “we are still early” has long been a mantra within the crypto community. The survey results reinforce this. While crypto has broken through institutional barriers, personal adoption lags. A majority (55%) of interns remain indifferent toward digital assets, even as Wall Street builds products and infrastructure around them. Adoption is growing — but slowly, incrementally, and often behind the scenes. The lesson here is that market infrastructure can advance faster than user behavior. Just because ETFs exist and corporations hold BTC doesn’t mean individuals are ready to leap in. For crypto, mainstream adoption remains less about headlines and more about cultural and generational shifts. AI: A Contrast in Adoption If crypto adoption is crawling, AI is sprinting. The same interns overwhelmingly use AI tools — 96% in the U.S. and 91% in Europe. They view AI as effective, time-saving, and easy to use, though most agree accuracy must improve. The near-universal embrace of AI suggests that technologies with clear, immediate utility achieve faster buy-in than those driven by speculation or long-term narratives. The takeaway? Utility accelerates adoption. AI is embedded in daily workflows, while crypto remains, for many, a distant investment option. Humanoids: Interest with Caution Interns also showed curiosity toward humanoid robotics, with over 60% interested in having one at home. Yet optimism is tempered by social concerns. While most see humanoids as useful and inevitable, only a minority believe they will positively impact society. Here lies another insight — enthusiasm doesn’t erase skepticism. The technology may be exciting, but its societal implications weigh heavily on perception. Connecting the Dots Crypto, AI, and humanoids sit at different points along the adoption curve. Crypto: Infrastructure built, culture lagging. AI: Ubiquitous, useful, and rapidly normalized. Humanoids: Anticipated but viewed with caution. The broader insight is this: adoption is about trust, perception, and cultural readiness. AI shows what happens when technology fits seamlessly into daily life. Crypto shows what happens when innovation outpaces social comfort. Humanoids remind us that even groundbreaking tech will be judged not just by its capabilities but by its impact on humanity. “We are still early” may be truer than ever — not just for crypto, but for every technology redefining finance and society.

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I’ve been exploring gold trading recently and noticed that the timing can make a huge difference in terms of volatility and liquidity. Some traders suggest the London session, while others prefer the New York session or the overlap between the two. I’m curious to know from experienced traders here what do you think is the best time to trade gold, and why?

Bitcoin Holds Bullish Structure FenzoFx—Bitcoin formed equal highs after sweeping liquidity above $117,046.00 on Friday. Technically, Bitcoin remains bullish due to Friday’s price displacement. Immediate resistance lies at $113,677.00. If bulls close and stabilize above this level, the uptrend may resume, targeting the equal highs at $117,046.00. A further rise could fill half of the bearish fair value gap toward $119,700.00. Currently, no bearish setup is expected unless BTC reaches the premium price zone of $119,700.00 and above.

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Telegram founder Pavel Durov has blasted French authorities over what he calls a baseless case against him, one year after his arrest in August 2024. Durov described the proceedings as “unprecedented,” arguing that holding a tech executive responsible for independent user actions is “legally and logically absurd.” Despite frequent summons to France every 14 days, he says investigators have yet to find any wrongdoing by him or Telegram. He emphasized that the platform complies with all legally binding requests and aligns with industry moderation standards. The arrest sparked outrage across the crypto community, human rights organizations, and free speech advocates, who accused France of attempting to pressure Telegram into censorship. President Emmanuel Macron rejected claims of political motivation, but criticism continues to mount. Durov insists Telegram will never compromise its principles by providing encryption keys or backdoors, stating the platform will leave jurisdictions rather than enable censorship.

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EUR/CAD Daily Analysis: Hidden Divergence Signals Further Gains Introduction to EUR/CAD EURCAD, commonly known as the "Loonie Cross," tracks the relationship between the Euro (EUR) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Traders use this currency pair to gauge the relative economic strength of the Eurozone and Canada, influenced primarily by commodity prices, especially oil, and European economic health. It’s a key barometer for investors seeking opportunities based on economic divergences between Europe and Canada. EURCAD Market Overview The EUR-CAD pair is currently experiencing a bullish trend driven by positive economic data from the Eurozone, particularly robust survey results from Germany's ifo Institute and Belgium’s National Bank. Recent business confidence surveys indicate improving conditions, boosting the Euro’s appeal against the CAD. Conversely, Canada's corporate earnings data released by Statistics Canada has created cautious optimism, with traders carefully monitoring whether Canadian economic conditions might support the CAD. The mixed economic signals from both regions suggest a potential for continued volatility in the pair. Over the next trading sessions, traders should closely monitor upcoming survey data releases on September 24, 2025, which will likely influence EUR/CAD price movements. EURCAD Technical Analysis Analyzing EUR/CAD's daily chart reveals a clear upward trend supported by recent higher highs, though a brief correction appears likely soon. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 62, indicating sustained bullish momentum without yet being overbought. Moreover, a hidden bullish divergence (HD+) between price action and RSI suggests a likely continuation of the upward trend after this potential correction phase. Momentum oscillators align with this bullish outlook, reinforcing the technical setup. The potential target for EUR/CAD remains the upper boundary of the established long-term ascending channel, highlighting a strong bullish technical scenario. Final Words about EUR vs CAD Given current economic indicators and technical chart signals, EUR CAD remains favorably positioned for continued bullish momentum. However, traders should stay alert for brief corrections driven by short-term profit-taking or shifts in economic sentiment from either Eurozone or Canadian releases. Monitoring key economic releases from ifo Institute, the National Bank of Belgium, and Statistics Canada is crucial to anticipate market sentiment and directional changes. Effective risk management strategies remain essential, considering possible short-term volatility and shifting global economic conditions. Overall, maintaining a cautiously optimistic stance is advisable given the current market dynamics. Disclaimer: This EURCAD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions. 08.25.2025

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Kiwi Dollar Technical and Fundamental Insights The NZD/USD forex pair, often nicknamed the “Kiwi”, represents the exchange rate between the New Zealand Dollar and the US Dollar. This pair is widely followed by traders for its sensitivity to commodity prices, interest rate differentials, and economic indicators from both New Zealand and the United States. From a fundamental perspective, today’s NZD/USD price action is likely to be influenced by New Zealand’s retail sales data, which measures the total value and volume of inflation-adjusted sales, including and excluding automobiles and gas stations. Stronger-than-expected retail sales, signaling robust consumer spending, would typically be bullish for NZD. On the USD side, traders will focus on the New Residential Sales data and any hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan. Positive U.S. housing data or hawkish signals could strengthen the USD and apply downward pressure on NZD/USD. Considering these releases, the Kiwi may experience short-term volatility, with potential rebounds if NZ retail sales surprise on the upside, but downward pressure could persist if U.S. indicators are stronger than expected. Chart Notes: • Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00) • Candles’ time-frame is 4h. Analyzing the H4 chart of NZD/USD, the price is moving in a bearish trend within a downward channel, fluctuating between the upper and lower channel boundaries. Recently, after touching the bottom of the channel, the price rebounded toward the middle, yet it remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, which has expanded and turned red, signaling continued bearish momentum. The last candle is near the Ichimoku Base Line (Kijun-sen), which has acted as resistance so far. Additionally, the %R 14 indicator is at -11.01, indicating the pair is approaching overbought levels in the short-term bounce, suggesting that the bearish trend may resume after the current corrective move. Overall, NZD/USD is showing bearish dominance with short-term upward corrections, and traders should watch the Ichimoku levels and %R for potential reversals or continuation of the downtrend. •DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes. Capitalcore